Statistical Analysis of atlantis and michahellis -- Pairwise Results for Wingtip Patterns
Parameters chosen for significance in wingtip patterns were those thought to be less subjective:
Presence of mirror on P9
Solidity of black triangle on outer primaries from P6-P10 (no indent)
Absence of solid band on P5 (including slight break on shaft)
Presence of black mark on P4
Table 1 below shows the features that were found to be significantly different between the various populations:
South-ern
atlantis
Azorean
atlantis
Iberian
atlantis
Atl-Med
Intersection
atlantis/micha-hellis
SW Spain
micha-hellis
Cam-argue
micha-hellis
N Spain
cant-abricans
SW England argen-teus
Southern
atlantis
X
P9, P6-P10
P5,
(P4)
(P4)
P9, P5, P4
P9, P6-P10
P9, P6-P10, P5
Azorean
atlantis
X
P9
(P9)
P9
P9
Iberian
atlantis
X
P4
P4
P9, P4
P9, P6-P10
P9, P6-P10, P5
Atl-Med
Intersection
atlantis/micha-hellis
X
P9
P9, P6-P10
P9, P6-P10, P5, P4
SW Spain
michahellis
X
(P9)
P9, (P6-P10)
P9, (P6-P10) , P5, (P4)
Camargue
michahellis
X
(P9) , P5,
P4
P5, P4
N Spain
cantabricans
X
P5
SW England argenteus
X
Table 2 below compares the populations of southern atlantis on the two sides of the Canaries: West (Tenerife, Gomera, La Palma, El Hierro) and East (Lanzarote, Graciosa, Fuerteventura, Gran Canaria):
Southern atlantis - W Canaries vs E Canaries:
W Canary
E Canary
W Canary
X
P6-P10
E Canary
X
Notes:
Significance 0.05 is shown in
green and 0.01 in red. Brackets indicate that one or more expected values in the test (chi square -- c 2) were less than the recommended 5.
Sources of statistics:
Southern atlantis, Iberian atlantis, cantabricans, argenteus, SW Spain michahellis, atlantis/michahellis intersection: this study (Nick Rossiter)
Southern atlantis is strongly differentiated from Camargue michahellis on all three parameters available (P9, P5, P4). Camargue michahellis has a greater tendency to white on P9 (100.0% vs. 22.5%), a black band on P5 (0.0% absence vs. 24.7% absence) and black on P4 (55.7% vs. 9.0%) .
Iberian atlantis is strongly differentiated from Camargue michahellis on two of the three parameters available (P9, P4). Camargue michahellis has a greater tendency to white on P9 (100.0% vs. 40.3%) and black on P4 (55.7% vs. 14.3%).
Southern atlantis is strongly differentiated from Iberian atlantis on two of the four parameters available (P9, P6-P10). Iberian atlantis has a greater tendency to white on P9 (40.3% vs. 22.5%) and less tendency to black on P6-P10 (61.6% solid vs. 86.6% solid).
cantabricans
is strongly differentiated from Iberian atlantis and Southern atlantis on two of the four parameters available (P9, P6-P10). cantabricans has a greater tendency to white on P9 (84.6% vs. 40.3%; 84.6% vs. 22.5% respectively) and less tendency to black on P6-P10 (0.0% solid vs. 61.6% solid; 0.0% solid vs. 86.6% solid respectively).
argenteus
is strongly differentiated from Iberian atlantis and Southern atlantis on three of the four parameters available (P9, P6-P10, P5). argenteus has a greater tendency to white on P9 (90.0% vs. 40.3%; 90.0% vs. 22.5% respectively) and lower tendency to black on P6-P10 (0.0% solid vs. 61.6% solid; 0.0% solid vs. 86.6% solid respectively) and a black band on P5 (73.9% absent vs. 17.3% absent; 73.9% absent vs. 24.7% absent respectively).
Camargue michahellis is strongly differentiated from SW Spain michahellis and atlantis/michahellis intersection on one of the three parameters available (P9). Camargue michahellis has a greater tendency to white on P9 (100.0% vs. 40.4%; 100.0% vs. 32.1% respectively).
Camargue michahellis is strongly differentiated from cantabricans and argenteus on two of the three parameters available (P5, P4). Camargue michahellis has a greater tendency to a black band on P5 (0.0% absent vs. 31.3% absent; 0.0% absent vs. 73.9% absent respectively) and black on P4 (55.7% vs. 10.0%; 55.7% vs. 0.0% respectively).
Azorean atlantis is strongly differentiated from cantabricans and argenteus and weakly differentiated from Iberian atlantis on the only parameter available (P9). Azorean atlantis has a lower tendency to white on P9 (13.0% vs. 84.6%; 13.0% vs. 90.0%; 13.0% vs. 40.3% respectively).
Weak differentiations (0.05 significance level)
cantabricans
is only weakly differentiated from argenteus on one of the four parameters available (P5). cantabricans has a slightly greater tendency to a black band on P5 (31.3% absent vs. 73.9% absent).
Southern atlantis is rather weakly differentiated on small sample sizes from both SW Spain michahellis and atlantis/michahellis intersection on two of the four parameters available (P5, P4). Southern atlantis has a slightly greater tendency to a black band on P5 (24.7% absent vs. 5.9% absent; 24.7% absent vs. 7.4% absent respectively) and black on P4 (9.0% vs. 50.0%; 9.0% vs. 50.0% respectively).
Iberian atlantis is rather weakly differentiated on small sample sizes from both SW Spain michahellis and atlantis/michahellis intersection on one of the four parameters available (P4). Iberian atlantis has a slightly greater tendency to black on P4 (14.3% vs. 50.0%; 14.3% vs. 50.0% respectively).
The two Southern atlantis populations compared (west Canaries, east Canaries) are weakly differentiated on one of the four parameters available (P6-P10). The west Canaries population has a slightly greater tendency to black on P6-P10 (96.2% solid vs. 80.5% solid).
No differentiations
SW Spain michahellis and atlantis/michahellis intersection are not differentiated at all.
Discussion
If we take strong differentiation on at least two parameters as indicating significant overall divergence in wingtip pattern then we have the following groupings:
This indicates that the michahellis in the extreme west of their range have a tendency towards an atlantis wingtip pattern although structurally they are much more like the michahellis in the Camargue. This was also a finding of Dwight (1925) in his treatment of L. cachinnans. The extreme western michahellis also have sufficient similarity to the Camargue michahellis that they can be grouped with them as well. It is not surprising that the forms found at the intersection of atlantis and michahellis have affinity to both of them.
Another clear conclusion is the similarity of cantabricans and argenteus, raising the intriguing possibility that cantabricans is a Herring Gull. The range of argentatus includes yellow-legged populations so inclusion of cantabricans in the argenteus group should not be dismissed.
Further work required:
Further information on michahellis from the central part of their range such as southern France.
Many more statistics for Azorean atlantis which has not been classified here.