Notice Board: the Honey-buzzard Season in Northumberland 2022 as it happened – Nick Rossiter

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This is the current blog for the 2022 season, updated daily, giving recent activity.

The main aim in the new season is to write a book on Honey-buzzard, using my experience in British Isles, continental Europe and Africa, dating from 1993. Field work in 2022 in Northumberland will complement this task, filling in gaps and reinforcing findings. Further lengthy trips in mind abroad are Israel/Tarifa/Gibraltar in September and Kenya Highlands and coast in a future January. Broad headings for book are: Motivation, Historical Records, Rediscovery in Britain, Migration Patterns, Arrival and Display, Breeding Activity, Habitat, Dispersal, Wintering Grounds, Four Identification Models, Value of Field Experience, Further Studies, Bibliography. The initial costs of publishing the book in hard copy, running to perhaps 250pp, are well within my means. Some supplementary material may be published online.

22nd February 2022: This Notice board is now closed. The new Notice Board for 2023 is available at 2023.

Highlights of Year from Honey-buzzard home page at http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/index.html:

News 2022

17/04/22 Honey-buzzard: 2 W at Kolimvarion, Crete. Better weather for seeing migrants, including Honey-buzzard with a female and male coming off the sea from E at 12:33 and 12:43 respectively and flying towards southern base of the Rodopou Peninsula, presumably to feed in the more fertile land there, before continuing to N. Here’s piccies of the male Honey-buzzard at Crete on 17/4 at 12:44: 1  2  3  4 (12001). The female Honey-buzzard (or another) was indeed rediscovered later at 15:32 in Koumouli at the base of the Rodopou Peninsula floating over the wooded hillside 1 (12001b) but no sign of the male. Also a male Honey-buzzard N at 15:56 at Agia Triada on 9/4.

18/05/22 Honey-buzzard Habitat: Completed analysing habitat for Honey-buzzard at Hyons Wood, that’s no.4 in Tyne Valley E and no.22 overall with further river-system totals: Hexhamshire 6, Allen 10, Tyne Valley W 2.

10/05/22 Black Kite/Honey-buzzard: Here's Black Kite piccies from Prudhoe 10/5 in display for pure pair: second adult 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  and first adult 9  10  11  12  13  14  15 (pair)  16  17  18  19  20  plus pair with male Honey-buzzard (12004) 21 .

29/05/22 Black Kite update: 1st seen 5/5 at Bywell. Have Black Kite at 5 sites with 1) a pure pair displaying at last year’s site at Prudhoe, where mixed pairing with Red Kite last year; 2) last year’s site at Bywell with one bird seen to date; 3) a new site near Styford where a pure pair appear to be nesting along Tyne; 4) a new site in Hexham area where single bird seen; and 5) the site in East Allendale where a mixed pairing again of Black Kite (male) x Red Kite (female) with food pass seen. So that’s a minimum of 7 Black Kite at 5 sites!

30/05/22 Honey-buzzard update: first seen 24.4 with pair at Ordley. Slow return this year and activity subdued with cool daytime weather; 10 sites occupied in study area with 7 male, 7 female seen.

28/05/22 Honey-buzzard: Here’s Honey-buzzard piccies from Staward, where saw 3 Honey-buzzard: 2 displaying at N, female 1  2  3  4  5, male 6  7 (12009), 1 male in territory at S.

15/06/22 Black Kite update: 1st seen 5/5 at Bywell. Have Black Kite at 5 sites with 1) a pure pair displaying at last year’s site at Prudhoe, where mixed pairing with Red Kite last year; 2) last year’s site at Bywell with a pure pair up on 10/06 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11, and singles seen on 2 occasions; 3) a new site near Styford where a pure pair appear to be nesting along Tyne with, for instance, one seen on 29/5 1  2  3  4; 4) a new site in Hexham area where a pure pair defending site by Tyne on 01/06 1  2  3  4  5; and 5) the site in East Allendale where a mixed pairing again of Black Kite (male) x Red Kite (female) with food pass seen. So that’s a minimum of 9 Black Kite at 5 sites!

15/06/22 Honey-buzzard update: typical high aerial hanging by males in recent days so pairs settled. Not a good year for vigorous display. In core area 6/6 sites occupied in ‘Shire and 7/8 in Tyne Valley W. 20 sites occupied in whole study area with 15 male, 10 female seen. Piccies: Ordley 24/4 female 12002 1 ; Ordley 24/4 male 12002 2 ; Bywell 5/5 pair 12003 3 ; Prudhoe 11/5 male with Black Kite 12004 4 ; Sinderhope 17/5 female 12007 5 ; Bywell 5/5 male 12008 6 ; Bywell 5/5 male 12008 7 ; Bywell 5/5 male 12008 8 ; Hexham NE1/6 female12010 9 ; Dotland 4/6 female 12013 10.

15/06/22: Other medium-sized raptors update for 2022 ytd: Red Kite 24 birds, 18 localities, observer’s own records only; Goshawk 8 birds, 7 localities; Common Buzzard 81 birds, 38 localities. These totals are lower than they might be with long absence in Crete of 2+ weeks in April. Nil returns: Hen Harrier, Marsh Harrier, Montagu’s Harrier, Golden Eagle, White-tailed Eagle.

01/07/22: Black Kite update: further recent sightings at the 5 sites: 1) 2 birds at Prudhoe on 25/6, one heavy 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9, a lighter-weight bird 10  11  12  13 so 2 birds seen, both apparently pure Black Kite but the lighter-weight bird could have a bit of Red Kite in it; 2) 1 bird seen briefly at Bywell on 1/7; 3) at Styford 1 bird hunting out to E by Tyne on 1/7; 4) at Hexham on 29/6, a Black Kite was up over the site with everything up in area including Corvids; the Kite circled over the site 1  2 and came into land and everything quickly quietened down; another Black Kite came out of the nest site and flew provocatively flap-flap-glide into the Common Buzzard site to the W 3  4  5  6  7  8  9, circling some trees there and rousing an angry Common Buzzard which flew in circles around each other and even a female Honey-buzzard came up briefly at one point 3 (12100); this kite was lost to sight in this area to W of its nest; and 5) the site in East Allendale where a mixed pairing again, on 27/6 a Black Kite came back to the nest, coming in fast in the breeze from the E and going straight in, giving opportunity for 2 photos 1  2. So the 5 sites all continue to progress!

01/08/22: Honey-buzzard update: 22 sites occupied, 17 male, 12 female. Very little activity noted in rearing period this year with only 6 birds (4 male, 2 female) seen at 4 sites since 15/6. But my absences abroad (Hungary, France) and distraction of Black Kite need to be taken into account!

15/09/22: Honey-buzzard end of breeding season update: Overall 23 sites occupied, 18 male, 14 female. In fledging period from 28/8-15/9, in 14 sites, had 4 male, 4 female, 21+ juvenile seen, 1+ juvenile inferred, 30 birds total. Survey very much restricted to core of study area this year of Hexhamshire (Devil’s Water) and Tyne Valley W. In this core area the population was at saturation levels with high breeding success. Piccies: male Dotland 29/8 12111 1 ; male Bywell 30/8 12113 2  juvenile Bywell 30/8 12113 3 ; juvenile Shilford 30/8 12114 4 ; juvenile West Dipton 4/9 12116 5 ; juvenile Viewley 5/9 12117 6 ; juvenile Eltringham 9/9 12118 7 ; female 2 juv Eastwood Common 11/9 12119 8 ; female Eastwood Common 11/9 12119 9 ; female Eastwood Common 11/9 12119 10 ; female Eastwood Common 11/9 12119 11.

14/11/22: Black Kite season summary: 7 sites occupied, 12 adults seen, all pure pairs, all sites successful, 11+ young raised (4x2, 3x1+). See http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/northumberlandbk.html for further details.

17/11/22: Hobby season summary: 3 sites occupied, 4 adults seen, no confirmed breeding. There is a marked decline:10+ sites occupied annually from 2001-2017 and 3-9 sites from 2018-2022, albeit with less coverage in latter period. See http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/northumberlandhobby.html for further details.

22/11/22: Goshawk season summary: 9 sites occupied in spring, no records after 15/6, no young known to be raised, a perplexing season. See http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/northumberlandgos.html for further details.

18/12/22: Red Kite season summary: 40 sites occupied but only 16 juveniles known to fledge, a disappointing season productivity-wise. See http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/northumberlandrk.html for further details.

15/01/23: Honey-buzzard season summary: 23 sites occupied, 33 adults seen (19 male, 14 female), 23 juvenile fledged, core area maintained with usual high productivity. Nine migrants were seen, including 4 female E/S in peak period identified by BirdGuides from 9/9-14/9. See http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/northumberlandhb.htm for further details.

17/01/23: Honey-buzzard Habitat: Completed analysing habitat for Honey-buzzard at Stanley Burn, that’s no.8 and last one in Tyne Valley E and no.27 overall with further river-system totals: Hexhamshire 6 (complete), Allen 10 (complete), Tyne Valley W (3 in progress).

12/02/23: Honey-buzzard in France: in trips this year, lasting 3 weeks in all, to Marciac in July and Chamonix in August found 3 and 2 sites occupied respectively. See Marciac 2022 and Chamonix 2022 for details.



22nd February 2022: This Notice board is now closed. The new Notice Board for 2023 is available at 2023.

February 21st: maximum 10C, minimum 5C, light SW, cloudy, dry daytime. Sorted more piccies for Honey-buzzard in study area in April-June and added highlights to News as above and here:

15/06/22 Honey-buzzard update: typical high aerial hanging by males in recent days so pairs settled. Not a good year for vigorous display. In core area 6/6 sites occupied in ‘Shire and 7/8 in Tyne Valley W. 20 sites occupied in whole study area with 15 male, 10 female seen. Piccies: Ordley 24/4 female 12002 1 ; Ordley 24/4 male 12002 2 ; Bywell 5/5 pair 12003 3 ; Prudhoe 11/5 male with Black Kite 12004 4 ; Sinderhope 17/5 female 12007 5 ; Bywell 5/5 male 12008 6 ; Bywell 5/5 male 12008 7 ; Bywell 5/5 male 12008 8 ; Hexham NE1/6 female12010 9 ; Dotland 4/6 female 12013 10.

Completed NB 2022 today so will switch over tomorrow to NB 2023. As part of my health review, had check-up at private dentistry in Corbridge today; quite an exhaustive check-over with verdict all clear except for a burn on my palette which she wants to check over again in 2 weeks time; this was caused by hot cheese in a snack I had on the train last Friday; no more burning hot food! Have an appointment with hygienist on Thursday as part of the Plan. She did fortuitously give me some advice on accessing HoLEP more quickly – marvellous! And said teeth and gums were in better condition than last time as I was obviously brushing them better (new Oral-B electric tooth-brush, just like the adverts!). So pleased I went! Have written to the gorgeous one: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 20th: maximum 10C, minimum 8C, moderate W, cloudy, dry daytime. At 14:30 15 Brambling feeding on beech mast in Sele with 20 Chaffinch (1 singing). Also a Treecreeper and 5 Redwing. Sorted more piccies for Honey-buzzard in study area in August-September and added highlights to News as above and here:

15/09/22: Honey-buzzard end of breeding season update: Overall 23 sites occupied, 18 male, 14 female. In fledging period from 28/8-15/9, in 14 sites, had 4 male, 4 female, 21+ juvenile seen, 1+ juvenile inferred, 30 birds total. Survey very much restricted to core of study area this year of Hexhamshire (Devil’s Water) and Tyne Valley W. In this core area the population was at saturation levels with high breeding success. Piccies: male Dotland 29/8 12111 1 ; male Bywell 30/8 12113 2  juvenile Bywell 30/8 12113 3 ; juvenile Shilford 30/8 12114 4 ; juvenile West Dipton 4/9 12116 5 ; juvenile Viewley 5/9 12117 6 ; juvenile Eltringham 9/9 12118 7 ; female 2 juv Eastwood Common 11/9 12119 8 ; female Eastwood Common 11/9 12119 9 ; female Eastwood Common 11/9 12119 10 ; female Eastwood Common 11/9 12119 11.

Still some material to add to 2022 before close but we’re down to June-Jan now. Today made R4m4l @ B, where good chat on civil servant cock-ups by BH and made G4g4s with R/A/P for good chat b4 P goes off to the Caribbean for a cruise. Did phone Freeman; they said should get NHS referral so will try that with my GP but think you can approach private clinic directly if that fails. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 19th: maximum 8C, minimum 7C, fresh SW, cloudy, dry daytime. Catching up! Another concert today in afternoon by Dudok Quartet of Amsterdam, playing at QH in HEX: Mozart sq 23, Tchaikovsky sq 1, Shostakovich sq 5. Very enjoyable: the Tchaikovsky was beautiful, particularly the andante, and the Shostakovich was mysterious (ambiguous they called it!). Bought a CD in the foyer afterwards of their Shostakovich 5 and 7 of his preludes. Later made G4g+wh4s with A/R/P for good catch-up. Compiled 27 piccies of Honey-buzzard from late August and early September 2022 in 8 visits and added most to web site. Did say I was doing a final trawl for neglected piccies. Will write someone soon: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! 2moro it’s R for lunch and G in evening.

February 18th: maximum 7C, minimum 1C, light W, cloudy, heavy showers in evening and overnight. Quiet day, resting after the music bonanza. Did make W4bigshop (£63) and DoW for great chat with D/D at DoW4g+wh4s. Have now been officially listed as needing HoLEP but no date given. No more TWOC so have stopped taking Tamsulosin (last 16/2) which were making me feel grotty; cannot imagine being on those for the rest of my life. Still with equipment, which requires some care and maintenance. Sleeping much better now, having got more used to situation. Raising private treatment issue on Monday. Markets not so optimistic this last week, showing loss 12k gross and loss 16k net after 4k withdrawal for elder granddaughter’s S birthday on 17/2, Also sent her a singing (helium) balloon in frozen emblem – very popular evidently!

February 17th: maximum 11C, minimum 3C, storm from W, some rain. Storm Otto, named in Denmark, is first named storm of the season; haven’t seen mentions by the climate alarmists that storms have become so scarce this autumn and winter – not surprising as focussing on extreme weather is very much part of the unscientific event attribution plot! It was also a very normal hurricane season in the Atlantic last summer against all predictions. Was directly affected by storm as problems with overhead cables delayed train back. Came to a halt at Doncaster for an hour and then went at reduced speed to NCL arriving about 90 min late; thought LNER did OK in circumstances keeping us informed and Network Rail quickly got the overhead cables working again, so no delay repay; I was anyway on a cheap £37 ticket! The Uber to Stevenage Station cost £18 including £3 tip. Thought I’d have 2 hours to while away before concert so now Metro to GHD and straight to S for partners’ reception. Rehearsal was short as Alina had already presented this concert at Sunderland yesterday (and in future at Kendal on Saturday). So we were shown the streaming system for 40 min, which was very impressive with 10 cameras and annotated score. Partners are now being given free streaming – nice gesture! Concert by RNS had the inspiring Alina Ibragimova as director/violin, playing Mozart’s Violin Concerto 3 with Alina as soloist; Jennifer Higdon’s Soliloquy; Alfred Schnittke’s Moz-Art à la Haydn; Mozart’s Posthorn Serenade. The violin concerto was good on the ears; the Soliloquy was a bit like Copeland, very smooth; Schnittke is rated as a worthy successor to Shostakovich and his piece was extraordinary, starting with the players performing in the dark, some intricate mobile positioning as the piece progressed and finally MG acting as an extravagant conductor! The Posthorn Serenade was a very varied typical Mozart piece with complex interplays between the woodwind and the strings. CA was very good on the flute and delighted she’s now being partnered, long overdue (by JC). Had supper with partners and had drink with L after concert with good chat to my partner M and his partner I. Got taxi back to station as feeling tired and sore after recent activity, and train back to HEX.

February 16th: maximum 8C, minimum 7C, light SE, dry. Up early to catch 07:54 HEX to NCL, cancelled, so caught 08:14 and then 09:30 to STV, changing at NNG, travelling 1st class, very nice! Got taxi to son's place in Welwyn (£20), left case and we went by bus to WGC, train to FPK, tube to Covent Garden and met big sis at Prima Sapori D'Italia for late lunch (tagliatelle with salmon). Then to ROH for Tannhäuser from 18:00 to 22:15. What a fantastic performance, last night for the show turned out to be fortuitously well-judged with Stefan Vinke fully fit to play the title role, a fresh conductor with great Wagnerian poise Alexander Soddy, and the other singers, orchestra and chorus all fired-up after disappointing early reviews. Elisabeth was brilliantly acted and sung by Lise Davidsen and Venus, as sung by Ewa Plonka, was suitably seductive. The plot is a familiar Wagner one with the hero Tannhäuser looking for redemption through a woman’s love (that of Elisabeth) after committing earlier sins (in the Venusberg). The version of the opera performed was the Vienna 1875 one, based on the Paris one from 1861, incorporating a shortened overture and ballet immediately after the overture. The previous 2 live performances I’ve seen at Berlin (Deutsch Oper) and Budapest (Müpa) had the concert overture and a shorter ballet (Dresden version). The end of the concert overture is very stirring but since it’s really the climax of the last Act there are good reasons for postponing the climax to its proper place. The ballet was entertaining, quite acrobatic, designed to please the Jockey Club members of Paris who liked dancing (or more accurately the dancers!). So Elisabeth dies for Tannhäuser and after his failure to secure pardon in Rome, Tannhäuser finally sees redemption in a very moving emotional rendering of the pilgrim’s chorus with large chorus and orchestra all at full power. Tannhäuser is more popular on the continent, perhaps because it’s considered a classical Teutonic genre but it was packed out tonight and let’s hope it becomes more part of the UK music scene. Too complicated to meet up with JL but empathy through the performance! So a very good night, back with son to WGC and taxi to his flat, which now has a new shower. Had a Grey Wagtail at Hexham and a Red Kite at Holme Fen (Huntingdon) on way down. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February15th: maximum 9C, minimum 5C, sunny spells, light W, almost dry. Switch off day yesterday, was up from 6-2 on 13/2 (20 hours) and felt quite jaded, even having slight temperature. Have received report from consultant, confirming HoLEP as next step (‘listed’) but no time-scale except a routine event 12 weeks ahead. Will explore private options next week. Had more blood test results from practice: liver, thyroid, kidney, urea and electrolytes, all OK and non-diabetic; but cholesterol results slightly off, bmi slightly high and, in particular, high bp leads to critical position for cardiovascular risks. Have ECG at Hexham Hospital on 27/2 and made dentist appointment at my now private practice in Corbridge for 21/2. So taking the pills: giving health top priority! Early start tomorrow for the Wagner, leaving HEX around 8. Got out today making QHC/QHL where met S/JR for good chat about philosophy and music in particular. We all decried the lack of appreciation of philosophy in the UK, compared to France, Germany and the US. In computing we try to represent reality and understanding reality is very much part of philosophy. S had even heard of Kurt Gödel, University of Vienna in the 1930s, our hero in proving mathematically that models are incomplete and indeterminable, because of their axioms (assumptions). That’s my talk at Rotary on 20/3. Commonly thought of as Jewish, Kurt was actually Lutheran but he had many Jewish friends and seeing the way things were going in 1938 (in particular Kristallnacht and his failure to secure a position at Vienna University) he fled via Trans-Siberian Railway to the US, becoming a mate of Einstein at Princeton University, where Whitehead wrote a lot of his philosophical treasures about 10 years earlier, dying there in 1947. Have almost completed my abstract for the conference at Munich in July:

Whitehead’s Category of the Ultimate as Lawvere’s Topos in Category Theory



Nick Rossiter

Computer and Information Sciences

Northumbria University, Newcastle NE1 8ST, UK

Corresponding Author's email: nick.rossiter1@btinternet.com

http: //www.nickrossiter.org.uk/process/



Category theory has its foundations in the pure mathematics of objects related by arrows. Many of the proofs in category theory are on small categories, set-like constructions. The philosopher Alfred North Whitehead developed an alternative basis for categories in his book Process and Reality in the description of the Category of the Ultimate. Whitehead developed an intricate textual description of a number of categories, linked to the Category of the Ultimate, including eight Categories of Existence, nine Categoreal Obligations and 27 Categories of Explanation. Whitehead introduces terms such as being for existence, becoming for transformation by prehension with concrescence, nexus for a society and propositions for logic in the broader sense.



Whitehead's Categories can be considered in terms of mathematical categories as products (times) or union (plus), such as in prehension or nexus. Concrescence is adjointness between times and plus, giving the closure to create a locally Cartesian closed category as a becoming. The Category of the Ultimate is creation from the singular colimit through many disjunctive collections (plus) and their many conjunctions (times) to the singular limit. This paper argues that the Category of the Ultimate corresponds closely to a topos as in Lawvere’s work in category theory in 1969 with the progression from colimit (plus) to limit (times).



When Whitehead wrote his book in 1927-28, category theory did not exist. It was not until 1945 that Eilenberg and Maclane produced the first treatise on category theory. So the developments are independent of each other. Like category theory, based solely on the arrow, Whitehead's approach is single substance with no mind-matter separation as in the work of Descartes. Whitehead's focus though is much broader with the development of feelings and eternal objects to express metaphysical and biological constructions, with their complex types, as well as the simpler physical constructions and limited standard types of category theory. Whitehead does have empathy with Aristotle: his Category of the Ultimate is of Aristotle’s first substance, that is extensional, and his Defining Characteristic in the Nexus is of Aristotle’s second substance, that is intensional.



Building on the arrow of mathematical category theory, Whitehead’s work does therefore deserve to be treated as a philosophical basis for a more adventurous type of category theory with its additional emphasis on processes in general, including biological ones. An extensible type system for feelings, based on AI and biological concepts, will be required. [395 words]





Quite poignant without Michael Heather. I’ll acknowledge him in the full paper. This will be a consolidation of the ANPA 2022 paper; in ANPA 2023 intending to develop the feelings aspect of Whitehead’s approach; might do abstract for that on train tomorrow where travelling 1st class. Pity yesterday passed so limply: belated romantic greetings to the gorgeous one: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!



February 13th: maximum 7C, minimum -4C, sunny, light S, dry, mild midday but hard frost at night in the ‘Shire. This was black Monday: miserable failure giving up early after 5 hours with renewed retention and necessary resolution. Hoping there’s a silver lining in that I can go private quickly for HoLEP, which offers a more permanent cure. Never had an operation in my life but think this is way forward. Worst thing would to be patched up with regular malfunctioning. Keeping positive: still down to London on Thursday to see Tannhäuser, meeting up with sis at Prima Sapori D'Italia in Tavistock Street. And out tonite at G4g+wh4s to meet A/R/P with A on to cheer me up! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 12th: maximum 8C, minimum 1C, dull, light S, dry, mild but cooler at night with ground frost. Full backup of all piccie files for 2022 to two external drives today. Added line to end of News above, highlighting trips to France this year:

12/02/23: Honey-buzzard in France: in trips this year, lasting 3 weeks in all, to Marciac in July and Chamonix in August found 3 and 2 sites occupied respectively. See Marciac 2022 and Chamonix 2022 for details.

Critical day tomorrow. Into NCL soon to make whole day at Freeman easier. Funds were actually minus 8k on week, not minus 20k: had removed from credits arrears of interest but not added payments received to cash. Friday did feel like a bad day though for markets sentiment-wise; still maybe in late stages of bear market rather than in a solid bull market; a lot depends on how quickly China recovers economically from its zero Covid policy. Looking forward to Opera North’s week up here from March 21st; booked for their receptions on 21/3 and donated £50 to their charity fund. Hope the gorgeous one is fine: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 11th: maximum 9C, minimum 6C, dull, moderate SW, dry, mild. Rounding off 2022 raptor year with NEWS highlights above. Here is a summary of Marciac Honey-buzzard records:

Marciac, France: (3/7-20/7): noted at 3 localities,4 birds: 3 male, 1 female. Birds fairly active presumed foraging for food for medium- to large-sized young. 1) at Juillac SW/Bourret at 136-226m with 4/7 a female floating over the area; 5/7 a female coming out of a small copse to S of villa and moving back E at low altitude; 8/7 another male high up over the presumed site to S; 9/7 picking up at Bourret a female in territory over a wood, trying to keep kite away from its nesting area, up over the E end of wood; 9/7 The heat kept most birds low in the afternoon but first up at 17:45 as it cooled down a bit was a female circling for some time over the small woods on the ridge;; 11/7 a male flying briefly along ridge; 15/7 a female up over site, hanging over area before drifting off SW. 2) at Juillac NE/Marciac NW 136-226m with 5/7 a male up to NE of the Villa over the wood at 18:08 (habitat) by a river (known breeding site); 8/7 a male high over the site to NE drifting S towards Juillac. 3) at Auriébat at 144-262m, 9/7 much further to SW had a male Honey-buzzard in contention with a Black Kite adult.

Added Trip Report for Marciac, Gers, France, visit in July 2022 (Marciac 2022), including birds, butterflies, and fuller notes on Honey-buzzard. Pleased to have got the French raptor records sorted so thoroughly for my 3 week’s of visits in 2022. It is an amazing country for birds of prey! Made DoW with D/D for gr8 chat: Denise was a nurse at Freeman so plenty of info! Will be switching NB tomorrow: 2023 here we come! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 10th: maximum 9C, minimum 7C, dull, moderate SW, dry, mild. Completed final tasks for Marciac 2022 trip report, finding in evening that can milk it more for Honey-buzzard, both habitat and the odd piccie of an adult lurking in the large number taken. So need a clear head to sort out final corrections for Honey-buzzard in the morning on BirdTrack, this NB and the trip report. Have 3 sites in Juillac area for Honey-buzzard on which notes and piccies will be recorded in the trip report. Sociable morning: chatted to N/D on Skype for an hour and met M/B at T4m4l. Funds did not improve at end of week with loss wtd c20k after last week’s bonanza; full figures 2moro. Have booked up Leonardo in ScR for Sunday nite to be in good shape for the big p day!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 9th: maximum 5C, minimum 4C, bright, moderate W, dry. Struggling to get much done at the moment. Made Sele GP for bp measures by nurse who insisted I saw a doctor, before leaving, to take further action. That was 09:50, got in to see doctor at 10:50; she was actually very proactive, prescribing me amlodipine, giving me a flu jab, declined Covid jab, weighing me, taking blood sample for further tests and arranging appointment for 6/3. RVI did take some bloods and they reported liver, kidney, calcium, nitrites, all OK, and no anaemia. There were 2 displaying Oystercatcher over Hexham Hospital and 2 Mistle Thrush on wires at Letah Wood plus a Blackbird singing at Ordley at 17:00. Had to come back for prescription, then made QHC/QHL for most of afternoon while S at home cleaning. Got Munich abstract up to 337 words – 400 words is target – so good progress and plenty still to say. Best abstracts involve competition for inclusion! . Made G4g+wh4s with R/A/P for good chat, finding that now 5 out of 6 of us in the back room were on the same bp drug even one who has done all the Munro! Did get France July 2022 files ready but still a few amendments needed. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 8th: maximum 7C, minimum 2C, some sunny spells, light S, dry. Gritters out, possible ground frost and sleet overnight. Completed processing piccies from Juillac for 4/7-5/7 so everything done here except to compile the totals tomorrow. Actually found the female Honey-buzzard up briefly over Juillac SW on 4/7, a day before what was thought to be the first sighting. Another quiet day but did make QHC/QHL to start Munich 2023 International Whitehead Conference: need an abstract of 400 words so expand one for ANPA; meeting is being held in University of Munich at School of Philosophy, close to the Biergarten, from 26-29 July 2023; see they have a Leonardo close to the School. . Will have another go tomorrow as cleaner S is coming in afternoon. Managed 4k steps today, bit below par but am taking a rest. More work on wintering Black Kite on EuroBirdPortal. See distribution maps for 26 Nov-2 Dec 2022 1 and 22 Jan-28 Jan 2023 2 in comparison with Swallow (lhs). Amazing numbers of Swallow now overwintering in SW Iberia and a few Black Kite in western Europe (France, Spain, Portugal, Denmark, Sweden, Holland) with many more in Israel, all probably overwintering Russian birds. Up early tomorrow for visit to nurse at GPs at 09:50 for check. Seeing M on Friday at T and D/D on Saturday at DoW but first-up is G4g4s tomorrow evening. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 7th: maximum 8C, minimum 4C, some sunny spells, light SW, dry. Had singing Mistle Thrush and Nuthatch at Ordley this morning. Had 205 users accessing Honey-buzzard (and kite) pages today, so 435 user-sessions over 2 days. Continued to work on France July 2022 records, completing 8/7 from scratch and 6/7-7/7 from partial work done when in Juillac. Got records in 2023 up to date and removed a few ‘More to follow’ where I’ve not now got anything to add. Left some in which need attention. Also need to augment 4/7-5/7 piccies from Juillac, to complete the work there.

Have followed up Black Kite records since last ones on these pages on 19/10. Here they are from BirdGuides:

11:31 13/01 Black Kite Kent Walderslade 11:29 one soaring over M20 east of Blue Bell Hill 2023

12:07 26/12 Black Kite Dorset West Morden one circling to north near The World's End, Almer 2022

11:20 12/12 Black Kite Jersey St Ouen's Pond escaped adult bearing jesses still

10:37 10/12 Black Kite Jersey St Ouen's Pond 10:27 one still; also Pink-footed Goose still

17:26 09/12 Black Kite Jersey St Ouen's Pond one still; also Jack Snipe

11:35 08/12 Black Kite Jersey St Ouen's Pond 11:14 one still; also Pink-footed Goose still

08:38 06/12 Black Kite Jersey St Ouen's Pond 08:36 still

13:22 05/12 Black Kite Jersey St Ouen's Pond 13:21 one

10:03 01/12 Black Kite East Yorkshire Holmpton 09:51 one arrived low in off the sea then flew north-west

11:04 24/11 Black Kite Gloucestershire Eastington one drifted towards Frampton-on-Severn late morning

13:57 23/11 Black Kite KentIstead Rise 12:15 one reported over sheep field at Wrotham Road 2022


Well this is unprecedented, never have Black Kite wintered like this before in the UK, even though one medium-stay is in Jersey and may be an escape. For some perspective see “Black kites wintering in Europe: estimated number, subspecies status, and behaviour of a bird wintering on Crete and Turkey” I. Literák, V. Reháková,S. Xirouchakis, J. Škrábal &V. Starenko https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/24750263.2022.2137253. Extract from abstract says it all:


Black kites of the nominal subspecies Milvus migrans migrans breed in Europe and winter regularly in sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East. As a new phenomenon, black kites with morphological characteristics of the subspecies Milvus migrans lineatus are observed in Europe. Based on observations of black kites in winter 2020/2021 summarized in this paper, based on other recent reports about wintering black kites in Europe and based on juvenile black kite tagged on Crete and tracked for two years, we conclude that hundreds to thousands of black kites are now regularly wintering in south of Europe, and in smaller numbers in other parts of Europe as well as in northern Africa. The growing number of wintering black kites in Europe is apparently caused by members of the population from a hybrid zone between M. m. migrans and M. m. lineatus breeding east of the Urals, i.e. from the area of the European part of Russia.


Suspect the status of the Black Kite in the UK needs a radical rethink, both for breeding and wintering!


Had another quiet day except for haircut with the lively Jd at JG, usual cost 19.50 + 5.50 bonus. Almost forgot it, was about to start leisurely breakfast at 09:45 when noticed an alert on ‘phone from Google Calendar for 10:00 at JG. Swiftly dressed and dashed down in the car, ‘phoning her at 10:00 to say would be 10 min late. All OK though following customer did not look delighted. Jd was very pleasant about it. Shows I’m still a bit distracted. Actually feeling OK today; this is as predicted with users getting more energy back after the first few days on the drug. No alcohol today but cannot cut coffee/tea consumption! Did do almost 5k steps today with walk to JG from Elvaston and some housekeeping tasks at home. Will make QHL and QHC tomorrow to resume Whitehead work but will skip G. Funds down 10k so far this week on profit taking, think may perk up by end of week on recent pattern. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!


February 6th: maximum 9C, minimum 4C, some sunny spells, light W, dry. Made great progress on closing 2022, completing 15/7, also adding Little Owl from 4/7-5/7 Juillac and Little Egret piccies from Tyne Green at Hexham in November. Decided to do a final trawl for piccies, starting with 8/7 Marciac. Will also look for Honey-buzzard piccies 2022 in study area. Need to do all this as once close 2022, matters are fixed, maybe overlooking useful future evidence. Had 230 users access Honey-buzzard pages today. Determined to keep social life going: R @ B4m4l for good company and G4g+wh4s with R/A/P and A on; should add the whisky (with ginger ale) replaces my 2nd Guinness to reduce the liquid flow at constant alcohol! Feeling brighter today, maybe getting more used to drug and also recovering from the severe stress. Walked over 5k steps, including walk around Sele after R, where had 13 bird-types in the park including 2 Nuthatch and a Pied/White Wagtail. Had a Chestnut Moth at Letah Wood and a Brown Rat in my kitchen (briefly, not welcome, chased it out!). French records for 2022 now total:

82 species from 354 records, 18 complete lists, 33 places

Planning hotel stays in NCL next week at L to facilitate Freeman arrival at 08:15 on Monday and early start for London on the Thursday. Gr8 to hear from the mgo: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 5th: maximum 5C, minimum -1C, some sunny spells, light W, light frost by evening. Have taken last day 15/7 as far as labelling piccies, need to reduce them in size, add to web pages, index them, submit to BirdTrack and then 2022 records are complete. Does include final sighting of female Honey buzzard at SW of Juillac (12207). Did make G4g+wh4s with R/A/P 4 gr8 chat with A on! Caught up on correspondence wtgo: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 4th: maximum 9C, minimum 1C, some sunny spells, light SW, becoming cooler by evening. Took it easy today, finally getting opportunity for rest over the weekend as feeling jaded. Did make DoW4g+wh4s to see D/D 4 good chat. Have long day at Freeman on 13/2 (from 08:15 for at least 6 hours), checking my performance (basically filling me up with water and seeing what happens!). If pass can just stay on drug and be semi-discharged. Otherwise HoLEP is suggested, that’s laser treatment, not a South American dance! Obviously will need to await outcome but will certainly go private to reach speedy closure if necessary; cost appears to be 8.5k + 1.5k for convalescence. Visit to London has become very rushed with the new appointment on 13/2 and allowing for any follow-up checks; now is just 16/2 down in morning-17/2 back in morning. Have made further progress on French records with just one day left now, 15/7. Latest position for 2 French trips in 2022 is:

80 species from 322 records, 17 complete lists, 28 places

Will continue to take it easy tomorrow, should get close to completing French records and hence NB 2022! But will make G4g+wh4s. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 3rd: maximum 9C, minimum 7C, cloudy, fresh W breeze, little drizzle, very mild. More moths today on drive back from CAL at 22:30: Early Moth – 3 at Callerton, 3 at Hexham S, 6 at Letah Wood, 3 at Ordley, plus a Mottled Umber at Hexham S. Snowdrops at Ordley are thriving and a Brown Hare was on the verge outside my house as drove in. Had a great musical day, going to L&P at 13:00 for SR’s Bach violin sonata 2: not for the faint-hearted, particularly m1-2 (grave and fugue) with much double stopping. M3-4 (andante, allegro) seemed not quite so challenging, sweeter. Very well played and enjoyable! Made CT4s4ll before making L&P for a catch up on their latest acquisitions; they must have a Wagner fan on their panel as found 3 books on him. Then over to S where had tea and met a few more partners M/S/T/L. Choral concert was very imaginative and creative, starring RNS orchestra and chorus and Samling soloists, keeping up the flow of marvellous music over the last 2 weeks. Concert started with Vivaldi’s Dixit Dominus, a work only discovered in 2005, continued with Caroline Shaw’s Is a rose and finished after the interval with Bach’s Magnificat. Shaw’s work was only written in 2019: the moving work was based on poets such as Burns. The Magnificat was just that, giving a marvellous powerful effect, with opportunities taken by Samling singers in their big chance. Chatted with partner PB and friend afterwards and she dropped me back to CAL. Funds were +48k on week, that's +87k ytd gross, +80k net. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 2nd: maximum 9C, minimum 8C, sunny spells, fresh W breeze, little drizzle in the wind, very mild. Made HEX hospital to get some medical supplies, to bridge gap between a week from last Sunday and appointment at Sele on 9/2; quite efficient, nurse took control and sorted it all out. Made T4m4l on own as M tied up with family. Compiled Juillac 12/7 leaving just 2 visits to go, 14/7 and 15/7, marvellous! Did make G4g4s with E on and R/A/P for good chat. Feeling a little vulnerable but determined to keep to normal activities with violin sonata at L&P 2moro lunchtime (SR) and Bach Cantata in evening at S. So delighted to hear from someone!!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 1st: maximum 7C, minimum 5C, sunny spells, fresh W breeze, occasional heavy showers. Noted more signs of late winter with 3 Kestrel on way/back from CAL on A69: singles at Corbridge E and Horsley at 10:30 and another at Rudchester at 14:00. Remembered a Song Thrush singing at RVI at 06:30 on 29/1. A Common Buzzard today was feasting on a Woodpigeon on road near Ordley at 16:30: not sure whether the pigeon was knocked down by a vehicle or was pounced upon. Did make hospital via CAL, Metro to Longbenton and walk: amazed how short the walk was, people told me to drive as too far to walk! Had consultation at 12:30, not long, digital rectum examination plus manipulation of lower abdomen was chosen technique, confirmed as BPH, mightily relieved!! Now take drug for 30 days and they will see how you go! Drove back to HEX, made QHC4ll and then home; ordered some more ovoids (5 bags) and small doubles (2 bags). Given up grapefruit as interferes with drug but keeping on cranberry juice as good for drainage system. Had mega surprise on investments today with dog of a bond ERO1 making an interest payment it missed in October. The bond almost tripled in price from 10% to 29% (busted bond!). Funds wtd now +38k at a new all-time high, beating level on 12/09/2022 by 11k. Got a grateful response from Barbara for my ANPA submission. Done labelling the piccies for 12/7 Marciac; hoping to finish processing this day tomorrow. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 31st: maximum 6C, minimum 3C, mainly cloudy, fresh W breeze, heavy showers through day. Completed processing Marciac 13/7, actually road journey to Toulouse Airport and back to fetch nephew and wife. Three days to go now: 12/7, 13/7, 15/7, mainly in Marciac. Highlight of day was submitting ANPA paper as given in August 2022 at Liverpool University. Will be giving an enhanced version to the Whitehead conference at Munich in late July 2023 and more on the feelings and emotion at the next ANPA in August 2023.

Logic and Emotion: Whitehead's Category of the Ultimate

Nick Rossiter, Michael Heather

Computer and Information Sciences

Northumbria University, Newcastle NE1 8ST, UK. pdf file for submission 34pp (given at ANPA 2022, submitted 2023)

This was Mike’s major interest: think he would have found some closure in this. Had really long sleep last night, not up to noon but feeling wider awake now! Going to bed early to feel fresh in morning. Funds -2k wtd, noticed that all weeks start with a small sell-off. Hope someone’s relaxing after the tremendous event: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 30th: maximum 6C, minimum 3C, mainly cloudy, fresh W breeze, dry. After hearty breakfast in hotel, son away after a trip to Laing Gallery for Welwyn. Very good to see him again: he’s so knowledgable on more modern composers. I came home, feeling both exhilarated by all the music and drained by the incident. Had calls while on train from Freeman to arrange full examination on Wednesday and my Sele Practice in Hexham to check if anything needed and to see me on 9/2. Collected medicine Tamsulosin, an alpha blocker, from Boots in Hexham and started treatment; the RVI issued me a prescription for it. NHS seems all joined up! Out to G4g4s to meet R/A for good chat. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 29th: maximum 5C, minimum 3C, mainly cloudy, fresh W breeze, dry. After the night of pain, made HoN4m4l at 13:15 with son/M, roast beef was on the menu, some restoration. Then the 3 of us went to QH at 15:00 to see Bradley Creswick and Margaret Fingerhut in concert; was almost full, great to see such support in HEX; they played a Beethoven sonata, no. 8, a Dvorák romance, some Roumanian Dances by Bartók and Elgar’s violin sonata in E minor. Loved the Roumanian Dances and the Beethoven and Elgar sonatas were played in good style. BC played his customary wild encore! Then into NCL by train, to check into Leonardo in Scotswood Road, get Uber up to Uni in Kings Hall (close to where had been earlier in day at RVI!) and attend closing night of the Festival. We had 3 soloists (AR/GR/DG) working hard to great effect: playing in the main concert a violin sonata and a piano trio by Henriette Bosmans and a cello sonata by Fania Chapiro. Thought the HB pieces were passionate and lilting, rather like Poulenc perhaps. The Chapiro piece was very dynamic with lots of stirring passages. The Festival closed with its 2023 Special Commission: Prach Boondiskulchok’s PIANO TRIO II: Songs Without Words; this was quite different from the preceding in style of Buddhist/Thai but had the common theme of silencing voices of dissent. This was quite a hit with the large audience; a lot of people said how much they enjoyed this atmospheric piece. Really appreciated the refreshments and the programme notes by sis. Very pleased with social afterwards, managed to keep awake with the stimulation of it all!! Back with son to hotel by Metro, long sleep ahead! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 28th: maximum 6C, minimum 2C, mainly cloudy, moderate but gusty W breeze, dry. Had 2 Oystercatcher over Hexham Station at 23:30: more signs we’re into late winter. What a great idea it was to have a jazz event added to the Festival programme. Such a good attendance and atmosphere with trad jazz as would have been played by the Ghetto Swingers in the Theresienstadt concentration camp. This was the main theme, including numbers by Duke Ellington and Gershwin. Particularly liked JH on trombone and EF on violin. Even had a spot of dancing!! Everyone enjoyed it! We travelled by train in and out and took the easy walk to the Globe in Railway Street, a great location. Not so good later 28/1-29/1 night. Suffering from Acute UR (not heart, lungs), getting steadily worse through the night, in great pain and not able to sleep. Eventually at 05:15 had another close read of NHS 111 and accepted this was a condition that needed emergency treatment as it was life-threatening. Booked in for RVI A&E at 06:30, drove in from Hexham, arrived 06:30 at triage, nurse confirmed diagnosis at 06:40, treatment and massive relief at 06:50, saw 4 nurses and 2 doctors overall, discharged at 11:00 and drove home. Can certainly say that staff at RVI were very competent and warm. Decided to continue with the 2 concerts already planned for the Sunday 29/1. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!.

January 27th: maximum 4C, minimum 2C, mainly cloudy, light W breeze. A busy day!! Made S4m4t with the Sh very kindly inviting some pp and friends to dinner there in the B. Company was gr8 if a little delicate!! Concert afterwards was very poignant, being in remembrance of Lars Vogt our recent director: Mozart and Dvorák: Remembering Lars Vogt. Both elegant composers with music perfectly aligned for RNS with DS conducting well and everyone a bit emotional. Mozart’s Fugue in C minor was a stirring piece, with some typical follow-me playing. Dvorák’s Serenade for Strings was quite smooth and lilting, very fitting for the occasion. Imogen Cooper was the pianist in Mozart 23; she also gave a moving address on LV, including his resilience to the end in June, playing when he looked quite ill, reminiscent of his performance at the Sage in May of Beethoven’s ultra-difficult Hammerklavier sonata. She played this popular PC of Mozart with grace in mv 1-2 and energy in mv 3. Finally we had Dvorák’s Czech Suite, another piece with many elegant melodies and a final flourish, appropriate for the evening. Stayed for a drink with son, who also enjoyed the concert. It was so busy, the S does well at this end of the evening. Came back to HEX on last train, surprised to find main street cordoned off: there was a murder earlier in Priestpopple of a 15-year girl: horrific. Funds +6k on week after 2k withdrawal with house builders and tech doing well. ANPA 2022 paper is completed, except for 3 quotes on Categories of Existence: will they add to the paper? Great relief!! Today it’s jazz at the NCL G, not HEX one. Keeping pressure up, going to a BC/MF concert at QH in HEX on Sunday afternoon and closing concert at KH, NCL, in evening, staying overnight with son departing at lunchtime Monday back to WEL. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 26th: maximum 5C, minimum 2C, sunny intervals, light NW breeze. Son arrived, made FitzG4c4t, MP4m4t and then out to Festival drama in darkest GHD via Uber! The performance centred on the works of Erich Korngold, conjuring up some beautiful images. The actors and musicians gelled well; overall feelings portrayed were the tensions between Korngold’s old and new homes (6000 miles apart) and between his musical ideas, bridging both tonal and atonal ideas. The musicians all played well: AR with great feeling, NE with great timing and stamina, TC with appropriate aggression. Loved the closing song from AA/IM (from die tote Stadt, the dead state). Very well directed by RH. So another great evening! Another Uber back to Central Station, VctCmt4g4s, train NCL-HEX where picked up car. 2moro it’s turn of the RNS, with early dinner courtesy of Sh and poignant concert in memory of LV, our former director who sadly died recently. Son is coming but not to our dinner. So looking good. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 25th: maximum 8C, minimum 1C, sunny, light W breeze. Decided to work from home as this late stage of proof reading is better done on the desktop with large screen and powerful processor. Have first ½ of paper (17pp) in final form now, still reading closely the second ½ (also 17-18pp). Processed 16/7 at Juillac, France – intensive study of Black Kite and Black-winged Kite, both fledging, in the heat (40C); up to 76 species now. Next up is 13/7, mainly trip in evening to fetch nephew and partner from Toulouse Airport so an exercise in locating places on the map, then just 12/7, 14/7, 15/7 to do. Back to a little genealogy: adding Agnes Stevens as daughter of John Stevens (1591-1654); next step is to add children of Thomas Roceter of Hill Farrance (mentioned in John Stevens’ will), who took up their father’s occupation of tailor in Taunton in Somerset and Cullompton in Devon. Looking forward to theatre concert tomorrow; should be joined by son, flying back from Istanbul in the morning. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 24th: maximum 8C, minimum 7C, sunny, light W breeze. Late-winter weather encouraged some energetic gardening: cut ½ of rose hedge and ½ of party hedge my side. Finished compiling records for 11/7 in Marciac – quite a heavy day for records. Next up is 16/7, leaving just 4 dates to compile on completing that one. French running total for all of 2022 (Marciac, Chamonix):

75 species from 261 records, 15 complete lists, 21 places

Don’t think I’m going to add many more species from the few days left! This is the one remaining task to complete NB 2022 so getting high priority. Received penultimate notice on ANPA submission. Film at TC – Tár – late nite showing was much deeper and darker than I expected; thought it might be a female conductor triumphing against the odds and indeed she does triumph for a while but she makes far too many enemies of her close associates, including a number of gone awry implicit sexual transactions with young female composers and performers. Well worth watching with Mahler 5 and Elgar’s cello concerto worked on in the story. Finished late at 22:50 but made haste 2 c the gorgeous one: indeed she certainly is: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Got Uber back to base for £17: well worth the time!! Early Moth numbered 1 at Hexham Beaufront, 7 Loughbrow to Letah Wood, 13 at Newbiggin. A rabbit was at Throckley and a Tawny Owl was again calling at Ordley as came back at 00:25 25/1. Feeling sleepy: 2moro it’s QHL/QHC for further work on ANPA, G4g4t and nite in preparing for son’s arrival on Thursday evening. xx

January 23rd: maximum 8C, minimum 6C, cloudy, thaw completed, light W breeze. Caught 10:46 express NCL to HEX, only 31 min! Used BirdTrack app on my android ‘phone to record using GPS a Pied Wagtail near hotel, a LBBG ad at Blaydon, a GBBG ad at Newburn, 60 Canada Goose at Wylam E, 3 Goosander (ad drake, 2 redhead) at Wylam Horsley – all so easy. Then QHL for 40 min followed by R at B4m4l where taking money – all went smoothly. Speaker was from auctioneers A&G, looking at antique items brought in – very interesting, didn’t submit anything myself! Funds recovered last week’s losses today. Off to G now where did meet A/R 4 gr8 chat! P’s in Madeira. Planning 2 c Lydia Tár 2moro!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Another sign of late winter: at 23:30 31 Early Moth on road between Loughbrow and Letah Wood and 4 at Ordley, where also a Mottled Umber. These are the first moths of the year, both species with flightless females.

January 22nd: maximum 4C, minimum 0C, dull, slow thaw, few icy lumps left, light E breeze. What a marvellous concert – surely to go down as a Weinberg classic really pulsating and exciting. Congratulations to everyone involved!! Programme notes were very detailed and useful, compiled by LU who gave a comprehensive introduction to the life and works of Mieczyslaw Weinberg. In the music starting at 19:40 Old Letters cycle made for a sombre opening, dealing with old age and death, KB and KA had the mood right. Sonata for two violins was very vigorous, harsh in parts, played almost competitively by RM/AR: very moving! Aria (opus 9) and Capriccio (opus 11) were performed by string quartet (NK/RM/DZ/LU). These were more mellow and lyrical and gave a good contrast with the Two violins. Jewish Songs was written in 1943, a terrible time for Jews, and was initially published as Children’s Songs to avoid ill-publicity. The songs are sorrowful, performed with great emotion by KB, ably supported by AR/LU and YK. Interval followed! Then we had more distressed singing by KB in Acacias, accompanied by KA. Final piece was extraordinary: Piano Quintet opus 18 with KA starring on piano accompanied by RM/NK/DZ/LU as a string quartet. It did indeed sound at times like a piano concerto accompanied by a string quartet. This was a very meaty item with a long Largo movement 4 which in its slowness and deliberateness contrasted greatly with the other movements. A very expressive piece making a great ending to the concert at 22:08. Difficult to pick a favourite but remember the Two Violins for its excitement, the Jewish Songs for their capture of desperation and the Piano Quintet for grandeur and sheer variations. Refreshments were appreciated: had good chat to NK/DZ!! But above all organiser needs to step forward for her drive and creativeness!! Staying in L, very comfortable, Uber getting me back there in style (£8.68 + 2 tip): no Metro (closed Gosforth to Airport over weekend) or Northern (last train to HEX 20:30) to help tonite. Could be TC on Tuesday. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Did get done some very useful work on ANPA paper in travels and at hotel, doing a complete read-through. Decided there was too much clutter of quote marks and lack of consistency in use of case (consequence of written over a long period) so made a determined effort to standardise notation. There were a few actual errors but not many. By ttime on 23/1 had got a version that’s easier to read. Next stage is to go through in detail checking every formula, every diagram, all cross-references, without formatting distractions. Will have it ready in time for 1 Feb deadline.

January 21st: maximum 3C, minimum -4C, brilliant sunshine, 2cm snow melting and compacting, light E breeze. Hard frost late evening with car showing -4C as approached Ordley. Did some habitat surveying today getting out to Shilford in Tyne Valley W from 12:15 to 14:00, stopping at Lower Shilford lay-by, West Broomley and Riding Mill pumping station. Had 5 Lapwing (signs of spring) and a female/1w male Stonechat at West Broomley, quite a surprise, plus 16 Fieldfare and 2 Common Buzzard at Lower Shilford and West Broomley. Total was 18 bird-types plus some mole. This is site no.28 for Honey Buzzard habitat survey. Had a Tawny Owl calling at Ordley at 23:00: first heard for a while, anticipating spring? Snowdrops first app[eared on edge of my field a week ago (14/1) just before the snow. Is it really going to warm up 2moro; this cold spell has been consistently underestimated by the forecasters. Profit taking this week in all areas of the markets after the bright start to the year, own funds are minus 9k on week; did expect first half of year to be more difficult than second half. In evening made DoW4g4s with D/D 4 good chat with A putting on the style!! Sorted out negative prehensions for the moment; think they’re invalid as they don’t commute but Whitehead’s ideas are a little more complex than this; like the idea of them being inoperative. Looking forward to start of Festival tomorrow. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 20th: maximum 4C, minimum -4C, rather grey all day, 3cm snow melting and compacting, light NW breeze. Hard frost late evening with car showing -3.5C as approached Ordley. Concert was brilliant, the Scottish Fantasy by Bruch was a cheery, lively start with confident Timothy Chooi soloist on the violin and the Bruckner was played really well, none of the blur you sometimes get but a very clear sound and great distinction between the quiet bits and the stirring climaxes. Domingo Hindoyan was the conductor and he confirmed later in the bar that he’s a great admirer of Bruckner, not acknowledging at all that he’s inferior to Mahler. The climaxes in the symphony were played really well, very moving! Good social day having t at S with A/RS and meeting L/M/S/T again. Amazing afterwards – gr8 action – lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Next concert is on Sunday, staying over at L (JI) for comfort!! 2moro it’s DoW4g4s with D/D. xx

January 19th: maximum 2C, minimum 0C, bright morning, then more overcast, 4cm snow melting and compacting, moderate W breeze, wind-chill -4C. Felt really cold today with sun less obvious and stronger breeze. Made T4m4l with M/B – good crack and vegetarian food – nice once a week! Made progress on French July records, indexing piccies for 9/7, 10/7 and 17/7 so 6 days to go now 11/7 to 16/7. Dealt with categorification in ANPA paper in closing section, next up is negative prehension. Did get to G4g4s where met A/P/R for good chat with S on and L looking good!! 2moro evening it’s off to the S 4 concert by Royal Liverpool: will eat in NCL b4 concert and think will go to CAL as car needs an airing!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 18th: maximum 2C, minimum -2C, bright and sunny, 6cm deep snow, light W breeze, wind-chill -7C. Another bitter day but road’s now clear so into W4bigshop (£72), QHL, QHC4s4ll, QHL, G4g4t. Very productive day, completing last paragraph of ANPA paper and now going through some material put to one side to see if there’s a place for it now. Globe was very enjoyable: good to meet mates again but sadly no B, he’s very poorly with no weight on to sustain himself. I've been playing Wagner’s Das Liebesverbot DVD several times now. The production by Teatro Real of Madrid is lively, very colourful and with well-drilled large chorus. It's got some catchy tunes, including the overture, and is very much in the Italian style, bit like Donizetti or Verdi, with the action moved from Vienna in Shakespeare's Measure for Measure, on which it's based, to Palermo. It's in 2 acts and is quite long though not as long as Wagner originally wrote it, when act 1 took 4 hours evidently. I think it's underrated, maybe overshadowed by the later works: I enjoyed it. It is also a genuine comedy, more so than Meistersingers. Conductor, who looked full of fun, was Rafael Khismatulin; Isabella, lead sexy nun, is played well by Manuela Uhl and Friedrich, chief baddy who wants to ban all fun, is played appropriately by Christopher Maltman. The large chorus is directed with great vivacity by Andrés Máspero. Haven't got round to the Fairies and Meyerbeer yet! Fun week approaches, including special dinner for some pp b4 the Lars memorial concert. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Birds today included a Brambling female-type at Ordley, a female Sparrowhawk at Hexham and 30 Fieldfare at Letah Wood, with one at Ordley.

January 17th: maximum 0C, minimum -1C, bright and sunny, 6cm deep, moderate W breeze, wind-chill -7C. Not out today, but planning to resume normal activities tomorrow. Big catchup on records with completion of Stanley Burn Honey Buzzard habitat survey and start on next one Shilford in Tyne Valley W, addition of Stanley Burn records to BirdTrack from 13/1, indexing of piccies for Juillac in France on 9/7, addition of John Stevens PCC will (died 1654) to WikiTree. Main activity of day was ‘attending’ Lawrence’s fine art sale in Crewkerne, Somerset, for 3 hours. Lawrence have been taken over by Auctionet, a Swedish auction company with centres all over Europe. It was high tech with a screen showing the auctioneer live, the current item’s particulars and a bidding panel with simultaneous bidding in the sale room by physical attendees, by telephone, by prior absentee bidding (like Ebay) and by pressing buttons on your screen over the Internet in real time by Auctionet and EasyBid. It was a prestigious Ag sale https://auctionet.com/en/events/474-winter-fine-art-sales-january-2023 with the interesting selling very well and the routine disappointing with some unsold. I was after old spoons and after being outbid on 6 items finally secured through Auctionet a matching pair Charles II trefid spoons for £0.6k. Pleased at that, was very competitive, my first choice was an Exeter trefid spoon Charles II which bid up to £500 pre auction but it went for £1100 (estimate £400 to 500). Humour is an essential feature of auctions: a small Dutch silver casket sold for £7200 against its estimate of £50 to 80. Somebody in the room asked how that could be! The auctioneer, tongue in cheek, said it was a typo – in fact the item must have been thought by the bidders to be 17th century or earlier which the cataloguer had missed: Dutch silver is notorious for misleading pseudo hallmarks so confusion can occur. Foreign silver sold well as it’s now easy to bid from anywhere in the world. Newcastle silver also sold well over the Internet. So interesting experience: like the feeling of being in the room and the easy high tech bidding. The whole computer system worked very well – no glitches. Back to ANPA 2moro in QHL with lunch at QHC and also need to shop at W and maybe G4g4s. Funds are unchanged wtd. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 16th: maximum 0C, minimum -4C, bright and sunny after spell of snow late in night, 8cm deep, light W breeze, whole area paralysed including even Hexham town. Gritting non existent, could see last night that precautionary gritting conspicuously absent. When will they wise up: gritting before the snow makes it safer for everyone and much easier to keep on top of the weather. They cannot blame the forecasters who were spot on with their warnings. So not out today: no R or G but people in Hexham living in the hilly areas as badly affected: what a shambles! Still at least the power stayed on and wrote a couple of critical paragraphs in the ANPA paper on what Whitehead (probably!) meant in his philosophy on feelings. Just one more critical paragraph to go – closing the discussion – and it’s proof reading time so expecting to make early Feb revised deadline. Almost completed tree analysis for Stanley Burn, mapped the different kinds and measured them with Google Earth, but need to work out final percentages for the trees on the spreadsheet. Aiming for next field visit on Wednesday morning. Have concerts on Friday and Sunday but weather improving by then. A certain website is very busy: that’s good!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 15th: maximum 3C, minimum -3C, weak sunny spells, dry, light W, turning cold with -1.5C at Letah Wood as came home and no gritting. It’s done!

From Honey-buzzard home page at http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/index.html:

15th January 2023: Updated Honey-buzzard page with breeding and migration data, core area maintained with usual high productivity, conspicuous migration in mid-September, for SW Northumberland in 2022 (Population of the Honey-buzzard in SW Northumberland).

Quiet day for change, except for G4g4s where 6 of us out like last Sunday and S on with L in attendance!! As above completed Honey-buzzard account for 2022 in study area and also started on remaining Marciac records doing 9/7 (Juillac, many Black Kite plus 3 Honey-buzzard) and 17/7 Toulouse, with piccies still in progress for these days. Think it will be end of the month b4 can call a close on 2022 as still have 10/7-16/7 to do. Do want to record piccies taken rather than rush things. . 2moro it’s R at B4m4l and G4g4s with continued catch-up on records for France 2022. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 14th: maximum 7C, minimum 1C, weak sunny spells, showers, fresh SW, cool by evening. Indeed as go to press with wind strengthening to gale force wind-chill is -6C at 01:00 15/1 with sleet forecast by 04:00. As drove back from DoW at 23:00 there was debris all over the road, much of it ash twigs from diseased trees. Going into a very stormy night but winds rapidly subsiding by dawn. Out to 16:10 sunset now, making 30 minute gain from solstice. Sunrise lags in improvement at 08:25 (+ about 10 minutes). Great achievement today was completing Honey-Buzzard report for 2022 and uploading it to server. Will publish it formally tomorrow after another read through. Will keep the 2022 NB going until complete Out of Area records (mainly Marciac, France, as positive sightings and a few negative reports) and the habitat for Tyne Valley E. Dinner with D/D at DoW was excellent: good chat and gr8 to meet A there again!! Cost was £135 for the 3 of us compared to £140 for the 4 of us at Zyka on Thursday. Think going to post this now b4 there’s a power cut! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 13th: maximum 7C, minimum 4C, sunny spells, showers, moderate SW, cool by evening. Celebration yesterday was in grand style at Zyka where had 3-courses of delicious Indian food, couple rw, with mates R/A/P followed by a couple of g at the G. This followed lunch at Tans with M. This morning had 1-hour chat with N/D on Skype, had to finish early as cleaner S arriving so went off to Stanley Burn to complete fieldwork for habitat for Tyne Valley E (all 8 sites, 27 sites in all). Had vigorous walk from 11:45-14:20 (7km walked) exploring the woods in all directions around the Stanley Burn; have to wear walking boots and all the winter gear as paths are slippery and wind chill is significant. The woods to N on Stanley Burn are owned by the Woodland Trust, not sure about woods to S, but it’s all good riverine habitat, quite unspoiled. By this evening had analysed the main categories of habitat but still to do is the detailed woodland analysis. Son has received autosomal DNA results from Ancestry: main ones 39% England, 18% Sweden and Denmark, 16% Eastern Europe and Russia,11% Germany. As with daughter the German element comes from me (now I know why: Sarah Sharman and co!). Funds had a good week at +25k making ytd +38k gross, +34k net after daughter’s birthday (also a Capricorn!). Commodity prices are firm on China re-opening but this is maybe going to keep inflation elevated, delaying recovery in N America and W Europe. Played around with TV a bit more, extending aerial fully and pointing it upwards, rescanned and now have 126 channels, including Classic FM and some Sky. 2moro is another meal out with D/D at DoW. Will sleep well tonite: like the beauty: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! lok2tgrf!!

January 11th: maximum 6C, minimum 3C, heavy showers, moderate SW, cool by evening. Did make the concert at Corbridge by 17-year old Tina. She was in Crimea up until 2014, when moved to Kyiv, followed by another move in 2022 to first Poland and finally Corbridge, where her mother and family are currently living, including her sister Sasha aged 11 who is also very talented at music. Corbridge and Hexham have taken in quite a few Ukrainian families evidently. Church was packed with no admission charge, just donations, half for relief in Ukraine, the other half for Tina’s expenses at Royal Northern College of Music in Manchester, including her (unenvious!) weekly travel there. Today was a warm-up for performances in Dresden, Poland and America. She played beautifully 4 Chopin Ballade before the interval, followed by Rachmaninov's Piano Sonata No.1, typically dark and intricate, sounded fiendishly difficult but managed brilliantly. Donated £20 note plus £5 for rw in interval, where met a few fellow Rotarians. Escaped quickly to Black Bull in C where had another rw, before coming home. Was a good evening! Earlier made QHL from 13:30-17:00 where concentrated on eternal object diagrams in the paper, converting them to topos with a couple of extra arrows each and changing the name of one symbol; also looked carefully at what Whitehead means by emotion. Had good lunch of tuna sandwiches and salad at QHC. 2moro it’s Zyka in Hexham, an Indian restaurant, for supper with mates from G to celebrate the occasion; also having a regular chatty lunch with M at Tans, a vegetarian cafe. So Capricornians rule OK: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 10th: maximum 11C, minimum 5C, rain all day, heavy at times, fresh SW, milder. Completed processing habitat survey for Whittle Burn, no.27 in all and 7/8 for Tyne Valley E, Stanley Burn up soon to complete the set and also complete 3 areas: Devil’s Water, Allen, Tyne Valley E, with 3 sites done in Tyne Valley W, which is next area to complete. Did do W4bigshop, just £46 this week as going out for meals and well-stocked with food anyway. It was very quiet at W: grotty weather a factor, but gather it’s struggling with Lidl, Aldi and Tesco all close-by. Decided not to go to antiques fair at Wentworth – concentrating on special items, not found there. 2moro it’s back to ANPA 2022 in QHL with QHC4s4ll and G4t4rw b4 concert in evening at St Andrews, Corbridge, where young Ukrainian pianist Khrystyna Mykhailichenko plays Rachmaninov and Chopin in aid of Ukraine charities. Funds +1k wtd: cautious optimism is my feeling!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

A very interesting, but not unexpected, turn in my family research into my paternal grandmother's side. Bertha Friend, my paternal grandmother, has mother Sarah Dixon, who must be largely German to explain the DNA of myself and my father (derived from mine) as well as a 2nd cousin descended from Vera Friend, who was assigned 27% Ashkenazi DNA. Got Sarah Dixon's birth certificate today for 17 Feb 1842. She was born in Brampton, Huntingdon, Cambridgeshire, with father Charles Dixon and mother Sarah Dixon, maiden name Sharman (anglicisation of Sherman). Sherman is an Ashkenazi name, based on Schuermann in Germany, with occupational overtones in Yiddish as tailor 'scissors man'. Sarah Dixon's marriage around 1860 is very unusually absent from civil registration, suggesting she was married unconventionally, maybe even in a synagogue. No evidence yet for Charles Dixon's ethnicity. Will find out a bit more about Sarah Dixon’s life in London c1860 through census and maybe other records.

January 9th: maximum 5C, minimum 4C, weak sunshine, few light showers, moderate SW, cool. Made R @ B4m4l, very good lunch, talk was on supplying sanitary pads for poor families in tropical Africa! Had walk around Sele, not seeing much b4 coming home. Added Thomas Roceter’s (that's how they used to spell my name) Chancery case 1633 vs his mother-in-law Etheldred Keene to WikiTree; quite a lot of genealogical information including the fact that Thomas and Charity have diverse children but he doesn’t name them! Daughter’s birthday honoured with another 4k payment plus a giant card, champagne and chocolates. Out again to G4g4s with R/P/A and L in attendance!! Thursday to Saturday sees my birthday celebrations with 3 meals and a bar!! 2moro promises to be a washout so expect to get more work done in all respects. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 8th: maximum 6C, minimum 2C, cloudy, frequent showers, moderate SW, cooler. Had excellent walk in Whittle Dene surveying habitat for Honey-buzzard. Walked 11k steps in very muddy conditions through the Woodland Trust property, that’s 8km, and feeling much fitter afterwards. On 2/1 the day-came-back walked 13k steps around Richmond Park and at the Airports! Today’s walk from 12:35-15:20 took me from Prudhoe Station, over the bridge at the Tyne, through Ovingham up Whittle Burn, first to the NE then centrally up towards the A69. After returning to Station, drove along A69 to look at the habitat on the far N side. Had single Common Buzzard at Whittle Burn and Newton and single Kestrel at Styford E and Whittle Burn. Made Sh4c4t b4 going home and listening again to the lively Liebesverbot, think it’s rather like Verdi, will comment more soon. The production is by Teatro Madrid, the Spanish are keen on Wagner with son and I seeing Tristan und Isolde in Barcelona a while ago. Finally out to G4g4s where 6 of us out – very good : D/B/R/A/P and me with the lively A on!! Added my great-grandmother Sarah Friend’s will and probate grant (1928-1929) to WikiTree: she’s the interesting one from the DNA perspective, waiting for her birth certificate from 1842. Like the leaflet! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 7th: maximum 10C, minimum 5C, sunny morning after heavy rain, moderate SW, very mild. Caught up on 2022 bird records, adding those from London trip up to 31/12 to BirdTrack. Still have backlog from long trip to France at Marciac in July. Concentrated on Honey-buzzard habitat analysis today, completing Ryton Willows as site no.26 to be done; next up is Whittle Burn, also in Tyne Valley E. The habitat analysis gets me out in the field for exercise so regard it as important for fitness. Did watch on DVD Wagner’s Liebesverbot (forbidden love) in 2 acts. It’s a genuine comedy based on Shakespeare’s Measure for Measure and is quite Italian in style, set in Palermo. Basically the people want to have fun and a hypocritical ruler stops them. The plot is how to expose the ruler as an out and out hypocrite, which they succeed in doing at the end with masks and a temptress! Still working a bit on home, sawing off most of the very bottom of a guttering downpipe to get at the decomposing leaves, that are blocking it. TV continues to work well – it used to go off if a cloud came over! Made DoW4g4s with D/D and gr8 chat: it was very quiet – we’re having a meal there next week. Fancy a temptress myself: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 6th: maximum 9C, minimum 6C, sunny morning, fresh SW, heavy rain overnight, very mild. Working hard on Honey-buzzard report for 2022, compiling weather reports and the table 46 below, plus some commentary. So another piece of the 2022 jigsaw puzzle for Honey-buzzard: Table 46 shows the migration picture for Honey-buzzard in 2022:


Date

Time

Locality

Age/Sex

Count

Direction

Movement

'May 5

14:13


Stocksfield E (NZ06 Q)

Adult female

1

1 SW (then probably W)


maximum 14C, minimum 10C, light W breeze, some brief sunny spells and feeling humid, mild.. At 14:13 a female Honey-buzzard was spotted over the Stocksfield E ridge, moving SW, but probably aiming to eventually move W

'May 18

14:46


Swallowship (NY95 U)

Adult female

1

1 intruder


maximum 14C, minimum 8C, fresh W breeze, bright start, then mainly cloudy with one heavy shower.. Had 3 Honey-buzzard up for 10 secs at 14:46 over the ridge to W, very close together, in some contention, in the fresh breeze. Looked like 2 female and a male so maybe one female is a migrant, stalled on migration by the fresh winds, and is engaging with the resident pair. Honey-buzzard are not yet very visible this spring; they are spending most of their time feeding below the canopy rather than displaying.

'Sept 9

15:40


Shilford (NZ06 F)

Adult female

1

1 E

maximum 15C, minimum 13C, light NE, very gloomy day, heavy rain in bursts, no sun. A Honey-buzzard female soaring low-down over Shilford at 15:35 and moving smartly to E at low altitude and disappearing to view at 15:45

'Sept 9

15:50:00

Eltringham (NZ06 R)

Adult female

1

1 E

maximum 15C, minimum 13C, light NE, very gloomy day, heavy rain in bursts, no sun. 3 Honey-buzzard, a family group of female and 2 juvenile, up at Eltringham at 15:50, some display together but female then climbed high and disappeared E.

'Sept 11

11:52


March Burn (NY95 Z)

Adult female


1

1 S

maximum 19C, minimum 15C, light S becoming moderate, much brighter day, dry until 17:00 when light rain arrived on time. Main aim was Honey-buzzard where had a female up at 11:36 checking the area, joined up in the air by 2 juvenile at 11:49; she emigrated at 11:52, soaring higher and higher into the sky and moving S.

'Sept 13

12:39


Hexham (NY96 H)

Adult female

1

1 E

maximum 17C, minimum 10C, light NW, sunny all day, Did have a Honey-buzzard female soaring at 12:39 and moving off far to E (emigrating)

'Oct 7

18:00:00

Ordley (NY95 P)

Juvenile

1

rest

maximum 13C, minimum 7C, fresh SW, heavy rain in morning, sunny with heavy showers in afternoon. Went for local walk from 17:30-18:45 and bumped into a juvenile dark-phase Honey-buzzard (12120), which was floating around quite rapidly over the fields to NW of my house at Ordley

'Oct 8

14:34-14:49


Bywell (NZ06 L)

Juvenile 2

2

2 rest


maximum 12C, minimum 8C, moderate W, dry, sunny spells, clear by evening, felt warmer today. Had good field trip to Stocksfield Mount from 13:20-15:30, finding 2 Honey-buzzard juvenile, 1 over Eltringham at 14:34 (12121), other over Bywell Short Wood, heavily mobbed by Rook at 14:49 (12122)

Summary/

Comments:

 

 

 

 

 

 

May: 2

September: 4

October: 3




11-12: 1

12-13: 1

14-15: 1

15-16: 2

resting: 3

intruder: 1

Devil's Water: 2

Tyne Valley W: 7


Adult male: 0

Adult female: 6

Juvenile: 3

9


 

IN: 1 SW, 1 intruder

OUT: 1 S, 3 E, 3 resting

Coverage was good this year in spring but was poor in late summer and autumn through absences except for the first half of September..

The times may reflect observer activity as much as anything else. The times at which resting birds and intruders have been noted are not included in the analysis.

The most popular route noted this year was via Tyne Valley W in particular and the Devils' Water (together the core area) where much of the fieldwork was concentrated.

No males were observed in spring. The main emigration period for males is the second half of August when absent. My presence in the first part of September, the peak period for emigration of females, did reveal 4 emigrating females from 9/9 to 13/9 when big movement on BirdGuides. Coverage was weak in the main juvenile emigration period.

The total this year was below that of recent years except for 2019.

The predominant direction was E/S in autumn on a small sample.

Numbers on BirdGuides were exceptionally high this year suggesting that my relatively low totals are through observer absences rather than actual low numbers. On BirdGuides the annual total was 380 with spring total of 158 and autumn total of 222, about double recent totals. In June 87 were seen, indicating a late arrival. In September 136 were noted, suggesting a successful breeding season with 77 in 6 days from 9th-14th when NR recorded 4 females emigrating from the study area. These birds were recorded at S/SE England 28, Yorkshire 18, SW England 12, Midlands 6, NW England 4, Scotland 3, Channel Islands 3, East Anglia 2, Wales 1 (probably Irish bird at Pembroke). This is a typical pattern for British birds emigrating, moving S, with a slight E bias, from their breeding areas.

Table 46: Visible Migration Movements noted for Honey-buzzard in SW Northumberland in 2022


Chatted to N/D on Skype for 90 min; good to resume our meetings. 2moro evening it’s D/D at DoW. Yesterday was M at T4m4l and G4g4s with R/P/A. Some mates have been plagued with bad coughs and chest congestion for 2 weeks over the holiday period. Pleased I shook off that bug quickly on 27/12 – put down recovery to the amazing deep sleep I had at son’s place. Finally fixed my digital TV problems (I think!). Fitted a new indoor aerial (digital Freeview) with long cable so can put it at some height; it has an amplifier through USB off a slot on the TV and seems really good at picking up clean TV and radio signals. Saves replacing the old aerial on the roof, which is 38 years old and failing. Also fitted a 10m Ethernet cable to connect the BB Router directly to the smart TV; this is to improve the data (streaming) connection. Cost of both was £29 from Amazon with delivery 2 days after ordering. Giving talk to Hexham Rotary on “Lies, Damned Lies and Modelling” on 20/3 – should be lively! Funds have had an erratic week with some bear raids on 2 of my stocks on Tuesday. But Friday was a good day and funds finished week +16k with sentiment improving in commodity stocks as China reopens slowly and in housebuilders where house-price falls look to have been exaggerated. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!



January 4th: maximum 9C, minimum 6C, weak sunshine in morning, fresh W, heavy rain afternoon and evening, very mild. Sunset out to 15:56, moving later steadily now at 1 min a day. Pressed on with ANPA 2022 today, doing two more diagrams and a lot of polishing, a pleasing day in terms of progress, can now see the end (just as well with 1st Feb new deadline!), worked in QHL from 13:30-17:00 with a 45-min break for lunch in QHC, where pleased 2 c me again. Skipped G as another large party in progress; will connect with mates 2moro at lunch and in evening. Done quite a lot on Somerset ancestors 1550-1650 in last 2 weeks: they were very litigious minor gentry (fortunately for surviving records!). Think can spend some time on on Honey-buzzard tomorrow with closure near on ANPA. Delighted to hear from someone!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 3rd: maximum 8C, minimum 7C, weak sunshine, moderate S, very mild. House still warming up, almost there! Funds outperformed last year, rising 515k gross (+29.2% ) and 468k net (after withdrawals). This compares to ftse 100 (+0.9%), ftse 250 (-19.7%), dow (-8.8%), nasdaq tech (-33.1%), bitcoin (-64.1%). Tech, bitcoin and UK domestic did particularly badly and energy and mining shares relatively well. I’m not expecting 2023 to be smooth-going: an erratic and bumpy start to China’s reopening; inflation slow to decline with pressure both from shortages of natural resources and wage demands; interest rates plateau at a high level in relation to recent years; black swan events with Ukraine, Taiwan or whatever are always possible. But do think H2 will be better than H1 with brighter prospects for 2024. Anyway -2k wtd to start the New Year in the wrong direction. Daughter and son-in-law think I should buy a pied-à-terre on Quayside for cash to make travel easier: will seriously think about it, particularly in the light of current chaos on the trains but can buy a lot of hotel stays instead!. Rather fancy though a flat with views over the Tyne and some even have parking places! Will start a watching brief. Back to work 2moro on Honey-buzzard and ANPA. Booked seat for son at Vogt memorial concert. Played Mahler 5 today – stirring and romantic: like someone!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Journey back yesterday on BA at 19:55 LHR-NCL went well; daughter had given me a quartz crystal light which she assured me the security people would want to see and she was right! Solid frost on cars at NCL; did make G for quickie on way back. Daughter drove me to LHR; quite sad farewell with whole family as last time I’ll be seeing them before their Dubai adventure begins. Today (3/1) had a bonus: flight that had booked from EXT-NCL was cancelled so applied for refund!

January 2nd: had walk around Richmond Park W on own from 13:25-14:45, getting 18 bird-types including 46 Ring-necked Parakeet, 11 Collared Dove (some displaying), 4 Redwing, 3 Lesser Redpoll, 1 Green Woodpecker, 18 House Sparrow, 14 Starling.

January 1st 2023: maximum 12C, minimum 7C, dry morning, rain later, light SW, very mild. HAPPY NEW YEAR!!

Keeping up the walks with long one round Richmond Park yesterday and another around Kingston today. Feeding well with roast lamb last nite and roast vegetables at local pub this lunchtime. Whole family played 4-hour Monopoly this afternoon, intense and cut-throat, granddaughters taking part in the right spirit – won by daughter, teaming up in end with younger gd, plenty of anguish, competitiveness and spirit!

Another piece of the 2022 jigsaw puzzle for Honey-buzzard: table 45 gives a breakdown of the numbers of males, females and juveniles in each part of the season.


Area

No. sites in season

No. adults in season

Display 24/4-15/6

Rearing 25/6-16/8

Fledging 28/8-15/9

Gangs of juveniles post-breeding






Male

Female

Total

Male

Female

Male

Female

Juvenile

Male

Female

Juvenile


Devil’s Water

6

6

4

10

5

4

2

0

0

2

0

9

0

Allen

4

3

2

5

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Upper South Tyne

1

1

0

1

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Lower South Tyne

2

2

1

3

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Tipalt

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Tyne W

8

5

6

11

4

4

2

1

0

2

4

12

0

Tyne E

2

2

1

3

2

0

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

Derwent

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total

23

19

14

33

15

11

7

2

0

4

4

21

0

Table 45: Number of Male, Female and Juvenile Honey-buzzard found in each phase of breeding season in 2022


So getting there slowly; will do migrant table next, then weather and further commentary. A proper NE welcome 2moro weather-wise! Looking forward to return and particularly later in the month: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!


December 31st 2022: had quick walk around Latchmere walking back from pub where had roast beef lunch. Added 2 types to Richmond Park area list with 2 flirty Great Spotted Woodpecker and 2 calling Bullfinch. Also had 2 Fox, 4 Grey Squirrel and 7 Red Deer, the last from Isabella’s bedroom.


December 30th: maximum 13C, minimum 10C, rain all day, fresh SW, very mild. Worked out absences for 2022 Honey-buzzard season as below. Shows good coverage in display part, very poor in rearing phase and patchy in fledging phase. This helps to explain the very limited observations in the middle of the breeding season and the time-pressured nature in measuring the breeding success. Of course this is for Northumberland but there were benefits from further sightings in France, including some at altitude, plus early-season sightings in Crete. A further aggravation was damage (from collision with Roe Deer) to the car which did restrict my mobility from late July to late September. This will all go in the report.

4/4-18/4 Crete; 19/6-24/6 Budapest; 3/7-20/7 Marciac, France; 9/8-12/8 Liverpool; 16/8-28/8 Chamonix, France; 24/9-29/9 London, Leeds; 20/10-27/10 Devon

Plans for this trip were thrown into disarray by little sis and her hubby continuing very poorly with coughs so staying 2 days more with daughter and flying back LHR-NCL a day earlier instead of EXT-NCL. Was at big sis’ yesterday in Ealing: all went well including walk at Osterley. Had very good day today, including slap-up Italian meal at Pepe in K. Planning a major safari with daughter’s family and son next December, probably to Kenya. Also spending 2 weeks in Georgia with son in September (music festival/ raptor watching: perfection!!). Funds +1k by end of week: end-year report soon. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 29th: maximum 12C, minimum 8C, moderate SW, sunny afternoon, very mild. On 65 bus to Ealing to meet big sis for reunion. All went well, including walk at Osterley where had 22 Egyptian Goose, 4 Ring-necked Parakeet, 38 Mallard, 8 Tufted Duck, 4 Coot, 1 Moorhen, 1 Grey Heron, 5 Redwing. Total was 17 bird-types plus a Grey Squirrel.

December 28th: maximum 11C, minimum 7C, rain all day, moderate SW, very mild. Starting on Honey-buzzard results now with 2 more tables and commentary to follow. Feeling brighter today, looked after younger gd while older one went horse-riding; we got on very well! Went for walk with daughter at ttime, chatting about move to Dubai – exciting in many ways, but a lot of red tape and a few uncertainness still. 2moro going 2 c big sis in Ealing (by bus).

The overall results for the 2022 Honey-buzzard breeding season are given in Table 44. This year the survey was very much restricted to the core area of Devil’s Water and Tyne Valley W.




Area

No. sites

No. adults

No. nests

found

Observed Occupied (no. sites)

Breeding Category (no. sites)

Number young fledged

Display

Sit/

Rear

Fledge


Conf

Prob

Poss

Devil’s Water

6

10

0

6

2

6


6

0

0

9 (3x2, 3x1+)

Allen

4

7

0

3

1

0


0

1

3

0

Upper South Tyne

1

1

0

0

1

0


0

0

1

0

Lower South Tyne

2

3

0

2

0

0


0

1

1

0

Tipalt

0

0

0

0

0

0


0

0

0

0

Tyne W

8

11

0

7

2

8


8

0

0

13 (5x2 ,2x1+, 1x>0)

Tyne E

2

3

0

2

1

1


1

1

0

1 (1x>0)

Derwent

0

0

0

0

0

0


0

0

0

0

Total

23

35

0

20

7

15


15

3

5

23 (8x,2 5x1+, 2x>0)

Table 44: Results for the Honey-buzzard Breeding Season in SW Northumberland by area in 2022


Funds are +4k wtd; should have emphasised last week that the +16k at end of week was a net movement after paying out the 16k dividends to the family. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 27th: maximum 10C, minimum 5C, sunny all day. Made Kingston with varied transport: Uber from Welwyn to Welwyn Garden City, WGC to Finsbury Park by train, FP to Richmond by tube, R to Kingston by bus, over 2 hours door to door. Picked up some bug, barking cough and sleeping sickness but no temperature: slept 13 hours last night, 6 hours 30 min deep sleep, 1 hour 30 min REM; feeling a lot better. Son and I went for a long walk yesterday of 7 km, may have resulted unexpectedly in long sleep. Granddaughters very pleased to see me Had good time at son’s. Seeing him soon in North-east for Festival. Daughter and family go to Dubai end-March. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 26th: continued to record Red Kite: 3 at Welwyn S and 2 at Sherrrardspark Wood where also had a Common Buzzard. Moderate walk set me up for long sleep so very good.

December 25th: maximum 10C, minimum 4C, light SW, cloudy, few light showers. We had family reunion in White Horse, Welwyn, which went very well. Here’s piccie of yours truly with 2 granddaughters. Had Xmas dinner no.5 – is this the last? Had soup, turkey and tart with couple of rw and a welcoming ps! Did give out 16k as planned: well received! Son gave me 3 operas: Die fern and Das Liebesverbot by Wagner, early operas, and Meyerbeer’s Robert le Diadle, all well worth close study. After a walk to ponds, we all came back to son’s place after the lunch for present swapping and a cup of tea: what a contrast to last year! Had 3 Red Kite, 2 over Node Way Gardens and 1 calling from North Welwyn on walk at 15:00. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 24th: maximum 10C, minimum 5C, light SW, very sunny morning, cloudier later, few showers. Up very early for me at 07:00, drove to NCL Airport, dropped off car, Metro to NCL Central, Lumo NCL-SVG £38 in 2 hours 15 min (last train of day to London from NE/Scotland, very comfortable, once kicked someone out of my reserved seat!), taxi SVG-Welwyn £18. Tidied up diagrams and their descriptions for ANPA paper on way down. Had a Red Kite over A1(M) ½ way between Stevenage and Welwyn. Settled in well, went for a quick drink at R&C in evening, packed, very lively. Walked 7.5 km today. Son has sent off his saliva sample for autosomal DNA analysis by Ancestry; should be interesting to see whether he inherits more German strands from my late wife than my daughter (children do not necessarily inherit 50:50 from their parents). Tomorrow is big day! To the gorgeous one: have a gr8 day: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 23rd: maximum 5C, minimum 3C, light E, murky, steady, heavy rain late afternoon and evening! Gave out lots of bird foods in garden: had 16 bird-types around feeding area, including 1 Nuthatch, 12 Blue Tit, 4 Coal Tit, 2 Great Tit, 3 Tree Sparrow, 3 Blackbird. Had gr8 last drink of season with D/D at DoW4g4s: pleased to meet A there again: celebrating my birthday with meal there soon. Think travel arrangements resemble those for an African tour so not inexperienced in such uncertainties, though an African, once your friend, will stick by you, unlike our transport companies! To bed early by 24:00! Funds are +16k on week after some end of year write-downs. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 22nd: maximum 6C, minimum 5C, light W, dry, mainly cloudy. 08:32 sunrise (no change), 15:42 sunset (1 minute gain); we’re on our way back! Did visit Newburn Riverside Park from 13:30-15:10 for habitat survey on the square, including the Honey-buzzard nest site at .Ryton Willows, making this site no.6 to be done in Tyne Valley E. Analysis will take a little while with Google Earth. Did a bird count of course seeing 53 Pink-footed Goose (feeding on winter wheat) with 5 Greylag Goose, 5 Mute Swan (2 adult, 3 1w, flying low-down upstream), 1 Cormorant adult, in total of 19 types. Large numbers of Corvids: 35 Crow, 28 Jackdaw, 8 Magpie. For mammals had 10 estimated moles. Still thinking hard on ANPA paper and changed limit and colimit labelling in a number of diagrams. Switched contingency ticket with LNER from tomorrow until 13/2 (first class for a little extra) when go down to see Tannhäuser. Lumo had better run now! Made G4g4s with P/A/R for good final chat b4 break; L was showing off!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 21st: maximum 6C, minimum 3C, fresh SW, showery, a little cooler feel in the wind. 08:32 sunrise (1 minute lost), 15:41 sunset (1 minute lost, small rounding change perhaps). Solstice today: let’s celebrate: every day for the next 6 months is longer than the one before! Booked car parking at Newcastle Airport for break £76 and now just pray! Restored Holiday Extras (NCL park) and Loganair apps on my phone and displayed tickets. Have been through the spreadsheet of Honey-buzzard records: found 1 not added to BirdTrack and a couple of minor discrepancies with the web site and another spreadsheet on which I compile running totals but nothing serious. All rectified and can start producing final tables tomorrow. Might go to Newburn/Ryton tomorrow for Honey-buzzard habitat survey. Made QHC4s4l and QHL for some work on the paper; had an idea to improve the main topos diagram, by simplifying it with a canonical (archetypal) example; hoping to get some work done on my train journeys and while waiting around! Didn’t make G4g4t as B not out (scan) and felt I’d take a breather! Sent feedback form from KH: complimented them on last concert! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 20th: maximum 8C, minimum 4C, moderate SW, showery, a little cooler after yesterday’s heatwave! 08:31 sunrise (2 minutes lost), 15:42 sunset (1 minute gained). Solstice tomorrow, roughly coinciding (logically) with start of Hanukkah!! Completed habitat analysis for Eltringham Honey-buzzard, that’s site no.3 done for Tyne Valley W. Next up is Ryton Willows in Tyne Valley E, going to do it from Newburn on other side of the Tyne: the lowest in altitude and most urban site done to date. This will be site no.6 for the E area. Hope to get on with Honey-buzzard 2022 season results tomorrow morning and ANPA 2022 in QHL in afternoon after lunch there. Funds are in revival mood: +24k wtd, on bounce in commodity stocks. Becoming convinced that 2023 will be like 2022: good for commodity prices/mining & energy stocks and bad for tech and house builders as inflation proves stubborn with China reopening and interest rates stay relatively high. Of course the losing categories are already well down so not necessarily going to fall a lot further but may be stuck in a rut for a while. Have reduced tech holdings considerably in last 2 weeks, anticipating a further slide or stagnation. As Net Zero continues, we might have this trend for years! Am raising dividend for kids in 2022 to 4k each child and grandchild (from 3k in 2021): Xmas presents 16k! Went shopping today: bought bird seed and nuts £10, 2 presents for grandchildren £20, 16 1st class stamps £15. Have just about finished sending Xmas cards. Also took delivery of 250 kilos of ovoids £140 and 100 kilos of small doubles coal £68 from my coal merchants J&JC. Booked a contingency rail fare with LNER for Friday afternoon – can push this back to mid-February when down in London again if necessary. Still have Lumo ticket for Saturday! Continued with Mahler’s symphonies tonight, playing 3,4 (so listened to 1-4 +8 now). The last movement of 4 is beautiful: Das himmlische Leben: soprano singing about a child’s imagination of what heaven is like. Tempted to wish: but maybe best not to: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 19th: maximum 13C, minimum 4C, fresh SW, showery, so much milder. Didn’t make the shopping but did write 12 XMAS cards and post them. Xmas meal for R at B was good, turkey followed by tart, sat next to PJ and wife and NW and wife for sociable meal. Later made G4g4s where could see L again! Present were R/A/P for gr8 chat with A on. LNER have cancelled nearly all their trains for 24/12 so on Lumo now; think LNER should be censored for giving up so easily when strike starts at 18:00 that day. Had a joke at R from speaker, a rector: scene Bethlehem, a manger, a crying child; nothing to do with me says the innkeeper; nothing to do with me either, says Joseph! No meals 2moro so expecting to progress a few issues. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 18th: maximum 0C, minimum -1C, light E, dry, raw, classical day for emerging from a cold spell – feels colder with lack of sun than in the freezing patch. Evening passed with smooth thaw and up to 4C by now (01:35 19/12) with rain and no ice, mist or fog as forecast earlier. We gained a minute in the evening today, sunset 15:41, but still losing slightly more time in the morning (sunrise 08:29): still almost at shortest day (21/12 in 2022, winter solstice). From Honey-buzzard home page at http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/index.html:

18/12/22: Red Kite season summary: 40 sites occupied but only 16 juveniles known to fledge, a disappointing season productivity-wise. See http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/northumberlandrk.html for further details.

18th December 2022: Updated Red Kite page with disappointing productivity results for SW Northumberland in 2022 (Population of the Red Kite in SW Northumberland). In overall results on Red Kite page: Coverage was variable from 2019-2022, always less than prior to 2018, and results fluctuated between 37 and 61 sites occupied. The only concern was poor apparent productivity in 2022 when just 16 juveniles were seen.

So now on to Honey-buzzard: have downloaded all records world-wide for 2022 into a spreadsheet from BirdTrack: 66 of them, 3 from Crete, 3 from Marciac (incomplete, not finished adding all July data from France), 3 from Chamonix, 57 from England (all Northumberland). So will start processing them tomorrow and give a higher priority to those late Marciac records. Reflections on Messiah last nite: really good production from VE but of course she has sung in the chorus so well qualified with the genre. Not sorry to not be there although I enjoyed the stream. I do prefer the dark side of music and indeed in the concert at KH, liked the carol In the Bleak Midwinter, one of my favourites. Made W4smallshop £20 and Sh4c4ll. Much later made G4g4s with R/P and S on, where some pretty merry lads, been there since World Cup final started at 15:00; good to meet L again. Would have preferred France to win but pleased for Messi and some of his Argentina mates. Laughed at this phallic symbol in the awards https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-cup/2022/12/18/emiliano-martinez-shocks-lewd-gesture-argentinas-world-cup-win/. Brought back memories of the romantic Piazzolla!! 2moro is some Xmas shopping, card writing, 4th Xmas meal with R @ B4m4s followed of course by G4g4s. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 17th: maximum 3C, minimum -2C, moderate SW, dry, mainly overcast, raw. Here are the Red Kite results for 2022, a disappointing year in productivity. Still waiting for the FoRKers. Next up is Honey-Buzzard. More details of the Red Kite breeding season for 2022 are available in Table 16:



Area

No. sites

No. adults

Breeding Category

No. Juveniles fledged

Post-breeding sites

Conf

Prob

Poss

Devil’s Water

8

10

2

4

2

3

0

Allen

2

3

0

1

1

0

0

Upper South Tyne

2

3

2

0

0

3

0

Tipalt

1

2

1

0

0

1

0

Lower South Tyne

2

2

0

1

1

0

0

Tyne W

11

15

4

2

5

4

0

Tyne E

3

3

0

1

2

0

0

Derwent

11

22

4

6

1

5

0

Total

40


60

13

15

12


16 (2x2, 12x1+)

0

Table 16: Breeding Data for Red Kite in SW Northumberland by area in 2022


This year, the west of the county reverted to its status of 2020 in coverage terms with just 5 sites found occupied in the Allen, Tipalt and upper South Tyne areas, compared to 15 in 2021 and 2 in 2020. The Devil’s Water and Tyne Valley W area received normal fairly intensive coverage with 19 sites occupied, compared to 19 in 2021 and 28 in 2020. My coverage of Tyne Valley E was poor with 3 sites found occupied, compared with 5 in 2021 and 10 in 2020. I did not visit Derwent at all, relying on N&TBC coverage. and Derwent. The total number of sites found to be occupied fell from 56 to 40 and the total number of adults found declined from 75 in 2021 to 60. The major reason for the decrease in numbers found is likely to be reduced coverage with NR away for long periods in April, July and August, in catch-up with relations post-Covid. Some emphasis on Black Kite sites also reduced the time spent in the field elsewhere in the study area. However, it did not appear to be a successful breeding season with the pair at my home site near Ordley failing early on and the species was inconspicuous in late summer and early autumn when family parties should be on the wing. So the sharp fall in number of juveniles raised at 16 compared to 44 in 2021 and 25 in 2020, may reflect a poor breeding season. The reason for the decline in productivity is unclear at the present time.


Movements were not noted this year. No mixed pairs with Black Kite were noted this year: in previous mixed pairs the Red Kite was replaced by a Black Kite giving only pure pairs of Black Kite in 2022 (see Black Kite in Northumberland). There is some suggestion that where they interface, the more aggressive Black Kite are pushing the Red Kite out into adjacent areas.


As in 2021 records were included from the bulletins of the Northumberland & Tyneside Bird Club from February to October 2022. These added 2 sites each to upper South Tyne and Devil’s Water. The main effect was on Derwent where all 11 sites came from the Bulletin. So 15 sites in all were added from the bulletins to the 25 sites that I found from my own observations. FoRK results are not yet in.


So quite busy today, completing this. Did watch the stream of Messiah – concert was well-attended with Level 2 open. Always good to see musicians close-up: noted cellist KT, who played at recent Festival warm-up and has also played at KH.

I noted that VE is chief producer of the streams, quite a challenge, but the streams are now very professional with timely focus on singer/player, and the chorus, who sang very well, got a lot of attention tonight. Hope to get out 2moro for a bit of a walk as weather warms slightly. Fixed TV aerial today after part arrived in post and watched the World Cup 3rd/4th place battle, narrowly won by Croatia over Morocco. Spent some time looking at new (for me) South American oil stocks. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!


December 16th: maximum 2C, minimum -2C, moderate SW, dry, becoming cloudier, raw. Xmas meal no.3 lasting 3 hours was had in Slaley with roast pheasant as my choice with a g and rw. Good company: my unn mates A/M and partners, 5 of us out. Much later made DoW4g4s with D/D for gr8 chat in very nice atmosphere; had a Brown Rat at Newton. Another dismal week for markets with own funds losing 18k but proving fairly resilient (loss 0.8%). When’s it all going to end; sentiment is very bad with tls (tax loss selling) aggravating the situation. Suspect we’ll see a bad start to 2023 followed by the start of a recovery, at least in commodities as China begins to recover from its disastrous zero Covid policy. Stocks on the wrong side of high energy prices may take longer to recover and unless we adapt the Net Zero objectives for reality can see some sectors (e.g. heavy industry) in terminal decline. I’ve built up a large position again in the Falklands embryonic oil industry. Think have found my great grandmother Sarah Dixon’s birth in 1842 in Stockport, will pursue for more details. Hope to complete Red Kite results tomorrow. Am planning to stream Messiah from S as no trains, usual road closed for gas leak and bad weather. I am concerned about the appalling public transport links to the S. In Germany I doubt the S would be granted a public entertainment licence in view of its lack of connection to any network. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!



December 15th: maximum 1C, minimum -8C, calm, brilliantly clear and sunny winter’s day, rime gone, dry, no snowfall yet, bitterly cold at midnight (end of day) -7.5C in external reading on car. A Brown Hare on the roadside at Ordley on way home. Again collected with buckets on Fore Street for Hexham Rotary from 13:00 to 14:00 in the open, footfall low, donations low, not very heartening. Dashed back for lunch at home b4 returning to QHL 4 work on ANPA while cleaner S sorted the house out; gave her £60 Xmas bonus. Booked 3 tickets for Wagner’s Tannhäuser at ROH for £201 + £3 donation; family very keen to take up my offer, It’s a brilliant opera with a stirring overture; one of the first bits of classical music I got to love after a performance by the Bournemouth Symphony Orchestra at Exeter Cathedral, which attended with father. Had good chat with A/R/P at G4g4s – all turning out in the cold. Cannot find marriage of Sarah Dixon (my paternal great-grandmother) to Enoch Friend in the civil records: most strange! Am continuing to collect circumstantial evidence. 2moro it’s chat with N/D over Skype at 10, R&C4m4l with M/B/A/A at Slaley at 12:30, DoW4g4s with D/D. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 14th: maximum -2C, minimum -6C, calm, brilliantly clear and sunny winter’s day, rime all over trees, hedges and grass, quite heavily on some tree branches, dry, no snowfall yet. Same as yesterday. Collected with buckets on Fore Street for Hexham Rotary from 13:00 to 14:00 in the open – it was so warm, had to strip off (irony!). Then W4bigshop at £60 followed by QHC4s4l where met A/A (seeing again Friday) and QHL 4 ANPA, b4 G4g4t with B and the gang; very friendly pub! Gave Big Issue sellers from Romania £15 between them – quite generous really – Xmas bonus, have 2 copies of the mag. Completed compiling Red Kite records from the N&TBC bulletins and am now going to bring everything together for the status in the study area this past breeding season. Also compiled some details of my Grandmother Bertha Friend’s ancestors. Her father Enoch Friend was born in a sleepy Devon village to a farming family moving into drapery and they look a bit like yokels (so appear most unlikely for a continental partner) but then found that Enoch spent 30 years as a boarder in north London (Census snapshots, maybe up there on trade) so that may well be where he became more worldly, meeting his wife Sarah Dixon, and may give a hint as to the relations my father had in north London. Asked son and big sis whether they want to come and see Wagner’s Tannhäuser at the ROH on 16/2; I’m going anyway! Might be the Sleeping Beauty there next!! 2moro it’s another stint in the freezer in 4St at same time with much later G4g4s. Hope tension sorted: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 13th: maximum -2C, minimum -6C, calm, brilliantly clear and sunny winter’s day, rime all over trees, hedges and grass, quite heavily on some tree branches, dry, no snowfall yet. Electricity supplies heavily stressed again, with high prices paid again for spot electricity. Gas is supplying c60% of electricity at the moment and c75% of all power (electricity supplies only c20% of all power: we are 81% dependent on fossil fuels for total power). Much hype around nuclear fusion today: yes it’s a great technique but it’s probably 20-50 years away as a proven engineering technology. Concert was fabulous: played with such vigour and intensity, particularly the Vivaldi winter and the Piazzolla: Enjoyed lunch before, washed down with a little rw. Indeed great experience all-round!! Will go to more. Added Red Kite records from bulletin for April-June 2022. Funds are unchanged on wtd: gentle rise in $ values counteracted by slight rise in £ against the $: bear market drags on but prepared to take some losses in return for being aboard near the bottom of the cycle. Had 4 Common Buzzard: 1 at Stagshaw, 1 at Bingfield, 2 at Throckrington. Thought someone was particularly inspired: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 12th: maximum -3C, minimum -5C, calm, freezing fog all day, dry, no snowfall yet; in Tyneside few cm snow on ground, slightly warmer, misty. Electricity reached £2250/MWh briefly today as sources so stretched with renewables solar and wind at miniscule levels; that's equivalent to £40k a year for an annual typical bill. Made R @ B4m4l with Rachel Penn, the speaker from the Woodland Trust; she used to be an environmental consultant; very keen on this organisation. Accepted by all that tree planting in the uplands, except along streams, affects waders adversely so falling out of favour; difficult to find planting land elsewhere; we’re short of land in this country. Went to TC in evening for National Lampoon's Christmas Vacation - not my usual dark genre – but was very funny with continuous action and did enjoy it; much larger audience than for my normal taste!! Left the ‘Shire in freezing fog but roads clear and made CAL via A1 as Ponteland Road (rat-run from Throckley - Callerton) still closed for gas mains repair. Came back via Walbottle and Throckley: fog all gone and roads well-gritted. Had a Barn Owl at Ordley at 00:30. Earlier compiled February and March records from N&TBC bulletins for Red Kite report. Stroll was ecstatic: she’s so gorgeous: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! 2moro looks good!!

December 11th: maximum 1C, minimum -3C, light W, cloudy, dry, slight thaw midday. Out in the field today, going to Eltringham for Honey-buzzard habitat visit, walked 5.8km in 2 hours from 13:00-15:00. Had 2 Common Buzzard adult calling and a Kestrel 1w in flight. Thrushes were plentiful, including 20 Blackbird, 17 Fieldfare, 16 Redwing, with 4 Jay, 6 Mallard, 5 Bullfinch. Had 6 Greylag Goose, 2 Cormorant adult and 5 mole at Merryshields GP. Total for birds on trip was 20 types overall. Added Henry R, Christopher R, William R, Robert R, as sons of Roger R (1628-1710). He had 8 sons in all, of which 7 lived to marry and no daughters; responsible for quite an increase in Rs in west Somerset, including my ancestors. Established on Ancestry Pamela B as my second cousin once removed on maternal side, linked through marriage of William Thomas May to Sarah Jane Dashper. This time the once removed refers to my maternal side breeding faster as opposed to the paternal side, where the generations are stretched out. Made G4g4s where good chat with R/P. Had 2 Brown Hare and a Barn Owl at Ordley at 23:30 on way home. Daughter’s off to Dubai 2moro for short trip, with granddaughters, prospecting on school and housing! 2moro it’s R @ B4m4l and thinking of TC again with stroll later: could well be NLCV as short! lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 10th: maximum 0C, minimum -4C, calm, partly sunny and dry throughout, all-day frost on grass in shade. Had Xmas dinner at DoW with D/D – very good show put on for us: I had terrine, turkey and Xmas pudding – not too original, with a couple of g to wash it down. Think I’ve got at least 5 more such meals to go. Cost was £37 each including drinks and generous tip. Did some work on desktop: sorting out full list of Honey-buzzard sites in the study area, complete with grid references; getting Eltringham habitat map printed from Google Earth, ready for site visit; bringing all wildlife records on BirdTrack up to date; connecting John R, George R and Nicholas R, to father Roger R (1628-1710); reading again John Stevens PCC will made 1647, proven 1654 (involved with many Rs in Hillfarrance area of Somerset). Looking forward to seeing her again: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 9th: maximum 1C, minimum -3C, light W, sunny and dry throughout, all-day frost on grass in shade. Had good chat on Skype with N/D at 10 for 80 minutes: it’s coming up to 3 years without going out for them. Made T4m4l with M for good catch-up. Trip to London is complicated by the strikes; coming back now going to younger sister in Devon for 3 days, arriving by train at Honiton and coming back by air with Loganair from EXT-NCL after New Year. So 3 stays, with son, daughter and younger sister. Hope to see elder sister as well. Electricity today reached £750/MWh for a while, with masses of imports from our European friends! To think we rejected tidal energy, which is absolutely predictable, at £92/MWh as too expensive. In common with world markets, funds had a poor week at -16k; realisation that recession looms in 2023 sunk in this week but personally hope that China recovering from lockdown may counterbalance that for commodities. Average US retail investor is -30% ytd, according to Bloomberg. Sh14 should be brilliant: wish I were there: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 8th: maximum 0C, minimum -3C, light W, sunny and dry in morning, smattering of snow in afternoon, all-day frost on grass in shade. Price of electricity reached nearly a record at £640/MWh this evening (10 times the long-term rate) as wind started to drop. Our energy system is like something out of Alice in Wonderland but not sure they’ll be many laughs when the bills come in or it collapses altogether! Net Zero is a very dangerous cult, which is going to damage people’s well-being much more than the gentle rise in temperatures we’re experiencing. Saturday evening will be fun as the football match is on, the weather stays very cold and freezing fog moves in, as wind and sun disappear. Bit cold for survey work today, maybe Saturday. Made QHC for my tuna sandwich with salad, then did some work in QHL on ANPA; think I’m starting to understand eternal objects as atemporal ones, including sensory aspects; deadline extended to 1/2/2023 – thank goodness as not quite ready yet! Much later out to G4g4s with R/P 4 good chat; car recorded -2.5C as drove back. Keep hot: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 7th: maximum 1C, minimum -3C, light NW, sunny and dry, all-day frost on grass in shade. We had good lunch at Vercelli in HEX, 11 stalwarts of the G for 3 course lunch and plenty of rw plus a limoncello, cost £35 all in. That went on for over 2 hours of fun; quietly slipped away b4 the pub crawl started; not that keen on losing my marbles! Have sorted out the Norton relations after securing Evan’s will from the Probate Office. Jamie C who has also had an autosomal DNA test, and is reported as my second-third cousin from Ancestry’s analysis, is actually my second cousin once removed, meaning Ebenezer Rossiter is my gt-grandfather and is his gt-gt-grandfather as my lot have been slow in breeding! The interest is that there’s none of these German genes in his DNA so it’s Bertha Friend that is increasing the continental genes at grandparent level with my father 48% central/northern Europe from his assumed contribution to my DNA i.e. he was ½ continental and I’m a little over ¼ continental! Hoping to get out in the field 2moro down to Merryshields for Honey-buzzard survey, a popular walk for us when lived in Stocksfield, b4 going to QHC4s4l, QHL for work on ANPA paper and much later G4g4s. SW had a Red Kite at Viewley on way in at 13:00. Probably good for me having no TV while waiting for aerial adapter: can watch anyway on iPlayer and took out a box-set of Mahler symphonies (Rattle, CBSO) and played 2,3 - gr8 stuff! Hope it goes well 2moro: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 6th: maximum 4C, minimum -1C, light NW, some showers, cooler trend continuing. Sunset close to bottom at 15:42, just 2 minutes more to lose of light in next 8 days. Sunrise, at 08:16 today, is still getting later for a while, c20 minutes to lose of light by New Year. Had hair cut at 09:30 at JG with the lively Jd: didn’t ruffle it this time as came out and people actually complimented me on it! Made W4shop 4 cleaning products for cleaner’s use– £19. Concert by RNS in Hexham Abbey was very fitting for the setting with DS conducting well (as Portugal thrashed Switzerland 6-1): Maria played a difficult solo by Biber expertly; we then had, before the interval, Corelli’s XMAS Concerto, von Bingen O Beatia Infantia, Arvo Pärt Trisagion. The last went down very well. After the interval we had a Purcell Chacony and Bach’s Cantata 199, expertly sung by Bethany Horak-Hallett. Everything went smoothly; very good to see the packed audience; they’d thoughtfully put up screens with live action for blind spots in the Abbey. Completed the Honey-Buzzard habitat analysis for Wylam Horsley, first site to be done since May; next up is indeed Eltringham, on edge of Tyne Valley W. It’s good work for the recess, when they’re not here, may get the survey in the field done on Thursday. 2moro have meeting with my Globe mates in Italian restaurant for late lunch! Under a lot of pressure to become President Elect of Hexham R, thinking about it! Many R members at concert tonite! Funds are -5k on wtd; many worries on trends in US economy but better feelings on China for 2023. Relieved to see a hare on the roadside outside my house. Looking forward to next week: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 5th: maximum 5C, minimum 1C, moderate E, heavy bursts of rain in morning, drier later. Downloaded my Red Kite data for 2022, some 44 records for study area and started analysis; need to tie in the N&TBC bulletin data to give a more accurate total. Analysed habitat data for the tetrad containing the Honey-buzzard site at Wylam Horsley; not quite finished yet, have done ½ the woodland assignments and measurements. At least one more to do in this area: Eltringham/Merryshields with 2 more as possibilities. Made R @ B4m4s with talk on bird ringing by CE, former owner of Hexham Racecourse, He does have an unappealing hang-up over predators; nearly everything is a predator of sorts, after all Blue Tits savage caterpillars! Much later made G4g4s 4 good chat with R/P and bar-lass Alex on. Having hair-cut tomorrow morning at 09:30 and concert at Hexham Abbey in evening. Have sorted Kirkharle: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 4th: maximum 5C, minimum 4C, moderate E, heavy bursts of rain all day, pretty dismal. Did a lot of work on ANPA paper, tying in Rosen’s work, and on family tree, taking it right back on WT to a Roger R, born in 1587 in Hillfarrance, Somerset. Going to switch back to birds this week, compiling Red Kite returns for 2022 and resuming work on Honey-buzzard habitat survey. But keeping the ANPA going as close to finishing now. Had a Tawny Owl on the road towards Newbiggin again. Made W4bigshop £66 and WC4c4ll early-on and G4g4s with P/R and L much later: ecstatic atmosphere after England’s win. My TV aerial’s on the blink with clamp seemingly missing, ordered new adapter, and car key ring’s batteries are on the way out so ordered 2 more. 2moro it's R @ B4m4l and G4g4s. Next concerts are RNS at Hexham Abbey on Tuesday and 16 at S on Friday. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 3rd: maximum 5C, minimum 2C, light E, misty, some heavy showers. Has been a great week, back to earth today. Caught up with quite a lot of paperwork and domestic duties today. Sorting out family tree of Roger R (born 1678) in Wiveliscombe, another miller! Was he jolly though? Made DoW4g4s with D/D for good chat; we’ve got Xmas dinner there next Saturday. Applied for a concert and meal at Kirkharle. Had 2 Tawny Owl today in Ordley area, one calling at home, the other c1km down the road towards Hexham, plus a Kestrel 1w at Newbiggin. Walked 8.5km yesterday, today 1km! Bought more bird food yesterday, now it’s peanuts, sunflower seed and grain on offer, plenty of birds around. Had an unfortunate accident with a hare which got stuck in one of my gates and died; freed the body and placed it in the field; sad, especially if it’s the hare which has been taking up residence in my field. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 2nd: maximum 5C, minimum 2C, light E, misty, dry. Kept up the culture with trip to S for Hallé under Mark Elder. Very impressive concert: started with favourite composer Wagner and his Prelude and Liebestod from Tristan und Isolde. This was played with some restraint, probably more appropriate for a concert setting. In the opera the Liebestod ‘Love in Death’ is the finale, as Isolde (soprano) imagines she is making love (very graphically in the music!), standing over the dead body of Tristan (tenor), in realisation of their frustrated passion. She then collapses and dies in what some critics have described as an act of suicide; some think the whole of the Liebestod is a suicide note. For the concert version, Elder’s approach was fitting. The first half concluded with some wild dances from Barber – bit surprised as normally think Barber is smooth but the percussion here was angry! The second half had one work, a suite of music from another of my favourite composers Tchaikovsky with Sleeping Beauty. Elder is keen on Tchaikovsky's ballet music saying in an introduction that he thought Tchaikovsky was very much in his element with ballet music as opposed to concertos and symphonies. It was very varied with some beautiful serene passages interspersed with wilder ones; AY excelled in a difficult flute passage. Very sociable, met lots of partners and V and stayed for a rw at end b4 catching last train. Funds finished week at +8k with gentle rise in stocks facing the headwind of a stronger £ which pushes down $ values in terms of £. Had early nite: thinking of the gorgeous one: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

December 1st: maximum 5C, minimum 4C, light NW, misty, very dull. Got a monthly star award from WikiTree: November 2022 Club 100 Badge (for 100 contributions to the genealogical data). Today added Evelyn Mary Norton as sister of Evan Norton. Ought to add that Evan was the family star: he became Sir Evan Augustus Norton, for his service to Birmingham Hospitals. He died in 1967, leaving an estate of £85k. My investing career actually started when I was 16 by swapping £50 in investment bonds for some mining shares. My father died intestate (no will) so received £750 from his estate under the rules, which I also invested at age 18. By time I got married at age 28, this had grown to 5k (enough then to buy a house) with the major winner being platinum mining shares, as the metal was selected for catalytic converters in cars: had anticipated this from my chemistry studies. This money went into our new house in Haltwhistle as deposit and improvements, but investing days were over: my partner had no wish to participate in the boom and bust trails of the 1970s and anyway we concentrated on property (nesting instincts!). Did do some work in QHL in afternoon and made QHC4s4ll. Then to CAL for Metro to NCL, where enjoyed fantastic concert with Weinberg’s Jewish Songs for soprano and piano trio the highlight. The opening concert promises to be really something as it’s packed with Weinberg’s work. Enjoyed everything in the concert: the artists, the pieces, the enthusiastic audience, the refreshments plus a bonus of a bottle of ps, which carried on the Metro like the best of winos!! Got back in time for G4g4s where met the gang of P/R/A for short chat. 2moro it’s the Hallé at S playing some heady erotic Wagner in the first half and Tchaikovsky's Sleeping Beauty in the second half; hope to meet flautist AY afterwards. She looked and acted gr8 today: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 30th: maximum 4C, minimum 0C, light W, mist/fog everywhere, very chilly with lack of solar radiation. After lovely sleep enjoyed leisurely breakfast until 10, then 11:23 train NCL- HEX where to QHL for some work on ANPA paper b4 home to light fire and then out to G4g4nba (Ncl brown, as run out of g in the busy football matches!), where pleased 2 c L. Carried on ANPA work in evening; it’s getting quite polished but have not finished a couple of critical sections on feeling and philosophical perceptions. Completed adding George R’s immediate family 1667 to WikiTree; next up is Evan Norton’s family, son of William Norton and Rose Rossiter (my paternal grandfather’s twin sister); the Nortons have descendants in the Ancestry DNA close relations so keen to establish exact relationship. When my father drowned, we had little money and Evan set-up covenants to my mother and younger sister to help out; in the 1960s he was a millionaire solicitor. But with a keen interest in finance and property (and a stockbroker’s account aged 18) I was already plotting to revive our fortunes. Evan is first cousin to my father and therefore second cousin to me but no sign of the German genes pre-Bertha Friend! 2moro it’s into L&P for a good-looking concert in evening, more Weinberg! Think I shall be coming in by car as there’s an enormous gap now between 20:25 and 22:53 in evening train service back to Hexham. Good rise on NASDAQ today on signs future US interest rate rises will be smaller. Had 2 1w Kestrel at Widehaugh. lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 29th: maximum 5C, minimum 3C, light S, fog all day in ‘Shire, bit clearer in NCL. Nite out on the toon: staying at L, like this place, smart but unpretentious, made TC 2 c The Menu, a really weird dark comedy involving a group of well-to-do but tainted visitors to a magnificent dinner with various dark deeds eventually leading to the whole place going up in flames. Liked Ralph Fiennes as the all-powerful chef and Anya Taylor-Joy as the sexy innocent dragged into the mad evening but who eventually escapes! Enjoyed it! Wanderings were very satisfying: she’s so amazing!! Got Uber taxi back to hotel. Funds +6k wtd on resource stocks doing well. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Leisurely breakfast and return home 2moro with G4g4t.

November 28th: maximum 7C, minimum 0C, light W, some sunshine, dry, frost by evening. A productive day, creating full-page topos diagram for ANPA paper, which is nearing completion of first draft, which is just as well as should be submitted in early December! Made Rotary at 18:15 at B4m4s, pleased to see L there; not good attendance, don’t think members like dark evenings but I’m a creature of the nite! Talk was on Humshaugh Net Zero: how a village shows the world how to decarbonise! Later made G4g4s 4 good end to day with A/R/P. Ancestry has confirmed Vera Friend’s daughter Vivienne Kennedy as my second cousin through trees and autosomal DNA. I have Germany/Sweden/Denmark (30%) almost equal to her Jewish Peoples of Europe/Norway (29%) , which could be a labelling problem, as Ashkenazi Jews typically have autosomal DNA close to that of central European countries. My father has inferred 48% Germany/Sweden and 52% England, suggesting my paternal grandmother was close to 100% continental. When my father was at Imperial College in London as an undergraduate c1920, he used to be pampered by relatives in Golders Green and we did visit them once as a family in the 1950s but I cannot remember their names. 2moro going to TC for some choice, followed by stroll and JI (now L) hotel again near Centre of Life!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 27th: maximum 10C, minimum 3C, light S, some sunshine, dry, mild. Highlight of day was Angela Hewitt on the piano at S in afternoon playing Bach The Well-Tempered Clavier Book II, Nos. 5 – 8; Mozart Sonata for Piano No. 8 in A minor; Mozart Sonata for Piano No. 9 in D major; Chopin Nocturnes in B & E, Op. 62 Nos. 1 & 2; Chopin Scherzo No. 2 in B flat minor, Op.31. Very polished performance in the Bach but additionally inspired in the Chopin; love Chopin’s piano music and she handled the rubato so creatively! Walked across the High-level Bridge there and back for the second time in 3 days – good exercise. Made G4g4s with R/D/B/P and good chat with L in action. Going to the cinema at TC on Tuesday to broaden my experience! 2moro it’s R and G in the evening. Did some work on the ANPA paper on the slow Sunday trains today on my Android ‘phone, using Notepad, polishing stuff written so far. Failed on Ebay in bidding for a Jersey Ag trefid spoon, ran into heavy bids by presumably Jersey collectors; good to stretch them a bit and use up their funds! Going to Tsinandali Festival in Georgia with son in September; it’s a festival with the theme east meets west so very appealing; will go off on my own either before or after it to Batumi for raptor watching. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 26th: maximum 10C, minimum 8C, moderate to fresh SW, sunny afternoon, cloud and rain later, mild. Relaxing day, in between 2 concerts, going to piano recital tomorrow. Chatted to son from 17:00-18:00 on FB video, and met D/D at DoW4g4s and good crack. Identified Vera Friend (1914-2011) as daughter of Walter Friend and Esther Cutley; Walter is brother to my grandmother Bertha Friend. We have the autosomal DNA for Vivienne Kennedy who is descended from Vera Friend; assuming she’s daughter of Vera then Vivienne is my 2nd cousin (common great grandparent). So Ancestry’s prediction of us as 2nd-3rd cousins looks to be accurate with Enoch and Sarah Friend as our common great grandparents. Funds finished last week +8k with rise in £ and weak oil price and tech stocks restricting gains but markets seem to be going in the right direction! Bought another Exeter Ag spoon c1675 from Ebay. Delighted to hear from someone, including that tour went well : xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 25th: maximum 9C, minimum 7C, light SW, sunny, dry, milder. Made rehearsal and concert at S with RNS and TZ conducting. Marvellous day out, better food today in the partner buffet and met James, new manager of RNS. Good social with L/S/M and others; think pp are gelling well, not being too cliquey. TZ has marvellous empathy with orchestra; he doesn’t even have to tell them what he wants improving; they just play the section again knowing what’s needed! Music was Elgar’s Serenade for Strings, played exquisitely, Walton’s Viola Concerto, played dynamically by TZ’s partner RK, and Vaughan-Williams’ London Symphony, potentially a heavy blurred piece but came over very clearly, full of contrasts, with a few starring solo pieces by MG and KH. Met MG/IB and others in bar later for gr8 chat!! Back on last train, mercifully still running b4 yet another strike. Family DNA is very perplexing with mine and daughter’s results difficult to reconcile with others. The DNA suggests that I’m continental Europe to a significant degree on the paternal side but this cannot come directly from my male side who are all Devon/Somerset. The infiltration must come from the female side of a marriage. By looking at my cousins, including remote ones, the infiltration of continental genes has to come very recently through my grandmother Bertha Friend, daughter of Enoch and Sarah (Dixon) Friend, baptists, who married my grandfather, George Rossiter, jeweller, also a baptist, in 1899. The ethnicity of a second cousin in the Friend connection is ¼ Jewish Peoples of Europe. Will investigate further. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 24th: maximum 9C, minimum 5C, light SE, cloudy, few showers, slightly milder. Main event of day was funeral of Philip Latham at west Newcastle Crematorium at 11:15, driving there. It was very well attended, chapel was full; he had many interests including improving the lot of refugees (English for All charity https://www.englishforall.uk/ with Philip’s piccie on left, to which gave £20 in closing collection, already give them £10 a month), bee-keeping, walking (we used to go to Scotland for Munro (peaks over 3000 feet asl) bagging), Liberals, education (was a school-teacher, retiring early), drama, plus Quakerism. The service was held in Quaker tradition with no formal service, just silence punctuated from time-to-time by people’s tributes. We came back to Riding Mill village hall for the wake (no alcohol!). His two daughters were very gratified by the large turnout and all a bit tearful but nice to re-acquaint with some old friends, not seen for a while, particularly Martin Pugh, a history professor from Newcastle Uni and wife Fran who live in Slaley. N/D didn’t go in spite of our having all drunk together on Friday night at Welly in Riding Mill for 35 odd years: still sheltering from Covid! Did get my g later-on at G4g4s with R/P/A and a good chat! 2moro chatting to N/D on Skype, followed by rehearsal and concert at S with RNS and return of TZ! Not long to return of the fancied one: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 23rd: maximum 7C, minimum 0C, light SE, few showers, weak sunshine, frost on car early-on. Back to earth today with QHL 4 work on ANPA 2022, QHC4m4ll and G4g4t with B who’s come through unscathed after latest immune therapy. We had good chat! Continuing work on WikiTree added George R 1667-1727 miller of Wiveliscombe, Somerset, Margaret R’s grandfather, and in my direct line through her. 2moro going to Philip’s funeral in west Newcastle with wake afterwards in Riding Mill. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Updated home page with entries:

22nd November 2022: Updated Goshawk page, a perplexing season, for SW Northumberland in 2022 (Population of the Goshawk in SW Northumberland).

22/11/22: Goshawk season summary: 9 sites occupied in spring, no records after 15/6, no young known to be raised, a perplexing season. See http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/northumberlandgos.html for further details.

November 22nd: maximum 7C, minimum 0C, light NE, few showers, weak sunshine, frost on car early-on. Made concert at lunchtime at the premier university in the NE – brilliant, marvellous Weinberg with pizzicato and passion! Son has confirmed attendance for most of Festival. Made CT (Coffee Trader) before and after concert 4c and 4s: my favourite cafe: same initials as a certain mathematical theory. Daughter and elder granddaughter have had their autosomal DNA test results: daughter has ethnic markers all the way from Russia and eastern Europe through Germany to the UK, reflecting her maternal grandfather being brought up in Breslau, Silesia (now Wroclaw, Poland). Granddaughter’s DNA is very much as expected: 47% Iran, 28% England and North Western Europe, 20% Germanic Europe, so roughly ½ Iran, ¼ England, ¼ Germany. Ancestry confirms daughter has 50% of her genes from me and granddaughter 25%. Scandinavia seems to figure too highly in both my daughter’s and my analysis, maybe attributable to Germany, certainly in her case. These techniques are still in a development phase. Would be good for my son to get a kit. Funds -4k wtd. Trust still in one piece: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

In discussion with Whitehead conference, in Munich next July, chair of my section said:

Dear Nick Rossiter, Thank you for your reply. 

I am very saddened to learn from you about the death of Michael Heather. It is a great loss for all of us. I will remember him with a good feeling, especially for his hard work for the realization of new ideas till the end of his life. 

Thank you for agreeing to participate in the section of "Whitehead, Mathematics and Physics". I shall expect your abstract. Your suggestion for a presentation is very interesting and fruitful. 

Best wishes,  Vesselin Petrov

Back in QHL tomorrow!

November 21st: maximum 5C, minimum -2C, light NE, dry with sunny spells, frost early-on. Gr8 day: meal with the gorgeous lively one at KK4m4d: lovely occasion!! Nearer home made R @ B4m4l and G4g4s so pretty hedonistic day!! Good news:

Northumbria University, Newcastle, has today been named University of the Year 2022 in the prestigious Times Higher Education (THE) Awards. The THE Awards are widely recognised as the 'Oscars of higher education'. The impressive win recognises exceptional performance, as well as bold, imaginative and innovative initiatives that have advanced a Higher Education institution’s reputation during the academic year 2020/21. It marks Northumbria’s remarkable transformation to become the UK’s first research-intensive modern university. The strategy, which began in 2008, embedded quality research at the centre of everything that the University does, alongside a clear social mobility mission, and alignment to business and the demands of the regional and local economy. This success was borne out in the Research Excellence Framework (REF), which is a measure of the quality and strength of research across UK universities. In the REF 2021 results, Northumbria recorded the biggest rise in research power of any UK university for the second time, moving up 27 places to 23rd having previously risen to 50th in 2014, from 80th in 2008. https://newsroom.northumbria.ac.uk/pressreleases/northumbria-named-as-uks-best-university-3218399

Obviously benefiting from the ground work in 2002-2010 by yours truly!! Following last Friday’s relative complacency over North Sea oil bonds, today sold the lot for a bit under par as found out that interest payments are subject to the windfall tax: This government is going insane. Visiting unn 2moro, to building where used to meet Mike each lunchtime as part of our collaborative work. That’s sad but visit has a very positive dimension. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 20th: maximum 7C, minimum 0C, light S, dry with sunny spells, frost late-on. Completed addition to WikiTree of George Rossiter (1709-c1778) deals as a miller in Tiverton and added details of the marriage of his daughter Margaret Rossiter (1752-1783) to John Rossiter (1755-1842, also a miller in Tiverton); this isn’t a first cousin marriage (common grandparents), but may be a fourth cousin on John’s side and a third cousin on Margaret’s side on latest Wiveliscombe, Somerset, trees, which are inputting now into WikiTree. Keep it in the family! Went for walk around Sele by Tyne from 13:00-15:00 with break later at Sh4c4ll – very pleasant!! On walk had a Little Egret on the Tyne 1  2, in total of 16 bird-types. Made G4g4s with R/D/B/P 4 gr8 crack! 2moro looks good!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Reviewed Goshawk update written yesterday and publish today without change:

More details of the Goshawk breeding season for 2022 are available in Table 16.


Area

No. sites

No. adults

Breeding Category

Juveniles

Conf

Prob

Poss


Local-fledge

Also seen

Devil’s Water

2

3

0

1

1

0

0

Allen

1

1

0

0

1

0

0

Upper South Tyne

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Lower South Tyne

1

1

0

0

1

0

0

Tyne W

1

1

0

1

0

0

0

Tyne E

2

2

0

0

2

0

0

Derwent

2

2

0

2

0

0

0

Total

9

10

0

4

5

0

0

Table 16: Breeding Data for Goshawk in SW Northumberland by area in 2022


A perplexing year for Goshawk with a good start to the year with 9 sites occupied in spring and no records at all after 15/6 when one seen in Dipton Wood. Probable records came from Slaley Forest (pair displaying on 7/2) and Hexham (female displaying on 21/3) with possible records from Cupola Bridge, Wylam, Stublick, Hyons Wood and Dipton Wood from 26/1 to 15/6. The Bulletins of the Northumberland & Tyneside Bird Club were searched from January-September 2022: a site in Hexham was confirmed as probable with multiple sightings in March and two soaring females were seen at Derwent Reservoir on 26/3. Two birds were noted moving N in March: at Derwent Reservoir on 22/3 and Hexham on 7/3 raising the possibility that some of these birds in the study area early in the season are over-wintering and will move N to breed. But it is not clear they were migrating as the 2 sites were both still occupied later in the month. These records from the Bulletin are included in the totals above. The Goshawk does apparently retain a tenuous hold in the study area but its status is uncertain. It is not clear if the secrecy of the birds in summer is masking productivity or if the birds are failing because of stresses such as persecution. The abundance of Woodpigeon in the study area makes it unlikely they would suffer from food shortages.


November 19th: maximum 6C, minimum 4C, light SE, dry with a few bright intervals, cooler. Quite a lot of birds around garden, 20 types, including 6 Mistle Thrush and 15 Redwing, plus a Grey Squirrel and c6 wasps still on flowering ivy. Had a Kestrel yesterday hunting to N of Letah Wood. Got BirdTrack records up to date for all of November, just ½ of French trip to Marciac to add some time. Did draft Goshawk account for 2022, will publish tomorrow. Added some more info on O&G to yesterday finance view. On WikiTree added more info on Geo R miller of Tiverton and his 7 children. Completed Festival web updates on actors. So active day on the desktop. Did speak to son for an hour on FB video: good to keep in touch. Must get out for a walk tomorrow. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Wrapping up Hobby summary for 2022. Here’s entries on home page:

17th November 2022: Updated Hobby page with disappointing results for SW Northumberland in 2022 (Population of the Hobby in SW Northumberland).

17/11/22: Hobby season summary: 3 sites occupied, 4 adults seen, no confirmed breeding. There is a marked decline:10+ sites occupied annually from 2001-2017 and 3-9 sites from 2018-2022, albeit with less coverage in latter period. See http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/northumberlandhobby.html for further details.

November 18th: maximum 8C, minimum 6C, light W, rain finally ended mid-morning, then cool with bright intervals. Ag spoon arrived, pleased with it; made QHC4m4ll and QHL to work on ANPA paper completing Category of the Ultimate and moving onto feeling, leading into emotion. Later made DoW4g4s with D/D 4 good chat. Funds are 13k down on week, after taking 6k write-down of WAS1 and 1.5k withdrawals, largely for Devon trip; think we’re still bumping along the bottom and am positioning for 2023 when expect to see some recovery in stocks, sensitive to interest rates, such as tech and housebuilders. Relieved that got out of all North Sea oil equities in the last few weeks: the extra taxes levied (75% total before up to 30% investment allowances, now running up to 2028, hardly a narrow window) mean there’s just the prospect of steady decline now; do retain some bonds – reviewing their risks now. They will not raise anything like the amounts in tax that they claim. See for instance: KPMG responds to the Energy Profits Levy https://home.kpmg/uk/en/home/media/press-releases/2022/11/budget-2022-energy-profits-levy.html. 2moro hope to do Goshawk account for 2022 and get back to habitat survey for Honey-buzzard. Had 2 mammals on the road today: a Roe Deer at Loughbrow at 17:00 (stopped immediately saw it!) and a Badger at Letah Wood at 23:00. Feeding birds now on seed as well as nuts; had Nuthatch on nuts. Next week will be busier! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 17th: maximum 8C, minimum 7C, light SE, heavy rain all day, much surface water, cooling trend. Did complete the Hobby account for 2022 as below: decline is evident! Had good chat with M/B at T4m4l and with P/A/R at G4g4s. Received invite to talk to International Whitehead Conference next year in Munich, Germany, 26-29 July 2023, organisers Vesselin Petrov and Joachim Klose, section ‘Whitehead, Mathematics and Physics’. Pleased at that, can build on current ANPA paper and there will be another ANPA meeting in August 2023 to consolidate. Will certainly accept! Wonder if they know sad fate of my colleague. Gr8 occasion: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

More details of the Hobby breeding season for 2022 are available in Table 17:

.


Area

No. sites

No. adults

Breeding Category

Juveniles

Conf

Prob

Poss


Local-fledge

Also seen

Devil’s Water

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Allen

1

1

0

0

1

0

0

Tipalt

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Upper South Tyne

1

2

0

1

0

0

0

Lower South Tyne

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Tyne W

1

1

0

1

0

0

0

Tyne E

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Derwent

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total

3

4

0

2

1

0

0

Table 17: Breeding Data for Hobby in SW Northumberland by area in 2022


My coverage was very low in the west of the study area, favoured by this species, and this season was largely concentrated on Devil’s Water and Tyne Valley W. Just one observation was made in this area in the whole breeding season: a female displaying at Bywell on 10/6. A search made in the Bulletin of the Northumberland & Tyneside Bird Club (April-September 2022) added 2 sites in the west with in July “a confidential site in the SW provided regular sightings of territorial behaviour with two driving off a Buzzard on 13th and one seen mobbing a Red Kite on 9th. On 15th individuals were noted three times in a two-hour period during which both Buzzard and Raven were mobbed (SJH)” and in August “an individual was at Ridley Common on 23rd (AJN)”. The first site appears from other context to be the County’s best established site at Towsbank in Upper South Tyne and the second is adjacent to the Staward Valley in the Allen. The decline appears to be real, despite lower coverage, as 3 sites (1 this year) had been occupied in Tyne Valley W the previous year. The long-term trend is also clearly down with 10+ sites occupied annually from 2001-2017 and 3-9 sites from 2018-2022, albeit with less coverage in latter period. A search of BirdGuides provided a significant number of records from coastal areas throughout the season but none in the study area.


The RBBP report for 2018 https://rbbp.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/rbbp-report-2018.pdf is interesting: “289–765 pairs. Clements et al. (2016) suggested that the UK Hobby population may be as high as 3,000 pairs, with the difficulty of detecting breeding sites meaning that it is widely underrecorded. There are, however, signs of a decline in the population over the last few years, both in RBBP totals and in the BTO/JNCC/RSPB UK Breeding Bird Survey, which reported a statistically significant decrease of 24% between 2008 and 2018 (Harris et al. 2020). Every county in northern England and Scotland reported small increases from the 2017 figures, however, suggesting that the northward expansion of the species’ range is continuing.” In 2019 https://rbbp.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/rbbp-report-2019.pdf the position was complicated with the comment: “267–678 pairs. Estimates provided by county bird recorders suggest that the UK population is around double the number of records submitted, although there is evidence to suggest it could be higher still (Clements et al. 2016).” The map of Hobby records in BirdGuides for 2022 mainly shows records from northern Britain and shows that the species wanders extensively with a concentration in NE England; most records in southern Britain are not included as BirdGuides is concerned with local or national rarities.


November 16th: maximum 8C, minimum 6C, light SE, sunny morning but sun is very weak now at 6 weeks to solstice, afternoons are disappearing with sunset 16:04, cooling trend. Did plenty of work on ANPA paper at QH Library, designing and populating table summarising Categories of Existence; will comment on table’s findings tomorrow. Made G4g4t where gr8 to meet B again, who’s been struggling with his immune therapy treatment. Rival bid for Coventry Stadium by nice local lads (commodity traders, no less) https://www.theguardian.com/football/2022/nov/16/coventry-sale-agreed-that-would-leave-club-free-of-debt threatens to derail Ashley’s attempts to get a cheap deal on the CBS Arena, which is bondholder security. Bought a nice old Ag spoon on Ebay – Charles II, Exeter c1676, maker MW, only bidder, waiting until last few minutes. Don’t think it’s a steal but like it! 2moro it’s T4m4l with M and G4g4s with the gang. Hope to do Hobby 2022 season – worst for years in study area. Such satisfaction with the most gorgeous one: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 15th: maximum 10C, minimum 4C, moderate SE, heavy rain all day, dry evening, cooling trend. Had some coal delivered: 250kg of ovoids (smokeless) and 150kg of doubles (domestic coal). Latter is soon to be banned by government decree and is scarce already, costing £34 for 50kg; ovoids remain competitive at £28 for 50kg. Coal depot said that domestic coal will soon be unavailable, ahead of the ban on sale next May; price hike might suggest some are stockpiling before the ban; I can just use ovoids though fire lighting may be a bit slower so not planning on building up a cache. Main event of day was visit to QH in evening to see Pelléas Ensemble with flute, harp and viola. They were very talented and inventive musicians playing Debussy, Prelude à l'Après-midi d'un Faune; Rebecca Clarke, arr. Tunnicliffe - Four Songs; Tchaikovsky - Selections from Swan Lake; Dowland, arr. Tunnicliffe - In Darkness Let me Dwell / If my Complaints Could Passions Move; Purcell , arr. Tunnicliffe - Fantasia upon One Note; Ethel Smyth - Variations on Bonny Sweet Robin; Jolivet - Petite Suite. Particularly liked the old English arrangements of Dowland and Purcell. Luba Tunnicliffe, the clever arranger of some of the pieces, played the viola in the Ensemble. So that was a good evening, met L in bar and afterwards. Made B4rw4s 4 nitecap! Completed section on propositions in ANPA paper and now move on to summary of the 8 categories of existence before getting on to feelings to complete the paper! Funds are +7k on wtd after 6k write-off on Wasps bond as troubles continue to mount at the rugby club. Shall never invest in sports-related issues again, far removed from objective finance issues; may have to write a bit more off if Ashley gets his way in the High Court on Thursday morning. But otherwise tech issues are beginning to recover and mines are looking good on China recovery possibilities and shortage of electrification metals for net zero. Looking forward to a week from today: mounting excitement: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 14th: maximum 11C, minimum 7C, light SE, sunny morning, misty afternoon. With rain forecast tomorrow closed down outdoor painting: it’s been a great improvement on the back door. Made R @ B4m4l, paid for 30 large Xmas cards for £30, getting next week. Walked around Sele, seeing 16 Chaffinch and a Grey Squirrel, with a few wasps around flowering ivy. A quiet day after weekend’s exertions on Black Kite report. Made G4g4s with R/A 4 good crack. Gr8 end to day!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Here’s entries on home page:

14th November 2022: Updated Black Kite page with breeding and migration data for SW Northumberland in 2022: rapid colonisation in progress (Black Kite in Northumberland)

14/11/22: Black Kite season summary: 7 sites occupied, 12 adults seen, all pure pairs, all sites successful, 11+ young raised (4x2, 3x1+). See http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/northumberlandbk.html for further details.

November 13th: maximum 13C, minimum 8C, light E, sunny, another beautiful day! Completed painting the back door with a gloss coat; may touch it up tomorrow a bit more if conditions remain good. Had a very good day tidying up at home: clearing some old cardboard boxes out of shed to bottom of far hedge, putting the new wood into the shed to dry, trimming branches in orchard to permit hedge trimming, cutting out invasive blackthorn from field. Did keep an eye on my flowering ivy by road: literally hundreds of black flies, a few hover flies, c20 wasps; every time a vehicle came past a cloud of insects lifted for a few seconds, very impressive. In day had a Chiffchaff calling in garden, 40 Greylag Geese high up moving W, 4 local Canada Goose, 2 Bullfinch, plus a Brown Hare, flushed from my field where it is living now, a Mole and a Red Kite floating over area to S, their new territory after this year’s failure at Blackhall. Last night had a Tawny Owl calling at Ordley at 23:15. Today 2 walkers said how they always liked this part of the walk as there was so much wildlife around: isn’t that nice! Not out tonite, all of mates are away. 2moro it is the G in the evening and R @ B4m4l where collecting the lunch money on the PoS machine. Best of all was completing the Black Kite report (full details including piccies at http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/northumberlandbk.html):

More details of the Black Kite breeding season for 2022 are available in Table 2.3:





Area

No. sites

No. adult Black Kite

No. adult assoc-iating Red Kite

No. pure Black Kite juvenile

No. hybrid Black Kite x Red Kite juvenile

Breeding Category

No. Juv-eniles fledged

Post-breeding sites

Conf

Prob

Poss

Devil’s Water

1

1

0

1

0

1

0

0

1

1

Allen

1

2

0

1

0

1

0

0

1

0

Upper South Tyne

1

1

0

2

0

1

0

0

2

0

Lower South Tyne

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Tyne Valley W

3

6

0

5

0

3

0

0

5

0

Tyne Valley E

1

2

0

2

0

1

0

0

2

0

Derwent

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Total

7

12

0

11

0

7

0

0

11+ (4x2, 3x1+)

1


Table 2.3: Breeding Data for Black Kite in SW Northumberland by area in 2022


Early days but the Black Kite colonisation is now looking more secure with an increase in population and the two Red Kite individuals involved in mixed pairs in 2021 both being replaced by Black Kite. So seven pure Black Kite pairs, with 12 adults seen, bred this year, all being successful, raising at least 11 young, in 4 broods of 2 and 3 broods of 1+. The replacement of the Red Kite suggests that there is not a shortage of Black Kite, available in the area, to form new pairings. The two sites, where only one adult was seen, were both picked up towards the fledging part of the season. The pairs are well scattered with one main concentration of 4 pairs in Tyne Valley W and the immediately adjoining area of the Devil’s Water. This area is 11.5km linear, totalling 35 sq km. Both localities where birds were first picked up at the end of the 2021 season, too late to confirm breeding, were occupied this year by breeding pairs. Outlier pairs at Sinderhope (300m asl) and Haltwhistle suggest the species is adaptable in its choice of habitat. It is possible that, although superficially now a pure population, that one or two birds are impure containing a residue of Red Kite genes from the earlier hybrid pairs. The Sinderhope pair has been taken as a pure pair this year because only single Black Kite were seen well there this year but an early-season sighting there was initially thought to involve a Red Kite. The Prudhoe pair was a definite move to a pure pair as both birds were seen well in display. It might still be expected that the occasional mixed pairing will occur, particularly in new sites or at old sites if a vacancy occurs. There was one sighting in a new territory at the end of the season on 3/9 of a juvenile slowly moving SW at Ordley in Devil’s Water, my home area. Hopefully this site will be colonised next season. The species likes to nest near main roads: 5 are near the A69, the main road from Newcastle to Carlisle via Hexham. The sites at Prudhoe and Sinderhope are set away from the A69; the former is habitat-rich for raptors; the latter is in a major game-rearing area where rabbit numbers are high, probably because their mammalian predators are in low numbers. Birds arrived on site in May with first at Styford on 5/5 and two displaying at Prudhoe on 10/5. The first juvenile was seen on 26/7 at Prudhoe with fledging at other sites in the next week. The last birds in breeding sites were seen on 29/8 (2 birds, adult, juvenile, Dilston), 30/8 (1 bird, unaged, Styford) and 2/9 (1 bird, juvenile, Hexham NE). The last sighting was on 3/9 with a juvenile moving slowly SW over Ordley.

Next up are Hobby (just one record in 2022), Goshawk (brief) and resumption of Honey-buzzard habitat survey, resuming with partially completed Wylam Horsley. Bought stream for RNS and watched Tchaikovsky VC and Bartók’s dances again. Keeping busy: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!



November 12th: maximum 13C, minimum 7C, light S, sunny, beautiful day! Did some outdoors painting, sanding down back door and giving it a coat of primer: unexpected opportunity. Met D/D at DoW4g4s and good chat plus six bags of wood from a birch tree they’ve cut down in their garden, for my stove. Working hard on Black Kite records for 2022. Added some actors to the Festival pages!!

November 11th: maximum 14C, minimum 7C, SW gale, sunny, clear air turbulence! Very interesting day! RNS concert had effervescent female conductor Nil Venditti, coming into her own in the dances in part 2, where we had Bartók’s Romanian Dances. Fazil Say’s Symphonic Dances and Brahms’ Hungarian Dances 1, 6 and 10. The Bartók was my favourite and the conductor had a poll (by voice) of what we’d like as an encore! Winner was indeed the Bartók. Fazil Say had produced some very stirring Turkish dances with massive percussion. Highlight of the concert was Tchaikovsky VC, played brilliantly by Norwegian Eldbjørg Hemsing violin; it appears to be such a difficult piece but it is inherently very romantic, not just an exercise in virtuosity. Very keen on Tchaikovsky; would have been annoyed if had gone to last Saturday’s concert instead of Orpheus as the scheduled Tchaikovsky PC 1 was replaced by a Mozart PC as the soloist claimed an injury; says something about the level of virtuosity required! So good concert tonite but attendances are not good; level 1 looks fairly full but level 2 has been closed for a number of concerts and the bookings transferred to level 1; that will not please everyone. Sadly pp Christine S has died, another loss to RNS. Had good chat with pp at concert tonite and made RNS bar after 4 good chat. Travelled by train, getting 17:16 in and 22:53 home. Flushed a Woodcock from verge at Newbiggin at 16:30, presumably a recently arrived migrant. Earlier made QH4m4l and QHL to carry on the paper, now on propositions, last of the 8 categories of existence and chatted to D/N for 90 min on Skype; they’re wondering whether PL’s funeral will be on Zoom. Funds had a similar week to the last one: -9k by Thursday, finishing +18k after a rousing Friday on vague moves towards re-opening China and on US lower inflation report, boosting tech stocks. Position ytd is +529k gross (+30.0%), +481k net, compared to ftse 100 -0.9%, ftse 250 -16.5%, dow -7.1%, nasdaq -28.6%, bitcoin -63.4%. Still buying nasdaq (US tech) stocks as depressed and, at a dribble, UK housebuilders, but retain large commodity stock holdings; North Sea oil equities down to 2k value overall, probably 0k by Monday. Finally got money into new brokers IBKR through standard Lloyds FPO (£100, to reduce alarm, though it’s perfectly legit!). Propositions in Whitehead are a combination of conceptual and physical prehensions; all feelings have a physical dimension: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 10th: maximum 14C, minimum 13C, fresh SW, cloudy, occasional light rain. What incredible migrant totals for Honey-buzzard nationally in 2022 as recorded on BirdGuides and presented below. Such totals exclude repeated sightings at known breeding locations. Today met M/R at T4m4l for good catch-up followed by session in QHL to do work on ANPA paper, onto last of Categories of Existence – propositions – which gives a natural lead into feelings and emotion. Made G4g4s with R/A/P for lively time. Planning another session at QHL tomorrow with bonus of lunch there after Skype chat with N/D. Into S later to see RNS dances with Tchaikovsky's VC as star item! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Honey-buzzard total for 2022 season was 473 sightings (raw, not adjusted) on BirdGuides. The data has been adjusted for known breeding sites, giving a total of 380 birds on migration (152 spring, 228 autumn) compared to a total of 235 birds in 2021, a more normal total in preceding years (2017-2021). Records came throughout the season with peaks in June and September. In 2022 much higher total in May/June and more autumn birds suggest an increasing breeding population with indeed no gap in records in July this year. Map from BirdGuides for 2022 shows predominance of records in East Anglia, south-east England and central southern England but a general absence from the west, including the south-west. The species is apparently scarcer in northern Britain but we know that there is a sizeable breeding population in Scotland and NE England so lack of competent observers at migration points in these areas is suspected.


2021

2022

Period


12

4

April

52

61

May

30

87

June

0

28

July

35

58

August

93

136

September

13

6

October




94

152

spring (April -June)

141

228

autumn (July-Oct)




235

380

year (April-Oct)

Honey-buzzard migrant numbers in 2021 and 2022 on BirdGuides

November 9th: maximum 10C, minimum 8C, moderate SW, sunny most of day, one light shower. Still a few wasps on flowering ivy at Ordley. Did some energetic gardening today, cutting scrub with hedge trimmer along long party hedge with neighbours; they normally arrange to have it cut professionally in return for my cutting it on my own for many years. But of course they do need to be able to reach the hedge! Stayed up until 04:50 watching US election; still counting then but Republican wave already repulsed to some extent. Don’t really like either main party in US: both too extreme though at least the voters do have a clear choice. Up at 09:50, polishing section on contrasts in ANPA paper and starting on multiplicities, which I think just means diverse heterogeneous societies, a colimit in category theory, like nexus but with no typing. Terrible day for bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies on collapse of a coin exchange; bitcoin is now down 67% ytd. Affected whole market, always does when an important section suffers like this. 2moro catching up with M at T4m4l while S comes to clean; then going to QH Library. Much later it’s G4g4s; Did make G4g4t today 4 good chat. Hope it all goes well: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

From 27/9-28/10 final Honey-buzzard records on BirdGuides for season, involving 13 birds of which 5 in Suffolk on 27/9 and another 4 there in October. (analysis to follow!)


14:38 28/10 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Landguard NR 14:00 possible reported over docks

13:56 08/10 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Lowestoft one flew over Asda early afternoon

12:09 07/10 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Hen Reedbed SWT one over car park this morning

20:21 04/10 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Kessingland juvenile flew south along cliff late afternoon

12:27 04/10 European Honey Buzzard Essex Colchester 12:17 dark-morph juvenile flew high north-east towards Highwoods CP viewed from North Station Road

16:05 03/10 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Copmanthorpe 15:00 one flew south

20:16 30/09 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Beachy Head 14:30 one flew low to east

14:55 27/09 European Honey Buzzard Warwickshire Wormleighton 14:14 one to ESE of Wormleighton flew west

14:04 27/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Carlton Colville four flew over mid-afternoon: 3 moved south-east and 1 west

11:51 27/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Carlton Colville 11:30 one circled and flew west


November 8th: maximum 11C, minimum 8C, moderate S, sunny morning, cloudy later with heavy showers. Have indeed downloaded all my breeding season records from BirdTrack for the main raptor species and will start with Black Kite for analysis. Had productive day: adjusted style sheets (css) for Festival home page to compile piccies better. Represented Whitehead’s contrasts of contrasts as n-categories in formal category theory (natural match), now onto multiplicities which have some connection with nexus. Sold out large holding in North Sea’s largest oil and gas producer HBR (on windfall tax), reinvesting in US oil/gas and tech; slowly building up stake in US heavily-depressed tech sector, including in MSFT (Microsoft) and an ETF tracking the Nasdaq index (CNDX). Funds -5k on wtd, mainly due to fall in $. Have failed dismally to transfer any money (just £1k) to IBRK in USA, twice having current account suspended and twice 50-min chats with Lloyds fraud squad: very charming! Bill had similar problem with Nat West, trying to move money into a $ account, and gave up. So have revived my account with a London-based foreign exchange dealer and plan to transfer £ to them from my Lloyds account, for them to pass on as $ to IBRK. I don’t give up easily! Wasps are one of my favourite insects, for their dynamism, their impressive social order and as food for Honey-buzzard: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Up late listening to US election results: leaning towards Republicans; now 02:51. Time for bed!!

From 17/10-19/10 some very late Black Kite records on BirdGuides:

16:04 19/10 Black Kite Cambridgeshire Bainton GPs 15:30 possible flew north-east

15:30 18/10 Black Kite Somerset & Bristol West Moor, Hambridge 10:30 juvenile flew over this morning; also Dartford Warbler at Pitt Bridge

09:14 17/10 Black Kite Norfolk East Dereham probable flew over A47 bypass


Black Kite total for 2022 season was 193 sightings (raw, not adjusted) on BirdGuides (124 in 2021), occurring as laid out below, with comparison against 2021.

2021

2022

Period


0

0

February

2

2

March

22

68

April

49

52

May

29

25

June

11

12

July

8

15

August

3

5

September

0

14

October




102

147

spring (Feb -June)

22

46

autumn (July-Oct)




124

193

year (Feb-Oct)

Black Kite sightings in 2021 and 2022 on BirdGuides

In 2022 much higher total in April and more autumn birds suggest an increasing breeding population. Map from BirdGuides for 2022 shows predominance of records in East Anglia and the breadth of southern England. The species is apparently scarcer in northern Britain but a similar pattern (to be published soon) is seen for Honey-buzzard where we know there is a sizeable population in Scotland and NE England.


From 15/9-25/9 some Honey-buzzard records on BirdGuides, involving 23 birds of which 6 in Jersey: (still more late records to compile)


13:01 25/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Corton 12:55 possible over caravan park

15:13 24/09 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Grouville Marsh one flew over

14:10 24/09 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Noirmont Point 13:21 one flew south-east; also Western Cattle Egret flew over

13:55 23/09 European Honey Buzzard West Midlands Bilston 13:30 one circled over centre of Wollaston moving gradually south

14:01 22/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Middlebere 21/09 one flew over yesterday

13:59 22/09 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Noirmont Point one flew east this morning

08:37 22/09 European Honey Buzzard Isle of Wight Ventnor one flew east over Whitwell Road

16:05 19/09 European Honey Buzzard Durham Whitburn Coastal Park 16:03 one flew south-west

15:17 19/09 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Breydon Water RSPB pale morph flew north over North Wall mid-morning; also juvenile Curlew Sandpiper

15:15 19/09 European Honey Buzzard Nottinghamshire Welbeck watchpoint 15:07 adult male again

11:16 18/09 European Honey Buzzard Lancashire Chorley 11:02 possible south of M61 between Horwich and Chorley

19:03 17/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Lackford Lakes SWT 16/09 one reportedly flew over Bess's Hide yesterday

13:11 17/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Hornsea 12:48 juvenile flew in off the sea, then headed west inland

10:51 17/09 European Honey Buzzard Nottinghamshire Langford Lowfields RSPB one flew south-east over Phase 1

16:16 16/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Lakenheath Fen RSPB 14:15 one then flew off south-east; also Osprey

14:07 16/09 European Honey Buzzard London Walthamstow Wetlands LWT one reported

13:06 16/09 European Honey Buzzard Buckinghamshire Butler's Cross one flew west over Coombe Hill early afternoon

13:04 16/09 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Noirmont Point two flew south this morning

13:20 15/09 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Noirmont Point two flew over this morning

11:56 15/09 European Honey Buzzard Highland Fort William 11:30 one flew SSE

07:47 15/09 European Honey Buzzard Isle of Wight Nansen Hill 07:43 one flew south



November 7th: maximum 13C, minimum 9C, moderate SW, sunny periods, almost dry, gusty winds by evening. Completed adding Northumberland records to BirdTrack for 2022 so backlog in hectic breeding season removed. Can now start analysis for each species, starting with Black Kite. Cause for some celebration! Made R at B4m4l and good company. Went for walk around Sele for some exercise. Did mega-shop at W – £87 to get £12 discount (need to spend £80 to qualify); doing shopping every 10 days to keep this going! Made very quiet G4g4S with A/R/P 4 good catch-up from yesterday! Good end to day!! Not up to date on all 2022 records – have about half of those from Marciac still to add and plenty of piccies still to sort. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 6th: maximum 11C, minimum 8C, moderate SW, sunny daytime, dry. Quiet day after last week’s opera bonanza! Had 3 Goldcrest in the garden and started feeding the birds for the winter season with grain and peanuts out. Made more progress on ANPA paper, completing Nexus and Eternal Object sections. Also added a few records to my WikiTree profile after a gap of 8 months since March. Had good chat with son at 17:00 for an hour and made G4g4s with D/B/R/P and a boisterous group of Hexhamshire young farmers! Hope to complete processing backlog of bird records tomorrow with those at Prudhoe 26/7. Also tomorrow have R at lunch and of course G4g4s. Highlight of today was watching the Gulls play Derby in FA Cup round 1 on ITV, who showed the whole game. We were 2-0 down shortly after half-time but rallied to draw 2-2 with a goal at 90+5 after they’d been reduced to 10 men. Crowd was passionate. We’ve had a terrible season so far, bottom of National League, so hope this is a turning point! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 5th: maximum 11C, minimum 5C, light W, steady rain daytime, clear by evening for fireworks. Productive day: represented eternal objects by constant functor in category theory, with nice diagram constructed on paper, new construction-type for me. Bird-records: added 28/7 North Wood, Haltwhistle, and 25/7 Styford, leaving just 26/7 Prudhoe to do. Went into NCL via CAL by car and Metro. Orpheus by Opera North was brilliant: very successful combination of South Asia and European culture. Music was by Monteverdi and Jasdeep Singh Degun (also a virtuoso sitarist). Orpheus was played by Nicholas Watts and Eurydice by the Tamil singer Ashnaa Sasikaran. Instruments included viola, lirone, theorbo, cello, harpsichord, tabla, violin, esraj, ghatam, harp, flute, percussion and trumpet, a true mixture of mediaeval, English and Indian instruments. I understood that seven south Asian cultures were included in the piece to make it truly representative. The story is simple: Eurydice dies suddenly, Orpheus visits the land of the dead, they agree to release her provided Orpheus does not look back on their departure. But he inevitably does, Eurydice has to stay dead but Orpheus escapes and attempts to adjust to his new circumstances. An amazing evening, colourful, multicultural and rhythmic: a great credit to all concerned. Met M/L there, thought they’d be at the Sage! Made Br4rw4s 4 old tyme’s sake!! Back on 23:00 to CAL for drive to HEX, so back home at 23:55. Sadly lost another friend, Philip Latham, to cancer on 2/11; he was my Munro mountain walking partner in Scotland; funeral on 24/11 at West Road, Newcastle with wake in Riding Mill later that day. It’s gone 02:00 (6/11), feeling sleepy, sweet dreams lie ahead: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 4th: maximum 9C, minimum 5C, light W, sunny morning, cloudier later, dry, cool. Had good chats with N/D on Skype in morning and D/D in DoW4g4s. Had good late lunch at QHC with work on paper either side up until 17:30. Am now working on Eternal Objects, constants or time-invariant data, expressed in category theory as constant functors. Expect to resume work on Black Kite records at North Wood, Haltwhistle, tomorrow from 29/7; that’s the penultimate Northumberland records for last season. Funds had a very volatile week, in movements associated with bottom of bear market, dropping by 20k wtd on Thursday morning after mega interest rate rises in US/UK but shooting up to +24k at end of week on rumours of China reopening from Covid! So 44k swing in a day and a half: strong nerves needed at the moment. Bought a dognose fork 1705 (Queen Anne) in latest Ag Spoon Auction for £228, plus commission. Tomorrow’s highlite is Orpheus at TR, going by car to CAL and Metro through to Monument. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 3rd: maximum 11C, minimum 3C, light W, sunny all day, dry, cooler. Had 5 Fieldfare W at Ordley at 12:10 where an adult Common Buzzard was calling. Also 16 Fieldfare at Merryshields at 11:40 from train. Had good breakfast, cooked but also plenty of fresh fruit. Then home on train, leaving at 11:23 from NCL-HEX. Whole 3 days have been very relaxing. Some catch-up at home. Out to G4g4s with R/P/A 4 good chat with E on: gr8 end to day! Road gritted, air temperature 1C and frost looking likely by dawn. 2moro it’s Skype session with N/D at 10, then off to QHC4ll and library in afternoon for more work on ANPA paper. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

November 2nd: maximum 11C, minimum 6C, fresh S, dull morning with rain in the wind, heavy driving rain setting in mid-afternoon, cool. Continued base in NCL at JI at St James Gate, now taken over by Leonardo. Caught 12:06 to ALM on TPE, coming back at 15:00 on LNER, cost £7.50, Weather deteriorating at end and LNER express train failed to stop at Morpeth, overshooting on the wet rails and having to reverse into the station to collect bemused passengers! Birds were quite exciting: Barnacle Goose 27 SW and 17 feeding in field, 54 Whooper Swan feeding in field, gathering of c450 geese comprising 430 Canada Goose, 17 aforesaid Barnacle Goose and 4 Pink-footed Goose, 13 Little Grebe in estuary in loose flock, 1 Little Egret, 165 Wigeon, 37 Teal, 90 Curlew (flock 81 in field), 23 Redshank, 2 Dunlin, 10 GBBG (7 ad, 3 1w), in total of 30 bird-types. The day was good for exercise with 11km walked. Hotel is friendly, classy and efficient with excellent breakfasts and late bar! Saw Traviata for 3rd time in a few weeks, have seen Cast A twice, this evening was with Cast B: Dublin-born Máire Flavin as Violetta (Cast A: Alison Langer), Oliver Johnston as Alfredo (Nico Darmanin), Stephen Gadd as Giorgio (Damiano Salerno), Manoj Kamps at conductor (Jonathan Webb). Don’t really want to say who was better but for Violetta liked AL’s total immersion and MF’s fantastic voice; for Alfredo the youthful ND was a more natural cast; for Giorgio DS looked better as the ‘godfather’; and didn’t really notice much difference between the conductors, after all the orchestra is the same, except perhaps MJ was a little more racy in the orgy of Act 1. The maid Annina was played both nights by ‘my’ Amy Payne very elegantly. The doctor Grenvil was also played both nights by the appropriately named Matthew Stiff, capturing well the essence of the 19th century private doctor. These 6 take the final bow; quite a lot of minor roles and the chorus not there – a pity! Still on third time round found it a very moving experience: Verdi is one of my 3 favourite opera composers, with Wagner and Puccini. Tosca by Puccini is popular item of 2nd part of season. Someone there looked familiar: delighted to see the interest!! Had chat in intervals with L/M/S, fellow RNS partners. Had to buy my own ticket and rw tonite. Earlier made VctCmt4m4t+ rw. Have a very difficult choice on Saturday: Orpheus at TR or Belgian National Orchestra at S; think it will be ON as the insight event at Leeds really wetted my appetite; pity we have this clash! Train strike on 5/11 so into CP and then Metro to TR. No more trips planned for November and December at the moment but I’m a restless creature!! Was plenty of room at the Inn for some desirable company: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Opinion from Bloomberg yesterday in their daily newsletter to their subscribers:

The gains from windfall taxes on energy firms may be less than hoped for and the consequences substantial, Bloomberg's editors write. Imposing an arbitrary tax on a small subset of companies sets a dreadful precedent, penalizing shareholders and punishing investment. There are no easy solutions to hard problems and a windfall tax is no solution at all.

Am liquidating remaining UK oil and gas holdings leisurely, putting some of proceeds into oil and gas in USA/Brazil/Falklands. The UK’s unreliability tax-wise will harm us enormously in the long run: low inward investment and no energy security as companies shun us. Such taxes are associated with desperate banana republics. I have no quoted European stocks: again, think the EU is far too fond of state interference in the market. Lack of energy investment will keep prices of the commodities higher for longer as supply decreases, damaging consumers’ wealth.

November 1st: maximum 12C, minimum 8C, light W, heavy rain overnite, drier daytime and evening, cooler. Well ON have certainly polished up their La Traviata: exquisite tonite and such warm hospitality from the ON crew: well a few rw and good chat b4 and in the 2 intervals. Music was absolutely brilliant and going to compare it to the alternative cast, on Wednesday evening, staying overnight in JI, Scotswood Road, quite classy! Bit of birdwatching up the coast tomorrow! Day had other highlites: one in particular: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Funds minus 5k wtd continuing recent weakness: some think PoO is going down, I don’t: American Strategic Petroleum Reserve is running dangerously low: it’s being abused in desire to keep oil prices down before midterm elections.

October 31st: maximum 14C, minimum 9C, light S, bright daytime, heavy rain in evening and into nite, cooler. Made QH Library from 15:00-17:50 to continue work on ANPA paper, where good progress made, relating Whitehead’s concrescence to closure through adjointness in a Locally Cartesian Closed Category. Have got diagrams working in the paper. Went on to Rotary at B4m4s where good talk by army officer and good meal with dessert and cordial company. Back home for an hour and then out to G4g4s where met A/R/P 4 good chat. Had frog and Barn Owl at Newbiggin at 21:30 and 2 Tawny Owl at Ordley at 20:30. 2moro home in the morning but out later for 2 days in NCL for ON. Bye for now: lots of kisses to the most gorgeous one. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 30th: maximum 14C, minimum 10C, moderate SW, dull morning, sunny later, mild. Here’s summary of bird report for Devon from 20/10 to 27/10 and totals:

56 species from 169 records, 6 complete lists, 16 places

Butterflies were of 2 types: Red Admiral 4 (3 Dartmouth 23/10, 1 Teignmouth 26/10), Painted Lady 2 (2 Dawlish Warren 26/10). One dragonfly noted: Southern Hawker at Dawlish Warren 26/10. Some piccies are to follow, both on personal side and of wildlife.

Also processed Black Kite records from 28/7 Sinderhope and 30/7 Hexham NE (abortive trip). Just 2 sheets to process for Northumberland for whole 2022 season, both in late July. Today had walk in Hexham Sele from 12:55-14:30. Had 14 bird-types on walk, including a singing Dipper, 8 Coal Tit, 6 Blackbird, 6 Robin. Plenty of wasps around still on flowering ivy with c20 at Ordley, c5 at Elvaston, c20 at Stainthorpe Court. Had 2 rabbit at Ordley on return from pub (G4g4s with B/D/P/R 4 enjoyable time) at 23:45 and a Tawny Owl calling at Elvaston at 23:30. 2moro it’s a quiet day until R at B4m4s (evening) and G4g4s but cleaner S is coming in afternoon at 15:30, so will be out then. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 29th: maximum 12C, minimum 11C, light E, dull all day, cooler. Quiet day: catch up at home; had 90 min chat on Skype with N. Had Brown Hare on grass at back: plenty to eat! Completed processing Styford and Bywell Black Kite for 2/8; plenty of good piccies. In the middle of processing 17/8 drive to Froxfield and back from Ealing, then all done for August. Booked up at Jury’s Inn, NCL, for 2 nites next week with breakfast for £131 to fit in with ON. Will write 2moro: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 28th: maximum 14C, minimum 11C, moderate SW, heavy rain in morning, becoming sunny later, no sea! Car into service from 09:30-14:30; in fine condition they said – no warranty claims! Paid £39 for various cleaning of A/C and transmission systems. They sent me a text message with 2 videos of their checking of car – high tech! So was pleased with service! Did a lot more work on ANPA paper in QH Library, cleaning it up so it ran in LaTeX without errors, giving smart pdf output, which can polish. Had lunch at QHC. Did W4bigshop – £84 b4 discount of £12 – on way to DoW at 19:30. Made DoW4g4s and good chat with D/D! Funds are -22k on last 2 weeks; high volatility suggests a contest between buyers and sellers; prepared to take some losses now in hope for better 2023 for markets. Tried transferring 1k via IBAN with Lloyds to IBKR in USA: initially not accepted, current account suspended, 40 min wait on telephone line to speak to fraud squad, 10 min chat, think it’s all cleared! Have quiet weekend coming up with only N on Skype at 10 on Saturday as event. Son is hearing all 15 Shostakovitch SQ at South Bank over the weekend! I’ve got 3 operas next week with ON at TR, NCL. Time for bed: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 27th: maximum 18C, minimum 13C, moderate SW, sunny intervals with showers expected, sea choppy. Journey back was very smooth: taxi turned up on time, all trains on time so 8 hours was spent in comfortable style. Did a lot of work on ANPA paper again, but more difficulty with a few areas as went deeper into concrescence, which appears to be simply concretising, that is converting a conceptual or virtual structure into a new actual entity. Also looking at eternal entities, which are public facts or constants; Whitehead has private side to his entities, represented today by encapsulation. Have installed MiKTeX on the laptop for text processing on the fly to produce a pdf. Caught slow train from Teignmouth to Exeter and that was good as slow through Dawlish Warren, where on Exe in all had 1400+ Wigeon, 900+ Dunlin, and 2 Shelduck, 30 Mallard, 27 dark-bellied Brent Goose, 27 Mute Swan, 2 Cormorant, 31 Little Egret; added first 2 to list. Most amazing sight of day was 3 Red Kite as individuals flying over Peterborough city. Coupled with big sis’ recent sightings of Red Kite over Ealing, this seems to suggest they are moving into urban areas. House was warm as had left heating on low. In reporting monthly readings, noted that my balance had gone from +£66 at start to minus £1,557 by end; E.ON are charging me estimated readings on an old defective meter taken away 9 months ago; think it’s a computer cock-up as they tried to update account charges automatically before the latest price hike. But anyway have emailed them right away asking them to remove the old meter from my account; have not yet received a formal bill, will be interesting to see if their monitoring system picks it up; formal complaint is next stage if not quickly rectified to force review. Back to G4g4s where met R/M/A for good catch-up with L in attendance. 2moro sees car’s 2nd service in HEX at BStM – it‘s 2 years old! So will be in QH Library in morning. No trips planned for a while but plenty of concerts to come, including end of month: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 26th: maximum 18C, minimum 15C, moderate SW, sunny intervals all day, almost dry. sea choppy. Took ferry across from Shaldon to Teignmouth, cost £2: it’s not far! Then train from Teignmouth to Dawlish Warren for walk along dunes into the Nature Reserve. From 12:30-15:50 had 26 bird-types, including 2 male Cirl Bunting, 4 Yellowhammer, 8 Shelduck, 6 Dark-bellied Brent Goose, 1 Redshank, 3 Oystercatcher, 36 Linnet, 11 Goldfinch, 11 Greenfinch, 32 GBBG (30 adult, 2 1w), 1 Moorhen, 11 Cormorant. Raptors comprised 2 1w Kestrel hovering and one Common Buzzard up over Eastdon at 14:22, mobbed by Jackdaw. Eastdon is where my maternal grandfather William Nicholls farmed along with his wife Mabel Lena Holbrook. Had 2 Painted Lady butterflies, a Southern Hawker dragonfly and many wasps were around flowering ivy. The reserve is suffering from coastal erosion of the dunes and the Warren Golf Club behind is also beginning to look precarious. Much work continues on the sea walls at Teignmouth and Dawlish to fortify the sea defences. At Teignmouth, where took many piccies for memory purposes, had a Red Admiral butterfly. Current position for Devon trip is:

54 species from 155 records, 6 complete lists, 14 places

Took taxi back to Ness House (£10) and booked taxi for tomorrow morning for 9. Dinner was again good, going back to the sea bass. Looking forward to return; it’s lovely visiting my former haunts but no inclination to retire here! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 25th: maximum 16C, minimum 15C, moderate SSE, sunny intervals in morning, moderate rain setting in in mid-afternoon. sea choppy. Got out at 10:45 while still fine and back at 15:30 when deteriorating. Had lunch of tuna sandwich + salad and Americano at Clipper cafe, an old haunt of family in our visits to Shaldon where in-laws lived. Had good walk up Teign Estuary from mouth opposite Ness where staying towards Combe Cellars with tide going out revealing large areas of mud. Had 31 bird-types including 6 Greenshank, 13 Turnstone, 3 Curlew, 123 Oystercatcher, 12 Little Egret, 22 Cormorant, 4 Grey Heron, 22 Mute Swan, 1 Redwing, 2 Starling W. Raptors comprised 5 Common Buzzard: 2 at Haldon SW, 2 on N side, 1 on S side. Dinner was again good with mushroom soup, beef stew, Americano, rw&br, cost £45. Did some work on Black Kite piccies from 2/8 at Styford/Bywell. Over 2-week period funds are now minus 3k, suffering from rise in £ as go from +7k halfway through the period. Cannot really grumble: have made gains from fall in £ for most of year. Suspect that Sunak’s honeymoon period will be short as harsh realities reassert themselves in the UK economy. Starting a new account with Interactive Brokers to gain better coverage of North America market and improved bond dealing. 2moro is last day here, may go to Teignmouth on ferry and Dawlish Warren by train. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 24th: maximum 16C, minimum 11C, light SW, sunny spells, dry. Busy morning clearing-up villa before leaving at 10:00 in large taxi for TOT; I paid this time £50, including tip; it’s about 25km. At Harbertonford on way had 2 Redwing, 3 Raven and 5 Fieldfare moving SW. This village has some fame: birthplace of my maternal great-grandfather Jeffry (sic) John Nicholls, son of a wheelwright, on 17 Feb 1859. Travelled with family to Newton Abbot on train, where we said fond goodbyes and caught local train to Teignmouth, while they went on to PAD. I got a taxi to Ness (£9) House in Shaldon, where dropped case at 12:20 and went out for a walk around the Ness headland, including the Ness Cove and the cliffs above. Had 28 types of bird, including 2 Balearic Shearwater N, 6 Gannet S, 18 Cormorant, 10 Shag, 56 Oystercatcher, 1 Little Egret, 2 Raven, 3 Goldcrest in bushes on clifftops, 4 Redwing SW, 24 Goldfinch, 4 Bullfinch, 1 Green Woodpecker. Raptors comprised 2 Common Buzzard calling E of Teignmouth Station and a male Kestrel hovering over cliffs in the Ness Cove; signs of a Sparrowhawk at the Ness with panicky birds. No butterflies but one hornet while sitting on bench watching estuary; wasps fairly common around ivy and a piece of dog dung, looking for flies. So interesting day. Hotel is good, got bit of a sea view from my large room and residents have the lounge overlooking the Estuary for dinner, which cost £43 for soup, sea bass, Americano, rw and brandy, with free Prosecco as intro treat! Lovely views of my home-town Teignmouth from the hotel in good weather today. Planning to explore Teign Estuary upstream tomorrow and Teignmouth on Wednesday. Wish someone was here: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 23rd: maximum 16C, minimum 13C, moderate S, spells of heavy rain, dry interludes. Highlight of weekend was family lunch at Cherub Inn, Dartmouth, founded 1380 and likely patronised by those 2 pirates, Walter Raleigh and Francis Drake, in 16th century. Party rose to 21 with arrival of another nephew, his partner, and 3 children. We had a very good time: had Chilli Mexican-style for main course with crumble and ice cream for dessert and a couple of stout and a Russian coffee to wash it all down. Cost was £550 in all, for which we’d already made a contribution. Kids became a bit riotous on return: water-pistol fights, hide and seek, balloon blowing (and some bursting) with a machine! Think neighbours will be glad to see us go. Niece and her sister-in-law went in swimming with wet suits on! 2moro morning is end of party and I move on to Shaldon. Today saw 3 Red Admiral butterflies and a Raven. Very interested to hear that all of daughter’s family are about to take autosomal DNA tests. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 22nd: maximum 16C, minimum 14C, light SE, few spots of rain, otherwise dry, mild, airstream very unstable, sea choppy. Villa is beautiful on 3 levels, close to River Dart, with access for boats, and grand views over the Dart Estuary, Kingswear, and Dartmouth. We went for walk in afternoon to Sugary Cove Beach, with a narrow steep descent into the Cove from the Road but with well-constructed steps. We came back by boat from Dartmouth Castle (14th century) to the town. Younger sister arrived with partner: they’re staying in a hotel nearby but in the daytime are with us, so 16 people now. We had cake-cutting today at noon, meal in this evening and tomorrow have lunch out at a restaurant in the town; thunderstorms are forecast over next 24 hours. Did keep a bird list (9 types), having 8 Shag, 4 Cormorant, 1 Gannet 1w N, plus a Grey Seal. Great to see everyone again and so pleasing that granddaughters are playing so well with nephew’s kids though latter are a bit older. Hope the gorgeous one is keeping fit: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 21st: maximum 18C, minimum 14C, moderate to fresh SW wind, steady rain punctuated by pulses of torrential rain, mild, a bad Devon day weather-wise in all its glory. Had very nice breakfast of salmon and scrambled egg in bar at hotel; a popular venue for the locals for breakfast and coffee. Very pleased with stay – friendly, efficient and comfortable. Memorial service was fitting for memory of Mike Heather, my close colleague for 45 years. It was held in St Mary’s Church in Totnes, was well-attended and concentrated on his human qualities. His contribution to academia was not so conspicuous, so very glad I attended to stress to his family the keenness of his endeavour and the worthy problems he was attempting to tackle. The wake was held at Dartington Hall, one of Mike’s favourite stomping grounds, and I’m sure he would have appreciated the choice. They had tried to hold it at the Royal Seven Stars Hotel, where I was staying, but they didn’t have the staff. Felt rather drained at the end – will carry on our work to the best of my endeavour but it’s always sad, losing your confidant.

Made my way to TOT where met son and daughter and granddaughters off late-running 17:48 train (one I caught day before) and we all went down by taxi to our villa in Dartmouth. So wet everywhere with floods on road from time to time. Cost was £50 including tip, paid by son; the driver was very helpful in locating our abode. Great to meet family again, plus elder sister, niece and partner, nephew and partner and their two children through her, and nephew and partner through younger sister who’s arriving tomorrow. So 14 people to date. Funds finished week +7k after one or two wobbles. Have moved some money into US tech and UK housebuilders as their prices are very depressed. But main emphasis remains energy and natural resources, particularly overseas. Did some birdwatching in Totnes around the Dart in poor weather, getting 16 bird species, including 2 Little Grebe, 18 Pied Wagtail, 1 Grey Wagtail, 1 Moorhen and 46 Redwing W in groups of 40 and 6 at 12:32 and 12:50.

October 20th: maximum 17C, minimum 15C, rain middle day, sunny later. Travel down went well from HEX-TOT – everything on time (7 hours 53 min via KGX and PAD ; would rather have some exercise in middle of journey than be cooped up in direct CC via Midlands); full of nostalgia as return to roots with train going through Teignmouth and up the Teign Estuary, where brought up until went to University at Hull; am staying there after stay on Dart. Staying at Hotel Royal Seven Stars for one night where had good meal of steak with pepper sauce, crumble, Americano, couple of g, all for £46 including tip; cost for B&B is £91. Did masses of work on train on ANPA paper, wouldn’t say broken back of it but enormous progress as now up to the 8 Categories of Existence; keep on thinking over to you Mike but that’s not an option. Birds in Devon included a Common Buzzard at Bradninch, 10 Black-tailed Godwit on Exe at Turf, 30 Curlew and 10 Dark-bellied Brent Goose at Cockwood on Exe (near where mother brought up at Eastdon Farm), a Great White Egret at Teignmouth, 3 Little Egret, 20 Mute Swan, an Oystercatcher, 20 Curlew, at Bishopsteignton. Not too surprised at Liz Truss’ exit but with 266 MPs voting for Putin in yesterday’s fracking vote, still think the country is totally complacent about our energy security. The country is ungovernable with such an unrealistic electorate and its representatives. America is at last giving the green light with longer-term assurances that oil/gas will continue to prosper there and that’s from a much stronger base with regard to self-sufficiency; Canada has talked the talk but maintains a vibrant energy industry. The UK and Europe are failing to address the supply side and face de-industrialisation on a mega scale. Will be a harrowing day tomorrow. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 19th: maximum 10C, minimum 9C, light E, cloudy, few spots of rain. At Ordley in morning had a Tawny Owl at 4, a Common Buzzard at 11 and 140 Redwing coming out of the sky from E at 11:30. Made QH Library and made good progress on ANPA paper, getting stuck into nexus, which appears to be a colimit with intension. Also had lunch at QHC and then met B at G4g4t 4 good chat b4 he starts some immune therapy on Friday. Then made QH 4 Sound of Musicals, a show put on by HASS (Hexham Amateur Stage Society) of which I’m a patron, contributing £60 for this production. It was their 90th anniversary so musicals across the years were presented from Pirates of Penzance, through Oklahoma to Evita, Sound of Music, Les Miserables. Very enjoyable, pleased to see CA again and our librarian letting her hair down! Made B4rw4s afterwards with good chat to L who was acting as big Controller!! Very warm feelings to someone who’s empathetic: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 18th: maximum 11C, minimum 8C, light W, sunny morning, cloudy afternoon, dry. Beautiful day, completed hedge cutting in front garden, taking final crest off leylandii and top off beech hedge. Still quite a lot to do around the back but pleased at progress. Made Lindisfarne Gospels at the Laing, NCL, in RNS function for pp. Very pleasing: private chat and show around exhibition, not to mention 2 ww. Came back with recent widow L (see 14/10) on train and drove her home in HEX. Very pleased to see good reviews for Orpheus https://operanorthmail.co.uk/3T5R-1HWJP-08DE1882506287D82BEIFH8EA9C5F9074C95C7/cr.aspx. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Funds are unchanged on wtd. Here’s some recent climate data:

Climate upward trend in temperature continues at 0.13C per decade. Temperature rise continues to be much stronger in the Northern Hemisphere than in the Southern Hemisphere or the Tropics. La Niña looks set to continue. The Arctic ice cover has stabilised and Antarctic ice cover is proving to be very variable. The Atlantic 2022 hurricane season is a low-key affair, contrary to forecasts.

UAH Global Temperature Update for September, 2022: +0.24 deg. C. https://www.drroyspencer.com/uah-global-temperature-update-for-september-2022-0-24-deg-c/

Global climate trend since Dec. 1 1978: +0.13 C per decade. September Temperatures (preliminary): Global composite temp.: +0.24 C (+0.43°F) above the seasonal average. Northern Hemisphere: +0.43 C (+0.77 °F) above seasonal average. Southern Hemisphere: +0.06 C (+0.11 °F) above seasonal average. Tropics: +0.03C (+0.05°F) above seasonal average.

The global atmospheric temperature departure-from-average in September dropped a bit from August to +0.24 °C (+0.43 °F) above the long-term average, down slightly from +0.28°C (+0.50 °F). The decline was evident over the SH as the temperatures there fell -0.18 °C (-0.32 °F) from August. As noted last month, the extratropical warmth, especially in the NH, during this multi-year La Niña episode has been a remarkable feature that has kept the global average near or above zero since commencing in late 2020 and is consistent with a long-term upward trend in global temperature. That trend according to these observations is +0.13 °C per decade since December 1978. The latest values of various El Niño/La Niña indices indicate the La Niña (cold phase of the cycle) continues and is predicted to continue through the NH winter. The influence of La Niña generally induces cooler temperatures, so that one would expect with its potential demise next year, global temperatures will rise somewhat from where they are now. This is not a prediction, simply an observation based on the past. The latest on the evolution of La Niña and its anticipated diminishment by 2023 is provided by NOAA below.

The planet’s warmest spot, in terms of the monthly departure from average, was over southern Greenland at +5.4 °C (+10.2 °F). Areas of especially warm temperatures compared with average occurred over western N America and a band that stretched from the Sahara eastward across southern Russia and northern China to the North Pacific Ocean. Scattered locations in the high-latitude southern oceans were also warm. The coolest departure from average was in the far South Pacific north of the Amundsen Sea at -3.5 °C (-6.3 °F) just edging out a cold pocket over Belarus which was the centre of a cold area of northern Europe. Northern Russia and scattered areas of the high latitude southern oceans were also cool. https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/ Sept 2022

La Niña is present .* La Niña Advisory Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across most of the Pacific Ocean. The tropical Pacific atmosphere is consistent with La Niña. There is a 75% chance of La Niña during the Northern Hemisphere winter (December-February) 2022/23, with a 54% chance for ENSO February April 2023. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf. October 17

After reaching the minimum on September 18, Arctic sea ice extent has been steadily increasing. With the passage of the equinox, the sun has set at the North Pole. September average ice extent ended up tying with 2010 for eleventh lowest in the satellite record.

The September 2022 average Arctic sea ice extent was 4.87 million square kilometres (1.88 million square miles), tying with 2010 for eleventh lowest in the satellite record (Figure 1a). Extent was 1.54 million square kilometres (595,000 square miles) below the 1981 to 2010 average and 1.30 million square kilometres (502,000 square miles) above the record minimum set in 2012. The annual minimum extent was reached on September 18 and the autumn freeze-up is now well underway. Antarctic sea ice extent has exhibited extreme inter-annual variability with record highs and record lows within the past decade. There is also strong regional variability, with some areas showing long-term trends of ice loss, with others showing gains. One region with a notable downward trend in extent is the Bellingshausen Sea, west of the Antarctic Peninsula. The Peninsula region has also experienced a strong multi-decade warming trend, which has resumed after a decade-long hiatus. One factor in these changes is a strengthening of the Amundsen Low the brings southward winds to the region, which raise air temperatures and compact the ice. A new study by Dalaiden et al. suggests that this Amundsen Low strengthening is caused by an anthropogenic forcing, and a coupling to the general temperature pattern and trends in the Pacific Ocean. http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/ October 4

2022 Atlantic hurricane season. Actual activity to date from 1/6: 11 named storms, 5 hurricanes, 2 major hurricanes. Well below forecasts though still some of the season to go up to 30/11. Just one very damaging hurricane Ian which hit Florida. Average activity up to 30/11 is: 14.4 named storms, 7.2 hurricanes, 3.2 major hurricanes (1991-2020). Most forecasts were for an above average year. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Atlantic_hurricane_season

October 17th: maximum 13C, minimum 8C, fresh SW, sunny intervals, dry, feeling very fresh. Processed 3/8 Hexham NE including piccies of Honey-buzzard and Black Kite. Processed Black Kite piccies from 29/8 at Dilston. Made R at B4m4l; good talk from Dave Best on drone photography; good for landscapes and buildings, not so sure it’s good for wildlife as need heavier camera with zoom, putting you over 250 grams for weight of zoom and into a tighter regulatory regime. There’s an archetypal account of using drones for studying eagles in Tasmania, in which the eagles took an intense dislike to the intruders and attacked them, smashing them to the ground. But I think they are used extensively by professionals in North America for studying nesting birds including raptors and doing censuses: need training for use of drones and ideally institutional support for buying drone, insuring it and providing a framework for usage. Have had some talks on them at RRF conferences and I did attend a workshop on them in RSA. Bought 50 purple crocus for £10 in aid of polio campaign at R. Made G4g4s with R/P and further chat with R on drones as he’s got one. Am interested, will do more research: like gadgets which extend interests! Have almost completed August as just have 2/8 Bywell and some sightings from M4 on 17/8. But plenty still to do in July: 4 site visits and quite a lot of records from Marciac, France. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 16th: maximum 11C, minimum 8C, moderate SW, sunny morning, cloudy afternoon. Busy today, adding Trip Report for Chamonix, France, visit in August 2022 (Chamonix 2022) with summary:

Birds -- 46 species from 95 records, 7 complete lists, 12 places in Chamonix, France, area from 19 Aug - 27 Aug 2022. Raptors were of 11 types: Common Buzzard 11, Griffon Vulture 10, Honey-buzzard 4, Bearded Vulture 3, Short-toed Eagle 2, Golden Eagle 2, Egyptian Vulture 1, Black Kite 1, Tawny Owl 1, Kestrel 1, Peregrine 1. total 37 birds. Full bird records.

Butterflies15 species, 49 insects, 10 trips, 8 localities, 580-2134m asl: Small White 20, Shepherd’s Fritillary 4, Silver-washed Fritillary 4, Painted Lady 3, Speckled Wood 3, Green-veined White 2, Clouded Yellow 2, Common Blue 2, Geranium Bronze 2, Marbled Ringlet 2, Swallowtail 1, High Brown Fritillary 1, Small Tortoiseshell 1, Small Heath 1, Large White 1. Full butterfly records.

Honey-buzzard were noted at 2 localities: 1) at Argentière at 1252m with adult alarm call on 21/8 as walked towards mature spruce plantation and on 22/8 with a family group of 3 in the air above the tree line close together over the village; 2) at Les Gaillands at 1020m on 23/8 where an adult female left to forage from a dense spruce plantation, in contention with an adult Common Buzzard.

Added a recent photo of Michael Heather to process (category theory) web pages at http://nickrossiter.org.uk/process/index.html. Will add a tribute after memorial service in Totnes on 21/10.

Spent an hour from 14:40-15:40 out on the road outside house surveying the Devil’s Water. Quite a few migrants were seen – exiting summer visitors: 2 Swallow SW. Winter visitors from Scandinavia: Redwing 45 SW, 10 N; Fieldfare 3 SW; Brambling 2 W; Chaffinch 2 SW; Greenfinch 1 N. Birds moving: Siskin 2 N, 2 SW; Goldfinch 8 SW. Feeders: Jay 2; Red Kite, an adult up over Linnels at 15:13, mobbed by Jackdaw; 6 Blackbird. Started work on piccies from 29/8 in ‘Shire walk; have added data but piccies of Black Kite in particular here are useful. Next up data-wise is 2/8 Hexham NE. Made G4g4s with R/A/P 4 good chat. Missing someone: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 15th: maximum 11C, minimum 6C, moderate SW, sunny morning, heavy showers by evening. No walk today, bit blustery, decided to catch-up on records, completing all October ones and processing piccies for 5/8 of Black Kite and Honey-buzzard; will publish tomorrow. Made DoW4g4s with D/D 4 gr8 chat. Luxury villa in Dartmouth is costing us provisionally £335 per adult for the 3 nights with 15 occupants (11 adults, 4 kids) in main place and others arriving on a daytime basis. Looking forward to it, once memorial service is celebrated! Hope concert went well: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!.

From 21/9-15/10 some late Black Kite records on Bird Guides, probably involving just 3-4 birds:

21:27 15/10 Black Kite Dorset Lytchett Matravers possible flew over

10:16 14/10 Black Kite Highland Glen Nevis 09:00 one reportedly flew south

19:40 10/10 Black Kite Cornwall Trethewey adult is bearing a transmitter

14:11 10/10 Black Kite Cornwall Trethewey still from B3283 just beyond St Buryan this afternoon

11:30 10/10 Black Kite Cornwall Trethewey 11:20 one again in flight near The Bottoms

10:35 10/10 Black Kite Cornwall Trethewey 09:40 one still in valley below Crean then flew south-east

09:56 10/10 Black Kite Cornwall Trethewey 08:40 one still in field near The Bottoms at 50.0622, -5.6524 then flew towards Trethewey

16:31 09/10 Black Kite Cornwall Trethewey 16:20 one in field near The Bottoms at 50.0622, -5.6524

14:29 08/10 Black Kite Cornwall Polgigga 13:50 again over valley to north-east at Crean

13:12 08/10 Black Kite Cornwall Polgigga 13:00 one flew over Higher Bosistow Lane


October 14th: maximum 12C, minimum 2C, sunshine and showers, light SW, sunny, quite cold by 24:00 with clear skies. Came back though Dipton Wood at 23:45, seeing 1 Badger at Riding Mill, 1 Rabbit in Dipton Wood main, 4 Rabbit and a Tawny Owl at Ordley; earlier had a dead Grey Squirrel on road at Hexham S, a Kestrel at Styford N and a Jay at Throckley S at 12:00. Met Trish Sykes at wake who reported 2 Red Kite at Dukesfield on 8/10; she's seen less Red Kite in the 'shire this year. Attended funeral of Nick Norris at West Road Crematorium, NCL, at 12:30; met NH, S there to represent North Music Trust. Went back to B4m4ll in Hexham as wake so changed plans to stay in NCL 4 afternoon. Pleased 2 c my mate L again from G at B!! Music and yoga were main interests of couple and very pleased that L will keep up her patronage of RNS! Back at 18:08 on train RDM-NCL for concert; sat with S/M as T still at work. Concert by RNS was excellent – a rather austere opening with piece by Kaija Saariaho – Nymphea Reflection -- was followed by a brilliant solo performance of Schumann’s Cello Concerto by Anastasia Kobekina (Moscow born and reared, now in Germany) with Dinis Sousa conductor joining her for an encore ‘Intermezzo’ by Schumann for cello and piano. They finished with Beethoven 8: a very confident and expressive performance on a work they know well and one of my favourite symphonies. Stayed for a couple of rw with the orchestra b4 catching last train home, where chatting to one of the trustees of QH theatre, HEX. 2moro fancy a walk, seeing D/D in evening. Funds lost all last week’s gain at minus 24k on week; bemused at the political crisis: the public/media seems to be blissfully unaware of the crisis facing the country in maintaining living standards in the face of a full blown energy crisis. We need to solve many supply-side issues throughout the economy, most particularly in working skills, working population size, and in nuclear, oil/gas and even coal for energy infrastructure. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 13th: maximum 12C, minimum 8C, calm, sunny all day, dry, beautiful. Three interesting types of birds at Ordley: 12 Pink-footed Goose S, 1 Buzzard, 1 Chiffchaff. A Red Admiral was at Hexham on ivy blossom; plenty of hover flies, some bees but few wasps on flowering ivy in Hexham. Busy day gardening doing top of leylandii 4m high using steps and extended trimmer over 2 hours; needs final tidy-up along crest but arms aching and will leave that for another day. Had break in cutting with T4m4l with M/B and good chat. Made G4g4s with R/P/A at end of day 4 lively conclusion! Added 7/10 Ordley to BirdTrack so getting going again on bird records. 2moro sees funeral of NN at 12:30 at West End Crematorium in NCL (collection for North Music Trust); going to drive in, take car to CAL, change clothes and then go into NCL/GHD for work on prehension, meal and concert at S. Should sleep well tonight after all that exercise! Sweet dreams: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Markets are so volatile: on latest inflation data in US, NASDAQ (tech) opened down 3% but finished 2% up. Another very trying week for funds but volatility today shows some people are buying into the avalanche of selling!

October 12th: maximum 13C, minimum 9C, light SW, mostly dry, shower at ttime. Intruder alarm duly serviced at 09:00; everything OK even battery which worked well during the great storm Arwen. Made QH Library at 13:00, had lunch at QHC and met B and the gang at G4g4t 4 gr8 chat! Did a lot more work on ANPA on the prehension concept, up to limit and colimit with diagrams, not at LCCC yet; will carry on doing a bit each day until prehension draft completed. Did do some hedge trimming this morning in front, cutting all at low level; plan to continue tomorrow with the tops; very good for keeping fit! Lunch is with M at Tans. Time for bed: it’s 01:08 (13/10): xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 11th: maximum 12C, minimum 9C, light SW, sunny, dry. Haircut at 11 with lively Jd at JG set me up for day! Catch-up on a number of tasks on computer until 17:00 when had FB video chat with son for an hour; all’s well, he’s coming to the Festival for opening and closing nights and jazz, going to Istanbul from NCL for a few days in between! Completed all Festival work – will review 2moro to check it’s all done!! Run on PayPal after its ill-advised account fine of $2.5k for malicious comment, to be judged by them alone; shares are down 75% from a year ago; would not keep a high balance with them: go woke, go broke! Markets continue in depression: minus 5k wtd on own funds, could be a lot worse with main indices off 1.5 to 2% in 2 days. 2moro it’s intruder alarm service at crack of dawn (09:00) and more active day with QH Library, QHC and G all lined up in afternoon; should get some more work done on ANPA paper after some tidying up today. Be in touch: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 10th: maximum 11C, minimum 7C, moderate W, sunny, dry, cool evening. Day to Leeds was very rewarding; learnt a lot about Monteverdi’s Orpheus and its conversion to a hybrid western Europe/south Asia version; sure it will be controversial and I asked the question: how do you cope with the lack of homogeneity across south Asia? There are many tensions in Indian films at the moment with north India (Bollywood) facing great challenges from south India (Hindu), where of course the thriving Indian IT centre is concentrated, around Bangalore. But it’s great to bring communities together so it will be fascinating to see how it works out. Indian classical music (raga) can be as intricate as western forms. We had a talk by a lecturer from York University, Dr Neil Sorrell, followed by seeing the close of rehearsals of bits that still need polishing with dress rehearsal on Wednesday and opening performance on Friday in Leeds. I’m seeing it in early November at Newcastle. We finished with a panel in q&a where a positive feel on all sides towards the Europe/Asia collaboration. Enjoyed the afternoon: very welcoming atmosphere for their patrons. Got back after yet another train cancellation by Trans Pennine jit 4 G4g4s with P/A/R 4 good chat. With quite long disjoint train journeys made gr8 progress on ANPA text, using Notepad on ‘phone under Android to record changes, backing up with email copies from time to time; predictive text eases the writing load enormously. Can see now that of Whitehead's main terms prehension is Locally Cartesian Closed (product), nexus is coproduct and Ultimate is topos, all very satisfying but still a lot of work to do to write it all up. Very pleased to hear from someone … xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 9th: maximum 13C, minimum 7C, light S, windy on moderate SW in evening with heavy rain showers. Today was music-day with concert by London Phil in afternoon. A large orchestra, made good use of, in Tchaikovsky’s Romeo and Juliet and Elgar’s Enigma Variations. The flautists were brilliant: gr8 to have JB and EG together again, EG deputising for CC and of course JB is their regular principal!! Benjamin Grosvenor was the star in Mendelssohn's PC 1, which has 2 fast movements and a very lyrical middle one. His 2 encores had the audience guessing, possibly Bartók or Shostakovitch but he does compose as well so might have been his own writings. Think Enigma Variations is the best large-scale English music of the romantic period, performed well under Edward Gardner. Good social day, meeting several partners and attendance was good: 3 levels filled. Going to funeral of Nick Norris from Hexham, principal partner with Linda in Newcastle West Road Crematorium on Friday; he died of stomach cancer just a few weeks after initial diagnosis, devastating. Had some decent exercise today, walking to S and back from station; had a quickie G4g4t at VctCmt and also a longer G4g4s at G. 2moro it’s ON insight in Leeds, going by train. 6/6 artists processed: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 8th: maximum 12C, minimum 8C, moderate W, dry, sunny spells, clear by evening, felt warmer today. Had good field trip to Stocksfield Mount from 13:20-15:30, finding 2 Honey-buzzard juvenile, 1 over Eltringham at 14:34 1 (12121), other over Bywell Short Wood, heavily mobbed by Rook at 14:49 2  3  4  5 (12122); 2 Red Kite, adult NE of Short Wood at 14:07, 1w over New Ridley at 15:08 1; 4 Common Buzzard: 2 adult +2 1w over Mount 1, a 1w over New Ridley 2 and 2 1w over Merryshields (total 7). Some interesting migrants in total of 27 bird-types: a Redwing W (first of season for me), a flock of 9 Brambling N, a Lesser Whitethroat over nearby trees (grey upperside, very clean white underside, rearing up and then down again) , a Swallow S, 3 House Martin SW, 8 Herring Gull adult W, plus 2 Jay, 11 mobile Chaffinch, 5 Siskin, 2 Bullfinch, 3 Goldfinch, 1 Grey Wagtail, 1 Stock Dove, 1 Grey Heron, and late butterflies: single Comma and Small White. Many wasps were on flowering ivy, c40. Heard some Canada Geese (say 10) over Newton at 23:00 coming out of DoW, after gr8 chat with D/D and the charming A on. Concert 2moro at S with London Phil. Michael Heather’s memorial service is in Totnes on 21/10 so rearranged trip starting that date to 20/10 and will join with family late afternoon on 21/10 for short journey to Dartmouth, where family do is on. It’s going to be an emotional week. Michael’s son S sent me a photo of his father, which I’d requested to add to my process web page as so many of the entries are our joint work. 4/6 artists processed : xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 7th: maximum 13C, minimum 7C, fresh SW, heavy rain in morning, sunny with heavy showers in afternoon. On the laptop in morning with good chat to N/D on Skype from 10-11:30 and joining plenary talk at Raptor Research Foundation in Florida from 13:00-14:30. The talk by Rob Fletcher was very interesting, on Snail Kite in the Everglades, which has been recovering thanks to an invasive Apple Snail, which is larger than the indigenous species, providing good food for the kite, which in a decade have started to develop larger bills to extricate them from their shells: evolution in action! Went for local walk from 17:30-18:45 and bumped into a juvenile dark-phase Honey-buzzard 1  2  3  4 (12120), which was floating around quite rapidly over the fields to NW of my house at Ordley. Got a few piccies: it disappeared to N, presumably a Scottish bird on migration. Also had a 1w Kestrel, a Nuthatch and 8 Tree Sparrow in total of 16 bird-types. Met D church treasurer out on walk for a chat: he knew a lot about Florida wildlife, including the one no-one loves: the invasive Burmese Python. Completed analysing piccies from 5/8 Prudhoe, confirming account below. Had a shock with my website. After Chrome/Vodafone collapsed in the morning on the desktop, restarted everything and was getting a solid error 403 Forbidden on all my own web pages. Tidied up the home directory, removing the .htaccess file and changing the main index file from .phtml to .html but no good. Noticed other people were still accessing my pages but laptop with Edge had same 403 message. Then found with ‘phone that that was the same with WiFi but if I switched it to 4G, it worked. So turned off WiFi router, left for 30 sec to drain and restarted: access problem solved! Funds had a much better week, recovering nearly all of last week’s losses with gain of 24k, giving +532k gross ytd, +485k net. PoO approaching $100 a barrel after OPEC cuts, setting off mini-boom in oil stocks. Have started accumulating US tech stocks and retained a few UK housebuilders but main thrust is still commodities, particularly oil. Markets as a whole had a decent Monday but were falling fast again by Friday. 2/6 artists processed: always delighted to help: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 6th: maximum 15C, minimum 11C, fresh SW, heavy showers, sunny interludes. Busy day, attended plenary session on Zoom from Raptor Research Foundation (RRF) for 1 hour from Florida on bromide poisoning in fish and eagles, met M at T4m4l and R/A at G4g4s with S on. Booked up train HEX-LDS next Monday £53 for insight event into Orpheus opera and renewed RRF sub for 2023 for $100, including extra for young researchers. Have indeed resigned from JLAF; reasons are complex but basically it’s too woke! Added Sinderhope 6/8 to BirdTrack with some piccies. Next up is 5/8 Prudhoe. Climate-wise looking at Holocene Thermal Maximum! Morning sees my hormone levels peak: xxx XXXXX!!!!!!

October 5th: maximum 13C, minimum 9C, moderate SW, heavy rain most of day, few sunny interludes. Busy day, made QH Library for work on ANPA paper, QHC4s4l, W4bigshop (£57), G4g4t 4 gr8 chat with B/T. Cleaner S came in afternoon. Made good progress on ANPA paper, getting the first section sorted, and intend to spend an hour a day on this now. Feel I have too many activities on at the moment, about to ditch JLAF. xx XXX!!! Great rendezvous with the most gorgeous one: xxx XXXXX!!!!!!

While no-one doubts that global temperatures are rising gently (0.13C per decade on satellite data from UAH) there is far from unanimity as to the cause though the climate emergency crowd attribute the rise (mainly in their models) solely to anthropogenic (human) factors, namely carbon dioxide. Two papers have recently been published, which suggests the models are not perfect. One suggests La Niña winters could keep on coming, as in this study at https://phys.org/pdf584031305.pdf. The full paper is Systematic Climate Model Biases in the Large-Scale Patterns of Recent Sea-Surface Temperature and Sea-Level Pressure Change by Robert C. J. Wills, Yue Dong, Cristian Proistosecu, Kyle C. Armour, David S. Battisti, in Geophysical Research Letters (August 2022) with plain language summary:

Regional climate change depends not only on the magnitude of global warming, but also on the spatial pattern of warming. We show that the spatial pattern of observed surface temperature changes since 1979 is highly unusual, and many aspects of it cannot be reproduced in current climate models, even when accounting for the influence of natural variability. We find a particularly large discrepancy in the rate of warming within the western Pacific Ocean and eastern Indian Ocean, which suggests that models have systematic biases in the response of sea-surface temperature patterns to anthropogenic forcing, because the contribution of natural variability to multi-decadal trends is thought to be relatively small in this region. Our work raises the possibility that the recent trends toward more La-Niña-like conditions may be partly a response to anthropogenic forcing, even though most existing climate model and paleo-climate evidence suggests that trends will eventually reverse toward more El-Niño-like conditions, with an associated shift in regional climate trends.

The second analyses recent temperature changes over the last 43 years on a regional basis. Climate Concerns, Some thoughts on our knowledge of the Earth's climate, at https://oz4caster.wordpress.com/monthly-trends/#:~:text=The%20September%202022%20global%20mean,since%20records%20began%20in%201979 (September 2022). It reports:

The pattern of temperature trends for the Southern Hemisphere middle latitudes and Antarctic is not consistent with hypothesized significant man-made global warming. Since carbon dioxide concentrations are relatively uniform across the globe on a time scale of years and show persistent upward trends since 1979, these flat and downward temperature trends indicate that hypothesized man-made global warming is not dominant and that other factors are likely to be more dominant over the last 40 years. The implication is that observed upward temperature trends in the Northern Hemisphere are also being dominated by other factors. These other factors need to be resolved before any kind of accurate future climate predictions can be made. Predictions made assuming that man-made global warming is dominant are likely to fail.

So the science maybe is not so settled! Why does the planet have such large divergent regional trends in warming/cooling? More to follow in this line …

October 4th: maximum 16C, minimum 12C, moderate SW, cloudy, rain from time to time, mild. Completed processing all records in September and October so next onto Black Kite tour in early August and finalising Chamonix. Planning to get back to ANPA paper though 2moro as copy needed by early December; may work in QH Library and have lunch in QHC, followed by G4g4t; S is coming to clean and it’s going to rain all day. Today after f&c+mp meal at HFB (£18) made piano recital at QH, with talented soloist Dominic Degavino. He played a varied programme of Beethoven Sonata 3, Beach Five Improvisations, Schubert Allegretto, Brahms Sonata 3.The Beethoven was the most expressive and the Brahms the most emphatic with great chords and bold playing. Amy Beach’s pieces were quite wistful. An enjoyable concert, met JR and wife (Rotarians) in interval for good chat over a rw. Had another rw afterwards at B where met D/P, also having a change from the G! Have booked up for an insight event in Leeds next Monday afternoon into their next production Orpheus; enjoy these as have experts discussing the work and how to perform it. Also following week invited to a Lindisfarne Gospels event at the Laing NCL by RNS coordinator NH. So music scene is good: xx XXX!! Funds are having a better week with +18k wtd as US boom slows, maybe limiting rate rises. Have bought into tech and oil this week with maybe NASDAQ bottoming and PoO Brent over $90 again.

Pleased to see BBC giving bad publicity for biomass: Drax: UK power station owner cuts down primary forests in Canada. A company that has received billions of pounds in green energy subsidies from UK taxpayers is cutting down environmentally-important forests, a BBC Panorama investigation has found. Drax runs Britain's biggest power station, which burns millions of tonnes of imported wood pellets - which is classed as renewable energy. The BBC has discovered some of the wood comes from primary forests in Canada. The company says it only uses sawdust and waste wood. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-63089348. Yorkshire power station Drax 'destroying ancient forests' BBC Panorama finds. In an investigation of Drax Power Station, BBC Panorama claimed the station is now emitting more greenhouse gases than when it burned coal. A Yorkshire power station is 'cutting down trees in ancient forests important for fighting climate change', a BBC Panorama investigation has claimed. Drax Power Station in Selby switched to burning wood pellets at its plant from coal, and in recent years has received £6bn in green subsides from the taxpayer as a result. But campaigners dispute claims burning wood pellets for energy is a truly renewable energy source. https://www.examinerlive.co.uk/news/local-news/yorkshire-power-station-drax-destroying-25169572.

Drax response to BBC Panorama programme on Canadian Forestry. A Drax spokesperson said: “Canada has some of the most highly regulated forests in the world which ensures the forests in British Columbia (BC) are managed properly and provide positive benefits to nature, the climate and people. “People living in and around these forests are best placed to determine how they should be looked after, not the BBC. Drax’s own world-leading sustainable sourcing policies are aligned with the rigorous regulatory frameworks and rules set by both the BC and UK governments. https://www.drax.com/press_release/drax-response-to-bbc-panorama-programme-on-canadian-forestry/.

IMHO biomass is a scandal. Drax has received £6 billion in subsidies to ship wood pellets from all over the globe to its furnaces at Drax to generate electricity. It would be better to burn coal (the power station lies in a coalfield) with latest equipment than to trash biodiversity in forests around the planet. The Eurozone also uses a lot of biomass to reach its targets on carbon emissions and forests are suffering in the current energy shortage. In the TV programme the Drax spokesman kept on saying “This is not in our business model” but what’s the relation between the model and reality: a question that could be aimed at all Green thinking: time for a critical rethink!

October 3rd: maximum 14C, minimum 12C, moderate SW, cloudy, sunny intervals, spots of rain. Busy today concluding Crete 2022 report and finalising Honey-buzzard breeding season results, as below. Now going to get backlog of records in UK from 19/9 to present compiled and then do the Chamonix report. Today made R @ B4m4l and G4g4s, latter with R/A. Completed glamorous job replacing downstairs loo seat (see 20/9): cleaner S had recruited a friend to saw through the hinges on the seized old ones while I was in London; I then ordered a replacement plastic one (£30) on Amazon which arrived yesterday and fitted today: so that’s a relief! 2moro going to concert 1 of HMS series at QH – a piano recital. Taking a winter off vaccinations (Covid/flu): far too many unexplained deaths and illness in healthy young people who’ve been recently vaccinated; heart disease (myocarditis) is a frequent common factor. Data from Israel in particular is disturbing https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-10928-z. So in massive catch-up at the moment: looking forward to November!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

From home page at Honey-buzzard Home Page:

15/09/22: Honey-buzzard end of breeding season: Overall 23 sites occupied, 18 male, 14 female. In fledging period from 28/8-15/9, in 14 sites, had 4 male, 4 female, 21+ juvenile seen, 1+ juvenile inferred, 30 birds total. Survey very much restricted to core of study area this year of Hexhamshire (Devil’s Water) and Tyne Valley W. In this core area the population was at saturation levels with high breeding success.

3rd October 2022: Added Trip Report for Crete visit in April 2022 (Crete 2022)

Birds: 67 species from 264 records, 14 complete lists, 12 places. 13 species of raptor, 75 birds: Common Buzzard 30, Common Kestrel 13, Griffon Vulture 8, Black Kite 6, Peregrine 4, Honey-buzzard 3, Bonelli’s Eagle 2, Sparrowhawk 2, Long-legged Buzzard 2, Lesser Kestrel 2, Steppe Eagle 1, Red-footed Falcon 1, Barn Owl 1. Full records in bird report.

Butterflies: 10 days of recording, 10 species, 154 insects: Small White 80, Speckled Wood 23, Holly Blue 16, Common Blue 10, Clouded Yellow 10, Swallowtail 6, Large White 5, Cretan Festoon 2, Small Copper 1, Painted Lady 1. Full records in butterfly report.

October 2nd: maximum 14C, minimum 8C, moderate W, mostly dry, sunny spells. Much better day weather-wise and house feeling nice and warm with baseload storage heaters; did light coal fire in evening for cheery glow. Taking it easy physically the last 2 days but out for a walk towards Dotland 3km at dusk and did make G4g4s with 3 mates R/B/D 4 gr8 chat. Wildlife in last 2 days included a badger over the road at Newbiggin yesterday at 23:00, a rabbit on the road at Ordley at 24:00 tonight, a Tawny Owl in the Sele at 23:30 tonight, and on walk, 2 adult Common Buzzard calling from Peth Foot and a Grey Heron at Peth Foot around 18:30 with 10 Blackbird, more conspicuous. Made massive strides on Crete report for April 2022: completed processing piccies of everything (birds, butterflies, other wildlife, scenery) for account, obtained summary of bird records from BirdTrack and converted to xhtml, ½ way through compiling butterfly records in spreadsheet. So confident complete report will be published tomorrow, then onto Chamonix report for August 2022 which is also close to finishing. It’s Rotary at B4m4l tomorrow and G4g4s again. To the gorgeous one: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

October 1st: maximum 13C, minimum 9C, moderate W, very heavy frequent showers, sunny intervals. Had a nice relaxing day after the hectic week. House is warm. Put a lot of work into my embryonic Crete 2022 page where now just have part of one day 15/4 to complete compilation of piccies. So almost there, maybe will finish tomorrow, at least to publish a draft. Had a female Sparrowhawk in plantation to N of house, wonder if it’s taking up residence. Late butterflies comprised a Red Admiral and a Small White. Met D/D at DoW in evening for gr8 catch-up. 2moro will be be back at G! Next concerts are Tuesday at QH in HEX and on Sunday with London Philharmonic at S. Hope the fancied one is fit: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

September 30th: maximum 14C, minimum 9C, moderate W, very heavy frequent showers. Had left one storage heather on low but house felt cold and put on remaining storage heaters on low today as well as burning a bucket of smokeless fuel on the fire; house still warming up as went to bed; storage heaters are on low tariff on Economy 7. Electricity prices are up 20% (gas +40%, don’t have supply) on ½ year, +100% on 12 months tomorrow but not going to skimp! Trains back were all on time, leaving LDS at 10:14 and making HEX at 12:40 with 2 changes. Met M at T4m4l at 13:00 – quickly back in the swing. N/D are having a pause this week in the Skype conversation – pity they don’t come out properly! Funds finished -26k on week, leaving position at +508k ytd (+28.8%) gross, +461k net. All indices are now down on year with ftse 100 -6.7%, ftse 250 -26.9%, dow -21.0%, nasdaq tech -32.4%, bitcoin minus -58.2%. Fierce bear markets everywhere now with UK stocks especially undermined by reckless mini-budget of Kwarteng/Truss. Don’t think Labour would be much better as they still have the same insane energy policy. The west is teetering on the edge of a serious decline with its religion of net zero: there is a gradual rise in temperature but we can adapt: there is no climate emergency and there’s certainly not the natural resources to provide decarbonisation of power supplies by 2050. Yet the west is doubling down on intermittent renewables, biomass in the form of burning wood and expensive electric cars. The west will become deindustrialised and poorer on current trends. The BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, plus recent additions) who only pay lip service to net zero are going to dominate the world order if current trends continue. Had been buying some UK domestic stocks like housebuilders but have liquidated most of these in the dead-cat bounce today and hold 122k cash of which 1/4 in $. Looking at tech stocks (Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, etc) through investment trusts with their shares now at discount of c15% to portfolio value and oil/gas (again!) at the moment particularly those with a $ component; the £ and € are toxic for the foreseeable future.

September 29th: maximum 13C, minimum 10C, light S, cloudy, light rain. Music extravaganza trip finished in style with La Traviata in opening night for Opera North’s new season. Train from KGX-LDS at 13:03 was cancelled so caught 13:30 NCL train, getting off at DON to change for LDS. Get £18 refund for cancellation so that brings cost for whole trip down to £60 but was an hour late into my hotel at 16:30. Ibis Styles is ideal for the opera as it’s only 200m from the theatre; quite a classy hotel, one I stayed in last time, the skyscraper, is budget but today’s choice was reasonable at £79 including breakfast. Started in Howard Assembly Rooms for welcome reception (rw) and handing over of complimentary ticket for dress circle, front row. La Traviata by Verdi is a well-known opera and was delivered in classical style, leaving Orpheus and Orfeo as presumably their more experimental productions. Almost every seat had been sold. Alison Langer as lead role Violetta sang beautifully and powerfully, mastering the crescendos with absolute certainty. She also had good acting ability and that undefinable stage presence. It’s a sad story as Violetta moves from a casual care-free life in Paris in Act 1 to her deathbed in Act 3, where she dies of TB at the end, having a brief spell of joy as the pain goes as the body starts to close down: very poignant! Alfredo, played by Nico Darmanin, was her lover. Her maid was played by Amy Payne, who was in the ON Chorus and sang a few folk songs to me in the lockdown over Zoom, in a scheme to raise some money. I see the same production in TR at NCL in a few weeks, where I also get a complimentary ticket. The conductor was Jonathan Webb. Reception continued in the 2 intervals and post-performance. Attended all; had some interesting conversations with ON staff including the ON Education overseer who remembered well (and fondly) the BAF opera, with which they assisted. Retired to hotel for really good sleep: dreaming of all the excitements of the past 6 days: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Wildlife noted on travels: a Kestrel at Holme Fen, single Red Kite at Little Ponton and Stubton (29/9) and a Buzzard at Saxton (30/9), using Google Maps to locate where the bird was seen.

September 28th: maximum 14C, minimum 8C, light SW, sunny intervals and showers. Made Richmond Park for walk around Pembroke Lodge with daughter; very good exercise and saw 14 Red Deer, including a massive stag. No raptors seen. We all went for meal at Persian Restaurant Sofreh in New Malden http://www.sofrehrestaurant.com/ from 18:00-20:00, owned by Iman, Mehdi’s brother-in-law; had lamb kebab and plenty of salad, mint tea, no alcohol! Was a lovely occasion. So visit has been really good in cementing relations with all I hold dear!! Left off funds position from yesterday as didn’t want to sully a brilliant day. Minus 17k on wtd but panic has been so bad, could have been much worse. Will leave my take on it all to the weekend but am fairly fully invested so riding out the storm. 2moro it’s up early to wave goodbye to granddaughters as they go to school and then up to Leeds for La Traviata and receptions at ON, staying overnight in Ibis b4 return to HEX next day. Next trip is to Dartmouth in Devon for elder sister’s party in a weekend in late October; adding 3 nites midweek at Ness House for £450 to return to my home town of Teignmouth, where I was brought up. Got super off-peak rail travel for £170 via London; travelling down with son and daughter and granddaughters on last leg from PAD. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

September 27th: maximum 14C, minimum 10C, light NW, cloudy, some heavy showers. Went for walk around Isabella Plantation in Richmond Park with daughter and dog late morning; good exercise and did see 4 Red Deer, 6 Grey Squirrel, 2 Fox, 50 Ring-necked Parakeet, 2 adult Mute Swan, 6 Greenfinch. Total for bird-types was 17. In addition a Tawny Owl was called on edge of Park at 23:00 yesterday. Made WAT from NBT in afternoon, moving into Wagamama for refreshments, including chilli chicken and rw; joined by superb company, delighted that we could meet under such pressure!! Concert followed at RFH sitting next to son. What a performance of Berlioz’s Symphonie fantastique by Aurora under Nicholas Collon conductor with Matthew Baynton as presenter! The performing by heart does do more for the piece than just an intellectual feat: it gives a spontaneity and deeper understanding that brings the music alive. All 5 movements came across well but thought the March to the Scaffold was brilliant and the Dream of a Sabbath Night to close was sensational, particularly the ending. So another triumph for Aurora and Collon’s designs and implementations. Whole orchestra played brilliantly and gr8 2c someone on front of stage!! Good-sized audience, mainly young, gave a deserved raucous standing ovation. Had chat with son afterwards, caught train WAT-NBT and picked up by daughter as not too late. What a marvellous day: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

September 26th: maximum 14C, minimum 7C, light NW, cloudy, some showers, one heavy. Made move from WGC to NBT, getting 13:03 bus Welwyn to WGC, 13:52 fast train to FPK, tube to VXH, suburban train to NBT, arriving at 15:08. Really enjoyed stay at son’s!! So now with 2 lively granddaughters, daughter and son-in-law. He starts work with Balyasny Asset Management in mid-October in London, moving to Dubai in December with family joining him in March. BAM was founded by a Ukrainian emigrant some years ago: Dmitry Balyasny plus 2 others in Chicago in 2001. So ex-Gazprom but still with some eastern bias! Overlooked in current debate on the dismal £ is the fact that we have a massive 8% of GDP deficit in our Balance of Payments with the rest of the world: we are living way beyond our means: Kwarteng’s budget did nothing to resolve this problem directly, though the fall in £ will be a help in that it encourages exports and discourages imports. So really looking forward to tomorrow!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

September 25th: maximum 16C, minimum 11C, light NW, sunny intervals, dry. Went for walk from 12::00-13:30 in meadows on way to Codicote – many Red Kite floating around, say 10, 2 Common Buzzard and a young Kestrel, plus a Grey Heron, a Green Woodpecker, a Nuthatch in total of 16 bird-types. We had roast lunch at the White Horse, roast beef and Eton mess for me; we’re minded to have Xmas lunch here with myself staying with son in Welwyn and daughter’s family coming over from Kingston for the day; saves on cooking! Today made Wigmore Hall in evening for piano concert by Igor Levit, a Russian who’s lived in Germany for quite a while. He played 11 Chorale Preludes by Johannes Brahms, Variations on a Folk Song by Fred Hersch (b.1955), Tristan und Isolde Prelude (transcribed by Zoltán Kocsis) by Richard Wagner, Piano Sonata in B minor S178 by Franz Liszt. The Brahms sounded rather organ-like. The folk song was Shenandoah and the background was the Shakers in America: very evocative and many contrasts, enjoyable. The Wagner featured the well-known Tristan chord as the move away from tonality began. Rather novelly the Wagner ran straight into the Liszt, with no gap, and we had a very robust performance of the sonata, with slow soft patches punctuated by tremendous force in rapidly executed chords: vintage Liszt. My first visit to Wigmore Hall – friendly, enthusiastic audience and staff. We came back through Oxford Circus, Finsbury Park and Welwyn Garden City to Welwyn. An excellent day and quite active, walked about 13km. We had an encore, a Schumann sonata finale. Igor did initially threaten a 22-hour piece! 2moro is change-over day! No alcohol so far on this trip! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

September 24th: maximum 17C, minimum 8C, light NE, sunny intervals, few light showers. Down to London arriving KGX at 18:46, where met son outside Nero; we went to Granary Square for good meal, £89 all in, part of new KGX complex, joining onto Kings Place. Then back to Welwyn GC by train and taxi to flat in Welwyn. Flat is so much improved and kempt – gr8 2 c! 2moro it’s walk, lunch at pub in Welwyn and then trip to Wigmore for concert. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Only raptor noticed from train was a Kestrel at Offord Cluny at 18:00.

Helping investments last week was an update from RKH on their Falklands adventure with their Israeli partners Navitas:

Sea Lion Update: Navitas Transaction Completion [23 September 2022]

Rockhopper Exploration plc (AIM: RKH), the oil and gas exploration and production company with key interests in the North Falkland Basin, is pleased to announce that, further to the signing of definitive documentation as announced on 19 April 2022, the transaction enabling Harbour Energy plc ("Harbour") to exit and Navitas Petroleum LP through its UK subsidiary ("Navitas") to enter the North Falkland Basin with a 65% stake in, and operatorship of, all of Rockhopper's North Falkland Basin licences (the "Transaction"), has completed.

Samuel Moody, CEO, commented: "We are delighted to welcome Navitas to the North Falkland Basin as Operator of the Sea Lion development and wider acreage with all of its associated upside. We also thank both the Falkland Islands Government and Harbour for their work on this Transaction and look forward to working with Navitas to bring Sea Lion to fruition. Sea Lion alone is capable of producing at over 120,000 barrels of oil per day with significant upside. The proven oil and gas in the Falklands has the potential to form a material part of wider UK energy supply in a relatively short time frame, bringing with it huge potential security of supply and financial benefits for all stakeholders." https://www.londonstockexchange.com/news-article/RKH/sea-lion-update/15641063

September 23rd: maximum 16C, minimum 8C, light SW, sunny, few light showers. Have got car back – looks immaculate – was ready at 15:00; was walking in but had done 1.5km when picked up by Rotarian BM who took me to Loughbrow Park – big saving as didn’t have to walk up steep hill in middle but still had to walk down into Hexham and did 10km in day. Paid £350 excess to the garage Steer. In addition to earlier highlight, also had a concert at S with RNS. Got train in and had gr8 meal at MP – pizza piccante, rw and panna cotta – very good to meet friendly staff there again £37 – but back to the dreaded bus replacement for last train so came back on 22:05 service bus 10, which is more direct: the train stations are not aligned with the main roads! Concert called Lindisfarne to align with the Lindisfarne Gospels being deposited at the Laing Gallery was well attended and very atmospheric, particularly John Tavener’s Supernatural Songs, supposedly with a metaphysical basis! Videos were shown of the Holy Island area and the whole piece was very moving, played superbly by the RNS strings and sung in commanding style by Sarah Connolly, mezzo soprano. In the first half we had Hildegard of Bingen Rex Noster Promptus Est, John Tavener The Lamb, Hildegard of Bingen O Virtus Sapiente, Henry Purcell In Nomine in Seven Parts, Arvo Pärt Orient and Occident . All very atmospheric, almost hypnotic and modern and old. xx XX!!! Funds in a traumatic week for markets (falls in major indices of 3 to 5%) were down 20k, less than 1%, but at least the strength of the $ is hammering commodity markets, which should bring down inflation.

Wildlife today comprised 3 types of butterfly at Ordley: 2 Small White, 2 Speckled Wood, 1 Comma; a Mute Swan adult at Merryshields; at Quayside at 17:00: a Robin, an adult Cormorant, 20 Herring Gull, a GBBG 1w, 14 Feral Pigeon, 1 Woodpigeon.

September 22nd: maximum 16C, minimum 8C, moderate SW, cloudy morning, rain afternoon and early evening; just 1/2 bucket smokeless coal today, house is warm, electricity bill for last 3.5 weeks is £94 with storage heaters all off. Completed processing French material from 20/8-27/8 (with 25/8 Montenvers upland shrubs) so will give summary and totals tomorrow. Then moving onto Black Kite tour in study area in late July-early August.

Added Mike’s ultimate paper last Saturday to our website:

Heather, Michael, & Rossiter, Nick, Whitehead’s ‘Big Science’ of Process, Critical Edition of Whitehead Conference: Whitehead’s Harvard Lectures, 1925–1927, Virtual conference: 16–17 September 2022 (2022). pdf.

Battling to the end! Had long reply from his brother to my condolences saying that our research kept him going. There is likely to be a memorial service as Mike has left his body to medicine; would like to give a tribute there. Also posted on ANPA Chat and a number of colleagues have expressed their sorrow. Think I ought to add a picture of Mike to our website.

Not a very active day, feeling sad; had chat with son on FB video about this weekend, maybe Rotunda for dinner on Saturday and a walk and a pub at Welwyn on Sunday, b4 Wigmore. Gr8 to firm up arrangements for next Tuesday with the gorgeous one: xx XX!! Bye most gorgeous one. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

September 21st: maximum 18C, minimum 13C, light W breeze, sunny, warm, dry; just 1/2 bucket smokeless coal today, house is warm. Walked in again from 13:40-15:00, 1 hour 20 min seems to be predictable in dry weather. Made QH4s4ll (tuna, very nice staff and atmosphere), library for another read of M’s latest paper, G4g4t with B/J/S, so pleased to meet B again; he’s been told to stay in but it’s his raison d'être! We had a gr8 chat, then caught a taxi back to ‘Shire, £10 + £2 tip; that’s my 4th, total £53, hiring a car would have cost at least £500 for the 9 days. No news from repair shop: let’s hope that’s good news! May need to walk in to collect car on Friday, we’ll see; would be jit 4 RNS on Friday nite and trip S on Saturday afternoon. Will write 2moro: xx XX!! Worked hard in evening on Montenvers 25/8 piccies from mountain railway trip to the glacier; some stunning mountains, 1 butterfly, still to do the conserved meadow. Will be at home 2moro all day and nite! Wildlife on walk comprised: 2 Small White at Ordley; at Letah Wood: 1 singing Woodpigeon, 2 Nuthatch, 1 Starling, with butterflies: 1 Small White, 1 Red Admiral; at Loughbrow: 1 singing Woodpigeon, 1 juvenile Common Buzzard, 1 Nuthatch with 1 butterfly, a Speckled Wood.

Just heard at 00:34 22/9 the tragic news on my lifelong collaborator from the 1970s to now in over 250 research papers, Mike Heather:

Dear Nick, Very sorry to report that Michael had a stroke on Sunday and sadly passed away on Tuesday [20/9]. Regards, Noel [his brother]

Michael had sent me his last paper only last week and had presented it on Saturday through Zoom to a select group of Whitehead scholars in California. He’s been ill for some time with Long Covid and has had the near impossible task of caring for his wife who has dementia. He was a little older than me. He retired to Totnes, Devon, where he was a churchwarden. Will write a more substantial tribute on our work together.

September 20th: maximum 18C, minimum 9C, light NW breeze, dull, warmer, short sunny intervals, almost dry; just 3/4 bucket smokeless coal today, house is warm. ‘Phoned accident repairer today and they said they needed one extra part, damaged at the back of the grill, which should arrive tomorrow, enabling completion on Thursday and delivery back to me on Friday. Let’s hope so: that’s 5 working days on their counting (4-8 days was original estimate) as transfer days don’t count! Caught up on some records, processing piccies for Argentière on 24/8, leaving just one day to do for the French Alps trip at Montenvers on 25/8. Started replacing downstairs loo seat as metal hinges have become loose; would prefer a modern plastic one; dismantling is not easy as wing nuts underneath seized; a very glamorous job! Funds -5k on wtd with markets continuing weak generally. This is the week of big interest rate rises so that obviously has a dampening effect. Planning on walk-in again 2moro morning with bins and camera, keeping fit and looking for raptors! Looking forward to next week as will be much more creative and can forget about not having a car, whatever happens! xx XX!! Wildlife today included: 12 Lesser Redpoll in one flock in field, with butterflies 4 Small White, 1 Red Admiral.

Since 14/9 up to 20/9 no more Black Kite on BirdGuides, but 16 (14 records) more Honey-buzzard (92 in 12 days):

16:05 19/09 European Honey Buzzard Durham Whitburn Coastal Park 16:03 one flew south-west

15:17 19/09 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Breydon Water RSPB pale morph flew north over North Wall mid-morning; also juvenile Curlew Sandpiper

15:15 19/09 European Honey Buzzard Nottinghamshire Welbeck watchpoint 15:07 adult male again [counted as migrant]

11:16 18/09 European Honey Buzzard Lancashire Chorley 11:02 possible south of M61 between Horwich and Chorley

19:03 17/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Lackford Lakes SWT 16/09 one reportedly flew over Bess's Hide yesterday

13:11 17/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Hornsea 12:48 juvenile flew in off the sea, then headed west inland

10:51 17/09 European Honey Buzzard Nottinghamshire Langford Lowfields RSPB one flew south-east over Phase 1

16:16 16/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Lakenheath Fen RSPB 14:15 one then flew off south-east; also Osprey

14:07 16/09 European Honey Buzzard London Walthamstow Wetlands LWT one reported

13:06 16/09 European Honey Buzzard Buckinghamshire Butler's Cross one flew west over Coombe Hill early afternoon

13:04 16/09 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Noirmont Point two flew south this morning [follow through from SE England]

13:20 15/09 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Noirmont Point two flew over this morning [follow through from SE England]

11:56 15/09 European Honey Buzzard Highland Fort William 11:30 one flew SSE

07:47 15/09 European Honey Buzzard Isle of Wight Nansen Hill 07:43 one flew south


September 19th: maximum 15C, minimum 11C, light W breeze, dull, cool, short sunny intervals, dry; just ¼ bucket smokeless coal today, house felt warm. Not really a monarchist: just let it all wash over you: everywhere like a ghost town: not convinced country can afford a day off like this: did a lot of gardening with the hedge trimmer, cutting back ivy, hedges, shrubs everywhere, even the roadside hedge, getting ready for final major tidy-up. So place is looking more kempt! Had 2 butterflies today: 1 Small White, 1 Large White, plus a Swallow to SW and 4 Canada Goose. P did wonders: came to fetch me to take me to G: then when no taxis around at end, took me home: forever indebted! Had gr8 chat with P/A. Will ‘phone garage 2moro to check on progress. Working on Argentière 24/8, finding a previously undetected raptor in piccies from early in session and studying hard the 2 large fritillary butterflies on buddleia in the village. 2moro expecting to remain at home but Wednesday will walk in again to HEX for some company in afternoon (or even hopefully to pick up the car!). Have not run out of any more food items so planning holding-up! xx XX!!

September 18th: maximum 13C, minimum 9C, light N breeze, dull, cool, short sunny intervals, dry; smokeless coal fire lit at 11:00 and kept in all day with 1½ bucket, heating almost whole house, feel like a fireman! Tropical storm Fiona has become a Category 1 Hurricane, threatening Puerto Rico but not the Gulf. A super typhoon Nanmadol (Josie) is affecting parts of Japan but it lost power rapidly as it made landfall. Made good progress on last French trip, sorting piccies for 23/8 at Les Gaillands and Chamonix, including views of the town, Mont Blanc and the glacier. Have almost finished bird compilation for the Alps with 46 types in BirdTrack from 19/8-27/8, including 11 types of raptor; Honey-buzzard were found at 2 sites: Argentière (adult alarm call one day, subsequently family group 3 birds up above wood) and Les Gaillands (female agitated by adult Common Buzzard). Need to compile piccies for 2 days: 24/8 and 25/8. Did have a short walk today from 15:00-17:00 (3.5km) from Juniper to Motag to view 4 of the Shire’s Honey-buzzard sites but none seen. Had 3 Woodlark in flight as singles (1 N, 2 W), maybe dispersing from Slaley Forest to stubble fields to the N, rather than the moorland and sheep walk to the S. Also in total of 23 bird-types had 9 Swallow E, 5 Bullfinch, 5 Siskin, 2 Chiffchaff, 6 Robin, 1 Tawny Owl calling at 19:33. At 16:15 a Sparrowhawk (unsexed, not aged) rose over ridge briefly to N at West Dipton. Just one butterfly was seen: a Small White. 2 Kingfisher were at Hexham on Tyne at 11:00 near road bridge from a rower, with whom had a chat on walk. Received refund from LNER as delay repay from last trip HEX-EAL, getting £108.55 paid into my bank account. Have booked another trip today: HEX-KGX-LDS-HEX in 3 legs of advance singles, costing £77.30 in all! Glad we’ve got a meeting: xx XX!!

September 17th: maximum 13C, minimum 9C, moderate NW breeze, sunny periods, cool generally, coal fire (pre-laid) lit at 23:30 with ½ bucket to raise comfort. Did a lot of reading in morning, catching up on recent nature publications, creating piles for scanning and jettisoning, archiving and straight chuck! Roast beef ready-meal was lunch. Have already run out of eggs and radishes since big shop. Walked in again to Hexham, leaving home at 15:00 and arriving at Hexham Station at 16:31, 6.1km. Not much around: 2 Linnet and 2 Common Buzzard calling at Letah Wood, a Chiffchaff and Nuthatch at Loughbrow, a Red Admiral in Hexham. From train (16:40) spotted 2 Speckled Wood at Ovingham. Newcastle had been playing (1-1 with Bournemouth) so Metro was packed, just able to squeeze into one going to GHD, making S at 17:45 where had tuna sandwich and Americano. Joined reception at 18:30 sharp for good catch-up with N/F and partners and the odd rw. Before the concert, the Orchestra played God Save the King and we had an extensive tribute from AP, with plenty of moist eyes, to LV, who was much loved by RNS and supporters. The concert was dedicated to the memory of Lars Vogt, with a reprint of MO’D tribute in the Guardian in the programme. Concert had 2 main pieces. 1) Beethoven PC4 with American Jeremy Denk as star: he certainly was, playing superbly throughout; liked his feint at an encore, whatever could you do after such a piece, Brahms lullaby! 2) Mozart Mass in C Minor ‘Great’ with RNS Chorus and 4 soloists, including Rachel Redmond who is a local favourite. This was very stirring and grand, really enjoyed its contrasts and power. Walked back to Br4rw4s (old times!) b4 catching last train at 22:38 NCL-HEX, very busy and gr8 to see it running again after all those bus substitutions. At HEX at 23:25 no taxis at Station but picked one up at the rank in town, £12.50, with tip £15. Disturbed to see another Roe Deer on steep hill near my accident scene: this one jumped over a wall with difficulty, it’s a very restricted area for them to escape! So busy day: gr8 to be back at concerts and plenty of exercise with day total of 17,290 steps, 12.1 km! Hoping to get car back on Wednesday or Thursday. Meanwhile, good to keep fit: xx XX!! Just a short local walk planned for Sunday.

Immediate interest from look at recent publications was the British Birds report on Scarce Migrants in 2020, covering Black Kite and Rough-legged Buzzard on pp.384-385, July 2022 BB. Black Kite should of course now be in Rare Breeders (1 mixed pair with Red Kite in Northumberland in 2020) but we’ll pass over that! For Black Kite number of accepted records was 34, 2nd highest on record, thanks to a concentrated arrival between late April and early May. Sussex and Kent produced the highest counts with none north of Yorkshire, so none in Scotland. For 2021 124 were noted on BirdGuides but how many have been accepted is another matter. For 2022 there are 179 sightings on BirdGuides to date. I detect some prejudice in the account (no news there!): any breeding should occur in the deep south of England, not in the wild north, and the trend is surely up, not ‘none’ with 10 per year 1980-1989 and 15 1990-1999 up to 23 per year 2010-2019 and now 34 in 2020. Rough-legged Buzzard had a poor year with just 11 birds in 2020, 2nd lowest on record but its numbers are very variable.

September 16th: maximum 12C, minimum 5C, moderate NW breeze, sunny periods, cool by nighttime, no fire lit as out, house felt quite warm on return at 23:30 from solar infusion during day. An energetic day with no car: 12746 steps, 8.92km, of which 6km was the walk-in from home to Hexham town centre at Eastgate. Walk-in from 13:30-14:50 took 1 hour 20 min with some dawdling looking for raptors of which none seen! Made QHC4s4ll (tuna) and Hexham Fish Bar4m4t (haddock), latter good quality with cost £17.40 including Fentimans original lemonade. Made Library after late lunch, looking at M’s latest writings on Whitehead and raising some questions for him on HL2 (Harvard Letters volume 2). After tea decided to go to Riding Mill early for walk to Tyne, going by 18:56 train after bus failed to turn up. That was a good decision with plenty of interesting birdlife by the River at dusk from 19:05-19:55. Had a flock of sparrow at Ordley at 13:30: 30 Tree Sparrow, 15 House Sparrow. At Riding Mill at dusk in total of 13 bird-types had a Tawny Owl (calling at 19:49, mobbed by Magpie), 2 Dipper (1 at some height, 1 low-down), 3 Goosander (drake, 2 redhead), 35 Swallow (in 2 flocks 22,13 moving SW at dusk), 1 Pink-footed Goose (lone bird low-down to W), 1 Chiffchaff, 1 Bullfinch. Made W4g4s where met D/D at 20:30 4 gr8 chat. They gave me lift home, all the way to Ordley: marvellous!! A Tawny Owl was calling at Ordley at 23:30. 2moro is big day at Sage, another walk-in in afternoon (no bins this time) and then train HEX-NCL 16:56 and Metro NCL-GHD with taxi on final leg back to home after leaving NCL on 22:36. Funds lost Tuesday’s gain with wtd -1k after 5k withdrawals (3k to granddaughter I, 2k to pay off credit cards from summer trips) and sharp falls in world markets (-2 to -5%) on fears that inflation is becoming more entrenched. Ytd is +554k gross, +507k net. Have continued to move out of oil into mining (metals needed for decarbonisation, coal) and UK housebuilders (crashed 50% ytd). Main oil interests are now in the Falklands. Have no short-term debt (or indeed any debt) now. xx XX!!

September 15th: maximum 14C, minimum 7C, light NW, sunny spells, particularly in morning and late afternoon, cool by nighttime, lit fire with intent on full bucket of coal and all internal doors open. Marooned but P came out to fetch me for pub and got taxi back again at 23:30 with Advanced Taxis for £12, £14 with tip. Did lots of catch-up in daytime, now inputting data back to 27/8, even including the Kestrel and Black Kite in France via GPS. Not so many distractions! G4g4s was good with P/A/R and S on, even able to have an extra g as not driving! There was a spin-off for Honey-buzzard survey. Went out locally from 12:00-13:00 and had 2 Honey-buzzard juveniles to SW of local site, up for a minute, quite close together. So that converts 1+ to 2. Feel might add a bit more on walks through the ‘Shire to Hexham; charging lighter Panasonic camera for record shots. Also today at Ordley had 45 Greylag Goose SW at 17:00 (heard well) and 10 mobile Siskin, plus 2 Swallow S and 3 W and a Chiffchaff. Butterflies comprised 2 Red Admiral, 1 Speckled Wood and 6 Small White. Also working today on ANPA paper and M has submitted our paper for this Saturday, as well as presenting it. Marvellous!! Looking forward to seeing the gorgeous one: xx XX!!

September 14th: maximum 16C, minimum 8C, light NW, mostly cloudy, cool feel, fire not lit as still warm from yesterday’s fire, place is reasonably insulated and heat comes out from stove and chimney breast for some time after it’s stopped glowing actively. UAH report on climate for August 2022 has now arrived and is added below. A tropical depression ‘Seven’ is in Hurricane alley: can it rescue the season? Car duly handed over to Steer at 09:55; the 4-8 days does not include today, Wednesday is day 0 and yes no work next Monday so must be at least a week before it’s done. Went to Library at QH in morning and early afternoon with breaks at T4m4l with M/B and G4g4ll with A/L. Was working on ANPA paper, on which plan to spend 1-2 hours a day now that main Honey-buzzard season is over. Got taxi home, Advanced Taxis, from main rank in town: £9.60 rounded up to £12 with tip. Think late nite charges will be higher. Have added 11/9 Prospect Hill to BirdTrack, now working on 13/9 Hexham Tyne Green. 2moro it’s day at home, then P is going to fetch me from Ordley 4 G4g4s but I’m coming back by taxi. Friday I’m planning to walk in to QHC4s4ll, Library until 18:00, supper, bus 20:24 HEX-RM, W4g4s in Riding Mill with D/D, bus RM-HEX 22:57, taxi home. Saturday rather similar except going to Sage by train/Metro for reception and concert. Then Sunday at home throughout. Ordley is 150m asl and Hexham is 64m asl so some sense in walking in and getting taxi back. BAF updates completed: labour of love: xx XX!! Isabella was indeed 6 today: sent her by Moonpig an enormous personalised card and a Unicorn tea-set, and sent her mum 3k, maybe towards school fees! Here she is, blowing the 6 candles out with her big sis 1  2. The brick wall at the back in the piccies is Richmond Park’s with large oak trees towering above.

Another late Black Kite today on BirdGuides, making 5 in September overall:

17:44 14/09 Black Kite Gloucestershire Rodborough Common 17:35 one flew slowly north-east towards Swifts Hill

and 6 more Honey-buzzard, with a SW England feel. Total 76 in 6 days:

22:10 14/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Portland 16:00 pale morph flew in-off the sea at the Bill

20:19 14/09 European Honey Buzzard Devon Saltram 17:55 one flew over

16:00 14/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Abbotsbury Swannery one mid-afternoon then flew north-west

15:40 14/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Lodmoor RSPB dark-morph juvenile flew south over Southdown Avenue

13:04 14/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Portland juvenile flew south past West Cliffs early afternoon

12:24 14/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Lodmoor RSPB 12:10 one flew over


September 13th: maximum 17C, minimum 10C, light NW, sunny all day, fire lit on ½ bucket of coal as cool night. Today was last day with the car for a week so went into Hexham to try and nail final site in core area from 12:20-15:10. Did have a Honey-buzzard female soaring at 12:39 and moving off far to E (emigrating) but no juvenile seen; the persistent occupation of the site indicates young have fledged so putting this down as ‘inferred fledging’, a >0 count! Had a Honey-buzzard juvenile at 13:17 floating low-down over a group of trees at Hexham NE, 2 Common Buzzard adult calling repeatedly at Hermitage and 2 Sparrowhawk (ad male, juvenile female) flying high together at 13:44. Also in total of 19 bird-types had 4 Swallow E, 2 Greenfinch S, 2 LBBG ad W, 77 Mallard, 1 Grey Wagtail, 1 Nuthatch, 2 LTT. Butterflies comprised 6 types, good for so late in season: 10 Speckled Wood, 6 Small White, 4 Red Admiral, 4 Large White, 3 Small Tortoiseshell, 1 Comma. Made W4bigshop £111 as need provisions for at least a week; bought lots of cleaning materials 4 S and restocked freezer as working well now after defrost. So taking car in at 10:00 2moro to Steer in Hexham for its 4-8 days repair; hope they don’t find any nasties when damage is investigated by stripping the damaged part of the car (grill, back supports, front sensor) as that will make it the top-end of 8 days. Will do some work in QH Library after dropping car off and am meeting M at T4m4l, followed later by G4g4t! Will try to keep social life going with walks, taxis and lifts to cover the 3 miles from Ordley to Hexham and do intend to definitely make the Sage on 17/9; fortunately weather is staying dry; car hire would cost approaching £500 for a week, cannot justify that, have £100 budgeted for taxis. Younger granddaughter Isabella is 6 tomorrow!! Funds are +16k wtd on super day yesterday and a bumpy one today on US inflation not going down as quickly as expected. xx XX to the gorgeous one!!

No Black Kite today on BirdGuides but did have 4 Honey-buzzard (+1 in Hexham!), making total 70 in 5 days:

18:29 13/09 European Honey Buzzard Fife Isle of May one; also 2 Curlew Sandpipers

14:14 13/09 European Honey Buzzard Hampshire Hook-with-Warsash LNR 10:40 one flew south-west

12:39 13/09 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Noirmont Point 12:38 one flew over

10:04 13/09 European Honey Buzzard Greater Manchester Winter Hill 09:03 dark morph; also 2 Ospreys flew through this morning


Climate update: August 2022 was a warm month, some 0.28C above the long-term average but maybe not as warm as some expected in view of the heat waves across parts of China,. Europe and western North America, associated with an unusually persistent La Niña. The tropics had much more normal temperatures. The detailed report from UAH shows that warming continues at 0.13C per decade. It also observes on past performance that if La Niña declines and we move into an El Niño phase, temperatures might rise at a faster rate as La Niña is the cooling phase. Arctic ice is in in a recovering phase, no longer declining from year to year. Hurricane activity, so beloved as damaging wild weather events to be attributed to climate change by the alarmist folks, has confounded all expert forecasts this year using their pet climate models. It’s been very quiet but there’s still time for some major hurricanes. As of today there have been 3 named storms and 2 hurricanes https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Atlantic_hurricane_season with the 2 hurricanes in early September being Category 1 Danielle and Category 2 Earl, none major which requires Category 3. The climate alarmists are spending much of their time scanning anxiously the ocean between West Africa and Caribbean, praying for a series of major hurricanes to develop in order to maintain their credibility. Limitations of computer modelling in predicting complex system behaviour are all too apparent. Flooding in Pakistan is an example of an extreme monsoon, a persistent La Niña and poor land management (deforestation, forests down to 4.8% of land area): how much can be definitely assigned to climate change is in doubt. Summaries in verbatim of some of the latest reports are below:

Latest Global Temp. Anomaly (August '22: +0.28°C)” https://www.drroyspencer.com/latest-global-temperatures.

The global temperature departure from average in August dropped a bit from July to +0.28 °C (+0.50 °F) above the long-term average, down from +0.36 °C (+0.65 °F) last month. The decline was most prominent in the tropics as the temperature fell there -0.17 °C (-0.31 °F). However, the extratropical warmth during this multi-year La Niña episode is a remarkable feature that has kept the global average near or above zero for most months since commencing in late 2020 and is consistent with a long-term upward trend in global temperature. That trend according to these observations is +0.13 °C per decade since December 1978. The latest values of various El Niño/La Niña indices indicate the La Niña (cold phase of the cycle) is still quite evident and predicted to continue through the NH winter. The influence of La Niñas generally induces cooler temperatures, so that one would expect with its potential demise next year, global temperatures will rise somewhat from where they are now. This is not a prediction, simply an observation based on the past. The latest on the evolution of La Niña and its anticipated diminishment by 2023 is provided by NOAA below.

The planet’s warmest spot, in terms of the monthly departure from average was over western China near Yushu at +4.0 °C (+7.1 °F). Areas of especially warm temperatures compared with average occurred over western N America, western Russia, the north Pacific ocean and a large area from New Zealand eastward almost to South America. The coolest departure from average was near the Ross Sea off of Antarctica at -3.6 °C (-6.4 °F). There were fewer especially cold areas, but eastern Russian and the equatorial-south Pacific were cooler than average. A phenomenon of aliasing is seen in the southern hemisphere between the Antarctic continent and around 50° south latitude. We have seen this before in which a large temperature anomaly rotates around the South Pole and is sampled by the orbits of the satellite in a time-pattern that gives the appearance of warm and cold stripes in short distances.” https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/ August 2022.

ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña is present . La Niña Advisory Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across most of the Pacific Ocean. The tropical Pacific atmosphere is consistent with La Niña. La Niña is favoured to continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2022 with a 91% chance in September 23, November, decreasing to a 54% chance in January/March 2023. Report from ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions Update prepared by: Climate Prediction Center / NCEP. 12 September 2022” https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf.

Summer in the Arctic is drawing to a close, and sea ice extent is likely to remain higher than in recent years. Several polynyas have formed poleward of 85 degrees North within the pack as well as areas near the thin ice edge. While some thin ice can still be found in the Northern Sea Route and southern Northwest Passage, both appear to be largely open. The northern deep water Northwest Passage route also appears to be largely open. Antarctic sea ice has remained at record or near-record low extent for the month. Summer in the Arctic is drawing to a close, and sea ice extent is likely to remain higher than in recent years. Several polynyas have formed poleward of 85 degrees North within the pack as well as areas near the thin ice edge. While some thin ice can still be found in the Northern Sea Route and southern Northwest Passage, both appear to be largely open. The northern deep water Northwest Passage route also appears to be largely open. Antarctic sea ice has remained at record or near-record low extent for the month.” http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/ 06/09/2022

On May 23, UKMO issued their own forecast for the 2022 season, predicting an above average season with 18 named storms, 9 hurricanes, and 4 major hurricanes, with a 70% chance that each of these statistics will fall between 13 and 23, 6 and 12, and 2 and 6, respectively.[17] The following day, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center issued their forecasts for the season, predicting a 65% chance of above-average activity and 25% chance for below-average activity, with 14–21 named storms, 6–10 hurricanes, and 3–6 major hurricanes [18]” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Atlantic_hurricane_season.“The expanse of ocean between Africa and the Caribbean Sea has only had two stormless Augusts in more than seven decades of record keeping -- one in 1961 and the other in 1997, said Phil Klotzbach, lead author of Colorado State University’s seasonal storm forecast. August typically is the beginning of the hurricane season’s most-active phase.” https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-29/hurricane-alley-hasn-t-been-this-quiet-in-a-quarter-century. “The Atlantic hurricane season has so far confounded forecasts of an active year, with only three named storms so far, none of which were hurricane strength. In fact, until now this August joins 1997 and 1961 in having no named storms.” https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/aug/29/weather-tracker-atlantic-hurricane-season-finally-starting-stir. “August was a quiet month for tropical storms. In fact, there hadn’t been a single named storm since early July, and that hasn’t happened in more than 25 years. Yet, just hours into September, Hurricane Danielle developed and was quickly followed by Hurricane Earl. Those two storms are a reminder that the hurricane season is far from over and will likely remain active for several weeks. This season’s storm activity – or lack thereof – has many people wondering just what goes into a hurricane season forecast and what has suppressed this year’s tropical activity thus far. Having a clearer understanding of what it takes to create these seasonal forecasts can help businesses better understand potential risks and make informed decisions from that insight. Most hurricane-season forecasts start by looking at the primary environmental factors, like water temperatures and upper-level winds, that influence tropical activity and just how favourable those factors are for tropical storm development. At a high level, hurricane season forecasts are relatively straightforward to forecast. The job becomes increasingly more complicated when attempting to forecast conditions impacting tropical development several months in advance.” https://www.forbes.com/sites/jimfoerster/2022/09/09/whats-up-with-the-2022-hurricane-season-forecast/?sh=659bd6c36292.

September 12th: maximum 17C, minimum 10C, moderate W, wet start, overcast at lunchtime but sunny by ttime, no fire lit as energetic gardening, out later. Cut front grass and paths and yard, looks much tidier! Made R at B4m4l where pleased to meet latest waitress recruit, l from the G!! A rather sobering talk at R on the desperate state of many people in Hexham E with high deprivation levels and their reliance on food and grocery banks. Put at 10% of the total population of area, can see why major support package for energy bills launched by our new PM ET. Current emergency support at local level is very stretched already and can see major tensions emerging. Made G4g4s with P/A/R for gr8 chat. Sorted more piccies from Les Tines on 21/8 and uploaded piccies from yesterday at Prospect Hill for analysis. Started modifying BAF website with latest updates: xx XX!!

Another bumper day on BirdGuides with 1 Black Kite:

11:07 12/09 Black Kite Fife Out Head one flew west over pines north of river mouth late morning

and many more Honey-buzzard, 15 records, 16 birds (66 migrating birds in last 4 days: 9/9-12/9):

18:33 12/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Portland one flew east over Avalanche Road this afternoon

18:23 12/09 European Honey Buzzard Orkney Stronsay 18:00 one flew over Holm of Huip viewed from north end of Stronsay

16:35 12/09 European Honey Buzzard Hampshire Aldershot one flew south over Bricksbury Hill; also 1,000+ Swallows flew over

16:31 12/09 European Honey Buzzard West Midlands Bilston probable juvenile flew south late afternoon

15:31 12/09 European Honey Buzzard Kent Herne Bay one flew over Westlands Road late morning

13:43 12/09 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Brighton one flew east over Waterhall

13:01 12/09 European Honey Buzzard Isle of Wight Nansen Hill 12:58 adult flew south-east

12:33 12/09 European Honey Buzzard Isle of Wight Luccombe 12:30 juvenile flew south

12:18 12/09 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Pevensey Bay 11/09 dark-morph juvenile flew east yesterday

12:12 12/09 European Honey Buzzard Alderney Alderney 08:30 one flew over Hammond memorial

11:52 12/09 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Beachy Head 11:51 two over Belle Tout; also Pied Flycatcher

11:22 12/09 European Honey Buzzard Isle of Wight Luccombe 11:10 one flew south-west

10:58 12/09 European Honey Buzzard Greater Manchester Winter Hill 08:45 11/09 possible circling low then flew into trees

10:13 12/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Bempton Cliffs RSPB 09:58 one flew west over RAF buildings

08:31 12/09 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Brighton 16:00 11/09 dark-morph juvenile flew south-west over Patcham yesterday



September 11th: maximum 19C, minimum 15C, light S becoming moderate, much brighter day, dry until 17:00 when light rain arrived on time, fire lit (½ bucket) as felt damp with washing out on gallery. Pretty busy at the moment, completing fieldwork for Honey-buzzard, compiling the many Honey-buzzard emigrating at the moment nationally, and keeping up to date on own BirdTrack records, including those from the French and Crete trips. A juvenile Barn Owl out hunting in daylight at 14:00 on road Newbiggin-Ordley with Chiffchaff and 2 Speckled Wood in field area later. Earlier from 11:00-13:45 made Prospect Hill where had a very good haul of interesting species. Top of list was Woodlark, not yet seen this year but masses of suitable habitat in Healey/Dipton Wood area. Had total of 17 on stubble on E side of the Hill, in small groups of 2, 5, 2, 2, 3, 3, flying low over the ground. So it appears we have a thriving local population, maybe 6 pairs from today’s sightings alone. Main aim was Honey-buzzard where had a female up at 11:36 checking the area 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10, joined up in the air by 2 juvenile at 11:49; she emigrated at 11:52, soaring higher and higher into the sky and moving S 11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20 (12119). Had another juvenile Honey-buzzard at Prospect Hill on N side at 12:51 floating over area. Common Buzzard comprised 3 birds (ad, 2 juv) up together at Dipton Foot at 11:41 and 2 (ad, juv) calling at Prospect Hill at 11:55. Two Kestrel juveniles were hunting over Prospect Hill from time to time. So in day had 4 types of raptor – 11 birds. In total of 23 bird-types also had 12 Linnet, 5 Goldfinch, 2 Yellowhammer, 1 Treecreeper, 25 House Martin S, 29 feeding Swallow migrants, 10 Chaffinch, 1 Chiffchaff. Butterflies comprised 5 types: Speckled Wood 17, Small White 8, Large White 5, Red Admiral 4, Comma 1. Made G4g4s with R 4 gr8 chat! Delighted to receive further input: xx XX!! Only .one outstanding Honey-buzzard site in core area now: Hexham Hermitage which will try and nail on Tuesday, forecast to be sunny. 13/14 sites in core area, ‘Shire and Tyne Valley W, have fledged young this year with just Hexham outcome not known. Had good chat with son on FB video – he’s so much more efficient and sociable now.

No Black Kite but good showing for Honey-buzzard on BirdGuides of 19 records, 22 birds, with notable 4 over Beachy Head:

21:50 11/09 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Iford Brooks10:00 one flew over

19:19 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Lancashire Winter Hill 12:38 juvenile circled low over Gale Brook Plantation between 12:30 and 12:38 then dropped into nearby woodland as viewed from Scout Road

19:15 11/09 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Barden Moor probable flew south-east this evening

19:14 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Gloucestershire Dursley 19:08 juvenile flew east over Stinchcombe Hill towards Uley

17:55 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Hertfordshire Rickmansworth 15:00 one flew high south-east

17:14 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Portland 14:10 one flew over Thumb Lane mid-afternoon

16:40 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Wyke Down one flew over this afternoon

15:37 11/09 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Beachy Head four flew over today; also Pied Flycatcher and 2 Common Redstarts

15:03 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Portland 15:00 one flew east over centre of Isle of Portland viewed from Weston

14:28 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Hampshire Romsey 14:10 juvenile flew low south-west over Romsey Abbey

14:01 11/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Kilnsea 14:00 one circling north of Kilnsea although distant

14:00 11/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Spurn YWT one flew south over Humber early afternoon

13:49 11/09 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex North Chailey 13:25 two juveniles flew south

13:08 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Kent Whitstable one flew high south-west this morning

13:01 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Noirmont Point one flew over

12:40 11/09 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Beachy Head three flew over by 12:30

12:39 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Portland one flew south over the Bill early afternoon

11:59 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Kimmeridge one flew east over Smedmore Hill

11:47 11/09 European Honey Buzzard Kent South Foreland juvenile flew west over Wanstone Farm


That's 50 migrating Honey-buzzard in 3 days 9/9-11/9: an accurate reflection of our steadily increasing breeding population!


September 10th: maximum 15C, minimum 11C, light NE, gloomy day, light rain showers, no sun, fire not lit as out. Spent a lot of time on French records from Chamonix area in early part of week, most done now and added yesterday’s visit details to BirdTrack. Pleased with new BirdTrack app, adding a Tawny Owl on the mobile app at Hexham S at 23:10 by clicking on single record, getting location automatically from GPS, fetching the species from a pick list and entering the count; current time is default value for record; could assist greatly in compiling single-records on the go. Made DoW4g4s 4 gr8 chat with D/D! Not entirely happy with Monday week being a bank holiday; certainly popular with some but will delay car repair completion by a day and will also disrupt quite a few business contracts in general relying on tight schedules. Also unhappy with football programme cancellation at such short notice: how much money has been lost by fans in fares and accommodation. Think we close down things far too quickly these days, particularly since the Covid scare. In a similar vein thought cancelling Last Night of the Proms was a big mistake. All these events could be adapted to show respect while still going ahead. Virtue signalling, particularly with other people’s money, is alive and well. Very pleased to hear from someone: xx XX!! Back in the field tomorrow – we’re going to see a little sunshine!

A Black Kite

15:33 10/09 Black Kite East Sussex Brighton one flew west over Patcham mid-afternoon

and quite a few Honey-buzzard reported today on BirdGuides – 13 records, maybe 14 birds:

18:12 10/09 European Honey Buzzard Greater Manchester Elton Reservoir possible flew SSE early afternoon although distant

16:52 10/09 European Honey Buzzard Hampshire Old Basing one flew south

15:03 10/09 European Honey Buzzard Pembrokeshire Strumble Head juvenile flew in off the sea this morning

14:10 10/09 European Honey Buzzard Leicestershire and Rutland Bradgate CP second individual flew north mid-afternoon

14:05 10/09 European Honey Buzzard Leicestershire and Rutland Bradgate CP one drifting high to south mid-afternoon

13:24 10/09 European Honey Buzzard Leicestershire and Rutland Rutland Water 13:17 two reported behind Lagoon 4 from Sandpiper Hide

12:20 10/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Flamborough Head one flew towards South Landing on west side of Old Fall

12:02 10/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Felixstowe Ferry one flew south over river mouth and continued toward Ramsholt

12:01 10/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Shingle Street one flew south

10:34 10/09 European Honey Buzzard Kent Knockholt 09:25 one flew over nearby Cudham

10:24 10/09 European Honey Buzzard West Sussex Pagham Harbour LNR one flew north-west over Owl Point

10:05 10/09 European Honey Buzzard West Sussex Selsey Bill one thermalling north as viewed from Oval Field

08:59 10/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Bempton Cliffs RSPB dark morph in off the sea then flew towards Buckton


September 9th: maximum 15C, minimum 13C, light NE, very gloomy day, heavy rain in bursts, no sun, fire lit as damp, using a bucket of coal to air whole house. Here’s wedding group outside Teignmouth Catholic Church 50 years ago, 09/09/1972: l-to-r Peter Burdett (stepfather), Betty Burdett (mother, formerly married to George Friend Rossiter, deceased, in drowning accident 1962), Paul Burton (best man), Brian Nicholas Rossiter (groom), Anna Franceska Makosch (bride, deceased 13/05/2007, Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma), Janet Hampshire (bridesmaid), Marjorie Makosch (mother-in-law, born London), Hanns Joachim Makosch (father-in-law, born Breslau, Prussia, now Wroclaw, Poland). Day was pretty positive: so wet but cleared up mid-afternoon and with cleaner S coming, went to QHC4m4ll followed by rapid exit to Stocksfield Mount from 15:30-17:20 where some low cloud giving occasional spells of dampness but even a bit of sun. Raptors were feeling like flying after enforced restrictions due to the weather and had: a Common Buzzard adult over Hackwood at 15:20; a Honey-buzzard female soaring low-down over Shilford at 15:35 and moving smartly to E at low altitude and disappearing to view at 15:45; 3 Honey-buzzard, a family group of female and 2 juvenile, up at Eltringham at 15:50, some display together 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8 (12118) but female then climbed high and disappeared E, bye-bye kids! (this is the missing site in Tyne Valley W, so great news, full occupation this season); a Red Kite adult, hunting low-down over Eltringham at 16:34; 4 Common Buzzard at the Mount, 2 adult and 2 juvenile, up from time to time. A walker said 2 broods of Sparrowhawk had been raised this year, one in Guessburn, other at E end of Shilford. Plenty of other migrants: 62 House Martin E, 25 Swallow E, 2 Greenfinch S, 9 restless Chaffinch, 1 Dipper S at low altitude (moving rivers!). Total was 20 bird-types, no butterflies. Further positive news was that the car is going in for accident repairs next Wednesday in Hexham for 4-8 days. Finally funds had a good day and good week at +17k overall, moving to new record; have sold some oil shares (North Sea, US) and moved into big miners and even UK housebuilders; impressed by new PM’s style and her stance on energy; have 132k cash. My ISA fund is my biggest but also have a SIPP account started in retirement, putting c9k into it, now worth 45k. It’s all tax-free as a fund but it’s structured in such a way that any access to it incurs marginal tax rates for me and descendants. But it’s tax free if passed on to charities, so in my wishes to Interactive Investor have split the lot 3-ways evenly to Woodland Trust, RNS and BA Festival. Main holdings are RKH (Falklands oil) and the Manchester bonds. xx XX!!

Many Honey-buzzard moving today (besides my 2!), 13 records, 15 birds in all on BirdGuides, many in Yorkshire, just S of the main weather front::

17:23 09/09 European Honey Buzzard Caithness Hilliclay one flew low north-east this afternoon

14:30 09/09 European Honey Buzzard South Yorkshire Orgreave Lagoons 14:28 three (two adults and juvenile) circling overhead

14:06 09/09 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Nether Poppleton 12:29 juvenile flew south-west

11:41 09/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Hornsea Mere 11:40 one flew north-west over Wassand Hide (permit only)

11:11 09/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Flamborough Head 11:10 one flew south over bowling green at South Landing

10:13 09/09 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Beachy Head 09:20 one flew south out to sea

09:56 09/09 European Honey Buzzard West Sussex Worthing 09:50 juvenile flew south over Boundary Road

09:26 09/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Spurn YWT 09:24 adult male flew south over Middle Camp

09:24 09/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Kilnsea adult male flew south over Kilnsea Wetlands

08:56 09/09 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Long Nab, Burniston 08:52 second individual flew west

07:13 09/09 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Scarborough 06:49 juvenile flew in off the sea and continued south-west over South Cliff Golf Club

07:12 09/09 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Long Nab, Burniston 07:08 juvenile flew in off the sea and continued inland

07:07 09/09 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Filey 07:00 juvenile flew in off the sea at Carr Naze



September 8th: maximum 16C, minimum 13C, light NE, very gloomy day, heavy rain in bursts, no sun, fire lit as damp, using ½ bucket of coal at this time of year. Up to date in September records in BirdTrack and also added Alpine Clough 22/8 from high-up on Mont Blanc via nephew John. Labelled piccies from Argentière 22/8, including 2 Griffon Vulture, many Raven, a Peregrine and a Honey-buzzard. Met M at T4m4l – good catch-up! Later met R/P in G4g4s with A on!! 2moro is a poignant day: 50 years since marriage at Teignmouth Catholic Church in Devon to Anna Makosch.

Here’s some piccies taken around Chamonix by nephew John and posted on our WhatsApp group page Les Tines: 22/8 Mont Blanc (4807m asl) highest mountain in the Alps and Western Europe, Aiguille du Midi, the highest cable car in France, 3842m 1 with Clair, Emily, Ben 2 and Alpine Chough 3; 26/8 Pool champ NR/Matt 4; group photo front views 5, back views 6, chicken emulation 7. Front views from l-to-r show me, nephew John, daughter Emily, his wife Clair, son Ben, niece’s husband Matt, niece Julie, big sis Gill. xx XX!!

No Black Kite from 4/9-8/9 on BirdGuides. Honey-buzzard records on BirdGuides from 4/9-8/9 included one still at Welbeck plus 7 more:

16:40 07/09 European Honey Buzzard Aberdeenshire Cruden Bay one flew north late afternoon

14:47 07/09 European Honey Buzzard Nottinghamshire Welbeck watchpoint 14:40 one flew south; also 2 Ospreys again

13:33 07/09 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Brancaster Staithe one circled overhead then flew south early afternoon; also Osprey flew east

12:24 07/09 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Noirmont Point one flew over Mont Les Vaux

16:36 04/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Sunk Island 16:25 one flew towards West Farm

12:02 04/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Huntingfield 10:00 one flew south

08:58 04/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Hornsea one flew low south-west offshore between 07:15 and 07:30

08:21 04/09 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Easington juvenile flew in off the sea and appeared to land in Easington


September 7th: maximum 19C, minimum 12C, light S, sunny most of day, veiled at times, no fire this evening as mild. ‘Phone did arrive on time at 12:30, moved all data and most applications using Google’s Cloud and Secure Switch over WiFi from damaged A12 to new A13; new ‘phone has more memory and can handle 5G, not so useful in Ordley where 4G’s the limit! Transferred SIM card from A12 to A13 at 18:30 to make it a true mobile with full connectivity. Got out in afternoon to Hexham High Wood for walk from 15:00 to 16:45. At 15:59 had a family group of 3 Honey-buzzard up in air, comprising a male, a heavy juvenile and a lighter-weight juvenile. They went high together for a few minutes, doing some close-up ‘fondling’ before diving back to the ground. So this is site no. 10 at which fledging noted: 6 in the ‘Shire, 4 in Tyne Valley W. Also in total of 18 bird-types had an adult Red Kite up over fields to W at 15:21 and 2 Common Buzzard juvenile in the main wood at 15:16. Other birds included 12 Siskin, 3 Chiffchaff, 2 Coal Tit, 2 House Martin S. Butterflies comprised 13 Speckled Wood, 4 Small White, 1 Green-veined White. Also had 20 Swallow migrants feeding at Houtley at 14:50 and a Greenfinch in Elvaston yesterday. Finished up in G4g4t where good chat with a few punters. B’s absent – in hospital with complications in his chemo. xx XX!!

September 6th: maximum 21C, minimum 15C, light SE, heavy atmosphere, frequent torrential showers, only a little sunshine, no fire this evening as mild. Downpipe overflowed near back patio door; used knife to cut some leaves away caught at the base and freed it. Decided to catch-up on paper work, compiling 22/8 La Flégère chair-lift trip and 5/9 Slaley Forest. Ag spoon arrived, 340 years old, Charles II, beautiful piece. ‘Phone didn’t – sorry we missed you (DPD) – meaning driver found diversion at Eastgate, Hexham, and b.ggered off. Not out today. Funds wtd +1k after being +10k yesterday: fears, apparently unjustified, of extra windfall tax hit North Sea oilers. Horrified at borrowing to be incurred by capping fuel bills; help should have been targeted at the poor: no incentive to cut usage to match reduced supply: £ crisis here we come! Nice tribute to Lars Vogt by M O’D in Guardian https://www.theguardian.com/music/2022/sep/06/lars-vogt-royal-northern-sinfonia-trust-and-generosity-michael-odonnell. Also wrote to M and bought Whitehead’s volume 2 of his Harvard Lectures to assist with future papers. https://edinburghuniversitypress.com/book-the-harvard-lectures-of-alfred-north-whitehead-1925-1927.html. Shaved a bit of the price to £123 (still new) by using an Amazon bookseller. Hope to see someone soon!! xx XX!!

September 5th: maximum 21C, minimum 15C, moderate SE, very sunny in morning, more veiled later, had been heavy rain for few hours overnight, no fire this evening as out. Completed freezer defrost, took 27 hours! Crows outside looking a bit sated on thawed cast-offs! Very sad to hear of passing of Lars Vogt, aged just 51. https://www.classicfm.com/music-news/lars-vogt-pianist-conductor-dies/. So pleased I went to his last concerts at the Sage on 13/5, 15/5 particularly the latter when he played solo in piano greats series (see below). Also, after meeting pp Linda, shocked to hear of her husband Nick’s cancer. Made R @ B4m4l where much better turnout; talk was on Sunbeams by Annie Mawson, a Cumbrian musical trust, using musical therapy to handle intractable personal situations https://sunbeamsmusic.org/. Lots of members, including myself, gave £10 and in chat afterwards I suggested she contact Opera North for collaborative ventures. Bought new nite-wear, ones I was very fond of with gr8 memories have fallen to bits: xx XX!! Then out to Slaley Forest Viewley for look for Honey-buzzard from 15:40-17:10; found 2 juvenile Honey-buzzard (both into nesting area, a dark-phase at 16:02 flying at height into site from N 1  2  3  4  5 (12117), a pale brown at 16:18), a juvenile Common Buzzard into Honey-buzzard area at 16:39 and an adult Red Kite up at 15:44 and juvenile Red Kite up at 16:01 and 16:40 to NE, probably 2 young raised. So all 6 sites for Honey-buzzard in the ‘Shire reared young: 2x2, 4x1+, still time to find a few more! Also had in total of 13 bird-types a Jay, an LBBG ad, a Bullfinch, 28 Swallow (13 S) and 20 House Martin S. Butterflies comprised 2 Small Tortoiseshell, 1 Small White and mammals were single Hare and Rabbit. Many investors rushing for the door out of the UK today, including myself, new record comfortably set today. Much later made G4g4s with A/R/P for good chat. Expecting new ‘phone tomorrow, a Samsung A13, cost £129 from Currys; replacing A12 a little early as its screen is badly cracked. Also Ag spoon should be arriving. Granddaughters 1 back to school today at Holy Cross, Kingston https://www.holycrossprepschool.co.uk/ . Here’s map of my autosomal DNA origins, covering last 6-8 generations, perhaps 150-200 years.

September 4th: maximum 20C, minimum 15C, light SE, cloudy most of day, brighter at ttime, few showers early morning, no fire this evening as out. Did similar walk to last Sunday along the spine road in Hexhamshire Low Quarter from 12:20-14:55. Not good conditions for raptor searching but quite a good haul: a Common Buzzard juvenile over Linnels at 12:36 briefly joined by a Red Kite adult, wonder if it’s one of the local pair, which seem to have failed this year to raise any young; an adult and juvenile Common Buzzard at Blackhall Mill at 13:36; on the West Dipton ridge to N side from 13:17-13:27, a Common Buzzard juvenile, a dark-phase Honey-buzzard juvenile 1  2  3  4 (12116), different from last week’s, a Red Kite juvenile. Some hirundine passage again with 32 House Martin moving (20 S, 12 SE); 17 Swallow appeared to be resting. Also in total of 25 bird-types had 6 Bullfinch, 3 Chiffchaff, 20 Goldfinch, 2 GBBG ad plus butterflies 4 Speckled Wood, 3 Small White, 2 Green-veined White and mammals: 1 Rabbit, 4 Mole. Had good chat to son on FB video from 17:00-18:00 and cut grass (tranche 2) in rear area next to gate (the Cowslip area!). Made G4g4s 4 gr8 chat with R/D/B/P and A on. Defrosting fridge-freezer overnite: expecting a mini-flood and chucking out of ancient meat/fish! xx XX!!

September 3rd: maximum 20C, minimum 15C, moderate E, cloudy most of day, brighter at lunchtime, few showers in morning and late afternoon, mild in evening, wet at 23:00; lit coal fire for a few hours in evening as felt damp with washing drying inside. Started autumn clear-up in garden, cutting grass area near neighbours. Had gr8 morning’s fieldwork outside house and in immediate vicinity: a large hirundine movement at 12:30 with 45 House Martin and 45 Swallow SE. Then 2 Honey-buzzard were up over a field to SE, a male and a juvenile, feeding in area from 12:39-13:01 intermittently, followed at 13:07 by a juvenile Black Kite 1  2  3  4 moving SW not far above the trees over Dukesfield. So change in weather has kicked off an exodus of summer visitors though stress the Honey-buzzard were not going anywhere today. Butterflies comprised 3 types: Large White 2, Small White 2, Speckled Wood 1. Also 2 Mole.

Brought Honey-buzzard summaries up to date (to 3/9) on home page:

Display period: 24/4- 15/6 20 site (15 male, 10 female: 25 total)

Sitting/Rearing period: 25/6-16.8 7 site (7 male, 2 female: 9 total)

Fledging period: 28/8- 8 site (3 male, 0 female, 10+ juvenile seen (2x2, 6x1+), 0+ juvenile inferred, 13 total)

In core area, have found fledged birds in 5/6 sites in ‘Shire and 3/8 in Tyne Valley W. Really hard work. Surprising that males have predominated in fledging period so far – are they reforming to stay behind to look after the young? It may be that food is scarce – they don’t tend to leave until the success of the brood is guaranteed.

Very concerned about UK’s financial position. We seem to be more like a populist South American banana republic at the moment (Boris’ true legacy) than a proper European democracy (consequence of Brexit, again thank Boris!); can see hyperinflation if people don’t start being more realistic about the coming inevitable decline in living standards brought about by the disastrous net zero ‘fantasy world’ ideology. The poor must be fully protected but everyone else should pay up so there’s an incentive to reduce consumption (such as by improved insulation or reducing waste) and to concentrate minds. Some hope is emerging already in that some businesses are investing heavily in insulation, we are seeing I hope genuine commitment to building many new nuclear power stations and increasing recognition of the need to develop our own gas and oil reserves for some time to come. Also like the idea of renewable energy companies having to invest in their own energy storage systems to cover their intermittency. But have most of funds linked to US$, CA$ or commodities in some respect, to cover against what increasingly looks like an upcoming £ crisis. To recap own funds were +1k on week, +532k gross ytd, +30.2%, +491k net, compared with ftse 100 -1.4%, ftse 250 -19.7%, dow -13.2%, nasdaq tech -25.2%, bitcoin -56.9%, all ytd. xx XX!! Added ANPA 2022 abstract and presentation to our process web site:

Rossiter, Nick, & Heather, Michael, Logic and Emotion: Whiteheads Category of the Ultimate, ANPA 2022, Liverpool University 8-12 August 2022. abstract presentation pdf.



Mike has sadly gone sick again, into hospital but no bed so discharged home. He’s trying to get me to do the presentation for the Whitehead Critical virtual event on 17/9; he quoted me 11am but that’s Pacific Time which corresponds to 7pm BST. Sage opening concert is at 7:30 so have said it will have to be 8am PDT (4pm BST) on 17/9 or on 16/9. The RNS is the prior commitment with reception beforehand! Later M said he would give the talk, 20 min of alluding to the printed paper would be enough! That’s a relief!



From 30th August on BirdGuides, 2 reports of Black Kite:

12:41 03/09 Black Kite West Sussex Steyning 09:50 probable flew over Steyning Roundhill; also 4+ Whinchats and 3 Common Redstarts along Monarch's Way

19:17 02/09 Black Kite Gwent Goldcliff Pools NR 13:20 adult circled over Goldcliff Point and adjacent lagoon for several minutes before being lost to view



From 30th August on BirdGuides, 5 more reports of Honey-buzzard (7 individuals), plus continued records at breeding site Welbeck 1:

15:06 03/09 European Honey Buzzard Guernsey Les Beaucamps 11:56 three drifted over the school late morning

13:03 03/09 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness NNR 12:40 one circled over Long Pits

12:51 03/09 European Honey Buzzard West Sussex Lancing 10:45 one flew east over ringing site by Lancing College

16:20 02/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Levington Creek/Lagoon one in harvested potato field just beyond level crossing at Strattonhall Drift then flew to Morston Hall

11:37 02/09 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Minsmere RSPB 11:00 one flew south over the Levels



September 2nd: maximum 19C, minimum 13C, light E, sunny most of time with a few cloudy spells, warm; no need to light fire with the solar heating. Took car into Steer at 11:00 for 15 min photography and close-up analysis; bigger job than I expected, will take a week to repair. They prepare an estimate which goes to LV for approval; if granted repairs can begin when parts secured! No way this can be anything other than an insurance repair now, glad I reported it straight-away to LV as keeps all options open. As was in Hexham drove to nearby Tyne Green for raptor work from 11:15-14:00. 2 Common Buzzard juveniles were hunger-calling from the Hermitage at 11:20. Had to wait for more action, all at Hexham NE, from 12:55-13:09 when had a Black Kite juvenile up frequently, often raising flocks of Corvid, and 2 Honey-buzzard juvenile up briefly, one well developed 1  2  3 (12115) and the other not flying long; these birds are attributed to the Beaufront site. Other birds in total of 24 overall included a Kingfisher, a Moorhen, 2 Grey Wagtail, 4 LBBG (3 ad, 1 juv), 6 Long-tailed Tit, 1 Chiffchaff, 10 Swallow, 2 Sand Martin. Butterflies mainly on buddleia were impressive: 9 types: 9 Red Admiral, 7 Speckled Wood, 3 Large White, 2 Small White. 1 Green-veined White, 2 Small Tortoiseshell, 1 Peacock, 1 Comma, 1 Painted Lady; also had a dragonfly: 1 Southern Hawker. Also had single Southern Hawker today at Ordley and Houtley, latter at dusk 20:15. Made DoW4g4s with D/D for great catch-up! And had short Skype session with N/D in morning as had to take car in for the estimate. Funds had an erratic week with bad sentiment in everything, including natural resource stocks on China’s continued nutty zero-Covid policy. Sold a lot of bonds putting some into depressed miners as an inflation/sterling hedge; after being 17k down on Thursday finished 1k up on week (+532k ytd gross) as Bollywood came to the rescue; India’s economy is is good shape and has overtaken the UK in the last few months to become the World’s 6th biggest. Have 116k cash after bond liquidations. London trip is on, all arranged with son and daughter: xx XX!!.

September 1st: maximum 18C, minimum 11C, light E, sunny most of time with a few cloudy spells, warmer; no need to light fire with the solar heating. Back on fieldwork from 15:00-17:30 while S making place look clean and tidy. Made Dipton Wood S where also had views over March Burn. Very hard work; finally caught up with a juvenile Honey-buzzard putting up a large Corvid flock and being heavily mobbed by Rook while hiding in a conifer copse at Dipton Wood S in SE part at 16:14. Saw it (light brown phase) for a second as it flow low into the copse so that’s one second in a 2.5 hours visit (9000 secs!). Also had 2 Common Buzzard juvenile hunger-crying from 15:07-15:21 and a juvenile Kestrel hunting at 15:03, all in SW part of Dipton Wood. Other birds in total of 16 types included 11 House Martin S, 17 Swallow (1 S), 11 Chaffinch, 5 Bullfinch, 2 Chiffchaff. Butterflies comprised 15 Small White, 3 Speckled Wood, 2 Large White. At Ordley had 1 Chiffchaff plus 3 Speckled Wood and 1 Small White butterflies, also 2 Tawny Owl calling at 23:55 when a Rabbit and Brown Hare also seen. Pleasantly surprised how quickly things are moving forward on the car; had a ‘phone call at 08:51 from TT, by 14:00 had booked an appointment at their parent company’s (Steer) Hexham branch for 11 tomorrow for an estimate to be prepared; if LV accept the estimate, we can then go ahead with the repair around middle of month and I can drop the car off at Hexham for potential transfer by them to Chester-le-Street! About to confirm trip to London and Leeds for late in month with 2 concerts assigned with son, on 25/9 (Wigmore) and 27/9 (Southbank) but staying with daughter as well b4 back to ON in Leeds on 29/9 for La Traviata opening nite (free ticket and 3 receptions, as Ag patron). Made QHC4s4l (tuna and salad again), very tasty and good to meet the staff again. Much later made G4g4s with R/P 4 good chat with S on and L in attendance! ! May even see someone soon: xx XX!!

August 31st: maximum 16C, minimum 9C, light NE, cloudy, few light showers, cool, did indeed light coal fire in the evening, nice and cosy! No fieldwork today. Hg in Hexham never came back with an estimate. So took car in for estimate from another local repair firm GR; they came back quickly with estimate of 2.4k, which seemed to include many things not damaged! So given up local firms and back to insurance company LV whose initial choice of repair company, CF in Blaydon, are not handling any new repair jobs (confirmed today); LV said they knew about this – it would have been nice if they had fixed me up with another repairer, sparing me another 20 min hold on phone to them. Now being paired with TT in Chester-le-Street, not holding my breath! It’s a long way but they do come and collect. Did make G4g4t – very quiet! xx XX!!

August 30th: maximum 16C, minimum 8C, light NE, sunny spells, cool when cloudy, might well be lighting coal fire in the evening tomorrow. Fieldwork today was out to Stocksfield Mount from 13:30-15:30, where found in area a Black Kite (not aged) up energetically at Styford at 13:56, a Red Kite juvenile up at Eltringham at 15:11, 2 Honey-buzzard at 2 sites: 2 Honey-buzzard juveniles were at Shilford/Styford E, first one up at 14:53 climbing slowly into sky 1 (12114), second moving N slowly over Tyne at 15:15. A male Honey-buzzard was up over Bywell Cottagebank energetically at 14:32 1  2 and a juvenile was seen flying 3  4 (12113) into the site at 14:39. 3 Common Buzzard at the Mount (adult + 2 juv) from time to time. Also in total of 19 bird-types had 9 House Martin S, 4 Swallow, 2 Chiffchaff. Butterflies comprised: 4 Small White, 4 Speckled Wood, 1 Green-veined white, 1 Small Copper, 1 Red Admiral. Black Kite are hanging on later this year; not sure whether that’s because they bred late or whether they love Northumberland so much! Added Les Tines 26/8 to BirdTrack. Had a Brown Hare on the ‘lawn’ late afternoon! Ordered new railcard for £70 (3 years). Planning trip to London at end of September and surprise, surprise, M wants me to do the presentation mid-month on Zoom to Poland. Had update from Ancestry on autosomal DNA (recent) origins: 51% England and NW Europe, mainly Devon and Somerset, thought it would be higher; 14% Germanic Europe; 10% Sweden and Denmark; 10% Wales; 8% Scotland; 7% Norway. Irish paternal side has been diluted to zero. German/Scandinavian influence is interesting: definitely a northern European slant! I’ve not given a new sample; it’s the scientific analysis that’s changed. Funds -5k on expected bad start to week following Wall Street’s minicrash over our holiday period. Still thinking of someone: xx XX!!

From 15th August on BirdGuides, 2 reports of Black Kite:

08:10 29/08 Black Kite Cornwall Bartinney Downs 15:30 28/08 one flew north yesterday afternoon

18:33 18/08 Black Kite Kent Grove Ferry NNR 15:15 one flew over as viewed from ramp this afternoon

From 15th August on BirdGuides, many more reports of Honey-buzzard (36 individuals), plus continued records at breeding sites Swanton Novers 2 Welbeck 1-2:

18:05 29/08 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Wimborne St Giles17:55 one

17:04 29/08 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Holton Heath one flew east over Keysworth Point this morning

12:01 29/08 European Honey Buzzard Guernsey Pleinmont 11:35 dark-morph juvenile flew over; also Pied Flycatcher

08:00 29/08 European Honey Buzzard Hampshire Hursley 15:28 28/08 one flew south yesterday

13:57 28/08 European Honey Buzzard Lincolnshire Gibraltar Point NNR one flew south between 12:00 and 13:55; also 114 Common Buzzards

12:00 28/08 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Noirmont Point 11:59 one flew over

15:43 27/08 European Honey Buzzard West Sussex Atherington 15:40 one flew east

14:40 27/08 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Beachy Head 13:00 26/08 two flew ENE yesterday; also 2 Pied Flycatchers still yesterday

10:48 27/08 European Honey Buzzard Fife Inverkeithing 10:00 adult flew west

12:26 26/08 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Eastbourne one flew over Meads early afternoon

11:33 26/08 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Noirmont Point 11:32 one; also Great Egret

11:27 26/08 European Honey Buzzard Essex Mersea Island 25/08 one flew west over golf course yesterday

11:55 24/08 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Wareham 23/08 one at Lower Piddle Valley yesterday

09:20 24/08 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness NNR 09:17 one circling over trapping area

21:42 23/08 European Honey Buzzard Hampshire Gammon's Hill one reported flying south at Beaulieu Avenue, Leigh Park

17:16 23/08 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Weir Wood Reservoir 16:10 female over west end then drifted ESE

14:40 23/08 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Hornsea Mere 13:50 one thermalling over Heslops with 4 Common Buzzards and 5 Marsh Harriers drifted slowly south-west

09:59 23/08 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Long Nab, Burniston 09:53 one flew south-west

09:01 22/08 European Honey Buzzard Essex Woodham Fen EWT 21/08 two reportedly flew south late afternoon yesterday

17:32 21/08 European Honey Buzzard Wiltshire Landford 16:49 two flew west over Beech Grange

14:16 21/08 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Heacham 14:00 one flew south-west

10:28 20/08 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Strumpshaw Fen RSPB 10:27 one circling though distant from Reception Hide

21:58 19/08 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Beachy Head one flew over this morning

17:13 19/08 European Honey Buzzard Guernsey St Martin's 13:56 one flew over Fermain towards St Martin's

12:24 19/08 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Lytchett Bay pale morph flew over south-west

10:59 19/08 European Honey Buzzard Kent Littlestone-on-Sea 10:51 one flew low north-west over Littlestone House

13:38 18/08 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Beachy Head 13:22 three circling high together

12:42 18/08 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Beachy Head 11:50 one flew over

09:56 18/08 European Honey Buzzard Kent South Foreland female flew over low towards St Margaret's

18:55 16/08 European Honey Buzzard Kent Sandwich Bay 18:20 one flew north over New Downs

07:08 15/08 European Honey Buzzard Cambridgeshire Holme Fen NNR, Holme 13/08 male in tree on Saturday


August 29th: maximum 17C, minimum 11C, light E, mainly overcast but sun did break through for c30 mins early afternoon.

Here’s piccies (22/8) of spectacular mountains around Mont Blanc 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9, valley at Les Tines 10  11  12  13 and chalet 601 14  15  16  17 at 1080m asl. Here’s Auntie Ann’s funeral brochure for 17/8 front  back. Here’s Sophia and Isabella at Peth Foot, by the Devil’s Water near my house in July (27/7) 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11, and grandchildren and daughter 12  13  14  15  16  17.

Back in the field for local raptor studies today. Walked up spine road of ‘Shire from 11:50-15:30 seeing nothing on outward stretch but then an intense period of action from 13:25-14:28 as the sun threatened to break through and finally did for c30 mins. Had wondered whether the Black Kite would have left by now but still present in aggressive territory-holding mode at Dilston, where adult seen at 13:25 1  2  3  4  5  6  7 (no.3 with Honey-buzzard juvenile) and juvenile Black Kite joining it at 13:38 in brief encounter 8 with the juvenile Honey-buzzard. The Black Kite juvenile was flying strongly out of Swallowship to SW at end at 14:27, probably to forage 9  10  11. Had Honey-buzzard at 3 sites, not including the local site at Ordley where none seen! These 3 sites were: 1) Dotland with male up 1 (12111) giving wader call at 13:52 followed by aggressive circling with an adult Common Buzzard, earlier a juvenile chicken call was heard at 13:35 from the copse into which the male flew; 2) a dark-phase juvenile soaring briefly 1 (12112) to W of Letah Wood at 14:23; 3) a ruddy-phase juvenile up briefly with Black Kite at Swallowship at 13:38 3. Also had 20 bird-types including 2 Tree Sparrow (1 weak flying juvenile 1), 4 agitated Bullfinch, 2 Nuthatch, 27 Swallow (13 S), 2 Chiffchaff, 2 Stock Dove. Besides the birds had 3 Roe Deer feeding in a field, a Common Hawker dragonfly and 3 types of butterfly: 3 Small White, 1 Large White, 1 Speckled Wood. xx XX!! Made G4g4s with good turnout of R/P/A/D/B.

August 28th: maximum 19C, minimum 13C, light E, sunny spells, fresher. Journey EAL-KGX-NCL-HEX went well, train was busy but all on time and had some interesting raptors on the way, including a male Kestrel at Waterford Heath at 13:40, single Common Buzzard and Marsh Harrier at Great Paxton at 14:05, single Red Kite at Biggin (York) at 15:30 and Pilmoor at 15:50, a Common Buzzard at Tollerton at 15:40; so that’s 4 types of raptor on LNER route KGX-NCL. Left for EAL at 11:55 and made HEX at 17:40 so a long day. Went shopping in Co-op convenience at HEX and then had a lovely short walk from home, revelling in the fresh conditions. Was looking for Honey-buzzard juveniles but no sign at this late time of day; did have a strident Tawny Owl later at Ordley, plus a rabbit. Earlier had 20 Lapwing at Blaydon, a Cormorant adult at Ovingham, 2 Little Grebe at Merryshields, 12 Grey Partridge in covey at Hexham S, 1 Jay, 2 Chiffchaff at Ordley. Funds performance last week broadly confirmed at +182k, making +531k ytd gross, +489k ytd net! Did make G where R/P joined G and I, so busy and noisy but lively and chatty, welcomed new bar lass B!! Stimulating evening!! xx XX!! Hoping to catch up 2moro with fieldwork and records.

Summaries Chamonix 19 Aug - 27 Aug 2022:

Birds -- 46 species from 95 records, 7 complete lists, 12 places in Chamonix, France, area from 19 Aug - 27 Aug 2022. Raptors were of 11 types: Common Buzzard 11, Griffon Vulture 10, Honey-buzzard 4, Bearded Vulture 3, Short-toed Eagle 2, Golden Eagle 2, Egyptian Vulture 1, Black Kite 1, Tawny Owl 1, Kestrel 1, Peregrine 1. total 37 birds. Full bird records.

Butterflies15 species, 49 insects, 10 trips, 8 localities, 580-2134m asl: Small White 20, Shepherd’s Fritillary 4, Silver-washed Fritillary 4, Painted Lady 3, Speckled Wood 3, Green-veined White 2, Clouded Yellow 2, Common Blue 2, Geranium Bronze 2, Marbled Ringlet 2, Swallowtail 1, High Brown Fritillary 1, Small Tortoiseshell 1, Small Heath 1, Large White 1. Full butterfly records.

Honey-buzzard were noted at 2 localities: 1) at Argentière at 1252m with adult alarm call on 21/8 as walked towards mature spruce plantation and on 22/8 with a family group of 3 in the air above the tree line close together over the village; 2) at Les Gaillands at 1020m on 23/8 where an adult female left to forage from a dense spruce plantation, in contention with an adult Common Buzzard.

August 27th: maximum 22C, minimum 12C, light E, bright sunshine, fresh. Taxi took us to Gervais Fayet from 10:30-11:10, where had a Common Buzzard hunting on edge of town as drove in, a Swallow, plus 2 Geranium Bronze (on pot plants 1), 2 Small White, 1 Painted Lady, and a Hornet. Then caught 13:00-18:13 Gervais to Paris Gare de Lyon (single Kestrel at Meximieux at 16:00 and Black Kite at Moulins-en-Tonnerrois at 17:30 en route), taxi Gare de Lyon to Gare du Nord €19, €* Paris to St Pancras 20:13-21:45; taxi St Pancras to Ealing, back at 22:40. What a day! Everything went smoothly – 2moro afternoon sees final leg of journey by UG, LNER and NR. Time for bed: xx XX!!

Here’s some piccies taken around Chamonix by nephew John and posted on our WhatsApp group page Les Tines: 22/8 Mont Blanc (4807m asl) highest mountain in the Alps and Western Europe, Aiguille du Midi, the highest cable car in France, 3842m 1 with Clair, Emily, Ben 2 and Alpine Chough 3; 26/8 Pool champ NR/Matt 4; group photo front views 5, back views 6, chicken emulation 7. Front views from l-to-r show me, nephew John, daughter Emily, his wife Clair, son Ben, niece’s husband Matt, niece Julie, big sis Gill.

August 26th: maximum 22C, minimum 12C, light E, cloudy, few sunny intervals, light rain showers, much fresher, little snow fallen today on high ledges on jagged pinnacle 1 above us to E, little below 4,000m asl, autumn approaches! A take it easy day before travel back in one go to London 2moro with taxi taking us to Gervais for €85. Had a local walk for total of 14 bird species, adding 2 Blue Tit, 2 Great Tit, 1 White Wagtail juv 1, 1 Bullfinch calling, to list. Best of all was a Griffon Vulture flying below skyline to W at 14:10 before being lost to sight, no piccies. Took some piccies of the Honey-buzzard nesting area at Argentière 1  2  3  4. Funds finished wtd at +187k with +534k ytd; provisional, need to do a proper balance when back. Matt and I crowned as pool champions of the holiday; I potted the black but shot of the tournament was M’s control of cue ball to keep a break going when snookering ourselves might have set up a loss! Had Skype chat to N/D and Facebook video chat to son; WiFi was stretched a bit but we managed by my turning off my own video. Son said Aurora’s programme for next season is very adventurous! xx XX!!

August 25th: maximum 26C, minimum 15C, light and variable, sunny all day, dry, hot sunshine. Did have more migrant activity today at Les Tines with a Song Thrush at 10:00, a Tree Pipit and Spotted Flycatcher at 18:00, 2 Common Swift and 7 House Martin S at 19:00 and 2 Chiffchaff calling anxiously at 19:30. At Les Tines had a Red Admiral. 7 Raven were over Argentière at 17:50. Weather is due to change with heavy thunderstorms forecast for tomorrow afternoon as a cold front goes through, reducing temperature to 22C max. Should be fun! Midday (until 15:00) went up the railway from Chamonix Mont Blanc station to Montenvers at 1913m asl, close to a number of mountains and glaciers 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15, just below the tree line so some interesting ground vegetation in nearby walks 16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24. The station is a popular base for walks 25. Was very busy but enjoyed the lunch up there in the open air, the great views and the meadows. Not many birds up there: 1 Crow, 6 Chaffinch 1, 1 House Sparrow, 2 Crag Martin, and a Common Buzzard on the way up. Had 3 types of butterfly: a Marbled Ringlet 1  2  3, a Small White and a large fritillary (presumed Shepherd’s Fritillary) at height. Funds had another good day with LON:HBR, the UK’s largest indigenous oil and gas producer, reporting its ½ year results; they were spectacular and shares rose 10%. This is my 2nd largest equity investment holding around 36k so now +180k on current 2-week period! Bought a westcountry trefid Ag spoon c1680 (Charles II) for £485 at bimonthly auction of Ag Spoon Club; received the good news from DB by ‘phone while sitting outside the chalet! Received a lovely invite from A&RS to A’s dinner on 27/1; wonder who else might go!! xx XX!!

August 24th: maximum 25C, minimum 14C, light SE breeze, sunny all day, dry, hot sunshine. We (big sis and I) went on chair-lift from Argentière to mountain above tree line 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8 to E at 2134m asl from 12:30-15:00 with walks to glaciers. We walked a little to S and watched the Raven, some 19 seen, flying around the ridges and flattish areas. They were quite tame but didn’t get too close. The Raven rear up from their perches on the boulders for short periods before diving down again; here’s plenty of piccies 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12 . Also had a single Crow, pretty much confirming the count made from our chalet, way below in the valley to S. Had a Tawny Owl calling at 05:10 from W of the chalet on a comfort trip! Also a Collared Dove calling at Les Tines at 10:00 and a Common Buzzard adult calling from the station at 12:30. In Argentière village at 1252m asl had 1 Serin, 1 Crag Martin, 7 House Sparrow, plus butterflies single Small Tortoiseshell, Green-veined White, Small White, Swallowtail 1  2, High Brown Fritillary 3  4 (with Swallowtail 5  6  7  8), Silver-washed Fritillary (with High Brown 9). While watching Argentière from Les Tines from 11:50-12:30 had a Griffon Vulture 1  2  3  4  5 and a Short-toed Eagle 1  2 soaring high over the hillside 13. A black Red Squirrel was at Les Tines station. What an interesting day! Had some useful news today from the markets:

Successful arbitration outcome. https://www.londonstockexchange.com/news-article/RKH/successful-arbitration-outcome/15599399. Rockhopper Exploration plc (AIM: RKH), the oil & gas company with key assets in the North Falkland Basin, is pleased to provide the following update on its ICSID arbitration with the Republic of Italy:

Successful arbitration award

Compensation of EUR 190mm. Plus interest at EURIBOR + 4%, compounded annually from 29 January 2016 until time of payment

The arbitration panel unanimously held that Italy had breached its obligations under the Energy Charter Treaty entitling Rockhopper to compensation. The award is final and binding on the parties. Italy has 120 days to apply for an annulment of the award, which can only be annulled in limited circumstances. Under a legal agreement with the Falkland Island Government Rockhopper is prevented from making any form of distribution.

Samuel Moody, CEO commented: 'We are delighted to have won our case. A huge amount of work has been involved since we acquired Mediterranean Oil & Gas Plc in 2014 and commenced the Arbitration in 2017. I would like to pay tribute to our team for their dedication over such a long period. We will update the market in due course once we have been able to analyse fully the results of the arbitration and its full, very positive financial implications for Rockhopper. This positive milestone builds on our recent transaction with Navitas and while work still needs to be done on Sea Lion, we believe after collection of the award, it will make a material contribution towards our share of the development costs.'

RKH is my single biggest investment, holding 2.73m shares or about 0.47% of the entire business. I sold a few today. Gain in funds over last 2-week period is now +147k, comfortably at new record, expect some volatility! xx XX!!

August 23rd: maximum 24C, minimum 13C, light and variable, sunny all day, dry, hot sunshine. Made Les Gaillands rocks from 12:30-18:00 lying 2km south of Chamonix, a rocky area with extensive ropes and instructors to help novices gain experience. Niece and nephew were there all afternoon, doing marvellously on the climbs, which are challenging. We went down by train, had lunch there and went back to Chamonix by bus for supper at a piazza place; quite reasonable at €16 a head with 4 glace later costing €16 in all. Everywhere was very busy, full of tanned athletic looking types, mostly in their 30s and 40s. Had 5 Mallard and 3 Coot on a local lake plus 4 Chaffinch, 3 House Sparrow, 2 Crow. Raptors comprised a Honey-buzzard female and Common Buzzard adult in brief but vigorous combat at 17:28 (both together, blurred 1; Common Buzzard adult 2, Honey-buzzard female 3) as the Honey-buzzard left to forage from a dense spruce plantation with scattered birch at the base of a forested hillside near Les Gaillands at 1020m asl (12152); here’s shots of habitat taken this day 4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12. Total was just 7 bird-types here with butterflies: 1 Speckled Wood, 3 Small White, 1 Silver-washed Fritillary, plus moths: 1 Humming-bird Hawk-moth, 1 Oak Eggar larva 1. Had some good views of Mont Blanc peaks 1  2  3, including at sunset 4 and the glacier 5  6. At dusk at Chamonix Aiguille Du Midi town 1  2  3 (from where you can connect to chair-lift to summit) had 17 Crag Martin overhead, a Feral Pigeon, a Black Woodpecker in flight. Much earlier at 09:00 added a Blackbird to the list in Les Tines, with a Chaffinch and single Speckled Wood also seen. Funds are +6k wtd, recovering last week’s losses as natural resource gains start to outweigh Bollywood losses. The energy crisis, predicted last year here, is due to long-term disastrous planning by the EU and the UK; there’s no way out now. Ending the Russian sanctions might help but what signal would that send to Putin and would he even reciprocate? For the medium term increasing gas/oil supplies from friendly regions, increasing gas storage and putting in a crash nuclear power programme are essential (proven technologies) while we work out how to integrate unreliable renewables into a stable grid at an affordable cost (unproven technology at scale). Simple isn’t it!! But the immediate future looks very bleak and that has one great benefit: it will focus minds and hopefully get us away from the dreadful group-think that is at the heart of the problem: net zero! WiFi at chalet is slow and jerky! Think someone gorgeous would love it here: xx XX!!

August 22nd: maximum 22C, minimum 11C, light and variable, sunny all morning, cloudier afternoon, hot sunshine. Good views of Mont Blanc 1a early on from the ranch. Made the chair lift (schemes 1b  1c) with big sis and niece and partner to La Flégère from 12:40-14:30, up above the tree line 1  2  3  4  5 and with abundant ski slopes and views up to mountains above 6  7  8, across the valley towards Mont Blanc 9  10  11  12  13, glacier 14 and Chamonix below 15. Views were breathtaking from the top. This is at 1900m asl. Nephew and family took lift to near Mont Blanc, 3842m asl up in the snow 1. We walked almost to Chamonix to get the lift by the side of the river seeing a Robin 16, a Humming-bird Hawk-moth 17, a Clouded Yellow, a Painted Lady and 5 Small White. Cost was €34 for two on the lift. Must say descent by lift at start was exciting: rapid pick up in speed on level and then like going over the crest of a waterfall, directly down. Not many birds around; nephew had 2 Alpine Chough right at the top 3; at 3842m and more (c15) at the base immediately below. We had a Water Pipit 18, 5 nesting Crag Martin 19  20 and a brood of Ptarmigan in a copse 21  22  23 above the tree line at 1930m asl, plus some butterflies: 3 Shepherd’s Fritillary 24  25, 1 Marbled Ringlet 26, 1 Common Blue. No raptors. Later back at the chalet from 17:20-19:00 noticed many Raven in family groups 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10 and with Honey-buzzard 11 practising high up over Argentière to NE. Looked like c18 in total with raptors up including a family group of Honey-buzzard together (male, female, juvenile) up above the tree-line (12151 group 1 2), 2 Griffon Vulture 1  2, 1 male Peregrine Falcon 1 . A lot of activity! Had a Grey Heron at Les Tines in evening (up to 20:00) plus during the day a Mistle Thrush, a Serin, a Chiffchaff, a Jay, 4 Magpie, 4 Crow, 2 Green Woodpecker and 6 Crag Martin. xx XX!!

August 21st: maximum 22C, minimum 11C, light and variable, sunny all day with hot sunshine. Here’s piccies (21/8) of spectacular mountains around Mont Blanc 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9, valley at Les Tines 10  11  12  13 and chalet 601 14  15  16  17 at 1080m asl. Went for walk in afternoon around Les Tines, along the ‘white’ stream which runs through it, ice melt from the glaciers towering above. Had 6 Griffon Vulture (as 4+2 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10) over the tops of the valley sides 2000m asl, along with a family group of 2 Golden Eagle (ad 1, juv), 1 Egyptian Vulture adult 1  2, 3 Bearded Vulture (1  2 ad, 2 juv), plus in the valley below, altitude 1080m asl, 2 Common Buzzard adult calling and an adult Honey-buzzard alarm call as we walked in well-managed mature spruce woodland to NE of Tines (towards Argentière). Also had 3 Green Woodpecker, 2 Crag Martin, 2 Serin, plus a Nuthatch, a Chiffchaff calling, a female/juv Blackcap, 6 Chaffinch, 7 House Sparrow, 1 Robin, 4 Magpie and 6 Carrion Crow. Butterflies comprised single Small Heath 1, Clouded Yellow, Speckled Wood 1, Common Blue, Large White, Green-veined White, Painted Lady, 2 Silver-washed Fritillary, 8 Small White (9 types), plus a Humming-bird Hawk-moth. So well underway, have placed a large grocery order with a store in Chamonix for delivery tomorrow. We stopped at a restaurant in N of Les Tines, cost €10 for a beer! C’est la vie! 2moro it’s a chair-lift to get up high (1900m asl) and maybe trip to Chamonix. xx XX!! Funds last week were -6k but no proper balance done while away: gains in natural resources were outbalanced by bad week for Bollywood.

August 20th: maximum 23C, minimum 16C, light and variable, sunny spells with hot sunshine, shower as arrived in Les Tines, where we are staying. Had fantastic views of Mont Blanc and its glaciers as passed through Chamonix on train. Scenery of Jura Mountains was spectacular as approached St Gervais Fayet from Paris Gare de Lyon, which left at 10:29, arriving at Gervais at 15:30 :where changed to smaller train for Chamonix and Les Tines at 16:29. Chalet is good sized, holding 8 people: me, elder sis, niece and partner, nephew and partner and 2 kids aged 10-12. Had 2 Common Buzzard in Jura at Annemasse, near Swiss border, at 14:20, plus 3 at Gervais (family group of 1 ad, 2 juv 1) with a juvenile Short-toed Eagle gliding along the ridge above 1  2  3, around 16:00. Will sleep well tonight: good dreams : xx XX!!!

August 19th: maximum 24C, minimum 16C, light W breeze, dull, few spots of rain. Had 4 bird species in Camden from 06:00-09:00: Feral Pigeon 7, Ring-necked Parakeet 4, Magpie, 2, Herring Gull 2 ad, most in Cartwright Square where stayed. Arrived in style in Paris on €* in premium class, getting a good lunch with rw on the train. See you can also go to Disneyland, Brussels and Amsterdam. Got taxi from Gare du Nord to Hotel Parisianer near Gare du Lyon (€20). Checked into hotel, paying €370 for 2 rooms overnight and breakfast: well equipped hotel, very close to the station for tomorrow’s trek to Tines and Chamonix. Had 5 bird-species at Gare de Lyon 2 Herring Gull adult, 4 Carrion Crow, 12 Feral Pigeon, 2 Magpie, 2 House Sparrow. Had supper in a bar near the station. Thinking of someone: xx XX!!

August 18th: maximum 26C, minimum 19C, light W breeze, some sunny intervals, dry, humid. Went for walk with big sis in Pitshanger Park from 10:50-12:50, seeing a single adult Red Kite 1 in moult over at 11:18, 12:11 and 12:18. Also had a Swift W, 17 Ring-necked Parakeet, and a Brown Rat. Trees were interesting with oak surviving drought best and birch, rowan, elder, struggling. River Brent was quite high. Then we went into Camden by taxi for £40 in amazingly light traffic, to € Hotel near STP (£230 for 2 rooms), ready for €star tomorrow morning to Paris, where staying 1 nite! Had classy Italian meal at Albertinis near STP for £89, very quiet with strikes, which include UG 2moro. xx XX!!

August 17th: maximum 24C, minimum 18C, light NE breeze, overcast and humid morning followed by torrential rain in afternoon and early evening, decisively ending dry spell down here; ground is very parched and trees are wilting but hopefully recovery now underway. Funeral of Lena Ann Tapper (2/1/1928-24/7/2022), our matriarch, was well organised and very moving, with lovely eulogies from her 4 children (our first cousins, we were all there), her eldest son David coming over from Australia and her daughter Alexandra (Za) from South Africa. Reception was held at Froxfield Hall and did have good catch-up with family. A mixture of humour and tears got us through the day with c90 attending the funeral. Her second son Steve has produced an informative photo album of which I’m going to get a copy from the printers. Her youngest son Tim is a little wild with plenty of choice terminology, from Devon farmyards, in his bit in the church! Plenty of raptors up as stayed dry W of London getting family groups of 4 Red Kite at Froxfield and Chieveley and of 4 Common Buzzard at Froxfield, plus 18 more Red Kite (total 6 sites), 2 Common Buzzard (total 2 sites), 2 Kestrel (total 2 sites), noted along M4 and M25. No suggestion of Black Kite in any of the sightings. Had a Tawny Owl in Ealing last night at 22:00 with a Fox also seen. 2moro it’s off by taxi or tube to Camden to be placed for quick getaway next day on Euro* with the tube strike that day. xx XX!! Here’s Auntie Ann’s funeral brochure for 17/8 front  back.

August 16th: maximum 16C, minimum 10C, light NE breeze, steady rain in morning after overnight soaking, little thunder, some lightning, gloomy. Train journey HEX-EAL was full of trouble, with cables down at Stevenage, no doubt a result of recent hot weather when they sag and are more likely to become entangled with the pickup gear. It’s no good being a bit late so was relieved as we arrived in KGX 2 hours and 1 minute late from my scheduled cancelled train, so get nearly whole of return ticket refunded! Made EAL late but met by big sis and fed! Booked up for Wigmore 25/9 and South Bank 27/9 (both with son) to go with Opera North in Leeds on 29/9, all part of my early autumn cultural tour. Hoping to meet somebody!! xx XX!! Funds unchanged wtd after being 7k yesterday. 2moro is a very sad day: funeral of Auntie Ann, aged 94, in Wiltshire. Wore my dark suit down. Will be a catchup with relatives.

Below is some climate analysis as looked at monthly. This month’s rise was a striking one as the heat flowed from the ocean onto the land at +0.36C anomaly. Europe was particularly warm. The ice report is interesting, confirming that the Arctic is recovering a little of its ice cover with a pronounced barrier emerging between Arctic regions and the European continent to the south, meaning Arctic regions stay cooler and the continent below overheats. A hole in the Arctic ozone layer is blamed for this phenomena, not climate change, anyway directly. Maybe pollutants are involved. Loss of ice in Antarctica is attributed to unusual weather patterns. La Niña continues.

UAH Global Temperature Update for July, 2022: +0.36 deg. C. August 2nd, 2022 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. https://www.drroyspencer.com/2022/08/uah-global-temperature-update-for-july-2022-0-36-deg-c/

https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/. GLOBAL TEMPERATURE REPORT. EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE CENTER. THE UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA IN HUNTSVILLE. JULY 2022 :: MAPS AND GRAPHS

Global climate trend since Dec. 1 1978: +0.13 C per decade. The global temperature departure from average in July bounced back from a drop in June to increased warmth in July. The global mean temperature was +0.36 °C (+0.65 °F) above the long-term average, up +0.30 °C (+0.54 °F) from June. The rise was, as was the drop last month, most prominent in the tropics as the temperature climbed +0.48 °C (+0.86 °F) from June almost claiming the title of a record one-month jump, but came in shy of the +0.53 °C (+0.95° F) that occurred back in the 1983 El Niño. These types of up-and-down shifts occur in all the regions from time to time, for example, the temperature of the south polar region fell over 0.6 °C from June to July just this month.

The latest values of various El Niño/La Niña indices indicate the La Niña is still quite evident, so July’s sudden tropical warming is likely related to the periodic heating events associated with oscillations such as the Madden-Julian. Interestingly, the upper-ocean heat content of a major portion of the tropical Pacific lost a considerable amount of heat during July, some of which likely found its way into the atmosphere, warming it up. This heat content was noted to be slightly above average in June, but is now well below average.

The planet’s warmest spot, in terms of the monthly departure from average was near the Dateline north of New Zealand at +3.6 °C. The map this month did not show extensive areas of warmth, but rather about a dozen regional warm patches such as over the Northeast Pacific, Europe, Eastern Russia, western China, central South America, Indian Ocean off South Africa, western Australia and two regions in the South Pacific. It is interesting to note that the brief but intense heat wave in Britain did not impact the monthly average atmospheric temperature much at all. The coolest departure from average was also in the southern hemisphere over the Ross Sea in the far South Pacific at -2.3 °C. A few patches of fairly cool anomalies were also found in the tropical South Pacific, central-south Russia and along the dateline near Alaska and far eastern Russia. “

The latest on the evolution of La Niña and its anticipated diminishment by 2023 is provided by NOAA here: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña is present . La Niña Advisory Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across most of the Pacific Ocean. The tropical Pacific atmosphere is consistent with La Niña. La Niña is expected to continue, with chances for La Niña gradually decreasing from 86% in the coming season to 60% during December

http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/ August 2, 2022

The seasonal decline in Arctic sea ice extent from mid-July onward has proceeded at a near average pace. Extent is currently well below average, but above that observed for recent years. Extent is particularly low in the Laptev Sea sector, but ice extends to near the shore further east. Depending on weather conditions, the southern route through the Northwest Passage may become open. An area of low concentration ice persists over the central Arctic Ocean, extending to near the North Pole, and Antarctic ice extent is still at a record low.

As of August 1, Arctic sea ice extent stood at 6.99 million square kilometers (2.70 million square miles) (Figure 1a). The decline rate of the extent through the second half of July was near the 1981 to 2010 average. Extent on August 1, while well below the 1981 to 2010 average, was the highest since 2014 and overall was twelfth lowest in the satellite record (Figure 1b). The average extent for the month of July as a whole was 8.25 million square kilometers (3.19 million square miles), the twelfth lowest in the satellite record.

As of this report, Antarctic sea ice extent persists at record low levels, with regional low ice extent along the Weddell Sea at its northern ice edge, much of the East Antarctic coast, and the Bellingshausen Sea.

A recent paper by our colleagues John Turner and others from British Antarctic Survey, along with co-authors from India and the U.S., looks at the conditions that led to the record low sea ice extent observed in February of this year. Overall, the authors attribute the low sea ice conditions to a combination of large-scale circulation patterns, including La Niña and a strong Amundsen Sea Low, and the impacts of severe regional storms moving ice away from the coast and into warmer waters and greater sunlight. Turner, J., C. Holmes, T. Caton Harrison, T. Phillips, B. Jena, T. Reeves-Francois, R. Fogt, E. R. Thomas, C. C. Bajish. 2022. Record low Antarctic sea ice cover in February 2022. Geophysical Research Letters. doi:10.1029/2022GL098904.

While the Antarctic ozone hole that develops in austral spring is well known, stratospheric ozone depletion can also occur in the Arctic, though to a lesser extent. A recent study by Marina Friedel and colleagues, based on both observations and models, finds that springtime stratospheric ozone depletion over the Arctic is consistently followed by surface temperature and precipitation anomalies consistent with a positive Arctic Oscillation, an atmospheric pattern known to have significant impacts on climate conditions over the parts of the Northern Hemisphere as well as the Arctic. The authors argue that this is because ozone depletion leads to a reduction in short-wave radiation absorption, causing persistent negative temperature anomalies in the lower stratosphere and a delayed break up of the stratospheric polar vortex. When the Arctic Oscillation is positive, sea level air pressure is lower than average over the North Pole and higher than average over the mid-latitudes. This pressure pattern helps to keep cold air in the Arctic and favors warmer temperatures over the mid-latitudes. In 2020, Arctic ozone concentrations reached a record low on March 12 of 205 Dobson Units (Figure 5) compared to an average value of 240 Dobson Units for this time of year. At the same time, the Arctic Oscillation index reached a record high positive value. As a result, central and northern Europe were exceptionally warm and dry in spring 2020, whereas wet and cold conditions prevailed in the Arctic. Friedel, M., G. Chiodo, A. Stenke, et al. 2022. Springtime arctic ozone depletion forces northern hemisphere climate anomalies. Nature Geoscience. doi:10.1038/s41561-022-00974-7. “

August 15th: maximum 22C, minimum 15C, light E breeze, cloudy, mainly dry but some sparse heavy raindrops at 07:00 and in evening from 18:45, heavy rain from 23:00. Made R at B4m4l, collected money as JR off with Covid, good chat on early mediaeval history, how much was written down. Much later made G4g4s with A/R for good chat, K’s last nite sadly!! Pouring with rain as left at 23:30. Added yesterday’s results to BirdTrack. Had a rarity now, a Badger, on way in, at Loughbrow, and a Barn Owl on way back at Ordley at 23:55 (after getting £30 petrol, now down to 178p). What a dismal contribution on energy by Starmer: he’s clueless, converting us to a South American banana republic in months with populist pegging of prices. National Grid power sources are dramatic over last month as anticyclone keeps winds low and high temperatures affect solar panel outputs. Here’s current picture, showing gas contributing over 50% in last day, week and month. Renewables are contributing 10-24% of electricity demand over same period but remember divide by 5 to get proportion of total energy demand, that’s 2-5%. Note that Starmer did not mention business energy needs; businesses are not covered by the cap and are already paying much increased charges, leading to a crippling financial future. We should be building a nuclear power station each year to achieve a high-density low-carbon power source. xx XX!!

August 14th: maximum 27C, minimum 15C, light E breeze, sunny all day, dry. Last day of the warm spell, in the north. Butterflies at Ordley comprised a Small Copper, 2 Small White, 1 Speckled Wood, 2 Small Tortoiseshell, 2 Peacock. 2 of these, Small Copper and Small Tortoiseshell, are new for the weekend so that’s 10 species of butterfly over the last 2 days at Ordley. 1 Chiffchaff was calling from the field. Made Bywell from 15:15-16:55; it was hard work but did get some interesting results. A Common Buzzard juvenile was up at Styford E at 15:46 and 16:40 and a family group of 3 birds (ad, 2 juv) was up to N at 16:08. A Red Kite adult was up over Mowden Hall at 15:33, a juvenile was up over Bywell Cottagebank at 15:53 twice and an adult was up at Styford E at 16:00, joined by a juvenile at 16:41; so 2-3 successful Red Kite sites. Thought Black Kite might all have gone but at 16:36 a juvenile powered its way from the E into trees 1  2  3, N of the Bywell site. On way out at 16:54 a juvenile Kestrel was hovering over a field near the A69. So that’s 4 types of raptor: 4 Common Buzzard, 4 Red Kite, 1 Kestrel, 1 Black Kite – 10 birds. Total was 19 bird-types, including 10 Swallow, 5 Chaffinch, 4 Goldfinch. Mowed some grass, completing the wilder areas, leading into orchard and field – always satisfying before the rain arrives! Completed the Festival updates! Added many records to BirdTrack: 1/7 Styford, 8/7 Juillac and Marciac, 7/8 Dilston, 12/8 Haltwhistle. Booked train tickets to Ealing for next trip – cost £109 flexible return, much cheaper than plane – quoted £360 for one way NCL-LHR! xx XX!!

From 18th July-14th August on BirdGuides, 12 positive reports of Black Kite, very widely scattered but emphasis on Wales (Ceredigion, Powys, Anglesey), Scotland (Argyll, Lothian), SE England (Bucks), SW England (Cornwall) so some W bias nationally:

20:44 14/08 Black Kite Cornwall Drift Reservoir one photographed over north-east arm this morning

18:11 12/08 Black Kite Argyll Loch Caolisport 16:08 one drifted NNE inland of B8024 towards Achahoish late afternoon

16:32 10/08 Black Kite Ceredigion Bwlch Nant-yr-Arian no sign of adult at feeding station by 16:30

21:46 09/08 Black Kite Ceredigion Bwlch Nant-yr-Arian 15:20 adult again at feeding station

13:00 09/08 Black Kite Lothian Dunbar 12:30 one flew west over Doon Hill

13:01 08/08 Black Kite Lothian Belhaven Bay one flew towards saltmarsh early afternoon

11:03 07/08 Black Kite Anglesey Llyn Coron one flew south-east late morning

18:18 05/08 Black Kite Ceredigion Bwlch Nant-yr-Arian no sign of adult by mid-afternoon

22:35 04/08 Black Kite Ceredigion Bwlch Nant-yr-Arian adult reported again between 16:30 and 17:00

15:38 02/08 Black Kite Ceredigion Bwlch Nant-yr-Arian no sign of adult from car park viewpoint by 15:30

16:48 01/08 Black Kite Ceredigion Bwlch Nant-yr-Arian16:40 adult still showing well from car park viewpoint

16:47 01/08 Black Kite Powys Glaslyn MWT no sign today

15:51 01/08 Black Kite Ceredigion Bwlch Nant-yr-Arian 15:47 adult at feeding station late afternoon

17:14 31/07 Black Kite Powys Glaslyn MWT 17:08 one still

16:33 31/07 Black Kite Powys Glaslyn MWT 16:05 one

12:38 31/07 Black Kite Buckinghamshire High Wycombe 12:36 one reported in Red Kite roost off Chairborough Road

17:44 24/07 Black Kite East Sussex Ashdown Forest report of one over Ashdown Park Hotel was erroneous

12:14 24/07 Black Kite East Sussex Ashdown Forest 09:27 one flew east over Ashdown Park Hotel


Honey-buzzard from 18/7-14/8: at breeding sites: Swanton Novers 4 birds, Wykeham Forest 1, Welbeck 1. A lot of sightings (29) from other sites particularly from 4/8 as emigration started:

10:19 14/08 European Honey Buzzard Oxfordshire Gallowstree Common 10:15 dark morph drifted south-east

19:55 13/08 European Honey Buzzard Jersey St Ouen's Pond 16:45 11/08 adult flew over

19:01 13/08 European Honey Buzzard West Yorkshire Keighley Moor Reservoir 17:30 one flew over

12:11 13/08 European Honey Buzzard Kent Langdon Cliffs NT female flew north over fields

10:29 13/08 European Honey Buzzard West Sussex Pulborough Brooks RSPB one over South Brooks from Hail's View

10:24 12/08 European Honey Buzzard Northamptonshire Islip 10:03 one flew south

19:00 11/08 European Honey Buzzard Wiltshire Langford Lakes 10/08 one flew over yesterday

15:45 11/08 European Honey Buzzard Cornwall Restronguet Point 15:38 one flew towards Feock

10:46 11/08 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness RSPB 10:25 one flew north

22:28 10/08 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Wareham two flew along Lower Piddle Valley

15:22 10/08 European Honey Buzzard London Rainham Marshes RSPB one flew over Target Pools in recent days; also Lesser Emperor

07:39 10/08 European Honey Buzzard Kent Grove Ferry NNR 07:34 one flew across from viewing ramp

21:59 09/08 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Poole Harbour one flew north over west side

22:17 07/08 European Honey Buzzard Cornwall Nare Head one reported

14:35 07/08 European Honey Buzzard Isles of Scilly Tresco one flew high south over Great Pool

12:31 07/08 European Honey Buzzard Kent Broadstairs 12:25 one flew over Pierremont Avenue

16:05 06/08 European Honey Buzzard Kent Tankerton one flew over

15:27 06/08 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Strumpshaw Fen RSPB 15:20 one flew low north

12:47 06/08 European Honey Buzzard Kent Stodmarsh NNR 09:38 male on ground from Marsh Hide then flew over Undertrees Farm; also Wood Sandpiper, Garganey and 4 Western Cattle Egrets still

18:05 04/08 European Honey Buzzard Essex East Tilbury 17:55 one flew south although still no sign of any Eurasian Stone-curlews

13:53 04/08 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Portland 13:48 one flew south over Easton

15:42 27/07 European Honey Buzzard Nottinghamshire Idle Valley NR 26/07 one flew east yesterday; also Arctic Tern

18:17 25/07 European Honey Buzzard Kent Canterbury 17:54 one flew east over Sturry Road

13:45 25/07 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Flamborough Head 13:35 flew south along Danees Dykes then west over cliffs towards Sewerby

13:28 25/07 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Bempton Cliffs RSPB one arrived in off the sea and flew south at Staple Newk Viewpoint

18:07 24/07 European Honey Buzzard Kent Stodmarsh NNR adult male flew over Marsh Hide this morning

18:55 23/07 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Sidestrand one flew over

09:19 20/07 European Honey Buzzard West Midlands Coventry 08:45 one flew south-west over Earlsdon

17:37 18/07 European Honey Buzzard Kent North Foreland 15:50 one flew in off the sea and continued south-west


August 13th: maximum 26C, minimum 14C, light E breeze, sunny all day, dry. Didn’t go far today: local Ordley sightings: a Common Gull adult W, a Common Buzzard juvenile low-down 1 over own field at 17:00, 4 House Martin S, 2 Chiffchaff in hedges by field. with butterflies 8 Species: 2 Large White, 8 Small White, 2 Green-veined White, 1 Red Admiral, 6 Peacock, 1 Comma, 2 Speckled Wood, 2 Meadow Brown. Got ready 8/7 from Juillac in France from piccies for adding to BirdTrack; also actually added yesterday’s trip to Haltwhistle to BirdTrack. After adding Dipton Wood N visit on 7/8 will have 7 Black Kite sites – absolutely amazing! Did some trimming in garden, which is dry but not in bad shape; my ash trees are all still going with 2 looking poorly from ash die-back actually recovering this year. Think the high humidity in my field with all the trees around is helping. Isolated ash trees alongside arable fields are in the biggest trouble – stressed by chemicals and dehydrated by the constant earth moving. Apple crop looks good this year, particularly the crab apples. Whole field and my trees are relatively unstressed I feel, including the orchard. The end copse and field now hold Brown Hare, Rabbit, Mole and Roe Deer. Had long chats online with D/N and son today -- good to keep in touch. After next trip, planning 4 weeks restricted to base but may go on music tour in last week of September. Good to hear from someone: xx XX!!

August 12th: maximum 27C, minimum 13C, light E breeze, sunny all day, dry. Back on TPE 10:54 LVP to HEX 14:55, not bad, comfortable trains, on time, TPE seem to be improving! Had parked car at HEX: £11 for week. Straight back to business, home to get camera gear, out to Haltwhistle Bellister from 16:30-17:30 looking for Black Kite; did find one juvenile up over nesting area to E at 16:30 1  2  3 and a second juvenile hunting over A69 road to W on 2 occasions at 16:55 and 17:04 4  5  6  7  8 so this really is site no. 6, all of which have been successful. Hope to process recent Black Kite piccies soon and add to BirdTrack. Also on trip had 2 Common Buzzard juvenile (one to W, one to E) and a Common Buzzard juvenile over Letah Wood at 16:05. Then back to W4minishop (£28), home for supper and DoW4g4s with D/D and gr8 chat! Funds were up 18k on week as market sentiment improves in general, 5k short of record; will give a fuller report tomorrow, when Skype with N/D at 10:00 and FB video with son at 17:00. xx XX!!

August 11th: maximum 30C, minimum 19C, light NW breeze, sunny all day, dry. Day off – big walk around Liverpool by attendees including University and Docklands; never thought of Liverpool as a tourist destination but it is: full of open tourist buses, museums, cafes and restaurants in restored old quaysides: looked good in the settled weather. We finished at the Philharmonic pub, opposite the Philharmonic Hall where RLP play with 1st concert of new season on 17/9, including some Mahler in song. We sat in the Liszt room of the pub with Brahms next door: rhyming couplets come to mind! Walked 9.7km from 09:40-16:00 – good exercise, some dropouts after a while! Had, besides the pub, 2 cafe stops so not too strenuous. Back home 2moro to avoid train strike on Saturday. Funds almost at record high! Had nitecap with GC, editor of ANPA, very convivial with plenty of g/rw! xx XX!!

August 10th: maximum 26C, minimum 18C, light NW breeze, sunny all day, dry. Another busy day at ANPA attending talks from 10:00-18:00, then out for our conference meal to Pen Factory, Hope Street, where we had good time. 2moro we have social day with tour of attractions in Liverpool Centre, instead of seaside. Has been a good meeting and very pleased to have had opportunity to expand at length on the Whitehead philosophy. Today accepted invitation to submit a paper for Logic and Love book by UNILOG, resulting from Crete trip in April. Much more confident in this area now having established a philosophical basis: philosophy is love (philo) of wisdom (sophia), a very popular subject in most of the world but maybe the UK is an exception. UNILOG is international with a base in Brazil. Mike is delighted with the ANPA paper, saying it expands in detail something we’ve alluded to for 15 years. Next up is a presentation to Whitehead meeting in mid-September by Zoom. Liked the legs: xx XX!!

August 9th: maximum 24C, minimum 15C, light N breeze, sunny all day, dry. ANPA meeting today: gave paper Logic and Emotion: Whitehead’s Category of the Ultimate, from 15:05-16:05, over 40 slides. Went very well, fitting mission statement of ANPA to challenge existing philosophical foundations, here the set theoretic basis of current category theory. Will certainly write it up as a full paper. Here’s the presentation and the draft abstract :

Logic and Emotion: Whitehead’s Category of the Ultimate



Nick Rossiter & Michael Heather, University of Northumbria, UK.



Category theory has its foundations in the pure mathematics of sets. The philosopher Alfred North Whitehead developed an alternative basis in his book Process and Reality in the description of the Category of the Ultimate, with prehension employed for the becoming of beings. This paper argues that this category corresponds closely to a topos, prehension and becoming to adjointness and being to existence, all mainstream concepts in category theory. Whitehead’s work therefore deserves to be treated as a philosophical basis for category theory with its additional emphasis on processes in general, including biological ones, offering a lead into the more adventurous use of category theory in the future.

Feeling a little drained but recuperation at Bella Italia and Adelphi worked wonders! Funds +8k wtd. Tomorrow is another working day with trip to seaside on Thursday to Crosby to look at Anthony Gormley’s statues in the sea. xx XX!!

August 8th: maximum 22C, minimum 14C, light N breeze, sunny all day, dry. Now at Liverpool, takes longer to get here by train (3.5 hours) from NCL than getting to London. Trains are comfortable enough but track is woeful. Made conference at 14:30 at Liverpool University’s School of Architecture. Gr8 to meet old mates again – some here in person, too many on Zoom. Read most of Whitehead’s book on way down on laptop, resulting in a few tweaks to talk, which giving at 3pm tomorrow – wish me luck! Adelphi is cheap and cheerful – enjoying it! xx XX!!

August 7th: maximum 17C, minimum 12C, moderate W breeze, mainly cloudy, humid, fresh. Made Dipton Wood N in afternoon from 14:10-15:55; no Woodlark but yet another 2 Black Kite (juvenile and adult) down the Devil’s Water towards Dilston, over a prominent wooded hill with Common Buzzard adult and juvenile; the Black Kite juvenile was up low-down at 14:39 1 and 14:54 2  3 and the adult at 14:54 4  5 as well. Also had a juvenile Kestrel up nearby at 15:15 and a male Honey-buzzard briefly over the heathland at 15:25 I was walking. So Black Kite may be up to 7 sites now – incredible! Back home at Ordley had a male Honey-buzzard up briefly over the local site at 15:05, slowly coming out of the woodwork! Total was 13 bird-types, including 5 Swift W, 4 calling Chiffchaff, 2 agitated Bullfinch, 2 Siskin. Also at Ordley had 12 Swift overhead for a long time (this year’s breeders), a Rabbit and a Roe Deer barking yesterday evening from my wooded copse and 2 Toad yesterday in long grass in my garden. Suspect the Black Kite are forcing Red Kite out of their new territories: could be a problem elsewhere. Completed ANPA paper, 42 slides, in odp at 17:00 – so not last minute! Excited about its potential for some further written formal papers and presentations. Good turnout at G with R/P/A/D/B – 6 of us – best for ages! Finished Festival mem updates: priority issue: xx XX!!

August 6th: maximum 17C, minimum 11C, light W breeze, sunny morning, cloudy afternoon, fresh. Made Sinderhope in afternoon from 14:40-16:20 where bit fresher, duller and cooler than in ‘Shire. Did see a pure Black Kite juvenile, flying over the moors to E at 14:47 1  2, putting up some Rook. Do wonder whether this is still a mixed pair as except for one instance have only seen Black Kite here this season; the putative Red Kite was early on in a brief food swap and Black Kite can appear brown close up; don’t have a piccie of the food swap. Here's pictures of the moorland edge habitat popular with the Black Kite for hunting 1  2  3  4 with nest site area 5. Also had a Common Buzzard adult calling at 15:20 and a juvenile Kestrel hunting over edge of the moor at 15:40. Bird-types totalled 17 with a Curlew 1, 2 Oystercatcher, 2 Stonechat juvenile 1. 2 Stock Dove, 1 Red Grouse, 5 Swallow, 2 Goldcrest, 7 Meadow Pipit. No butterflies were seen. Way behind on paperwork with most of France and lots of recent Northumberland sightings still on bits of paper but can catch-up in September. Concentrating on ANPA paper still, bringing ‘final form’ slides up to 36 and 20 trailing slides to review; feel it’s a good topic with plenty of mileage for a succession of papers. Bought Festival mem up to end of opera day, just last day to do, which will finish tomorrow. Chatted to son on FB vid for an hour; he really enjoyed the Aurora prom with special mention of Beethoven 5, including the warm-up, and starring soloist in Shostakovitch VC 1 from Moldova, Patricia Kopatchinskaja, who declined an encore as she said it would spoil the atmosphere. Couldn’t agree more – encores are fine after virtuoso performances but can ruin the lasting effects of a serious piece. xx XX!!

August 5th: maximum 16C, minimum 8C, light W breeze, sunny morning, heavy showers in afternoon with sunny intervals, fresh. Made Prudhoe in afternoon from 15:10-17:20, arriving in heavy shower and leaving in one, but dry in between. Plenty of action with Black Kite, Common Buzzard and Honey-buzzard all seen. The Common Buzzard were very conspicuous throughout with 2 family groups of 2 adult + single juvenile, making 6 birds in all, frequently calling throughout and soaring mostly in first part of visit. The Honey-buzzard comprised a male seen up with Common Buzzard at the start at 15:33 1, then later seen in fly-pass to W with female below at 16:15 2 (12110), so both the adult pair seen. The Black Kite appeared to comprise 2 juvenile with no adults (in moult) seen; the juveniles were seen twice, like the Honey-buzzard, up with the Common Buzzard at 15:38 1  2  3 and 16:02 4 and later up briefly in anxiety at 16:15 5  6 with the 2 Honey-buzzard passing; here’s the local Black Kite habitat 7  8  9  10. So that’s fledging at 4 sites now. Total was 19 bird-types including 11 Swallow, 1 Skylark, 1 Chiffchaff, 2 Bullfinch, 7 Herring Gull (5 ad, 2 1s), 2 Stock Dove. Butterflies were good today. At Ordley had 9 Peacock, 2 Red Admiral, 2 Small Tortoiseshell, 2 Large White, 1 Speckled Wood, 1 Small White. At Hexham (Andy Rigg’s garden for Rotary meeting): 3 Comma, 1 Red Admiral, 2 Large White. At Prudhoe: 9 Small Skipper, 4 Large White, 6 Small White, 1 Purple Hairstreak, 1 Meadow Brown. Total is 10 butterfly-types for day. Worked hard on ANPA paper in morning and after pub up to 03:30 in the morning (Saturday); adding the Topos as equivalent to the Category of the Ultimate. Pub was DoW4g4s with D/D and gr8 chat. Hope to complete the topos tomorrow, which is the heart of the paper, and do some other things: xx XX!! Booked up for The Sound of Musicals by Hexham Amateur Stage Society on 19/10, giving them in all £75 including donation of £60. Funds were +18k on week, despite weakness of PoO, down to $94; think fall, due to recession fears, has been discounted. Cash is 100k, don’t really expect current period of respite to last.

August 4th: maximum 17C, minimum 9C, light SW breeze, sunny, dry, fresher. Concentrated on paper for next week, making good progress with 21 slides written in almost final form, adapted from presentation given by me at Bangalore, India, in 2009 to a Whitehead meeting. Still plenty to write but have 36 slides in total including ones pushed to the end but which are still useful; looking for total of 40 perhaps. Title altered subtly now to The Logic of Emotion: Whitehead’s Category of the Ultimate (adding subtitle). Have been invited to submit a paper for a forthcoming book on Logic in Love, following the Unilog workshop in Crete; will accept the challenge; am also giving a presentation in September on Zoom to the Whitehead International Conference. Booked train tickets to Liverpool via NCL next week for £75. Paid Sage £700 (£25 donation) for next season’s full subscription to concerts. Did make G4g4s with A/R/P and gr8 chat! Started on Mem 2022: xx XX!! 2moro will be busy with Rotary WG at 09:30 in HEX, DoW4g4s with D/D and trip to Prudhoe late morning for kite!

August 3rd: maximum 18C, minimum 12C, moderate SW breeze, light showers, bright afternoon, muggy. Out to Hexham NE again today from 14:50-16:20, with some success, seeing an adult Black Kite twice up at 15:09 and 15:19 with a weak-flying juvenile 1  2. Also here were 4 Common Buzzard (2 ad, 2 juv) up in frequent and conspicuous display and a male Honey-buzzard which wanted to get involved in the soaring action 1  2  3  4  5 from 15:10-15:19 (12108). In total of 17 bird-types had 1 Swift, a LBBG ad, a Cormorant ad, 7 Swallow, with other animals: a Toad, a Rabbit, a Meadow Brown and 3 Small White. Made T4m4l with M/B for good chat and G4g4t with the ttime gang – all very sociable. Then back home to do more work on talk next week, looking at Whitehead’s categories for organisms and comparing them to those in pure and applied category theory. Having mastered (I think!) handling YouTube videos with CSS (cascading style sheets) in Mem 2021 will crack on with 2022 tomorrow!! Mixed news on car: insurer's designated garage said too busy to do repairs from LV; frustrated, took car into local car body shop and they got the bonnet open, allowing me to remove a plastic pillar so that the bonnet lies flat unstressed, and are going to give me an estimate, including the grill and for a few scratches elsewhere; think this may be best way to go, retaining ncd; will see! Hope unwind day today for someone: xx XX!!

August 2nd: maximum 21C, minimum 15C, moderate SW breeze, rain in morning, bright afternoon, muggy. Some News summaries posted today on Home Page http://nickrossiter.org.uk/hbweb/, which see for all 2022 summaries:

01/07/22: Black Kite update: further recent sightings at the 5 sites: 1) 2 birds at Prudhoe on 25/6, one heavy 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9, a lighter-weight bird 10  11  12  13 so 2 birds seen, both apparently pure Black Kite but the lighter-weight bird could have a bit of Red Kite in it; 2) 1 bird seen briefly at Bywell on 1/7; 3) at Styford 1 bird hunting out to E by Tyne on 1/7; 4) at Hexham on 29/6, a Black Kite was up over the site with everything up in area including Corvids; the Kite circled over the site 1  2 and came into land and everything quickly quietened down; another Black Kite came out of the nest site and flew provocatively flap-flap-glide into the Common Buzzard site to the W 3  4  5  6  7  8  9, circling some trees there and rousing an angry Common Buzzard which flew in circles around each other and even a female Honey-buzzard came up briefly at one point 3 (12100); this kite was lost to sight in this area to W of its nest; and 5) the site in East Allendale where a mixed pairing again, on 27/6 a Black Kite came back to the nest, coming in fast in the breeze from the E and going straight in, giving opportunity for 2 photos 1  2;. So the 5 sites all continue to progress!

01/08/22: Honey-buzzard update: 22 sites occupied, 17 male, 12 female. Very little activity noted in rearing period this year with only 6 birds (4 male, 2 female) seen at 4 sites since 15/6. But my absences abroad (Hungary, France) and distraction of Black Kite need to be taken into account!

Need to catch-up on Black Kite tour from 20/7-29/7 where now up to 6 sites! Today was very productive; visited Bywell in afternoon from 15:20-17:00 and found 2 broods of Black Kite – 3 birds N of Styford close together comprising an adult 1  2  3  4 and 2 juvenile 5  6 (piccies of adult, juvenile together 7 with Rook (20 with raptors), piccie of 2 Black Kite juvenile with 2 Common Buzzard juvenile 8), cavorting together with Corvids over farmland from 15:32-15:37; and 3 birds N of Bywell appearing from time to time over the nesting area, again an adult 1  2  3  4  5  6 and 2 juvenile 7  8  9  10. On way back at 17:15 on A69, had an adult Black Kite crossing the dual carriageway right in front of me and going N, to NE of Hexham. They all revelled in the breeze, total is 7 Black Kite for day – 3 adult, 4 juvenile – exciting confirmation of the ongoing colonisation. Also had 6 Common Buzzard – a family party of adult + 2 juvenile at Bywell N, two juveniles at Styford N and one at Bywell NE. Will add more details and piccies. Total for bird-types was 17, including an agitated Lesser Whitethroat, 13 Swallow, 4 LBBG ad, 3 Herring Gull 1s, 1 Black-headed Gull juv. Butterflies comprised 4 types: 2 Large White, 1 Peacock, 1 Small White, 1 Meadow Brown. Updated website with News as above and started on Festival website doing 2021 clip after some prototyping. Funds are +10k wtd; sold some miners on Monday morning as expected them to fall on poor news from China and they didn’t until later in the day; put some money into bonds as think they’re a good stable bet now that their prices have come down; have about 85k cash. Produced 2 more diagrams for my talk in a week’s time; getting some ideas together. Hope exciting concert went well: xx XX!!

August 1st: maximum 20C, minimum 16C, moderate SW breeze, rain in evening, bright morning, becoming cloudy by ttime, muggy. Was a good window for fieldwork in morning but decided to concentrate on Rotary4m4l at B and paper for ANPA next week with M asked for abstract; brought together all Crete info and have prepared one drawing for World as terminal object; have 6 more critical slides to produce along the route to presenting colimits as the gift of CT to metaphysics; am talking at 15:00 on 9/8 in School of Architecture, Liverpool University; have booked 4 nights at the Adelphi – faded glory but good price at £175! Will be out most of the time with talks and socials; will get there by train, maybe via CAR. Will start time-sharing other important activities 2moro, including haircut with Jade at 10 in JG, fieldwork and websites!! xx XX!! Tonite did make G with A/R/P again and K on: all very good company! Butterflies at Ordley comprised 6 Peacock, 4 Small Tortoiseshell, 2 Large White, 1 Comma, 1 Painted Lady, 1 Holly Blue over ivy alongside road.

July 31st: maximum 16C, minimum 12C, light NE breeze, rain in morning, cloudy rest of day, few bright intervals, cool. Did get up early, drove in the wet to NCL, dropped family off, flight went well, 06:05 take-off and back home at Kingston at 09:21. Went back to bed at 05:30 when got back and slept in well to 10:30 – need compensation for a split sleep! Spent morning tidying up for cleaner S, due at 15:30, when went out to bottle bank, W4shop (£9.90) and Hexham NE for check on Black Kite from 15:15-17:15: none seen, indeed only raptor was a juvenile Kestrel up over harvested land to E. Total was just 13 bird-types, including 3 Swift, 15 Swallow, 4 Chaffinch, 2 Linnet. Butterflies comprised 3 types: 4 Small White, 6 Meadow Brown, 2 Green-veined White. Butterflies at Ordley included a Comma and 2 Meadow Brown. Did get some idea from the Crow where the kite were normally seen but a fruitless trip otherwise. Did update process web pages with latest information from Crete for workshop and presentations; looking to advance presentations in Crete as a single presentation for ANPA in 8 days. Made G4g4s where good to meet A/R/P again for good chat with the tempting J on!! xx XX!!

July 30th: maximum 20C, minimum 14C, light W breeze, rain at dawn, cloudy rest of day, few bright intervals. Tried local pub TR4m4l but closed for restart of business. So then Salute4m4l in HEX where had good Italian meal with rw for £55. Rushed then into Forum Cinema where saw Minions, The Rise of Gru, in matinee performance. Very entertaining, bit of a contrast to last Saturday!! Then back home for chicken, rice and broccoli supper, cooked by daughter. Been a very good visit, alarm set for 03:45 2moro! xx XX!!

July 29th: maximum 20C, minimum 14C, light SE breeze, rain at dawn, sunny rest of day, feeling warm. Made Haltwhistle today for family to go swimming at outdoor pool centre; I went for walk at 13:00-15:00 at North Wood before joining them for an hour’s sit-down by side of pool late afternoon and a magnum ice-cream. They really enjoyed the pool and slide; great to see so many people enjoying the facility: will it be heated next year!. We had spag bol cooked by daughter 4t – very nice! Then I went to DoW4g4s with D/D for a short break. Haltwhistle was where both our children were born as we lived there then at Town Foot in the 1970s; thinking many of the kids in the pool would be grandchildren (or even gt-grandchildren!) of the people we knew in the town. Daughter should have been born at Stocksfield but our move there to a new house was delayed by the bad winter of 1978/79 and we remained, courtesy of our buyer, in the cottage attached to the main house. It didn’t have proper heating and can remember bathing the kids in a tin bath in front of the coal fire. She was born fortuitously in January between 2 major blizzards with snow lying to 50cm 6 days after she was born. We had one car, a Citroen Ami estate, which was brilliant in the snow. I travelled by train to Newcastle University, where I worked as a Senior Research Associate in the Computer Laboratory on computerised medical information services under supervision of Elizabeth Barraclough. She retired to Keswick where she made a significant impression https://keswickreminder.co.uk/2022/02/02/elizabeth-barraclough-will-be-missed-by-the-entire-keswick-community/. Walk at North Wood was very successful in that found yet another Black Kite site near the A69 with an adult coming off the nest at 13:55, hanging over it, them quickly gaining height to the E and lost to sight. It’s clear the Black Kite are attracted to roads not rivers, loving the A69 in particular with 3 sites close to it, the A68 with 1, the A696 with 1 and the Allendale-Allenheads road with 1. That’s now 6 sites in all! Roads give them road-kills, which are snatched off the surface, often early in the morning. A male Honey-buzzard was prominent over its site in NW of square, being seen flapping from wood S of Tipalt in S direction at 13:10 and soaring high over wood to W of North Wood at 14:37 1  2  3  4 (12105). A family group of 3 Red Kite (2 ad, 1 juv) was seen slowly moving W at 13:15 to NW of Tipalt from where standing. I did think I saw Black Kite here last August but wasn’t sure at the time: will re-check the piccies. Birds were of 22 types, including 8 Common Gull adult W, 7 Swift, 13 Swallow, 1 Willow Warbler, 1 Chiffchaff, 1 Meadow Pipit, 2 Pied Wagtail. Butterflies were of 4 types: Meadow Brown 3, Peacock, Small White, Green-veined White 2 each. Funds had a much better week as commodities, including PoO, regained their poise. Gain on week was 38k, raising ytd gains to 311k gross (+17.6%), +271k net, compared with ftse 100 ytd +0.5%, ftse 250 -14.1%, dow -9.9%, nasdaq tech -21.1%, bitcoin -48.4%. While capitalism is suspended in energy markets by net zero, can expect elevated prices for oil/gas to continue. Very pleased to get updates for Festival, will start on them soon!! xx XX!!

July 28th: maximum 16C, minimum 13C, light SE breeze, rain in morning, brighter afternoon with few spots of rain. Trip to Sinderhope today, granddaughters going pony rising at the centre there while I went to look for Black Kite. Weather was dull on arrival at 12:50 but it did brighten up by 14:00 until departure at 14:50. Pony riding went well – it’s a very good centre for kids on holiday, for short rides, but they do do longer rides which think may be attempted next time. Then back to HEX for shopping for family and for me to QH4s4ll (starving!). Then home and out at 18:00 until 20:00 at Cnt4m4s for whole family; good wholesome food, much of it GF for granddaughters, shared a steak dish and bottle rw with daughter, girls had meals off board, daughter impressed by number GF dishes. So what about the Black Kite? Waited until 14:20 with no sign in spite of having new good view of site from NW side; then looking closely at favoured hunting area of male Black Kite over pasture, hayfields and pine plantations to NE, picked him up flying rapidly around the area; with piccies 1  2, good in the circumstances as he moved around so dynamically. So presume site is still occupied: next visit should see fledged young, no sign of female kite yet! But that’s 5/5 sites still occupied, late into rearing period. Total was 20 bird-types, including Curlew 9, Stock Dove 3, Chaffinch 4, Meadow Pipit 1, Swallow 4, Great Spotted Woodpecker 1. Butterflies were of 5 types: Meadow Brown 5, Small White 3, single Small Tortoiseshell, Peacock, Ringlet. Mammals comprised 2 rabbit and 27 mole (22 dead on wires). Family’s return is now set for the NCL-LHR flight on Sunday morning at 06:05 (mine after Barber!); said I’d take them if can go to DoW Saturday nite! Funeral of Auntie Ann is set for 17/8 at 14:00 in Froxfield church, Marlborough, Wilts; will go, haven’t thought what else I can do while down there. xx XX!!

July 27th: maximum 18C, minimum 12C, light SE breeze, sunny morning, cloudier later, dry. Family went to Whitley Chapel playground in morning and Peth Foot by the Devil’s Water, 400m from our house, in the afternoon. I drove them to/from he playground and walked down to the burn with them. They’re really enjoying the cooler climate and wide open spaces of Hexhamshire. Got some lovely piccies of them paddling in the burn. Honey-buzzard kept a wide berth: no sightings today. Son-in-law has got a new job with a hedge fund based in Dubai at a good salary raise: they’re off in May next year: Emirates flights resume to/from NCL on 15/10 with 4 a week in each direction: they’re going to let their house in Kingston; girls will go to an international school. Inspected car in daylight; no more damage spotted, which is unusual in these situations; deer was jumping as it hit car. Phoned insurance company LV= to report incident; friendly enough and efficient in getting full report. Local garage in Blaydon is appointed as repairer; they will ask me to bring car in, give an estimate to LV= and, if accepted, will do the repairs, costing maybe 1k (my estimate, probably low!) of which I pay 350 excess and lose some of my ncd (9 years to 4). Could have tried cheaper routes but car is fairly new and want quality maintained; also list of damaged items tends to increase as work begins. Today saw improvement in voice, still full of cold, no fever or cough, think it’s laryngitis. Girls were so shy yesterday, today raucous!! 2moro it’s Sinderhope for horse riding and Black Kite! xx XX!! Here’s Sophia and Isabella at Peth Foot, by the Devil’s Water near my house in July (27/7) 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11, and grandchildren and daughter 12  13  14  15  16  17.

July 26th: maximum 17C, minimum 11C, light NW breeze, sunny periods, dry. Made Prudhoe Dukeshagg from 15:00-16:10, looking for Black Kite and confirmed breeding here. First up at 15:05 was a male Honey-buzzard, flapping out low-down to E 1 (12104). A single Black Kite juvenile was seen at 15:12 1 with an adult circling above the site before plunging in 2; then at 15:31 a juvenile 3  4 and an adult were spotted very high-up hanging over the site briefly 5. 2 Common Buzzard juveniles were seen to SE at 15:23 and N of site at 15:29. A Red Kite adult was seen low-down over the wood on the top of the hill to the E at 15:56 towards Coalburns. So very rewarding short visit. Bird-types for trip were 18, including a Chiffchaff, 4 Swallow, 3 LBBG adult, a Common Gull adult (in Prudhoe town). Butterflies were of 6 types: 3 Small Skipper 1, 3 Large White, 1 Small White, 3 Green-veined White, 1 Small Copper 1, 12 Meadow Brown. Elsewhere had family party of 4 Redstart at Lamb Shield and at Ordley midday: an agitated Chiffchaff, 2 Rabbit and a Wood Mouse. Then went to Tesco to collect shopping order for daughter (£46) and new towels (£28). Fetched them from NCL Airport; hit a young Roe Deer on road just coming out of Letah Wood on way there at 21:40; the deer was feeding by the side of the road on a tight bend and on being startled ran straight towards my car, which was doing about 30mph with headlights on; I braked but the deer collided with the nearside grill, wrecking it, slightly buckling the bonnet and damaging the front sensor; deer was stunned but fortunately staggered off; rest of car seems OK including lights; what a pain: insurance job affecting my ncd; will report tomorrow! Did carry on and drive to Airport and fetch family, will reassess tomorrow morning when light. Delighted to see family again; all tucked up now downstairs! Isn’t life exciting!! Funds +10k wtd as commodities rally. Had Barn Owl at Ordley at 21:35 and Tawny Owl at 23:00. Good luck with the concert: xx XX!!

July 25th: maximum 18C, minimum 12C, light N breeze, sunny intervals in morning, torrential rain in afternoon. Sky News were running a scary programme on drought in England just as the rain lashed down: had to laugh! Spent morning chatting to son and discussing our wild garden in which he was very interested. Dropped him off at HEX at 14:20 for his journey home. Then touch and go as clouds swirled around and heavy showers circled us. Decided to make Styford from 14:35 for check on Black Kite there. It was very dramatic weather but before it closed in did have a Black Kite adult over the top of a tree by Tyne, putting up 50 Rook and 60 gulls (54 Black-headed Gull adult + 6 Common Gull (5 ad and 1 1s)) at 14:51. Shortly after the heavens opened in a big way and departed at 15:10. Fortune favours the brave! So that’s 3 Black Kite sites checked now and all are preoccupied with young in the nest – no indication of fledging yet. Only 1 Black Kite piccie 1 but enough for record purposes. Total of 6 bird-types in casual visit included 8 Common Gull (as preceding with 2 additional adult W), 3 Sand Martin, with 1 butterfly-type – 3 Large White. Did make R @ B4m4s and G4g4s with K on and A/P/R present. All potentially good but voice in bad way – amusing for many, that’s how we like you Nick! Granddaughter S has just had Covid again (Iranian form, caught from dad after visit there) but temperature now reduced; said not to worry, there are germs everywhere! Collecting a tray or two of shopping from Tesco at ttime for visitors. Evidently they are excited about trip to the far north: do they have the same money up there? Very sad news from Wiltshire: my Auntie Ann (Tapper, aunt, younger sister of mother, born as Lena Ann Nicholls in Dawlish, Devon, on 02/01/1928, daughter of William Hudson Nicholls and Mabel Lena (Holbrook) Nicholls) passed away last night, aged 94; will go to funeral. 2moro will get to Airport in plenty of time!! xx XX!!

July 24th: maximum 20C, minimum 14C, moderate SW breeze, sunny intervals, occasional light shower, much fresher. We went up on the Roman Wall, having late lunch at Twice Brewed where very young obliging staff (one way to recruit staff, maybe also providing transport to/from Haltwhistle). Had roast lamb and rhubarb crumble with ice cream plus lemonade (son loves desserts so joining him!), total £50. We then went for walk at Roman fort Housesteads up to the top of the ridge, overlooking Broomlee Lough and Wark Forest. All very bracing. I’ve developed a cold, nothing serious, rather bunged up and voice is going but a couple of paracetamol have helped; appetite remains very healthy and no fever or cough. 2moro son leaves on 14:25 HEX-NCL for transfer to KGX and WGC. I have 32 hours to prepare for arrival of daughter and 2 granddaughters off late LHR-NCL flight! Also 2moro have R4m4s at Beaumont, where collecting money at PoS and G4g4s, where should meet more of the gang. xx XX!!

July 23rd: maximum 18C, minimum 16C, light SE breeze, cloudy, rain from time to time, muggy. Highlite of day was concert at S by RNS for BBC prom with son; a moving day. We were sitting in box on west side close to the double bass, xylophone and percussion, including timpani, triangle and cymbal. So we weren’t promenading! Concert opened with John Adams’ Shaker Loops, written in 1978, revised 1982. Adams is a creative American composer with interesting ideas such as minimalist music and operas on living subjects such as Nixon in China. See for instance his Short Ride in a Fast Machine https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5LoUm_r7It8 . Shaker Loops has more of a folksy basis, a few more tunes and is purely for strings though you might think there’s the odd woodwind at times from the sounds. You either love Adams or hate him; I enjoy his works very much as I find the variable tempo compelling. Next up were a series of choral works, including Judith Weir’s Incredible, Melodious, four songs by Spell Songs (Thrift, Acorn, Little Astronaut. Moth) and the traditional The Water of Tyne. These were sung by Voices of the River’s Edge, a Tyneside youth chorus (18-35) of mixed ability and directed by namesake Grace Rossiter (no relation, born in London) https://www.finchleychoralsociety.co.uk/biographies who is celebrated for directing youth choirs such as the Finchley Children’s Music Group and is also Deputy Chorus Director of the BBC Symphony Chorus. The Voices were drilled very well and had clearly adapted to working under the RNS’ conductor DS. The second half was dedicated to the well-known Dvořák 9, which was played with great precision and expression by RNS under DS. Always think mv 3 is the precursor to western (cowboy) film music with its lilting themes and impression of wide-open spaces. Mv 4 is the most intense of the symphony and tears filled my eyes in the final crescendo as it was the end of an era. Still we had a good session afterwards with the Festival crowd and son: it was a very memorable moment: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! We’ll meet again!! Being so close to the orchestra did learn a bit about xylophone, triangle and cymbal playing and marvelled at the timpanist Jude Carlton, with his split microsecond timing and high profile if anything went wrong; and the loudness of his touches: ears were ringing at times! Did agree to sponsor Festival to same extent as last year. Earlier had meal at MP with son: £66 including service at 10%; had ragu, panna cotta, a lemonade and an elderflower cocktail; was greeted like an old friend by staff. After concert went back to CAL and then drove home. A great day!!

July 22nd: maximum 16C, minimum 12C, light SE breeze, cloudy, rain from time to time. Up with the lark at 06:30 to fetch son from NCL at 07:30 off Gdansk flight by Ryanair – on time! We did some shopping at W – £42.60 for spag bol and delicacies for tea, followed by DoW4g4s with D/D; we had good chat, son had some Fentimans – very light and interesting drinks! Highlite of weekend will be prom concert on Saturday; we’re parking at CAL, making MP4t4m, attending concert, staying for drink afterwards; back on last M. Hoping for a positive farewell with the gorgeous one: xxxxx XXX!! Funds had a much better week, gaining 26k, making it +273k ytd gross (+15.5%), + 233k net, compared with ftse 100 ytd -1.5%, ftse 250 -15.6%, dow -12.0%, nasdaq tech -24.2%, bitcoin -49.6%. Don’t think we’re out of the woods yet, not chasing prices higher and hold 78k cash. Have now reinvested 113k in heavyweight miners at a gain in shares held of 17%.

July 21st: maximum 17C, minimum 13C, light E breeze, cloudy, dry in daytime. Had good lunch with M/B at Tans. Later made G4g4s with P for catch-up. Black Kite interest was in trip to Bywell where had an adult in after an hour’s wait beating around the top of some scrubby woodland, getting a few piccies this time 1  2  3. Also here had a family party of Common Buzzard of adult + 2 juv up to NE, 5 Grey Partridge (pair of adult with 3 medium-sized chicks in total of 14 bird-types. . Up early 2moro to fetch son from airport.

July 20th: maximum 22C, minimum 16C, light W breeze, hazy sunshine, light rain in evening following a few heavy drops overnight. What a temperature drop: more a heat waft than a heatwave! Am perturbed at media’s use of the waft as evidence for climate emergency: it’s weather: temperature anomalies for planet are still running at low levels, for instance +0.06C from satellite readings in June https://www.drroyspencer.com/latest-global-temperatures/ following +0.17C in May. Satellite readings cover the whole planet, not just population centres, which may be more sensitive to the heat-island effect. A more detailed report is at https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/: “the drop was most prominent in the tropics as the cool La Niña episode lives on for the 3rd year in a row. As noted in previous posts, the tropical temperature had been rising since February in a sign that the La Niña might be fading, but in June the temperature fell somewhat rapidly to its lowest level since the La Niña of 2012”. …. “Of interest here is that the total heat content of the tropical Pacific is actually slightly above average as the subsurface water in the western portion is much warmer than normal and may at some point make its impact felt on the atmosphere above. The latest on the evolution of La Niña and its anticipated diminishment by 2023 is provided by NOAA here: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf(18 July 2022):

ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña is present .La Niña Advisory Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across most of the Pacific Ocean. The tropical Pacific atmosphere is consistent with La Niña. La Niña is favoured to continue through 2022 with the odds for La Niña decreasing into the Northern Hemisphere late summer (60% chance in July-September 2022) before increasing through the Northern Hemisphere fall and early winter 2022 (62-66% chance).

So with La Niña continuing into at least end 2022, that point at which heat in the ocean will transfer to the land still seems to be a little way off. On a global basis western Europe seems to be particularly prone to heatwaves at the moment; for instance see https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-31432-y . Accelerated western European heatwave trends linked to more-persistent double jets over Eurasia – Efi Rousi, Kai Kornhuber, Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga, Fei Luo & Dim Coumou. The continuing cold Arctic Ocean contrasting with warming land on its southern flank and soil and land dessication are cited as possible causes, modifying jet stream patterns. It should be emphasised that heatwaves in western Europe are occurring at a rate not predicted by the current climate models until several decades on: the coverage of the models is inadequate, being based rather crudely, mainly on greenhouse gases. Land use in western Europe may need to be adapted to ensure surfaces are less austere and dessicated: are areas with high human density more prone to overheating? Finally in July 2022 ice report: “Arctic sea ice extent continued its summer decline. Extent is below average but not as low as in recent summers. In the Antarctic, sea ice extent is currently at record low levels for this time of year” http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/ . Delighted at the news that Sizewell nuclear plant is getting closer to going ahead: reliable and safe 24/7 low-carbon high-density energy for 60-80 years.

Today made Hexham NE from 12:25-15:00 for check on Black Kite. Had a number of sightings: 12:55 one adult up very high over site hanging; 12:58 same bird moved lower and flying over site; 13:13 same bird again briefly low-down over site; 14:05 an adult gliding fast into the nest from the N. But no decent piccies – all quite furtive now; indicates young have not fledged yet but site is firmly occupied. Site appears to be in scrubby area alongside A69 dual-carriageway in oak/ash area. Made QHC4s4ll and G4g4t. Had a Common Buzzard juvenile low down over Beaumont Street as came out of G at 18:00, putting everything up! Also in total of 22 bird-types had 2 Goosander juvenile on the Tyne, with 3 LBBG adult, 3 Herring Gull (2 ad, 1 2s), 17 Black-headed Gull (16 ad, 1 juv), 9 Swallow, 3 Swift. Butterflies were of 8 types: 10 Small White, 3 Green-veined White, 2 Meadow Brown, 2 Red Admiral, 2 Speckled Wood, single Large White, Small Tortoiseshell, Peacock. Yesterday at Ordley had 8 Swift and 9 Swallow overhead at dusk plus a Brown Hare in my field. Son is coming up soon if the trains are running again. Looking forward to Saturday: xx XX!!

July 19th: maximum 37C, minimum 18C, light W breeze, sunny all day, dry. Made it back to NCL in style: airports operating normally in heatwave in marked contrast to terrestrial forms of transport (LNER, T&W Metro). Did though use Elisabeth Line from West Ealing to LHR 2,3 and then Heathrow Express to T5, which were both operating smoothly. Plane was packed (Airbus, 25x6 passengers) and 30 min late but happy enough for that in the circumstances. This BA Flight at 13:15 was a little bumpy: plenty of thermals and little eddies and we had some turbulence out of LHR but much more at NCL, where pilot expertly came in fast and hard b4 ramming on the reverse thrust, to avoid any last-minute deviations in flight path due to the weather. Fetched car out of long-stay CP with no problem. Temperature at NCL was 37C and in car on way back recorded 36-38C. House was cool downstairs (thick walls) but hot upstairs; garden has hardly grown while away. Package of new external drive was left on doorstep by UPS (1 week late!) but retrieved by S and is now being loaded with image data. Puzzled by new temperature records: feel heat islands due to man-made constructions and bare, dry soil may be aggravating the problem; we need a new way of building cities with more air and green spaces and less of a prairie approach in the countryside. On advice from younger sis did shop at Lidl’s new store in HEX: £27 spent, saving £5-10 on W I reckon. Prefer stores where food is inherently cheap rather than spending time going though offers. Funds smartly recovering this week, +26k wtd, on bounce back in PoO and general feeling that commodities are oversold. Renewed hosting for Festival. Have received 2 tickets in Box on Level 1 for Saturday’s prom, 1 for son. Some rain at 01:20 (20/7).

July 18th: maximum 36C, minimum 26C, light SE breeze, sunny all day, dry. Now in London at Ealing at big sis’! Had breakfast at Ibis Hotel in Purpan, very good value – €10.50 included in €53 room charge! Caught tram up to Airport – all straight-forward and then flight from Toulouse to LHR, just 1 hour 20 min. We then took Piccadilly from T5 to T3 and caught cool Elisabeth Line to Ealing Broadway, where took a taxi to Gill’s house. Lateral FT for Covid positive today for both big sis and brother-in-law but not for younger sis who’s now shaken off the live infection. What a business! No trains tomorrow KGX-York through heatwave so am expecting my 13:15 flight LHR-NCL to be full. Had a Black Kite soaring over Toulouse Airport, over grass between runways, this morning and a floating Red Kite near Hayes and Harlington station this afternoon at 13:00! xx

July 17th: maximum 39C, minimum 19C, light SE breeze, sunny all day, dry. Now in Toulouse at Ibis Purpan, near airport. Up at 05:25, nephew drove the 4 of us up to Toulouse, younger sis and brother-in-law to fly today to Bristol and elder sis and me to explore Toulouse before flying tomorrow. We went for coffee in Capitol Square 1  2  3 in centre at 10:00 with nephew and he then departed; we had set up a WhatsApp group for the Rossiter family visit and that was busy today with fond farewells and thanks. Another very hot day but we did look at the old historical city and had a liquid lunch b4 getting Uber taxi to hotel, for €17 where had dropped bags earlier. Sooo nice to have air conditioning and fast WiFi. Here's the 2022/23 programme for the Opéra national du Capitole, Toulouse. We had tea at a local pizza cafe and nitecap in hotel b4 retiring early to catch up on sleep. xx

Birds today included a Black Kite flying along the road E of Marciac at 06:30 at dawn, darting down in front of us to a road kill and another at Cadours over a stubble field at 08:00, after detour through motorway closure (accident!). No raptors seen in the heat at Toulouse but quite a lot of birds, 11 types, including 30 Mediterranean Yellow-legged Gull 1  2  3  4  5, 110 Black-headed Gull and 3 Common Tern on the mighty Garonne river, with 2 White Wagtail 1  2  3 , 1 Song Thrush, 4 Carrion Crow, 45 displaying Swift.

From 28th June-17th July on BirdGuides, 7 more Black Kite, very widely scattered:

21:04 17/07 Black Kite Northumberland Hadston 17:45 possible to north on west side of A1068 this evening

12:04 14/07 Black Kite Cornwall Predannack Airfield 19:30 12/07 one flew over fields on Tuesday evening

07:03 14/07 Black Kite West Sussex Amberley 11:00 13/07 probable flew over yesterday morning

18:14 12/07 Black Kite Dorset Charminster possible flew north towards Charlton Down

11:23 12/07 Black Kite Devon Hartland Point 09:30 one flew south along the coast

18:11 11/07 Black Kite Cambridgeshire Waterbeach 16:30 one flew over BP before heading towards Cambridge Research centre

21:55 01/07 Black Kite Argyll Ardalanish, Mull 24/06 belated news of one on 24 June


and 59 sightings of Honey-buzzard as raw total – high considering how secretive this bird can be, but sightings at known breeding sites were common: maximum totals of 4 birds at Norfolk Swanton Novers, 3 birds at North Yorkshire Wykeham Forest and one bird at Nottinghamshire Welbeck. Elsewhere 18 different locations, including multiple sightings of 2, in Kent, and of 7 in Alderney.

21:07 17/07 European Honey Buzzard Kent Samphire Hoe CP one arrived in off the sea

17:37 17/07 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Flatford 17:28 one flew over south towards Dedham

16:58 16/07 European Honey Buzzard Northumberland Long Nanny 16:49 one reported flying over tern colony

10:25 16/07 European Honey Buzzard Cornwall Devoran 10:15 adult flew over north-east

17:10 15/07 European Honey Buzzard West Sussex Arundel 16:50 female flew west

10:08 15/07 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Icklesham 14/07 female flew over yesterday

08:40 15/07 European Honey Buzzard Hertfordshire Elstree 15:00 14/07 one flew south-west yesterday afternoon

13:15 10/07 European Honey Buzzard Lancashire Feniscowles 12:05 one flew south-east

09:46 10/07 European Honey Buzzard Warwickshire Morton Bagot 09:45 one circled overheard then drifted towards Redditch

12:58 09/07 European Honey Buzzard Cornwall Nanjizal Valley 12:00 dark-morph female at midday

18:46 08/07 European Honey Buzzard Cheshire Hale 18:40 female circled over Carr Lane Pools then drifted north

13:19 08/07 European Honey Buzzard Alderney Alderney 13:00 seven over Essex Farm

22:20 02/07 European Honey Buzzard Orkney Brough of Birsay, Mainland 13:00 26/06

09:27 02/07 European Honey Buzzard Jersey Corbiere 09:21 one

07:01 01/07 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Morden Bog NNR 30/06 one flew north-west yesterday

10:05 30/06 European Honey Buzzard East Yorkshire Kilnsea 10:02 one flew high south past Kilnsea Wetlands towards Numpties

21:39 28/06 European Honey Buzzard Somerset & Bristol Chew Valley Lake 08:15 one flew south over Stratford Hide

11:24 28/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent St Margaret's at Cliffe two females over monument at Bockhill Farm late morning

10:03 28/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent South Foreland one flew WNW over lighthouse mid-morning


July 16th: maximum 40C, minimum 20C, light NW breeze, sunny all day, dry. More forest fires in Gironde but air much less hazy today. We’re in top-level of weather warnings (red!). Studied the Black Kite closely this morning from the ranch from 10:15-13:15 getting plenty of distance shots 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20; 4 birds (3 ad, 1 juv) were floating around, keeping fairly high, not low-down like they were a few days ago; think these might be new birds from further N; not seen at end of watch. A Woodlark was seen flying S and a Melodious Warbler was still singing in the heat. Also took a piccie of a Collared Dove 1. Had a Black-winged Kite adult 1  2  3  4  5  6 perched on top of a tree at 11:00 in their nesting area with 2 adult and a juvenile 7  8  9  10 seen in the evening from 20:00-22:00 in a tree overlooking this habitat with hedges 11. There were quite a few wasps around. Also in evening session had 31 Cattle Egret and 110 Starling moving NW to roost. Had last meal out at Place de la Ville in centre of Marciac; very nice plat du jours: melon cerrano, poulet and rice, pavlova, g from the bar (really, quite a lot of ex-pats in area, more piccies!). Very nice then had siesta as heat surged, still 35C at 19:00. Journey back coincides with peak of the heat wave, spending day in Toulouse tomorrow; airport hotel has proper WiFi! Starting at 06:30 to give car a gentle run. Sisters still coughing badly and spread to brother-in-law; suspected as Covid new variant; I had a lump in my throat for one day and a stomach upset but have apparently shaken it off, my third 24-hour Covid do in 2 years. xx

July 15th: maximum 36C, minimum 19C, light NW breeze, sunny all day, dry. Very hazy today (smoke haze) with smell of burning as big pine forest blazes in Arcachon/Bordeaux to W. Weather warning out now – amber! Had chat to local farmer Lauren who speaks reasonable English as he went to agricultural college in Devon. He said this is exceptional hot, dry spell and he’s spending much time watering maize and soya crops; sunflower don’t need watering much once they’ve started flowering which they’ve done; he’s trying some smaller GM maize this year which is supposed to use less water but he’s not convinced yet. Went out for walk to W to Beaumarches (habitat 1  2  3) from 10:55-12:50, doing over 5k steps (3.5km). Common Buzzard were conspicuous with new family party of 4 up in air 1 but Black Kite were scarce with just 3 seen (1 adult float, 2 soaring high, 1  2  3  4, are they leaving?). Had 67 Carrion Crow, mainly in one flock, 11 Cattle Egret (flock), 4 Green Woodpecker plus alarm calls of a large pied woodpecker type, 11 Swallow (fledged), 14 House Martin (occupied nest), 3 singing Melodious Warbler, 1 singing Blackcap, 1 fem/juv Cirl Bunting, 1 Linnet. Butterflies included a beautiful Scarce Swallowtail 1  2  3  4  5 (at Juillac), 2 Wood White 1, a Small Skipper, 3 Clouded Yellow 1  2  3  4, 66 Hedge Brown, 7 Small White, 1 Marbled White, and a White Admiral (also at Juillac). Most importantly Black Kite appear to have left with many flying high yesterday and just a few through with unusual plumage in last day or two. Had a Honey-buzzard female up over site to SW at 17:16, hanging over area before drifting off SW; at 17:30 (12207 1  2  3  4  5  6  7); plus a Black-winged Kite adult up to SW. Total bird-types for day was 26 and for butterfly-types 8. Think funds are down 13k on week, maybe 15k when all catch-ups done!! Suspect most stocks heavily oversold and some rebound to follow; have put 100k back from cash into heavyweight miners at ‘bargain’ prices, yielding 13-20%!! Went to Riscle in evening, a restaurant 20km to NW from Marciac for lovely meal, more canard, rw and brandy!! Got some piccies now but short of mobile allowance, now used 4.2GB of 5GB allowance. Had 2 Black Kite at Termes-d’Armaganc on way NW at 18:30 and a hunting male Sparrowhawk in the restaurant area at Riscle at 19:00.

July 14th: maximum 38C, minimum 18C, light SW breeze, sunny all day, dry. More hazy today as mountains not in view but still very hot. Barley harvest complete with bare fields a magnet for the roving raptors; baling is very popular with the kites as it disturbs the mice; the birds happily fly within a metre of the farmer in his vehicle, complete trust there! Maize irrigation is still in full swing with water canons, fed by aquifers, everywhere. Much less maize was being grown in the Toulouse area; suspect as it’s further from the Pyrenees there’s less run-off from the mountains available; it is a controversial issue locally. Sunflowers don’t need much watering evidently. Walked up to top of ridge from 10:15-12:50. Black Kite comprised 8 birds circling over cut barley field as farmer baled; piccies 1  2  3  4  5  6  7, soaring birds 8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26  27  28; 2 to extreme N, 2 to extreme S, 1 to extreme W, 1 to extreme NE (Lac), 1 to extreme SE; total = 15. Common Buzzard comprised 4 around ridge (family party 2 ad, 2 juv) 1  2  3  4  5 plus 5 to S (2 ad ,3 juv) and 2 over Lac; total = 11. Common Kestrel comprised 2 juv to NE and ad male and juv to SW. Red Kite comprised 1 adult in SE area 1. So total is 31 raptors of 4 types. Other birds included 20 Cattle Egret: 13 were around local cattle 1  2  3 plus 7 flying to N, a Short-toed Treecreeper, an agitated Redstart, 3 Chaffinch, a Chiffchaff, a Blackcap, 2 Nuthatch, family party of 4 Green Woodpecker, a Swallow, 3 Melodious Warbler, in much higher total of 22 bird-types. Butterflies comprised a Purple-edged Copper 1  2  3, 4 Small White, 10 Marbled White, 38 Hedge Brown, 3 Meadow Brown, 4 Swallowtail, 3 Clouded Yellow. Had good day with nephew’s family, concluding with excellent dinner at Les Coulisses, which I treated everyone to: €175 plus €20 bonus! Had lamb on skewers (brochette lamb): very tasty and house rw! So all going well but ending soon!! xx XX!!

July 13th: maximum 38C, minimum 18C, light N breeze, sunny all day, dry. Well 38C is 100F in old money: they used to ring a bell in Tucson, Arizona, each April when the temperature first rose that high. We remain warmest part of France. No walk up hill today: disturbed sleep with relations coughing, and soooo hot! Did join younger sis for c100 min drive to Toulouse Airport to fetch nephew and partner; I was there as navigator and moral support. We left at 17:45 and got there at 19:30 jit to meet in arret minut car park after their plane had landed – free parking if only there for 10 min! Drove back immediately – car fully loaded with 4 passengers and luggage and some non-fatal ignition system warnings – may be due to overheating engine with no break, hot weather and faster style (nephew driving!). We had gr8 reunion drink outside at the ranch: lovely to see everyone again!

Birds today comprised 2 Black Kite moving S at Juillac to feed in ridge area at 11:15; a Stonechat male on wires E of Juillac at 17:55; a Black Kite at Saint-Maur-Soulès at 18:05; a Hoopoe at Mirande at 18:20; 6 Cattle Egret and a Common Buzzard up at Bisquer from 18:34-18:38; a Black Kite at Leguevin at 19:30; a Black Kite at Pilbrac at 19:34; a Roller at Leguevin at 20:07; 2 Common Buzzard on fences at Beazavin at 20:28; 2 Hoopoe at Auch at 20:50; a Common Buzzard at S Maur at 21:16. So raptor totals away from Juillac: 3 Black Kite, 4 Common Buzzard. Processed Crete records for 17/4 today, getting there!

July 12th: maximum 37C, minimum 18C, light N breeze, sunny all day, dry. Went for morning walk from 10:45-12:45 up to top of ridge again, went a little further E and found a walking rest area with partial shade and stone and wooden benches – marvellous. Here are views to N 1, W 2, S 3, NE 4. Experimented with camera and thought that setting A (aperture) and reduced zoom-in was better for raptors in flight. Setting bird (icon) is better for perched birds and butterflies. Masses of raptors out again in late morning heat with, on ridge, 4 Common Buzzard (2 ad, 2 juv), 8 Black Kite (all juv) in feeding frenzy as farmer did some baling on stubble field, 2 Red Kite (ad, juv) 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9 and a male Common Kestrel 1 over stubble field a little to N, a male Sparrowhawk over the field a little to S. Black Kite piccies comprised some soaring 1  2  3, at distance 4  5  6  7  8 (last with Common Buzzard closer), close 9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17, with Common Buzzard 18  19 . Also had 4 Common Buzzard (2 ad, 2 juv) and 3 Black Kite to extreme SE, with 1 Black Kite to NE. So total of 12 Black Kite, 8 Common Buzzard, 2 Red Kite (redder body, more forked tail, narrower wings), 1 Common Kestrel, 1 Sparrowhawk: 24 raptors of 5 types. No Honey-buzzard – keeping a very low profile in the heat. Other birds included 2 singing Melodious Warbler, a female/juv Cirl Bunting, an anxious Chiffchaff, a calling Golden Oriole, 3 anxious Great Tit, 2 Nuthatch (bred). Total was just 11 bird-types in the heat. Butterflies included 2 Sooty Copper 1  2  3  4, 1 Common Blue 1, 4 Swallowtail, 1 Meadow Brown, 4 Painted Lady, 2 Clouded Yellow, a Dark Green Fritillary, plus 2 Humming-bird Hawk-moth. So pretty good morning! Processed a lot of Crete piccies from 14/4-15/4 in afternoon. Then we all went to Place de la Ville for slap-up meal in evening – canard again for me followed by pavlova – magnificent, with ww, local brandy and espresso. It’s forecast to reach 39/40 by Sunday/Monday! Tomorrow late afternoon younger sis and I are going to Toulouse Airport to fetch nephew A and wife M. Funds down 10k wtd as slump in commodity prices continues; big sell-off Monday morning is becoming predictable. Am slowly reinvesting cash in mining heavyweights, gaining shares if not cash! Can play the waiting game! Lack of WiFi is an issue: using tethering to Android phone and have increased mobile data to 5 GB a month but not really enough for all want to do. xx XX

July 11th: maximum 36C, minimum 20C, light N breeze, sunny all day, dry. Mornings are still OK for a walk but afternoon and early evening is pretty fearsome; SW France is the hottest past of the country and still on a rising trend. Watering of maize with water canons continues: some local people think it uses too much water to be sustainable but with the Ukraine war maize price has soared this year. Another popular local crop is sunflowers, another crop in short supply with the Ukraine war; it doesn’t need so much water. Walked up the hill to the ridge from 09:30-12:20 and had masses of Black Kite 1  2  3: 8 in air at one time overhead, based near ranch plus 4 to SE, 3 to extreme E, 4 to extreme W, giving total 19 birds, about 50% juvenile; recorded some calls; they were soaring very high 4  5  6  7  8, maybe preparing for emigration. Also had 1 Red Kite adult soaring over E end of wood to SE as in last visit, 9 Common Buzzard (1 ad, 2 juv at ranch 1  2  3  4; 2 ad, 2 juv to SE 5  6; 1 ad, 1 juv extreme E), 1 Honey-buzzard male, seen at 11:55, flying briefly along ridge from where walking to W, probably out on a feeding trip. Here’s the copse 9 where young Black Kite were still being fed and views over Juillac to S generally 1  2. Had a Golden Oriole singing, a Jay calling, 3 singing Melodious Warbler, 1 Hoopoe in our garden, 3 Carrion Crow 1. Total for morning was 20 bird-types. Butterflies included 36 Hedge Brown, 9 Marbled White, 5 Small Blue, 3 Small White, 2 Painted Lady, 2 Small Heath, 1 Clouded Yellow. 3 of us (minus elder sister) went to Bassoues for lunch, a village up in the hills to N with a good restaurant set in an old medieval type wooden building; very cool. We had good lunch, potage followed by canard and dessert for me, plus small carafe of red wine. Cost was only €53, very good value. Had 2 Black Kite in vicinity of village giving total of 21 for the day! They restaurant had 2 interesting posters of the birds of Gers 1  2. Sisters still suffering from the virus. At dusk pleasant sitting outside at 22:00 and had 69 Crow, 2 Magpie and 9 Cattle Egret going to roost with a Robin and 2 Goldfinch in the garden. Booked up 2 rooms for elder sister and me at Ibis near Toulouse Airport for return journey; we fly one day later than younger sis and brother-in-law through BA cancellations. Cost was just €107. Nephew and wife arrive on Wednesday! Legal requirement for masks in France revoked today.

July 10th: maximum 34C, minimum 19C, light N breeze, sunny all day, dry. A scorcher: going higher, forecast 37C max in few days! Irrigation of lucrative maize crop is in full swing with enormous hoses and water canons mobilised. At least farmhouse with thick walls stays cool. Day off: too hot for the birds and for me. 3 of us (minus brother-in-law) did make the sq concert at cool Tillac Church St James the Major 1  2 with Quatuor Fenris playing Shostakovitch sq3 and Schubert sq13 Rosamunde!! Thought the Shostakovitch was very dark, especially m4 – it’s a very moving piece, ending almost in despair. Not sure it was appropriate for a small-town audience, to which the smooth and romantic Schubert was entirely appropriate. But the audience seemed to love both pieces and we had an encore of a polka! Shostakovitch is master of the sq medium! Both sisters went outside with coughs for the Schubert so left in splendid isolation but younger one did come back for the encore. Cost was €18 each. Here’s a mediaeval tower in Tillac 1 and some woodland 1 near the village. Birds here from 15:30-18:00 comprised 16 House Sparrow, 12 displaying Swift, 1 Swallow nesting, 1 Green Woodpecker alarm call, 10 House Martin occupying nests.

July 9th: maximum 32C, minimum 21C, light SE breeze, sunny all day, dry. Quite a scorcher: on rising trend now! Walked up the hill to S from 10:00-12:30 to make the ridge, from where you can see the Pyrenees in the distance 1  2  3, with still significant snow areas, some 50km away to S. There had been a fire in the stubble over the other side of the ridge and 2 fire tenders and 4 vans were in attendance; got some strange looks, think they thought I was a reporter, with my camera gear, but reporters don’t walk up the hill to get to the scene and also don’t spend much time looking up into the sky! Anyway the fire had been put out but it had attracted some Black Kite, looking for any disturbed mice. A barley field was also being cut; that had a single Black Kite following the cutter 1  2  3  4 but later at 19:00 as heat abated had 8 Black Kite over the field, presumed to be 2 family groups of 4. Had 5 singing Melodious Warbler and 5 Tree Sparrow, plus alarm/food calls from Long-eared Owl (at least one adult, 1 juvenile) and Black Kite calls from the wood on N side of ridge. Could study the area to SE of ridge, picking up a female Honey-buzzard 1 (12209) at 12:36 in territory over a wood, trying to keep 4 Black Kite (2 ad, 2 juv) away from its nesting area 2, with a Red Kite, first one seen, up over the E end of wood. Much further to SW at 12:49 had a male Honey-buzzard in contention with a Black Kite adult (habitat 1, 12210) and 4 Cattle Egret on the move. 3 Common Buzzard (ad, 2 juv, 1 pale-phase juv) were up over the ridge. Butterflies included 2 Swallowtail, 2 Small Heath 1, 6 Marbled White 1, 4 Common Blue 1  2, 1 Small Blue 1, 3 Painted Lady 1. The heat kept most birds low in the afternoon but first up at 17:45 as it cooled down a bit was a female Honey-buzzard circling for some time over the small woods 1  2 on the ridge 3 (12205); suspect she’s not breeding there, that’s over the ridge to SE but it is a popular feeding area. 2moro we have the live concert at Tillac at 17:00. Trying to get the family to watch more French TV: we have CNews on channel 16 and watched an outdoors show of popular singing works, mainly opera, on CultureBox with the Cannes Symphony Orchestra, maybe from Monte Carlo or Nice, where it’s really hot: 35C max, 24C min today.

July 8th: maximum 27C, minimum 13C, light SE breeze, cloudy early morning, sunny later, dry. Had walk early-on from 10:10-12:30, down again to river to N, before it got too hot. Many more insects around of which more later. Raptors comprised a family group of 3 Black Kite to S, with nearby calls heard on walk to N where an adult moving SW; a male Honey-buzzard high over the site to NE at 11:38 (Marciac NW, habitat 12200 1  2) drifting S towards Juillac (3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12, 12211) and another male high up over the now presumed site to S at 13:30 (Juillac SW); 4 Common Buzzard, family party of 2 ad + 2 juv, near our ranch 1. Also had a Blue-headed Wagtail male 1, two calling Golden Oriole and one calling Quail, a Crested Lark, 2 Hoopoe 1  2, 1 Grey Heron 1, 2 singing Blackcap, 2 singing Melodious Warbler, 4 Stonechat 1  2, 1 White Wagtail male 1. Had a couple of Hornet, 1 Humming-bird Hawk-moth 1, 2 Silver-washed Fritillary 1  2, a Grizzled Skipper 1  2  3, 10 Common Blue 1  2  3, 1 Long-tailed Blue, 1 Sooty Copper 1  2  3  4, 17 Hedge Brown 1  2, 9 Small White 1  2, 1 Small Heath 1  2, 1 Meadow Brown, 2 Green-veined White, 4 Speckled Wood, 2 Clouded Yellow, 1 Peacock. That’s 13 types of butterfly (52 insects) and 24 types of bird! Had dinner again at Boeuf sur la Place, had rump steak medium-cooked this time, a little on the blue side, but very tasty, plus dessert, espresso and rw, all for €155 for the 4 of us plus €15 bonus. On way out to dinner had 3 Cattle Egret on a field with cattle and at Marciac, in the square, had 2 Crag Martin to add to list of birds there, particularly hirundines. All going well though things a little frayed by end of today health-wise with both sisters suffering from colds and brother-in-law needing long rests; I’m thriving so far, enjoying the fresh air, good food, sunshine and rest!!

July 7th: maximum 30C, minimum 17C, light NW breeze, sunny all day, dry. At last time to credit Barber of Seville. Have very broad liking of opera, always enjoying the deeper meanings, the tragical and comical events and the sheer emotion to get there. Opera was fully staged, sung in Italian with English surtitles, singing and staging by Nevill Hoult and music by RNS. It was performed a number of times at Market Harborough in posh style before concluding with 2 performances at the Sage, RNS’ home, in more humble setting. Tickets and meals together were in the low 100s at MH per person, but a more comfortable £60-65 at the Sage for just the seat. The performance was very slick with everything going according to plan. There’s quite a bit of intrigue with Count Almaviva (Liam Bonthrone) disguising himself as a commoner Lindoro to woo Rosina (Sarah Champion) , whose guardian is Dr Bartolo (Grant Doyle). The guardian has the questionable view that he has the right to marry his ward Rosina: the basic story is how aided and abetted by the barber Figaro (Michel de Souza) this sad end is avoided and Rosina eventually marries Count Almaviva. I liked the singing and acting of all the major parts plus that of the maid (great voice, think was a late substitution) and the marvellously corrupt lawyer Don Basilio (Andri Robertson). It was a happy story and the audience all seemed to leave in a good mood. And of course the orchestra playing by RNS was exquisite, always accurate and expressive, under expert conducting by Dinis Sousa! Would have liked to see the orchestra on the stage but it was well out of sight in the pit. So brilliant performance and glad I put myself out to see it on the Saturday, just before leaving for France. Saturday was a memorable day in all respects: xxx XX!!

Today was fairly quiet, spending most of day at the ranch sunbathing and keeping an eye on the skies. Early afternoon compiled some piccies from 5/7 of Black-winged Kite, Common Buzzard, Honey-buzzard, Sparrowhawk and also labelled Black Kite and other piccies from Hexham 29/6. We did some shopping mid-afternoon where I was wanted to do some lifting of food and garden supplies. Later we had very good meal at the Du Lac restaurant with seats by the lakeside over the water: 3 lamb chops with rw and apple pie. We paid €141 plus €15 bonus. Service was very friendly. Unless they are very good actors, they do really seem to like the English as people. Today’s bird highlights at Juillac: 4 Common Buzzard (adult + juvenile in air to N and S 1  2  3  4), a Black-winged Kite 1 mobbing a Common Buzzard to SW at 10:25, 3 Black Kite (2 adult, 1 juvenile) to S with follow-me training exercise at 10:57, a Sparrowhawk female dashing through the garden at 12:50, 4 Goldfinch together, a Brown Hare, a Swallowtail butterfly. At Du Lac had a Grey Wagtail and a Grey Heron. At dusk 22:00 had a Barn Owl flying around me looking for mice in our garden plus 18 Carrion Crow going to roost and a Robin. Here's bright red sunset at Juillac 1. Delighted to hear that BJ is going, but why not now? For me Partygate and his reckless addiction to net zero in an unrealistic timescale, were the final straws. Most people don’t seem to appreciate that if renewables are supplying 20% of our electricity, that’s only 4% of our total power as electricity meets only 20% of total power (rest is mainly gas, petrol, diesel). Here’s piccies of the ranch: back and front, plus a photo taken in 1995 when nephew took over.

July 6th: maximum 30C, minimum 16C, light NW breeze, cloudy morning, then sunny, dry. Have processed on BirdTrack the major walks around the ranch from yesterday and day before. Major work has been processing the Black Kite piccies at Juillac from yesterday. Here’s juveniles 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11 and adults 12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  24  25  26. This is a good reference collection for comparison with the Northumberland birds whose season runs 3-4 weeks later than in SW France. Today had visit to Marciac from 12:00-15:30, first the market, followed by long lunch at Boeuf sur la Place, where we had plats du jour (3 courses) plus ww to go with the fish. We (me/D) had Guinness aperitif at la Place de la Ville. Sitting by pool in afternoon and then went for walk around Lac de Marciac 1  2  3 where had some Black Kite high overhead – 2 adult, 1 juvenile 1  2  3  4  5 plus a ringtail Montagu’s Harrier floating over nearby hillside, a Common Buzzard, 6 singing Blackcap, 12 Mallard 1, plus a Holly Blue butterfly. A male Kestrel was on a post on return to Juillac. The Marciac square is good for birds: 24 Swift wheeling around, 2 House Martin, 2 Swallow, 1 Blackcap, 3 Collared Dove, 1 Magpie, 1 Blackbird, 1 Chiffchaff. Had 14 bird species in all in Marciac centre today. Concert on Sunday at Tillac looks excitingQuatuor Fenris with Shostakovitch, Schubert!! xxx XX

July 5th: maximum 30C, minimum 20C, light NW breeze, sunny all day, dry. Lovely weather. And the Black Kite are now fledging with 5-6 family groups noted around the immediate area. The young birds are a little more like Red Kite, with weaker, more flappy flight and light patches on their plumage. Their wing formula with 6 protruding primary tips is very obvious in the fresh plumage; adults are more uniformly dark and show some wear on the primary tips as well as moult, around P4/P5 at present. We went for a walk in late afternoon towards the river, finding a Coypu 1  2, another Black-winged Kite territory to N of our villa up in display at 17:24 and 17:47 1  2  3  4  5, a male Honey-buzzard up to NE of the Villa over the wood (habitat 1  2  3  4  5) by a river (known breeding site) 1 (12200), a female Honey-buzzard coming out of a small copse (habitat 1  2) to S of villa 2 and moving back E at low altitude at 16:28 (12201) (feeding trip, so site to E). During the day 2 Common Buzzard were seen, both in vicinity of villa 1  2  3, and a male Sparrowhawk circled over the villa at 12:43 1  2. Total was 33 bird-types. Butterflies were of 6 types: 3 Clouded Yellow, 2 Speckled Wood 1, 12 Small White, 1 Large White, 1 Meadow Brown, 1 Peacock, plus a Humming-bird Hawk-moth 1  2. No break in stock collapse, down a further 13k wtd, mainly today on panic-stricken investors, dumping everything; ftse 100 was down nearly 3% but signs of a rally on dow/nasdaq late-on in New York. Did do a bit of buying today: taking back stock sold 12-24% higher just a few weeks ago! Am talking at ANPA in Liverpool University mid-August on Logic and Emotion! As go to bed, a Little Owl is calling outside with its neighbour weakly echoing!

July 4th: maximum 27C, minimum 18C, light NW breeze, sunny day except for ttime when cloudy and threatening again, dry. Sun came out at 17:00 to spur the raptors to some fine display. Had total of 7 Black Kite, with some display by pairs of adults 1  2, no doubt looking forward to their young fledging soon; a Black-winged Kite in active territorial mode from 17:04-17:20 at top of nearby hill to SW, hovering over area and also sitting on the tops of perches, bare twigs above ground below 1  2  3  4; a Booted Eagle, soaring high at 17:53 1, and a female Honey-buzzard floating over the area at 17:27 with copses to SW 1 (12208). Also had 2 Hoopoe in total of 17 bird-types for main daytime. Had restful day: shopping at hypermarche €192, paid by me for food, also indulged in a French chapeau for €9.90. Then drink on the square at Marciac, salad lunch at the ranch, with supper at Le Beouf sur la Place, €145; I had thon (tuna), really beautiful. We’re booked up for a chamber-music concert at Tillac on Sunday, rumoured to be some Shostakovitch! Lovely to be in SW France!! xx XX Can complete update from last Friday on funds; on week 14k, ytd +271k (gross, +15.4%), +232k net, compared with (all ytd) ftse 100 minus 2.9%, ftse 250 minus 20.6%, dow minus 15.5%, nasdaq minus 30.0%, bitcoin minus 58.1%. Continuing to fight a valiant rearguard action; do think today’s heavily negative sentiment is a little overdone, particularly in natural resources. As go to bed, a Little Owl is calling outside with its neighbour weakly echoing! This makes 17 bird types for day.

July 3rd: maximum 28C, minimum 21C, light W breeze, hot on arrival, violent thunderstorms later, very wet on arrival. So what’s travelling like in 2022. a pain! Enormous queues at NCL boarding pass check and at LHR T3 boarding pass check and security. BA/Heathrow hardly had their act together with no buses available to take passengers off their flight from NCL. So delays at every turn, maybe symptomatic of a system still recovering from lockdown. Don’t want to be too hard as the lockdown measures inflicted on airlines were disproportionate, almost cruel to anyone trying to run an airline business, Absolutely knackered, up at 04:00, at NCL airport at 04:40, Toulouse by 14:40 on time and at Marciac by 17:00, in time for a really good meal: Piazza Napoletana, salad, chips, beer, red wine: revived amazingly. Farmhouse at Juillac, Gers, is improved , marvellously comfortable. We all made it: brother-in-law struggling but great he’s here and marvellous family reunion. Had a Common Kestrel near Toulouse Airport, 2 Black Kite near Marsan and a Common Buzzard past Auch. But weather was deteriorating all the time and no surprise it went into a spectacular storm. To bed early. Quite a melancholy day yesterday in retrospect though not unexpected news and do really enjoy the s.xy company: will maintain support for the Festival!!! But have to accept that things have moved on!! 2moro we will have very lazy morning and then get out for shopping and lunch. Hoping to see more raptors if the sun gets out, French farmers growing much maize and sunflower in response to Ukraine shortages! Tethered Android hotspot seems to be working. xx XX

July 2nd: maximum 16C, minimum 9C, moderate W breeze, few light showers, long sunny periods. Lovely day yesterday: gr8 company, brilliant opera, logistics worked well. At 05:20 3/7 boarding NCL to LHR T5 is imminent. Early rise is paying off! No WiFi where going but hope to tether mobile. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

July 1st: maximum 15C, minimum 11C, light SW breeze, quite heavy rain from time to time, mainly overcast, hardly any sun. Did make Styford from 14:05-15:30, looking for Black Kite and had one bird hunting out to E by Tyne in typical aggressive mode at 14:26, getting into a Kestrel site and rousing an adult; a juvenile Kestrel was seen later flying up the River at 15:12. A Black Kite was seen briefly over Bywell Cottagebank at 15:01 up sidewise low-down. A Common Buzzard adult and Red Kite adult were up briefly together at 14:39. Total was 20 bird-types, including 2 Sand Martin, 8 Goldfinch, 4 Oystercatcher, 4 Swift. Made N4c4t while cleaner S in and much later made DoW4g4s and great chat with D/D. Trip to France not completely assured as brother-in-law has another infection. Fingers crossed. Going to London anyway for a few days. Looking forward to 2moro!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Funds down 14k on week as major sell-off continues. Full report 2moro.

June 30th: maximum 17C, minimum 12C, moderate SE breeze, quite heavy rain from time to time, mainly overcast. Made T4m4l – M not back yet but nice quiche. Caught up on records for past week, completing Prudhoe addition to BirdTrack and added trips to Sinderhope and Hexham, minus piccies which still need to prepare. G4g4s was extra rowdy, a local lad N having got a hole in 1 on Hexham course and buying everyone a drink – marvellous! 2moro it’s DoW4g4s with D/D, a quiet day before a busier weekend but hope to visit both the remaining 2 Black Kite sites so have done all 5 in this week. No Ag bidding this month as delivery is complicated. Today was end of quarter day – maniac for markets as hedge funds square their books. This has been the worst start to a year for a long time for general funds; expecting 2nd half to be better as many inflationary pressures are reducing with metals and some foodstuffs pricing back to normal levels so spending some of accumulated cash today. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 29th: maximum 18C, minimum 13C, moderate SW breeze, spots of rain continuously, heavier shower ttime, some sunny intervals but always damp. Power went off at 9 at home but had fully charged mobile. Delivery promised by UPS 08:30-11:30 – never came, no update – so tried to set up account on UPS but had problems as the app wanted a state zip code and a US-style telephone number – not ideal for UK retail customers! Did some fieldwork from home around 12:00 finding a Red Kite up in territory over the Devil’s Water to SE and 4 Swift around neighbour’s house – he’s got conventional eaves. Gave up on UPS at 13:00 and went into Hexham Tyne Green to check on the kite there from 13:15-14:35. It was damp but the sun broke through the low cloud from time to time and did have some great action. At 13:32 a Black Kite was up over the site with everything up in area including c60 Jackdaw and some Rook; the Kite circled over the site 1  2 and came into land and everything quickly quietened down. At 14:04 a male Honey-buzzard came floating over from the W 1  2 flying into the River Tyne area over the Black Kite site, which brought out the Kite in low-level flight to SE deliberately below the Honey-buzzard. From 14:10-14:11 another Black Kite came out of the nest site and flew provocatively flap-flap-glide into the Common Buzzard site to the W 3  4  5  6  7  8  9, circling some trees there and rousing an angry Common Buzzard which flew in circles around each other and even a female Honey-buzzard came up briefly at one point 3 (12100); this kite was lost to sight in this area to W of its nest. Also had a female Kestrel up at 14:05 to NE, going out to hunt. So pretty exciting stuff in the damp: pairs of Black Kite and Honey-buzzard, single Common Buzzard and Kestrel – 6 raptors of 4 types. Add in Red Kite from home and that’s 7 raptors of 5 types. Had 2 other very interesting sightings from Tyne Green: a Kingfisher perched on a rock from 13:44-13:52 on the Tyne below the bridge 1  2  3  4 and a Cinnabar moth on Ragwort 1; this last has warning red and black colours and is toxic, packed with cyanide; it’s usually a coastal species in Northumberland but there are some records from the Tyne Valley. Total for trip was 25 bird-types also including 48 Mallard, 15 Black-headed Gull (14 ad, 1 1s) drifting E presumably moving out of breeding grounds on moors to W; 5 Herring Gull adult (breeding at Egger?), 4 Sand Martin, 1 Blackcap, 3 Swift. Then moved car to Wentworth CP and walked up to QHC4s4ll and QH Library where processed the recent Black Kite piccies from Prudhoe. Internet was down here. Then onto G4g4t for good chat with A/B/S and the dynamic l on!! All very good. Got home at 18:30 to find power back on after scheduled interruption: think after Storm Arwen they might be clearing trees and branches away from the vicinity of the power lines. But nothing from UPS – not even a card on the mat so glad I went out! Later, tracking does not say it’s been delivered, a relief really. In evening booked up all 6 operas with Opera North at TR, NCL, for next season: Traviata, Orfeo, Orpheus from 1/11-5/11 and Vixen, Tosca, Ariadne from 21/3-24/3, all for £315 after Friend’s discount. Delighted to hear from someone: thinking of the gorgeous one : xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Here’s Black Kite piccies from Prudhoe 25/6: got piccies of both excursions but for the 2nd had the bird right overhead as I stood in an uncut meadow, over which the bird was preparing to hunt (for voles?) before it spotted me 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9; I vacated quickly; one bird (the first seen) is lighter-weight than the other 10  11  12  13 so 2 birds seen, both apparently pure Black Kite but the lighter-weight bird could have a bit of Red Kite in it. See below 25/6 for more details.

Finally oil market is finely poised. The API (American Petroleum Institute) has laid out a plan to encourage it to produce more https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/API-Offers-10-Point-Plan-To-Unleash-Energy-Fuel-Recovery.html. Thought the G7 were pretty pathetic – a bunch of socialists thinking they can circumvent market forces by decree. Biden is completely out of his depth! Russia is running rings around us.

June 28th: maximum 17C, minimum 12C, moderate, gusty SW breeze, few spots of rain, hardly any sun. No fieldwork today in autumnal weather. Did some energetic gardening, taming cowslip, ivy and dogwood area at ttime with mower and trimmer; managed to cut cable of hedge trimmer at end in thick vegetation through snag, took apart existing connection, threw away a metre of cut cable and reconnected, changed 13 amp plug fuse; took about an hour but trimmer is working again, just 1m shorter lead! 2moro have power cut at home from 09:00-16:30 for planned maintenance in area so out for field trips, QH library, QHC, N, G, but first awaiting delivery of new 5TB WD Elements external drive to replace a failed Seagate 4TB (direct from WD, cost £85 including express delivery). A dreamy day … xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

From 20th-27th June on BirdGuides, 6 more Black Kite, very widely scattered:

22:10 25/06 Black Kite Cambridgeshire Cambridge 24/06 possible near Marshalls yesterday

16:54 25/06 Black Kite South Yorkshire Loversall one reported near A1/M18 junction

12:40 24/06 Black Kite Norfolk Weybourne 12:19 one flew south-west over train station

09:51 23/06 Black Kite Cornwall Ludgvan 10:00 22/06 one over A394 at 08:40 yesterday then again over fields by A30 at Varfell at 10:00

17:46 22/06 Black Kite Isle of Man Castletown 11:00 one arrived in off the sea and continued low inland over golf course

16:22 21/06 Black Kite Cumbria Windermere 16:16 possible flew north-west


and 19 Honey-buzzard at 13 sites, plus birds at the North Yorkshire (up to 4) and Notts (1) breeding sites, remarkably high midsummer totals with a number of doubles (3) and a four:

17:53 27/06 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Swanton Novers watchpoint three from raptor watchpoint on Fulmodeston Road; view only from the watchpoint, do not park along the road and do not enter the woods or surrounding agricultural land [4 seen day before as an aside]

12:27 27/06 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Weir Wood Reservoir two flew over dam this morning

12:36 26/06 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Guist 12:31 one flew high over A1067 towards North Elmham

15:00 25/06 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Arne RSPB 08:00 two over Hyde's Heath

12:20 25/06 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Barford 11:55 probable flew north over Burdock Lane, Great Melton

19:07 24/06 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Easton 18:15 one flew north-west over Ringland Road

13:42 24/06 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Minsmere RSPB 13:12 one flew south

15:34 22/06 European Honey Buzzard Hampshire Hill Head one this morning

12:41 22/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Collard's Lake 12:10 one drifted north

09:47 22/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness RSPB 09:38 one flew west

12:02 20/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness NNR 11:55 two drifted high over power station and towards RSPB reserve though gaining height

09:21 20/06 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Weir Wood Reservoir one flew over near dam

07:43 20/06 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Cley next the Sea 19/06 one flew over yesterday


June 27th: maximum 16C, minimum 10C, moderate SW breeze, rain in morning, dry later, long sunny spells, still fairly bracing in the breeze. Here’s a further mid-season update from my home page:

15/06/22: Other medium-sized raptors update for 2022 ytd: Red Kite 24 birds, 18 localities, observer’s own records only; Goshawk 8 birds, 7 localities; Common Buzzard 81 birds, 38 localities. These totals are lower than they might be with long absence in Crete of 2+ weeks in April. Nil returns: Hen Harrier, Marsh Harrier, Montagu’s Harrier, Golden Eagle, White-tailed Eagle.

Out to Sinderhope today in East Allen to check on the mixed Black Kite x Red Kite pair there, from 14:35-16:30. Very breezy there on edge of moors but plenty of sunshine so not bad for raptors. Had a Honey-buzzard male out to forage, up to N, at Studdon Park site, at 14:37, new site for year; a Red Kite out briefly from site at Sinderhope N, hanging over area to W and then back at 14:45; a Common Buzzard up at 15:18-15:22 over area W of Sinderhope N; a Black Kite out hunting at 15:50 over favoured area to NE of Sinderhope, over in-bye land and edge of the moors with scattered pine copses; the Black Kite came back to the nest at 15:58, coming in fast in the breeze from the E and going straight in, giving opportunity for a few photos 1  2; the Red Kite was not seen so today confirmed the site is ongoing and is being provisioned by the male Black Kite. Also here had some waders: 4 Oystercatcher (family group), a Curlew and 3 Golden Plover, flying off the moor to N; plus 13 Swallow (family party 4), 2 Stock Dove. Only 1 butterfly, a Meadow Brown, but 4 mammal-types: 3 Rabbit, 1 Brown Hare, 1 Short-tailed Vole, 1 Hedgehog (squashed). On way out in Hexham Racecourse area at 14:15 had a Common Buzzard, almost in the car, and 3 Redstart in the hedgerows. So total for trip is 21 bird-types. Later had a Brown Hare at Ordley, think they’re based in my field, and 2 Tawny Owl calling at the Sele in Hexham, on emerging from the G where had a couple of g with mates R/A/P and dancer K on. Earlier at 18:00 made Rotary at B 4 good meal (2 courses) and company; I was handling the PoS machine today, taking £18 from each person. Talk was very interesting, by Henry Hope of Hexham Abbey. He’s an expert on Performing Minnesang, the German songs of the 12th/13th centuries https://henryhopemusicology.wordpress.com/out-there/. These were always written down as poems with no music attached but Henry has analysed over 100 pictures of the time and seen quite a few instruments so they must have had music. Henry is a great Wagner fan and he showed pictures of Klingsor (baddie in Parsifal) and Tannhäuser; I asked him in questions section whether there was evidence for Lohengrin and Parsifal in the Minnesang and he said there was; also slightly later in 15th Century could be seen the early evidence for the Meistersingers as German craft-guilds developed. Wagner, he maintained in personal chat later, used these early songs as the basis for his German nationalist music. Funds are -3k wtd, mainly reflecting full catchup on values from last Friday; better feel on markets this week with prices looking a bit bombed out in the oil and gas area. Long lie-in 2moro, dreaming of the gorgeous one!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 26th: maximum 16C, minimum 9C, moderate to fresh SW breeze, gusty, few light showers, short sunny spells, bracing conditions. Not too suitable for field work today with fresh gusty breeze. Completed processing Healey trip on 15/6. Processed nearly all of Warden trip on 14/6 which was very productive visit as shown below. Just 9/6 at Slaley Forest to do now b4 Budapest trip, which want to do to sort Red Kite and Goshawk running totals. Did some gardening, cutting grass strip by pony shelters, and some shopping, just £37 at W, as not here for that long! Had good email chat with sisters on planning matters. Made G4g4s to meet A/R 4 good catch-up: enjoying g after abstinence. Slightly worried about G7 summit: they look like desperate people; will do any short-term measure, with no feeling for long-term, to try and rescue an increasingly dismal situation, resulting from ill-judged sanctions (on raw materials, difficult to identify and block, but perceived scarcity forcing prices up for EU consumers) and inadequate help for Ukraine. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 25th: maximum 18C, minimum 10C, moderate S breeze, heavy showers, sunny spells, fairly fresh. Got back fine from AMS last night at 22:35 BST; picked up car and drove home where feeling a little jaded!. After low Budapest raptor total of just 1 Common Kestrel, had a good omen at Schipol Airport where a Black Kite was hunting over the short grass at 22:30 CEST as taxied out. Earlier at Budapest Airport at 12:00 had a Red-rumped Swallow, 2 Starling and a House Sparrow. Today at Swallowship from 22:55-23:20 had a male Nightjar churring continuously from 22:55-23:17 and 2 young Tawny Owl hunger-crying plus a Red Fox over the road. Earlier had a great morning with the Black Kite at the Prudhoe site from 11:40-13:55, getting 2 flights out of the nesting area at 11:58 and 13:14, both to SE to hunt. Got piccies of both excursions but for the 2nd had the bird right overhead as I stood in an uncut meadow, over which the bird was preparing to hunt (for voles?) before it spotted me 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9; I vacated quickly; one bird (the first seen) is lighter-weight than the other 10  11  12  13 so 2 birds seen, both apparently pure Black Kite but the lighter-weight bird could have a bit of Red Kite in it. At 11:52 a female Honey-buzzard was foraging here over a conifer woodland: coming up briefly three times before disappearing completely; she’s a new bird for the year. In total of 24 bird-types also had a Spotted Flycatcher, 5 Bullfinch, 8 Skylark, 2 Meadow Pipit, 3 Chiffchaff, 2 Blackcap, 8 Swift, 5 Sand Martin. Butterflies were mainly browns with 5 types in all: 22 Ringlet, 20 Meadow Brown, 4 Speckled Wood, 3 Large Skipper, 1 Red Admiral. Did some work on Healey visit, completing visit records, except for indexing a few Common Buzzard and Honey-buzzard piccies (12015) – tomorrow! Did make N4c4ll and DoW4g4s, latter with D/D for gr8 catch-up where also met R and partner from Rotary. First alcohol for a week since Parsifal receptions!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 24th: maximum 30C, minimum 20C, light E breeze, sunny, hot again. Son really enjoyed Capriccio and made Vienna OK by train. Writing this at BUD at 13:00 CEST; taxi ride out for €35 on Best of Budapest; spent HUF4k on light meal at Airport, named after Liszt; Liszt was a close friend of Wagner and of course Cosima, Wagner’s second wife, was a Liszt. It does seem strange that Hitler chose Wagner as his idol; maybe he was intoxicated by the power of Wagner’s music but Wagner showed in The Ring that power corrupts and contradictions in the exercise of power ultimately and inevitably lead to downfall; Rheingold the first part of The Ring is Marxist (contemporary with Marx’s writings) and Engels inspired. The end of Götterdämmerung shows the twilight of the gods with Valhalla going up in flames; maybe a foretelling of Berlin’s fate under Hitler. Some of Hitler’s lieutenants were bemused at Hitler's choice of a ‘Bolshevik’ as a guiding star. Forgot to mention that Rienzi was sung in German with Hungarian and English surtitles, latter being added since last visit in 2019 as the Wagner Festival seeks a more international audience. Ticket cost £35 for dress circle – pretty competitive. The big question is: was Wagner part-Jewish? He was born in the Jewish quarter of Leipzig and raised as Richard Geyer, Ludwig Geyer being the name of the actor/playwright who was his step father, although he was christened as Richard Wagner, after his official father, a policeman who died shortly after Richard was born. Geyer is a Jewish name (meaning vulture) but there is no direct evidence that Ludwig was actually Jewish. Wagner in a number of letters was very self-conscious about his background, and being dark and short with a long nose did get a few cartoonists at work. It could be settled at least partially with a paternal Y-chromosome DNA test on one of Richard’s male descendants alive today. Has this been done: surely? Then why don’t we know the results? Could be fairly sensational! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wagner_controversies (Paternity). There is a strong parallel between Marx and Wagner: see my analysis made a couple of years ago: Marx vs Wagner: a Timeline Comparison with Analysis http://nickrossiter.org.uk/music/marx_vs_wagner%20timeline.html. Back to Honey-buzzard and Black Kite 2moro (and DoW!). Now at AMS at 20:20, long wait but plenty of space and WiFi near Gate D6. Funds are -6k on another scary week; cash is 283k with exit from big miners, think they’ll go lower and can buy them back cheaper, increasing my stakes, a sort of short operation, but gaining shares not cash. Oil and gas share prices have fallen, mainly I suspect because it’s the only sector people have profits in. But PoO remains stubbornly high at $113 and western ideologues still have a clueless energy policy, trying to eliminate fossil fuels in a matter of a few years, when they provide at least 75% of our total energy. At least E10 petrol appears to be on the way out: using wheat for fuel is nuts, causing widespread starvation in developing countries (and even potentially the UK) in order to power our cars. Enough for now: don’t want to become polemical like Wagner! Hope the haircut is going well!! Just remember that Wagner’s twin drives in The Ring are the Love of Power and the Power of Love!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 23rd: maximum 29C, minimum 19C, light E breeze, sunny, some high cloud, hot again. Son left for several days in Vienna by train at 09:00; he’s seeing Capriccio by Richard Strauss there tonight. I’m staying a little longer, flying tomorrow KLM 14:05 BUD-AMS and 22:25 AMS-NCL.. Morning was very stimulating!! Went for walk around Jewish quarter in afternoon, making some street music for an hour at 16:00 in Dob Utca: very enjoyable. Had a meal at a Goth-type pub: good atmosphere! Bird list is low but delighted with son and the ambience!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 22nd: maximum 29C, minimum 19C, light NW breeze, sunny all day, hot again. Today’s memorable feature was Rienzi (full title: Rienzi, the last of the tribunes) at Müpa, Budapest, my first live performance of the opera: a fantastic experience not just for the music but for appreciating how everything fitted together in the 1840s in a turbulent Germany. This was Wagner’s first success, being first performed in Dresden in 1842 after composing it there in 1838-1840. Much help was provided by Giacomo Meyerbeer, the famous Jewish German composer of the day, writing many grand operas with the aim of melding German orchestral styles and Italian opera. Meyerbeer used his great influence to get the performance accepted at Dresden and was generally supportive of Wagner’s ambitions. Rienzi actually owes a lot to Meyerbeer with an expansive style: long performance times, leading opera singers pushed to their limits, large choruses and orchestras and grand settings. While Meyerbeer might initially have been very impressed with having Wagner following his approach, Wagner seemed to be more manipulative: using his support and then in his infamous treatise ‘Jewishness in Music’ attacking Meyerbeer for his superficial works. What was quite eerie was the resemblance of the plot of Rienzi – the brave upstanding by the tribune against the nobleman (termed foreigners) and the subsequent betrayal of the revolution by the church – with events a few years later in Dresden, where Wagner as a socialist anarchist was part of an uprising against the nobleman, which failed, due to conservative reticence. Wagner fled to Switzerland, with help of Liszt, and did not return to Germany for a number of years, losing his position as Royal Kapellmeister in Dresden. Wagner’s long association with Dresden is given here https://www.dw.com/en/richard-wagners-legacy-in-dresden/a-16909028. More details on the uprising are given below:

Wagner and the Dresden Uprising (May 1849). One of the final wave of revolts during the 1848-9 revolutions, parallel to uprisings in Baden and the Bavarian Palatinate, all quelled by Prussian armed intervention. Across Europe, the “springtime of peoples” had witnessed liberal, constitutional victories. Rhetorical liberty, however, proved just that: initial coalitions – revolutionary socialists such as Wagner and laissez-faire Rhenish industrialists; pan-Slavists such as Bakunin and völkisch German nationalists; monarchists and republicans, etc. – proved irreconcilable. Wagner escaped into Swiss exile, intending in The Ring, as he explained, to “make clear to the men of the Revolution the meaning of that Revolution, in its noblest sense” (Wagner, letter to Uhlig, 12 Nov. 1851). Moreover, the old order proved stronger than either it or its opponents had believed – and for many bourgeois seemed less threatening. https://boulezian.blogspot.com/2020/07/wagner-and-dresden-uprising-may-1849.html

It was a tremendous organisation even though unstaged: 2 choirs (men and women), a large orchestra (c80, Hungarian National Phil), 9 soloists, of which 4 had very prominent roles: Cola di Rienzi sung by Stefan Vinke (tenor), Irene (his sister) sung by Sarah Jakubiak, Count Steffano Colonna sung by Günther Groissböck, Adriano (nobleman, in love with Irene, sung by a mezzo-soprano Dorottya Láng). Adriano sang brilliantly and brought the house down at the end; Rienzi, the title role, was also sung with great clarity, expression and passion. The conductor was the very enthusiastic Marc Albrecht. There were 5 acts with an interval between Acts 2 and 3. Act 5 is short, one scene holds the hymn sung by Rienzi, which features well in the overture. Everyone burns to death at the end! It lasted 3 hours 45 min including the interval of 30 min. The first performance took over 6 hours! The audience gave great applause, including of course the slow handclap of eastern Europe – a compliment! So we had a good evening. Earlier we had lunch at Trattoria Toscana, where in the heat had a Tuscan chicken salad and several fruity lemonades. No alcohol on whole trip so far! Cost £55. Transport is not as easy as usual with much maintenance closing lines – yellow Metro running past our flat to the centre and tram 2 by the Danube to Müpa. My next opera is staged: looking forward to it!!

June 21st: maximum 26C, minimum 19C, light NW breeze, sunny all day, more comfortable. Had lazy morning, then out for lunch again at Mazel Tov where they remembered us! Today had hummus sabich with egg, aubergine and salad, plus non-alcoholic gin cocktail: all very good! Son then went to National Museum and I went again to Great Synagogue to study more closely an exhibition there on the history of the Jewish people in Budapest in the last century, centring on the Holocaust: absolutely horrific events in 1944-1945 with roughly 2/3 of Jews murdered from the 800k population at the start of the war. The rural areas suffered worst with 90% murdered but 50-60% were murdered in Budapest. Even in those dark days heroes emerged such as Raoul Wallenberg, a Swedish diplomat, who secured the emigration in 1944 of many Jews through Red Cross agencies. Today Budapest still has a very large thriving Jewish population of about 100,000 and the Grand Synagogue is the second largest synagogue in the world. Made a Lebanese restaurant Baalbek for dinner by the Danube, very classy and a table piled high with different dishes, nearly all of which we demolished, which was just as well as we spent £75. Then back by taxi to our flat for HUG6k, which is near Dob Utca, part of the ill-fated ghetto where tens of thousands of Jews perished through neglect and deliberate punishment in 1944-1945. A sobering and moving day. Tomorrow we go to Müpa to see Rienzi, Wagner’s 3rd opera, which never seen before – a big moment!! Funds -3k wtd. How’s the gorgeous one!! lok2tgrf: most stimulating one!!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 20th: maximum 31C, minimum 19C, light NW breeze, sunny all day, beautiful. Below is updated News from Home Page giving summary of season to date. Had great day exploring historic Budapest where visited Jewish Temple, Grand Synagogue, Mazel Tov for excellent lunch of Shakshuka and non-alcoholic cocktail Must Spritz Adag, Danube, Italian restaurant Belli di Mamma for tasty Piazza Napoli and mangrove lemonade. Budapest is a very stylish city with many beautiful eastern Europeans. Pleased it’s helping the world more by opening up the Danube and its railway system for exporting grain from Ukraine: Orban isn’t always helpful. Keeping off the wine/beer to assist son: found well-crafted soft drinks are more refreshing in the heat as well and popular locally. Walked 12km today. Another day of sight-seeing before the big opera! Flight to LHR from NCL on 3/7 looks on as BA raising promotions on it 13 days before journey: looking forward to that weekend!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Had 8 types of bird in City Centre: 95 Feral Pigeon, 9 Swift, 3 Blackbird, 1 Woodpigeon, 15 House Martin, 2 Black-headed Gull adult, 1 Caspian Gull adult, 10 House Sparrow.

News

17/04/22 Honey-buzzard: 2 W at Kolimvarion, Crete. Better weather for seeing migrants, including Honey-buzzard with a female and male coming off the sea from E at 12:33 and 12:43 respectively and flying towards southern base of the Rodopou Peninsula, presumably to feed in the more fertile land there, before continuing to N. Here’s piccies of the male Honey-buzzard at Crete on 17/4 at 12:44: 1  2  3  4 (12001). Also a male Honey-buzzard N at 15:56 at Agia Triada on 9/4.

18/05/22 Honey-buzzard Habitat: Completed analysing habitat for Honey-buzzard at Hyons Wood, that’s no.4 in Tyne Valley E and no.22 overall with further river-system totals: Hexhamshire 6, Allen 10, Tyne Valley W 2.

10/05/22 Black Kite/Honey-buzzard: Here's Black Kite piccies from Prudhoe 10/5 in display for pure pair: second adult 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  and first adult 9  10  11  12  13  14  15 (pair)  16  17  18  19  20  plus pair with male Honey-buzzard (12004) 21 .

29/05/22 Black Kite update: 1st seen 5/5 at Bywell. Have Black Kite at 5 sites with 1) a pure pair displaying at last year’s site at Prudhoe, where mixed pairing with Red Kite last year; 2) last year’s site at Bywell with one bird seen to date; 3) a new site near Styford where a pure pair appear to be nesting along Tyne; 4) a new site in Hexham area where single bird seen; and 5) the site in East Allendale where a mixed pairing again of Black Kite (male) x Red Kite (female) with food pass seen. So that’s a minimum of 7 Black Kite at 5 sites!

30/05/22 Honey-buzzard update: first seen 24/4 with pair at Ordley. Slow return this year and activity subdued with cool daytime weather; 10 sites occupied in study area with 7 male, 7 female seen.

28/05/22 Honey-buzzard: Here’s Honey-buzzard piccies from Staward, where saw 3 Honey-buzzard: 2 displaying at N, female 1  2  3  4  5, male 6  7 (12009), 1 male in territory at S.

15/06/22 Black Kite update: have Black Kite at 5 sites with 1) a pure pair displaying at last year’s site at Prudhoe, where mixed pairing with Red Kite last year; 2) last year’s site at Bywell with a pure pair up on 10/06 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11, and singles seen on 2 occasions; 3) a new site near Styford where a pure pair appear to be nesting along Tyne with, for instance, one seen on 29/5 1  2  3  4; 4) a new site in Hexham area where a pure pair defending site by Tyne on 01/06 1  2  3  4  5; and 5) the site in East Allendale where a mixed pairing again of Black Kite (male) x Red Kite (female) with food pass seen. So that’s a minimum of 9 Black Kite at 5 sites!

15/06/22 Honey-buzzard update: typical high aerial hanging by males in recent days so pairs settled. Not a good year for vigorous display. In core area 6/6 sites occupied in ‘Shire and 7/8 in Tyne Valley W. 20 sites occupied in whole study area with 15 male, 9 female seen.



June 19th: maximum 19C, minimum 11C, light N breeze, sunny intervals, dry (Schipol). Busy day travelling: up at 06:00 (5.5 hours sleep), breakfast at 06:30 at Hilton at NCL, NCL-AMS at 09:30 BST (20 min late), AMS-BUD at 14:25 CEST, 45 min late), both KLM; not complaining, they got me there in some comfort; you get plenty of texts keeping you informed, including gate changes as at AMS – 81 to 79; passport queue into AMS was long (30 min) but no barriers at BUD (Schengen). Most people queuing were British, another coup for Brexit! Flights were busy, indeed BUD one was full and one to AMS almost full. Like Hilton – fairly down to earth but with style. Got taxi €27 from BUD airport (named after composer Franz Liszt!) to apartment block near centre where had challenge of key-lock (for flat key), using electronic device in the flat key to open main door, finding no names on the flats but friendly tenant said this is where the internet bookers stay, and he was right! Then found corner shop for F5k (Florint, 500 to £) shopping for provisions: that’s about £10. Waiting for son, who booked the flat, arriving at 22:10 at BUD from CHQ, 40 min late by Ryanair (Crete, where I was!). Must say there was someone on the flight to BUD who looked very much like the grf (quite uncanny!): maybe hallucinating!! So now on the front line, next to Ukraine. Did a bit of casual birdwatching: 3 Feral Pigeon, 3 Woodpigeon, 2 Magpie in Airport area near Budapest and 2 Feral Pigeon, 1 Blackbird, 2 Hooded Crow, 7 Common Swift in the City. Not that many but very hot today up to 31C with 33C tomorrow (wind light S, minimum 20C, today). Rienzi is on Wednesday evening. We’re staying in the old Jewish quarter, which we’re exploring tomorrow. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

From 16/6-19/6 Black Kite (5 records) and Honey-buzzard (18 records, 20 birds) continue to be very well reported for the time of year:

09:42 19/06 Black Kite Lothian Woodhall Dean NR 08:15 probable flew fast south

09:40 18/06 Black Kite Kent Appledore 09:30 one drifted WSW over Gusbourne Vineyard

12:46 17/06 Black Kite Hampshire Rockbourne 11:55 one reportedly flew south-west over road between Rockbourne and A354

13:18 16/06 Black Kite Devon South Brent one reported over A38

10:47 16/06 Black Kite Hampshire East Boldre 19:00 15/06 one flew over towards Sowley Broom yesterday evening



15:47 19/06 European Honey Buzzard South Yorkshire White Lee Moor 15:40 again flew over low [becoming regular here]

13:35 19/06 European Honey Buzzard South Yorkshire White Lee Moor 13:10 again drifting north

11:11 19/06 European Honey Buzzard Lincolnshire Market Deeping 11:06 male flew north-west towards Langtoft

10:52 19/06 European Honey Buzzard Hampshire Hill Head one arrived in off the sea this morning

15:16 18/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness RSPB 15:12 female flew over ARC Pit towards power station

10:58 18/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness RSPB 10:48 two (pale-morph male and female) flew towards power station

10:10 18/06 European Honey Buzzard Shetland Quarff, Mainland 10:00 one to the south

18:10 17/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Tenterden 17:30 two flew west

17:22 17/06 European Honey Buzzard Northumberland Newcastle upon Tyne 16/06 one reported low south over Walkergate late yesterday evening [good to see a record from the NE!]

17:19 17/06 European Honey Buzzard Shetland Pool of Virkie, Mainland one in nearby field then flew north

11:32 17/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness RSPB 11:27 one flew over

10:58 17/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness NNR 10:52 one flew over bird observatory towards RSPB reserve

16:24 16/06 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Rempstone Heath one flew over early afternoon

15:45 16/06 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Titchwell (village) 15:43 one circled overhead

14:50 16/06 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Thornham 13:30 one flew over fields

09:28 16/06 European Honey Buzzard Nottinghamshire East Bridgford 09:18 15/06 one flew over yesterday morning

07:10 16/06 European Honey Buzzard Cornwall Lamorna Cove 15/06 one over cliffs at Kemyel Crease yesterday


June 18th: maximum 17C, minimum 9C, moderate SW breeze, sunny intervals, dry. Energetic day – cut front grass and area of back grass that’s very rank. Apparently 11km walked but some of that will be applause. Parsifal at Sage was brilliant: grand setting with upper areas behind stage for chorus and stage band optimised: Kundry as good as at Leeds, Klingsor (Derek Walton) much better – must have head that Tyneside loves a baddie, audience so enthusiastic, Gurnemanz again played with great richness and stamina, 3 receptions – welcome b4 concert bubbly, long interval food bowls and rw, short interval rw, very chatty!! Acoustics at Sage are fantastic for an opera like Parsifal – music is intoxicating; audience was totally transfixed. Parked at NCL at 14:00, left case at Hilton and went to Sage, checked in on return at 22:15, pint of lager for restoration £6.30. 2moro travelling E: NCL-AMS at 09:30 and then onto BUD to meet son. Another Wagner opera beckons – Rienzi at MUPA. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 17th: maximum 21C, minimum 9C, moderate SW breeze, mainly overcast, showers of warm rain in afternoon, certainly no heat wave here. Concentrated on compiling records today, adding 6/6 and 10/6 at Bywell to BirdTrack as well as 15/6 Healey and some casual records, leaving 2 main compilations to do: 9/6 Slaley Forest and 14/6 Warden. Have added more piccies of Black Kite and Honey-buzzard below, hope to update News on Home Page 2moro. Went to QH Library in morning while cleaner S at home, followed by N4c4ll and much later by DoW4g4s with D/D 4 gr8 company. 2moro is a big day with Parsifal Round 2!! Worst week on markets for over 2 years with ftse 100 down 4.1% as interest rates rise. Funds were down 39k on week, making +292k ytd gross (+16.6%), +253k ytd net, with (all ytd) ftse 100 -4.9%, ftse 250 -19.4%, dow -17.8%, nasdaq tech -31.0%, bitcoin -55.8%. Holding 280k cash in view of deteriorating outlook. Still too early to go back into bonds as their value falls daily in face of interest rate rises. PoO has finally come off top at $114 Brent but shortage persists. Had 3.5k withdrawal this week, most for son’s birthday! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 16th: maximum 21C, minimum 14C, light W breeze, overcast, few spots of rain in evening, no heat wave here. Leisurely day, making Salute4m4l with M/B/A/A – very sociable and good Italian food and rw. Got all documentation ready for Budapest. Busy day on markets as crash continues, baling out of a quarter of a million £ of heavy mining stocks as markets opened, which now hold in cash; will put into short-term bonds if think they’re stabilising; some bonds now yield 8-10% ytm. It’s turning into a bloodbath for tech and bitcoin. Made G4g4s with A/R/P for farewell chat. Saturday is going to be busy with Parsifal: 3 receptions with ON – 2 intervals and pre-concert. Then there’s the little matter of the music; whole concert runs from 16:00-21:10. Really looking forward to it!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 15th: maximum 19C, minimum 10C, light W breeze, strong sunshine, dry, warmer. Had another great walk in the sunshine, going to Eastwood Common from 12:30-14:50, a lowland heath near Healey. Had a Honey-buzzard male floating over the Common almost immediately at 12:32; he quickly moved W at low altitude to the site; this completes Tyne Valley W and ‘Shire, all present and correct in the core of the study area. Had another Honey-buzzard, a female, soaring high to SW of the Dipton Wood site at 12:54 going right into the base of the high clouds 1  2  3 (12015); normally this mid-June display is done by the males so a little unusual. Common Buzzard were plentiful: 1 on a post at Healey at 12:20, 1 soaring at medium height, mobbed by a Jackdaw, at Healey Mill at 12:42 1; a pair calling at the March Burn around 12:55 with one coming out of the woods at 13:04, a pair calling frequently and seen once at 13:20, nesting on NE side of the heath; so that’s total of 6 Common Buzzard. A male Goshawk was seen coming out of the site in Dipton Wood and quickly moving sideways at 14:18. So that’s total of 9 raptors of 3 types. Total of 26 bird-types included a singing Curlew, a Skylark, 3 singing Willow Warbler, 9 Chiffchaff, a singing Lesser Whitethroat, 3 Meadow Pipit, 22 Linnet. Butterflies comprised 3 types: 4 Small Heath, 5 Green-veined White, 1 Small White.

Have 6 data sheets to register formally with BirdTrack so that’s priority now display phase largely over. Will be studying Honey-buzzard (and Black Kite) more on the continent in the next few weeks but will maintain normal communication. Had booking confirmation of package for next season at Sage, total £675.30; will book up operas soon. After walk today made QHC for tuna late-lunch, N4c4t (sitting outside) and G4g4t (with B/A for good chat) so pretty indulgent! Looking forward to seeing someone: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Some signs of light emigration of Black Kite in period 13/9-15/9 on BirdGuides:

12:48 15/06 Black Kite Kent Dungeness RSPB 12:34 one over field between observatory and Springfield Bridge near pylons

08:12 13/06 Black Kite Kent Dungeness NNR 08:04 one flew high south out to sea over seawatching hide


but an incredible late rush of Honey-buzzard (27 birds) in SE England and the Channel Islands, not seen such passage before this late (and note the Derwent Reservoir bird!):

16:09 15/06 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Westleton one flew over towards Minsmere RSPB mid-afternoon

14:47 15/06 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Aldeburgh 13:27 pale-morph male flew low SSW over gardens towards Aldeburgh Marshes

13:00 15/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Langdon Cliffs NT 10:00 one over the farm mid-morning

12:33 15/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness NNR one still lingering in trapping area early afternoon

12:05 15/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness NNR two late morning: one landed at south end of trapping area at 11:30 and another flew over south then back north at

10:11 15/06European Honey Buzzard Kent South Foreland 10:04 female flew east past lighthouse

21:47 14/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Samphire Hoe CP one flew over

16:45 14/06 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk North Warren RSPB one flew south

15:25 14/06 European Honey Buzzard Dorset Church Knowle dark morph flew high north

15:12 14/06 European Honey Buzzard Durham Derwent Reservoir 13/06 one photographed in the Durham Dales yesterday

13:09 14/06 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Hastings CP 12:30 one flew east along cliffs at Firehills

09:38 14/06 European Honey Buzzard Alderney Alderney11:00 13/06 seven (including a single flock of three) flew over Giffoinne in one hour yesterday morning

22:08 13/06 European Honey Buzzard Shetland Cunningsburgh, Mainland 18:40 one then flew off west

21:48 13/06 European Honey Buzzard Hampshire Pennington Marshes one flew north over Butts Lagoon this evening

20:40 13/06 European Honey Buzzard Shetland Cunningsburgh, Mainland 20:00 one on washing line in a private garden this evening

16:44 13/06 European Honey Buzzard Guernsey St Saviour's Reservoir 14:20 one still

12:49 13/06 European Honey Buzzard Guernsey St Saviour's Reservoir 12:45 two flew west

11:37 13/06 European Honey Buzzard Shetland Swining, Mainland 10:53 dark morph flew south

09:28 13/06 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Weir Wood Reservoir 08:45 female over the dam; also Western Osprey again at 09:00


June 14th: maximum 16C, minimum 9C, light W breeze, cloudy becoming brighter at ttime, warmer. Have updated the Kenya 2021 report with the animal details and a breakdown of the raptors found by type:

A summary of other animal numbers in Kenya is here. This includes single types of fish, snake, crocodile and dolphin, plus 19 types of mammal, with 3 of the big 5 (lion, buffalo, elephant), hippopotamus, giraffe, 10 types of antelope, 2 types of monkey/baboon and 2 types of rodent. Overall total was 23 animal-types with 21 on safari in Tsavo East (595 individuals). Away from the safari had Yellow Baboon at Marafa and Bottle-nosed Dolphin (plus fish) at Watamu Marine Reserve.

A summary of raptor numbers in Kenya is here. Grand total was 217 raptors of 35 types: 5 vulture, 10 eagle, 3 harrier, 3 kite, 2 accipiter, 3 buzzard, 4 falcon, plus singles of owl, honey-buzzard, osprey, harrier-hawk, secretarybird. This was the main focus of my attention but the animals were also recorded completely with the aid of my skilled guides.

Had great day out with the Honey-buzzard in the Warden area from 12:30-15:00, getting single birds in the 3 visible sites, where dipped on Sunday evening. This is a good time for spotting males soaring high over their sites while the females incubate below. At 13:04 had a male Honey-buzzard soaring high over Hexham High Wood (Tyne Valley W); he seemed to get up first to see off a passing Crow but then carried on soaring high in the sky for a few minutes before a single tremendous dive back to the wood (12016). At 13:35 until 13:39 had another male Honey-buzzard high over Allerwash soaring very high, before coming down quickly 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8; shortly after at 13:40-13:41 the female Honey-buzzard was up in the same area not far above the trees with the male down 9  10  11  12 (12017). From 14:05-14:08 spotted another male Honey-buzzard coming out of a copse to W of Greenshaw Plain site; thought he was going to give good views in low-level flight back to nest but he went S through the tree-tops before, when some way away, climbing high and floating slowly over area to S of nest, maybe looking for food 1  2  3  4  5 (12018); they are very retiring! Last 2 sites are both lower South Tyne. Other raptors included 4 Common Buzzard again in Warden area (pair 12:49 on Hill, another pair NW of Hill at 13:10), 4 in Greenshaw Plain area around 14:26 1  2, 1 at Allerwash at 13:41 and 2 south of Allerwash at Wood Hall at 14:34, so total of 11 Common Buzzard. A Red Kite was hunting over Warden Hill to SW at 13:10 and a Kestrel female was out hunting at Greenshaw Plain at 13:55. So 17 raptors of 4 types, compared with 6 birds of 2 types on 12/6. Shows what better weather can do! Other birds included a Grasshopper Warbler singing, 3 tiny Moorhen chicks on the pond by the level crossing, an anxious Grey Partridge, a Common Sandpiper, 6 Oystercatcher, a Skylark, 14 Sand Martin, 3 Chiffchaff, 1 Blackcap, 3 Garden Warbler, 6 Yellowhammer. A Banded Demoiselle was on bank of South Tyne and 2 Roe Deer were heard barking. Butterflies comprised 4 types: 3 Green-veined White, 2 Red Admiral, 4 Speckled Wood, 1 Meadow Brown. Total for trip was a high 35 bird-types. Came back to N4c4t 4 relaxation with top-up shopping at I. So just one more site to do in core area of ‘Shire/Tyne Valley W which may well do 2moro, jit to finish display phase of season. Stock market crash continues with bitcoin -51% ytd and tech -30.7% ytd worst affected as interest rate decisions loom tomorrow in US and on Thursday in UK. Own funds under some pressure even though PoO remains high (at $121) with -17k wtd but still +17.6% ytd with loss on wtd of 0.8% compared to 2.7% for ftse 100. Having a lot of securities in $ has helped my assets as £ is in free fall; also still have a lot of bonds. No end in sight yet to turmoil: investor confidence is shaken. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 13th: maximum 14C, minimum 10C, moderate W breeze, cloudy after bright start, odd light shower, quite breezy. No fieldwork today though did have 2 anxious Tawny Owl at 23:45 at Loughbrow and Hexham SW. Completed processing of Warden trip yesterday. Did publish Kenya 2021 report today with link here and on home page (twice):

13th June 2022: Added Trip Report for Kenya visit in January 2021 (Kenya 2021), including diary of trip, piccies taken, analysis of raptor totals in Kenya, plus records from stopover in Ethiopia.

Next trip report is Crete 2022 but will first add analysis of animals seen to the Kenya report. Today made R @ B4m4l with interesting talk on HAZ (Hexham Action Zone) for regenerating the high street from Priestpopple to Battle Hill via Cattle Market. Hope to make Warden 2moro for further check on Honey-buzzard and Black Kite. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

From 9/6-12/6 on BirdGuides 5 more Black Kite:

17:25 12/06 Black Kite Devon Tedburn St Mary one reported flying over this morning

19:01 11/06 Black Kite Hampshire Martin Down NNR 17:00 probable flew low towards Bokerley Dyke

11:31 11/06 Black Kite Staffordshire Highgate Common 11:15 possible flew over Halfpenny Green towards Highgate

12:29 10/06 Black Kite Hampshire Fishlake Meadows HIWWT 11:45 possible drifted south-west

13:58 09/06 Black Kite Norfolk North Lopham 13:44 possible drifted high west over Garboldisham


and 8 more Honey-buzzard migrants:

21:08 12/06 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Lakenheath Fen RSPB one

16:13 12/06 European Honey Buzzard Shetland Norwick, Unst one flew over early afternoon

14:56 12/06 European Honey Buzzard Cornwall Penryn 14:50 one reported on post by B3292 just south-east of Four Cross then flew off

13:22 12/06 European Honey Buzzard Alderney St Anne 12:45 two circled over Frette Farm

18:00 10/06 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Snape one flew over Snape Warren late morning

07:19 10/06 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Eastbridge 09/06 one yesterday

13:57 09/06 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Strumpshaw Fen RSPB 13:46 male flew south

09:25 09/06 European Honey Buzzard Lancashire Brockholes LWT 07:10 one flew north-west


June 12th: maximum 14C, minimum 8C, moderate gusty SW breeze, sunny, dry, quite breezy, feeling cool when out. Another imperfect day weather-wise. Went out late again to Warden from 18:30-20:30 but still a rain shower and strong winds. 3 Honey-buzzard sites in view but none seem and no Black Kite either. But did have 4 Common Buzzard, 2 pairs of strident birds, one at Warden Hill at 19:25, other close to lower South Tyne from 18:50-19:01, revelling in the conditions with fast, acrobatic flight and all 4 up at 20:07. Also had 2 Red Kite out hunting, hanging over hillsides, at Warden Hill from 19:23-19:24 and Allerwash from 19:52-20:05. So not a bad result, may come back tomorrow as important area to cover well. Total was 25 bird-types, including a Skylark, 13 Swift, 10 Swallow, 4 House Martin, 13 Sand Martin, 7 Oystercatcher, 10 Mallard (including 4 tiny young brood), 2 Blackcap, 1 Grey Wagtail, 3 LBBG adult. Earlier had done some work on Kenya 2021 report, bringing it up to publication soon, maybe tomorrow. The report has all the diary entries, plus complete bird records for Kenya and Ethiopia and breakdown of raptor totals in Kenya by region. Should have done this earlier, was almost ready a year ago: it was exciting, breaking the lockdown! Made G4g4s with R/P/D for good chat with M back again!! French trip looks on as D’s health continues to improve so glad prepared for it positively. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 11th: maximum 15C, minimum 10C, moderate SW breeze, sunny, dry, quite breezy, feeling cool when out. Made Quayside from 16:10-17:30 for Kittiwake count for old-time sake with 556 adults on Newcastle side and 313 on Gateshead side. Nearly all birds counted were sitting on nests so count is close to that of active nests. Total was 869 adults on both sides. In 2021 on 16 June had 1255 Kittiwake (860 adult Newcastle side, 395 adult Gateshead side) so some significant decline apparent, particularly on the Newcastle side. Other birds recorded were 31 Feral Pigeon, 27 Herring Gull (25 ad, 1 3s, 1 2s), 2 GBBG 1s, 3 LBBG ad, 1 Crow, 1 Woodpigeon, 1 Blackbird, 1 Dunnock. So 9 bird-types.

Main reason for visit was the closing concert of the RNS which was a gr8 ending to the season. Highlight was Sibelius' Violin Concerto, starring Clara-Jumi Kang, a German-Korean violinist, who was a late substitute for the planned soloist, who had visa problems! Played brilliantly, love movement 3, the start of which is so moving, but the whole performance with Dinas Sousa conducting was marvellous. Congratulations to Sage IT team who updated the on-line programme to reflect the change; shows a clear benefit of digital programmes, which are to continue next season (besides being timely, don't suffer from need to predict numbers attending, and are easier to file and search). The major work after the interval was Brahms 4, which was conducted very dynamically; went down well with the audience. The concert started with Swedish composer Helena Munktell's atmospheric Bränningar 'Breaking Waves', which I liked -- conjured up interesting images. Good social evening -- we had an introduction to next year's programme (already ordered complete package), talks by AP, DS, MW, and a Mendelssohn violin/piano sonata in S2 and a glass of bubbly before the concert and a reception after the concert in L1 bar to celebrate the conclusion of a tough period and to thank all loyal supporters, attended by about 100 guests, orchestra members and Sage staff. Very good emotionally-charged atmosphere and positive speeches by AP and DS. Chatted to other PPs, JC, IB, NH, DS. Very good evening -- combined with success of ON's Parsifal, think art is well on the way back in NE. Pleased to meet our Rotary Club's President BH in the interval and IB in same row, old colleague in CS at UNN. Caught last M from GHD-CAL at 11:25 and drove home. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 10th: maximum 18C, minimum 12C, moderate SW breeze, sunny, dry, quite breezy. Sorted results from walk in ‘Shire last Sunday (4/6), documented below – 35 bird-types, 6 butterfly-types, an orchid-type and a few piccies. That was 5/6 Honey-buzzard sites occupied in Shire, now up to 6/6 after yesterday’s outing. Have 2 sites to check in Tyne Valley W, then core area is covered during the display period. Had good chat with N/D on Skype in morning from 10:00-11:45. Had amazing evening, did shopping £49 at W on way out to DoW and had 30 min to spare so popped into nearby Bywell, just as breeze was dropping into the evening as it often does; had a Hobby female displaying (first of year) with a Red Kite close-by, 2 Common Buzzard up over N area and 1 up with Black Kite, 2 Black Kite displaying (maybe celebrating young hatching!) with some revealing piccies on colours and wing formula 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11, and 2 anxious Grey Partridge. So 7 raptors of 4 types! After gr8 chat with D/D made Dipton Wood (extreme N) at 22:45 until 23:10 and had 2 Nightjar (churring, guick call and one bird in view), a roding Woodcock, 2 anxious Tawny Owl and a male Honey-buzzard flying from Swallowship site into heathland in the Wood, no doubt to forage; have a few records of Honey-buzzard in crepuscular feeding trips in spring, in Northumberland and in Scotland. .So great evening in all respects. No birds seen/heard at Lamb Shield at 23:15 where looking for Quail. Traumatic week for markets, particularly in last 2 days on rise in US inflation so funds -8k on week, +328k ytd gross (+18.6%), +292k ytd net, with (all ytd) ftse 100 -0.9% (moving negative), ftse 250 -16.0%, dow -13.4%, nasdaq (tech) -27.6%, bitcoin -36.3%. It’s shark-infested waters out there! Shanghai returns to partial lockdown on 11 Covid cases! PoO remains firm, closing week at $122; supplies are very tight even with countries drawing down strategic reserves as short-term expedient; only when oil is loved will the crisis start to abate: companies will not invest in new supplies unless they see a future: they will take the money and return funds to shareholders. Next week sees son’s birthday! 2moro sees last day of RNS season at Sage with next season intro at start, concert and reception afterwards. Think will go via CAL. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 9th: maximum 17C, minimum 12C, light SW breeze, sunny midday, cloudy with showers later, drying out by evening. Made S4m4l with M/B, joined by A/A later, very sociable and good Italian food and wine. Then out to ‘Shire to check in Slaley Forest area from 15:00-16:30 on last outstanding site in this area; it was touch and go with light rain showers moving in, threatening to bring everything to a close but fortunately, it kept clearing and the birds kept performing. Trip was successful with 1 Honey-buzzard male up briefly at 15:50 1 (12019); 2 Red Kite at 2 sites: 1 up over site to E up the edge of the moor at 15:41, 1 actively hunting over Viewley site from 15:47-16:01; 2 Common Buzzard: 1 carrying a prey item 1 back to nest at 15:10 and another out to hunt to W at 15:52 2. Other birds in total of 22 types included first calling Cuckoo of the year from the moorland edge, 3 agitated Curlew, 1 female Redstart, 1 singing Song Thrush, 13 Black-headed Gull adult. Had a Bank Vole and 7 Northern Marsh Orchid 1  2  3  4  5 at Ordley at home, Made G4g4s with A/R/P and S on; all very good!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 8th: maximum 16C, minimum 10C, light W breeze, cloudy with sunny intervals, rain showers in morning. Long comments on Parsifal below: what a stimulating event! After returning from LDS at 13:10 (on time) did some shopping at W b4 making G4g4t with B for good chat. Had reflective evening! 137 visits to my Honey-buzzard/Black Kite/Red Kite pages today: something seems to be happening! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Parsifal by Opera North at the Leeds Grand Theatre was indeed magnificent. The massive orchestra of Opera North, conducted with concentration and flair by Richard Farnes throughout, comprised 26 violins (14 first, 12 second), 10 violas, 8 cellos, 4 double bass, 2 harps, so 50 strings: Wagner’s baseload, perhaps surprising to those who think of Wagner as a brassy composer. Indeed Wagner likes to use the strings as a continuous variable background layer with the woodwind pushing through: fairly demanding of the string players! Woodwind comprised 4 flutes, a piccolo, 3 oboes, 1 cor anglais, 3 clarinets, 1 bass clarinet, 3 bassoons, a contra bassoon, so 17 woodwind. Brass comprised 5 horns, 3 trumpets, 2 trombones, 1 bass trombone, 1 tuba, so just 12 brass in main orchestra but a stage band used for extra effects comprised 10 more: 6 trumpet, 4 trombone. There were 2 timpani in main orchestra plus 2 extra percussion in the stage band. Overall total is about 90 players. What was lovely was seeing the whole orchestra centre-stage, with a very thin curtain separating the orchestra from the front of the stage, lifted for dramatic effect at times. So the pit, in which the orchestra normally plays, was empty with the very front of the stage used by the singers, who sung in German with English titles. This is contrary to Wagner’s ideals: at Bayreuth a very large sunken orchestra pit was built so that the singers sung over the orchestral sounds, blending the two. But I liked the change! Gurnemanz, a veteran knight of the Grail, was sung with great stamina and clarity by Brindley Sherratt, bass; Parsifal the pure fool was sung and acted well by Toby Spence, tenor; Kundry, the sorceress, was sung by Katarina Karnéus, mezzo-soprano born in Stockholm; thought she came over really well in her voice and sensitive acting; in Act 2 Parsifal anti-seduces her, changing her from the temptress to more a mother-like figure, almost a housewife (not sure that’s desirable from some perspectives!). The music in Act 1 is beautiful and hypnotic, so much so that at Bayreuth there’s a tradition of not applauding after this act to maintain the atmosphere. The Opera North Chorus sang beautifully throughout. Act 2 sees the sensuous flower-maiden scene, followed by the attempted seduction of Parsifal by Kundry. Act 3 follows on from Act 1 in highlighting the Grail music and of course features the Good Friday climax for which the opera is most celebrated. The opera is pagan, rather than Christian, based on Arthurian legends; Lohengrin is son of Parsifal for those who like to connect operas! Hermann Levi, the German Jewish orchestral conductor and a life-long friend of Wagner, led the first performance of Parsifal, at Bayreuth, in 1882; this was Wagner’s swan song! The opera started at 16:00 and finished at 21:20 with 2 intervals of 40 min and 20 min each; I used the long interval to attend the Opera North reception for patrons (I’m a silver patron, paying £150 a month gift-aided), for good chat to their staff, and the short interval for my pre-ordered meal, which required fast eating! Travelled by train – no problems; stayed overnight after opera at Park Plaza, with room on 19th floor and grand view over Leeds. It’s a good 4* hotel, close to station (3 min) and to the theatre (10 min). Had a couple of Thai lager there at 22:00 to rehydrate: not a good idea to drink too much in the performance with the demanding schedule! All to be repeated on 18/6 at the Sage, same set-up except staging reduced in Gateshead: I’ll be there! Other performances on tour are at Manchester, Nottingham and South Bank, London, after I think 5 performances at Leeds from 1-10 June, so 9 performances in all.

Very intrigued by Daniel Barenboim’s views on Wagner:

Wagner’s music is often complex, sometimes simple, but never complicated. It is a subtle difference, but complication implies among others the use of unnecessary mechanisms or techniques which could potentially obfuscate the meaning of the music, and these are not present in Wagner’s work. Complexity, on the other hand, is always represented in Wagner’s music by multidimensionality. The music is always made up of many layers which may be individually simple, but which constitute a complex construction when taken together. When he transforms a theme or adds something to it, it is always in the sense of multidimensionality; the individual transformations are sometimes simple but never primitive. https://danielbarenboim.com/wagner-israel-and-the-palestinians/

This is so similar to the mathematical multidimensional category theory of my research that it might give a clue as to why I like his style: it fits my mental structures!

Recent records nationally from BirdGuides from 1/6-8/6 comprise 7 Black Kite:

17:55 08/06 Black Kite Devon Aylesbeare Common RSPB 11:45 one

14:31 08/06 Black Kite Kent Ash 14:05 one flew west towards Wingham

17:04 07/06 Black Kite Cornwall Godrevy Point 15:00 one flew over fields by lighthouse then lost to view

10:01 06/06 Black Kite Kent Dungeness NNR 09:20 one drifted over fishing boats and into Lade Bay

16:05 03/06 Black Kite Cheshire Whitley Reed 14:20 possible flew south

11:07 02/06 Black Kite Cornwall Gwithian 11:01 one flew east over campsite

12:08 01/06 Black Kite Isle of Man Calf Sound 13:48 31/05 one yesterday afternoon


and 8 Honey-buzzard migrants (away from known breeding sites):

12:10 08/06 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Weir Wood Reservoir pale morph male flew over dam

09:21 08/06 European Honey Buzzard Hampshire Titchfield Haven NNR one flew west this morning

09:42 04/06 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Pensthorpe Waterfowl Park female flew east mid-morning; also Wood Sandpiper

11:36 03/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dover 11:29 one flew north-west nearby

10:57 03/06 European Honey Buzzard Cumbria Grune Point 10:40 one flew west

14:55 02/06 European Honey Buzzard Devon Lundy one flew over Old Light

12:03 02/06 European Honey Buzzard Kent Worth Marsh 12:00 one flew over

16:03 01/06 European Honey Buzzard Borders St Abbs Head NNR 15:56 one flew south


June 7th: maximum 16C, minimum 6C, light W breeze, cloudy with sunny intervals, dry. Marvellous Parsifal: exhausted!! Catch-úp tomorrow. Funds +6k wtd. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!!

June 6th: maximum 14C, minimum 6C, light W breeze, dull and wet at dawn, dry after this but much cloud around, not much strong sunshine. Made R @ B4m4l where delivered vocational report and collected money on the PoS machine. Amused that secretary announced he was going to use the R web template to make life easier instead of doing things in a home-baked way. I used to run website with the R template but was removed from it by the secretary in spite of my protests that non-standard approaches are a costly indulgence. After R out to Bywell for mega-look for Black Kite at last year’s only successful pure-pair site. Hard work from 14:35-17:30 but finally saw a Black Kite up briefly over last year’s breeding area 1  2 at 15:50, making running total of active sites 5 but number of Black Kite remains at 8 as not seen 2 birds together at Bywell site yet. Saw some other raptors, including a Red Kite up over Shilford at 14:30, a female Honey-buzzard up at moderate height over Styford at 15:33 1  2 (12014), 2 Common Buzzard at Cottagebank (1 at 15:49 hanging over N side; 1 calling from S side at 16:06), 2 Common Buzzard up at Styford N at 16:30, 2 Red Kite up together at Styford E at 16:18. Total for trip was 30 bird types, including a Curlew, 12 Swallow, 2 Chiffchaff, 3 Blackcap, 2 Garden Warbler, a Whitethroat, 3 Greenfinch. Mammals comprised 4 types: 7 Rabbit, 2 Brown Hare, 1 Roe Deer, 1 Brown Rat. Made G4g4s with A/R/P 4 good chat: was A’s birthday and whole pub sang Happy Birthday at the top of their voices; gr8 to have K on!! Parsifal 2moro in LDS – all set – xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 5th: maximum 12C, minimum 9C, light to moderate NE breeze, dull day with moderate rain by late evening. Completed 13/4 Crete compilation and adding to BirdTrack of 4/6 dusk call-in, 3/6 record from Ordley and 2/6 records from Hexham and trip into Newcastle and Gateshead. That leaves 2 substantial visits to Hexham on 1/6 and the ‘Shire on 4/6: in hand as below! Chatted to son on FB video from 17:00-18:00; he’s doing well with torso scan last Sunday confirming stable liver and other organs; mentally he’s doing gr8 so really pleased; next chat is in Budapest for a Wagner extravaganza – Rienzi. Booked up airport hotel for 2/7 (Premier) and car parking for 17 days (£180 package) – can cancel for refund but if we do not go to France will still go to London to see the family. Keeping hopeful that we will all go to Marciac: thanks to someone for support!! Made G4g4s with R/P 4 good chat. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Black Kite piccies from 1/6 Hexham site: 2 birds here 1  2  3  4  5 defending their nest site against a Common Buzzard 1 floating overhead, which also put up a female Honey-buzzard 1 (12010). One of the Black Kite was later high over the Honey-buzzard site at the Hermitage 6  7  8 presumably out hunting. Full details below on 1/6 report.

June 4th: maximum 12C, minimum 7C, light to moderate NE breeze, dull early-on, sunny morning, afternoon and evening, dry. Good weather for raptors – breezy and sunny! Carried on with Crete records, labelling 12/4 piccies, processing them (resize/crop) and uploading them to web server; will index them tomorrow. Have cleared out masses of paper the last 2 days as part of continued reorganisation of shelves: all composted in the field. Today got back on the survey trek with a 3-hour stroll down the spine of the ‘Shire in perfect conditions from 11:40-14:40. Had previously only found 2 out of 6 Honey-buzzard sites in ‘Shire occupied; that’s now up to 5/6 with single birds at Dipton Wood (male, soaring very high at 12:31 (12012 1)), West Dipton and Dotland; also had a Red Kite at West Dipton, interacting first at tree-top level, then high in the sky, from 14:03-14:08, with the male Honey-buzzard over the hill to N (12011 1), 3 Common Buzzard at Juniper N (some lengthy interaction between adult and 1s from 12:40-13:26 plus another adult seen), 1 at Ordley over fields on way back at 14:20 and 1 at Swallowship at 12:19 and 12:55. A female Honey-buzzard was at Juniper N, mostly out of sight feeding on ground but she briefly came up at 13:18 after being mobbed by Crow (12013 1). No Black Kite – they do seem to like the Tyne riverine area. Species list is very long at 35 bird-types and had 6 types of butterfly: 21 Small White, 9 Orange-tip (7 male, 2 female), 5 Green-veined White and single Peacock, Wall and Speckled Wood, plus 4 Common Spotted Orchid. .Birds included 3 Skylark, 3 Song Thrush (one fledged young), 3 Bullfinch, 4 Yellowhammer, 1 Redstart (singing), 8 Chiffchaff, 1 Willow Warbler, 10 Swallow, 3 Garden Warbler, 2 Pied Wagtail, 6 Herring Gull (1 ad, 5 1s), 3 Curlew, 3 Oystercatcher. Total for raptors was 5 Common Buzzard, 3 Honey-buzzard, 1 Red Kite, that’s 9 birds of 3 types. Later had 6 Stock Dove at Ordley. Made DoW4g4s with D/D for gr8 chat; On way home at 23:00 had a Nightjar churring in Dipton Wood and single Tawny Owl there and at Lamb Shield; a Fox and a Brown Hare were also in Swallowship area earlier in the evening. ‘Phoned the Sage yesterday to change Barber of Seville booking from Sunday to Saturday and am on 6:05 BA NCL-LHR next day; need to stay positive for my brother-in-law, that is betting on him going! xxxxx XXX!!!!!! 2moro it’s catch up on local records, maybe N4c4ll and certainly G4g4s!

June 3rd: maximum 15C, minimum 8C, light NE breeze, dull early-on, sunny morning, cloudier late afternoon and evening, dry. Below on 31/5 are Black Kite and Honey-buzzard records from BirdGuides on 30/5-31/5. Busy day mentally, compiling masses of piccies from the Crete trip with everything processed from 4/4-11/4 and a few key items later up until 18/4; found 3 more Black Kite and a male Honey-buzzard during the thorough analysis. Publication is closer is all I can say! Expect to return to local material tomorrow with publication of findings and piccies from 1/6-2/6 in Hexham, including latest Black Kite. Physically didn't do too much today except applying some weed killer on paths, patio and yard, where things might be thought of as a little out of control! Did take meal-breaks outside and had a Whimbrel overhead going N at 15:30. Was decisive on French trip, rearranging quite a few things – will be in touch tomorrow!! Had usual good 90-min chat with N/D on Skype in morning. Funds finished week +14k with ytd +335k (+19.0%) gross and +299k net. Markets in general remain troubled with, all ytd, ftse 100 +2.0%, ftse 250 -13.7%, dow -9.5%, nasdaq tech -23.2%, bitcoin -35.9%. PoO climbed above $120 in New York today on severe supply shortages and glimmers of hope from Bollywood on my junk bonds! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

June 2nd: maximum 17C, minimum 8C, light NW breeze, dull early-on, sunny morning and early afternoon, heavy rain by ttime, warmer. Made Italian restaurant Salute with M for Sardinian meal for lunch and rw and good chat. Afterwards had quick scan from 13:30-14:40 around area in bright sunshine, picking up Red Kite over Hexham N at 13:55, Black Kite over Hexham NE at 13:36, and Honey-buzzard male soaring twice at 13:56 and 14:11 at Beaufront (12011) and Red Kite over Beaufront at 14:17, all singles soaring high into the sky. The Beaufront bird brings total number of Honey-buzzard sites to 12 for 2022. Then on train into RNS Moves: very interesting musical sounds and tempos from RNS/Bournemouth able-bodied and disabled musicians, glad I went. Had chat with IB (standing in all week for TG) who offered to play for a group in Hexham and was very grateful for my support of husband MG and also the tech whizz-kid (who did very well today) and VE, who as usual looked very competent! Place was surrounded by fans looking for Johnny Depp, who was playing in the Sage in the evening! Straight home on 17:55 and had good long chat with little sis and ailing brother-in-law (who did play 10 holes of golf 2 days ago!) on ‘phone. They are determined to make France if at all possible so think I need to make some appropriate decisions!! Finally made G4g4s with R/P/A; place was pretty riotous, not sure many people are pacing the weekend! Northumberland featured well in Jubilee celebrations on Sky News with Hexham town crier and Hadrian’s Wall 50 beacons including quite an extravaganza at Cawfields, near Haltwhistle, with beacon set-alight by burning arrow, fireworks, lighting display on quarry and dancing by local teenagers: gr8 2 c! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Trip to Gateshead: at Merryshields GP at 15:00, 2 adult Mute Swan and 6 small chicks plus 6 adult Greylag Goose feeding with 12 medium-sized young; at Ovingham at 15:05: 2 Mallard broods: female + 3 medium-sized young, female + 8 tiny chicks plus pair of adult Mute Swan with 3 small chicks; at Wylam Horsley a Mute Swan adult; at Quayside at 17:00 a 2s GBBG with Kittiwake colony active, will try and get in a count.

June 1st: maximum 13C, minimum 6C, light NE breeze, dull morning, then brighter with heavy showers, becoming drier and more settled. Have added the Black Kite piccies from Styford on 29/5 to entry below for that date and to News on the Home Page, reproduced below. Also indexed some Crete piccies from 4/4-5/4. Made Hexham Tyne Green from 12:30-14:40, staying in Hexham for late lunch QHC4s4ll, and for t N4c4t and G4g4t, latter with B for good chat. Yet another great day with the Black Kite, watching probable nest site for a pair along the north bank of the Tyne at Hexham NE, just as at Styford; they like riverine views from experience in France. Had 2 birds here 1  2  3  4  5 defending their nest site against a Common Buzzard 1 floating overhead, which also put up a female Honey-buzzard 1 (12010), later seen over her own site briefly; no sign of the male. One of the Black Kite was later high over the Honey-buzzard site at the Hermitage 6  7  8 presumably out hunting. So Black Kite count goes up to 8 birds at 5 sites with still last year’s main site to check properly, which will leave until after the Show! Honey-buzzard sites go up to 11. Hearing is continuing to improve and had 34 types of bird in trip today, some picked up by song alone; suspect wax is now flowing normally in ears and residual old bits are being carried away – marvellous!! Other birds included 9 Swift, 4 Sand Martin, 6 Long-tailed Tit, 1 Chiffchaff, 2 Blackcap, 13 Blackbird, 3 Grey Wagtail, 4 Siskin, 2 Bullfinch. Only butterflies were 2 Green-veined White. Funds finished short week in UK at +12k; still 2 days to go world-wide. North Sea interests showed a further loss of 1k: sentiment badly affected by windfall tax, but big miners and North American oil did well again. 2moro it’s lunch with M at Salute, S4con at 16:15 (private, RNS and Bournemouth Moves!) and G4g4s. Have agreed to buy largest package available for next season at Sage, paying by cash and moving seat 3 to left to L18 to sit near L/N. Thinking of someone: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 31st: maximum 11C, minimum 7C, light W breeze, dull, rain from time to time, quite heavy at times, very cool. Lit coal fire in evening – very cosy, good for keeping house dry, particularly with clothes drying on gallery. Last electricity bill for May was £164 for 3.5 weeks, already paid. Added Honey-buzzard piccies from Staward on 28/5 to News, see below – last entry -- show tail bars well. Added Staward and Styford E trips to BirdTrack so up to date on May, which is some consolation for the terrible surveying weather. Need to add piccies for 29/5 at Styford; have some shots of Black Kite and Common Buzzard; think Black Kite is breeding at this site with almost certainly 2 birds seen in 3 sightings and breeding category N (visiting probable nest site!). It’s all very exciting! So to date pure pairs at 2 sites, mixed pair at one and singles at 2 others. 2moro hoping to get out at lunchtime to check Hexham Hermitage site with afternoon at QHC4s4ll, N4c4t, G4g4t. Today made N4c4t for a break from compiling records; am hoping to complete Crete report this long weekend. Hope the birds take 4/6 easy: it’s Northumberland County Show in the area. Funds are +8k wtd; government energy policies in Europe, UK and USA seem to me to be way off the mark in solving the problem of high gas and oil prices; we need a baseload to complement the unreliable wind and solar; renewables are very demanding of scarce materials; battery storage is tiny and will also need vast amounts of scarce materials if it is developed. So with all the chaos, oil and gas are not replaceable on any short or medium time-scale and we need to ensure that investment is maintained so that flow is maintained and prices are kept low. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Up to end of month (30/5-31/5) on BirdGuides, 2 more Black Kite (123 total year to date):

21:47 30/05 Black Kite Cornwall Porthleven12:30 29/05 probable flew over Pendrea yesterday; also 5 Red Kites

17:56 30/05 Black Kite Isle of Wight Brading Marshes RSPB 16:50 one flew north


and 3 more Honey-buzzard (90 total year to date):

13:17 31/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness RSPB one flew west over Burrowes Pit

08:15 31/05 European Honey Buzzard Northamptonshire Hartwell 08:10 one drifted high north over fields east of Hartwell and towards Salcey Forest

12:49 30/05 European Honey Buzzard Northumberland Blyth probable flew over south-west end of estuary near A193


May 30th maximum 9C, minimum 7C, light W breeze, dull, rain from time to time, quite heavy at times, very cool. Good catch-up on records. Here’s summary of season so far (from News on Home Page):

17/04/22 Honey-buzzard: 2 W at Kolimvarion, Crete. Better weather for seeing migrants, including main start of Honey-buzzard season with a female and male coming off the sea from E at 12:33 and 12:43 respectively and flying towards southern base of the Rodopou Peninsula, presumably to feed in the more fertile land there, before continuing to N. Here’s piccies of the male Honey-buzzard at Crete on 17/4 at 12:44: 1  2  3  4 (12001). Also earlier a male N at Agia Triada at 15:56 on 9/4 (12001a).

24/04/22 Honey-buzzard: At 13:15 the returning pair of Honey-buzzard were in low-level display over the Devil's Water in Northumberland near my house, on a bright, cool day with moderate easterly breeze. This is an early return for the pair. Only one Honey-buzzard has been recorded on BirdGuides by this date for 2022. I suspect that some of the long-established birds are powerful migrants with a clear strategy for the route, making minimal stops and avoiding coastal situations where they are more likely to be seen.

18/05/22 Honey-buzzard Habitat: Completed analysing habitat for Honey-buzzard at Hyons Wood, that’s no.4 in Tyne Valley E and no.22 overall with further river-system totals: Hexhamshire 6, Allen 10, Tyne Valley W 2.

10/05/22 Black Kite/Honey-buzzard: Here's Black Kite piccies from Prudhoe 10/5 in display for pure pair: second adult 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  and first adult 9  10  11  12  13  14  15 (pair)  16  17  18  19  20  plus pair with male Honey-buzzard (12004) 21 .

29/05/22 Black Kite update: 1st seen 5/5 at Bywell. Have Black Kite at 5 sites with 1) a pure pair displaying at last year’s site at Prudhoe, where mixed pairing with Red Kite last year; 2) last year’s site at Bywell with one bird seen to date; 3) a new site near Styford where a pure pair appear to be nesting along Tyne; 4) a new site in Hexham area where single bird seen; and 5) the site in East Allendale where a mixed pairing again of Black Kite (male) x Red Kite (female) with food pass seen. So that’s a minimum of 7 Black Kite at 5 sites!

30/05/22 Honey-buzzard update: slow return this year and activity subdued with cool weather; 10 sites occupied in study area with 7 male, 7 female seen.

28/05/22 Honey-buzzard: Here’s Honey-buzzard piccies from Staward, where saw 3 Honey-buzzard: 2 displaying at N, female 1  2  3  4  5, male 6  7 (12009), 1 in territory at S.

29/05/22 Black Kite: Here's Black Kite piccies from Styford 29/5 where a bird has vacated apparent site to move E to hunt 1  2  3  4.

Today had hair-cut at 10:00 by vivacious Jd at JG, cost £25 including tip. Then R at B4m4l for good company and G4g4s with chatty A/R and K on. Will be adding soon the gr8 piccies from Staward on Saturday 28/5 to the News and here. Completed the piccies for 19/5 Bywell, Asked to RNS Moves on Thursday afternoon – may well go! Much increased interest at moment in my web pages. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 29th: maximum 12C, minimum 7C, light NW breeze, mainly cloudy, cool. Made Styford E for walk at ttime from 16:10-18:10, looking at area around Tyne there. Conditions not good for raptors but did have 2 Common Buzzard (up regularly, clearly nesting by Tyne near the A68 road bridge 1 ), 2 Black Kite (3 sightings: one flying low at 16:20 across Tyne from trees on south bank to deep cover on north bank; one flying out of site moving E to hunt at 16:36 1  2  3  4; again one flying out of site moving E to hunt at 17:54) and at 17:15 a female dark-phase Honey-buzzard was flapping low-down by a copse near the Tyne on the A68; this last appears to have moved from Shilford to Styford E; suspect this is due to gamekeeping issues with the Shilford area tenanted by Hindley Estates who have an erratic record on raptor persecution, to put it mildly. Think the Shilford site failed last year, an unusual event for Honey-buzzard, with human interference suspected. Common Buzzard also appear to have moved from Shilford to Styford E. Trip produced 22 bird-types and one butterfly: a Green-veined White. Had a female Redstart on way back at 18:39 by roadside at Hexham Loughbrow. Booked nite at Hilton Airport Hotel after Parsifal at Sage for quick getaway for Rienzi in Budapest. After that next opera is Barber of Seville, to which very much looking forward!! Funds last week finished +3k with losses on windfall tax on North Sea oil of 16k just outweighed by gains on large miners! Ytd is +321k gross, +285k net. Did make G4g4s with R/P for good chat; we’re still struggling to be quorate but just about keeping going; pub was very busy and noisy.

From 24/5-29/5 Black Kite continued to feature well with widespread sightings [BirdGuides], in potential breeding areas; total is 121 sightings for 2022 up to 29/5; colonisation may well be in free flow:

20:14 29/05 Black Kite Cornwall Predannack Head possible flew over

20:08 29/05 Black Kite Cornwall Skewjack one flew over; also male Golden Oriole

20:08 29/05 Black Kite Cornwall Marazion Marsh RSPB 08:00 one

12:09 29/05 Black Kite Hampshire Martin Down NNR 10:15 one flew south over A354 towards Sixpenny Handley

19:40 28/05 Black Kite Cornwall Wadebridge 15:55 one flew south-west

18:43 28/05 Black Kite Hampshire Otterbourne 18:35 one flew low over Otterbourne Park Wood this evening

12:22 27/05 Black Kite Hampshire Fishlake Meadows HIWWT 12:19 one flew slowly north viewed from first viewpoint along canal by road

07:25 26/05 Black Kite Wiltshire Langford Lakes 11:50 24/05 one briefly late morning Tuesday

10:59 24/05 Black Kite Dorset Beaminster 09:45 probable flew over


Over the same period Honey-buzzard are pouring in [BirdGuides], with 84 sightings in 2022 to date:

20:28 29/05 European Honey Buzzard Cornwall Lanhydrock 12:15 one flew over

13:38 29/05 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Wykeham Forest 10:45 3 birds in residence

11:11 29/05 European Honey Buzzard Jersey La Coupe 11:05 one

22:05 28/05 European Honey Buzzard Somerset & Bristol Yatton 16:50 possible flew south-east

15:59 28/05 European Honey Buzzard Nottinghamshire Welbeck watchpoint 3 birds in residence

15:47 28/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent North Foreland 10:57 one flew over

09:59 28/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent Dungeness NNR 09:55 one circling and gaining height behind The Britannia Inn

09:24 28/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent Whitstable probable dark morph flew north over Tesco with six Red Kites

07:20 28/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Southrepps 27/05 one yesterday

22:37 27/05 European Honey Buzzard Cornwall Praze-an-Beeble one flew north-east over weedy fields behind old golf course at Clowance Estate

22:27 27/05 European Honey Buzzard Gloucestershire Withington12:55 one flew north-west over River Coln towards Withington

13:32 27/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent Sandwich Bay one

10:57 27/05 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Carlton Colville one flew low west mid-morning

14:50 26/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent Knockholt 14:35 one reportedly flew south over New Stables Farm Cottage, Rushmore HIll

10:59 26/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent St Margaret's at Cliffe 10:57 one arrived in off the sea

10:13 26/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Castle Rising 10:05 one flew west over A149 at Fowler's Plantation

19:00 24/05 European Honey Buzzard Northumberland North Seaton 16:00 female flew south-west

16:25 24/05 European Honey Buzzard Isles of Scilly St Mary's one flew south-west over Pelistry Bay late afternoon

14:54 24/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent Walmer 12:22 one flew west

10:59 24/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent Foreness Point 10:46 one flew south-west


May 28th: maximum 14C, minimum 5C, light N breeze, sunny spells, dry, great polar air, good for raptors. Got home off 10:23 NCL-HEX, made straight for Shell garage where filled up for £67 with E10, a new record. Quickly got out to Staward for good walk down to the Peel from 13:10-15:45, seeing 3 Honey-buzzard (2 displaying at N, female 1  2  3  4  5, male 6  7 from 14:45-15:05 (12009), 1 male in territory at S at 15:20), a pair of Red Kite up at 14:51 mobbed by Rook at Staward N and an unsexed Kestrel at Staward N at 14:51, with some good piccies in the brilliant light. Season is running late I feel with all the strong cool winds. Also had 2 displaying Tree Pipit, 11 displaying Meadow Pipit, 3 bubbling Curlew, 3 Mistle Thrush, 2 singing Garden Warbler, 2 singing Blackcap, 1 anxious Chiffchaff. Total was 21 bird-types. Butterflies comprised 5 Green-veined White, 3 Speckled Wood, and there were some moles. Walk certainly was soothing, feeling a lot calmer at end, helped by email from someone!! Had good social evening, chatting with son on FB video from 17:00-18:00, big sis on ‘phone from 19:00-20:00 and meeting D/D at DoW from 20:40-23:00.

May 27th maximum 14C, minimum 9C, fresh W breeze, sunny, dry, very blustery, like March! Would not have been any fieldwork today – far too windy! A gr8 day for music with Marie Schreer (violin), Katie Tertell in Beethoven’s “Ghost” Piano Trio and Piano Trio B flat (unpublished) plus Zemlinsky’s Piano Trio in D minor. Very enjoyable – Ghost PT looked very hard to play and the Zemlinsky was a bit like Brahms. On to CT4s4ll and then back to NK for a break. Made S for concert in evening – French Connection – pretty eclectic though all works were French with composers Poulenc, Al-Zand, Marais, Boismortier, Talleferre, Saint-Saëns, Gounod, Dada. Some brilliant soloist contributions, including AR in Danse Macabre, and the slightly chaotic placements in the first half added some freshness to the proceedings. Back to L4rw4s to finish nite in style. Enjoying stay at NK,,back home 2moro morning. Funds finished week up c5k, needs final balance, losses on North Sea oils were outweighed by gains on big miners!

May 26th maximum 14C, minimum 9C, fresh SW breeze, sunny, dry, very blustery, like March! No fieldwork today – far too windy! Saturday is promising when wind drops..Hotel BW New Kent 3* is very comfortable; had meals today at QHC in Hexham for lunch and Lonsdale in Jesmond for supper; didn’t make TC The L is a good pub, a proper student house!! Cleaner S came at lunchtime to do the cleaning! Absolutely furious at windfall tax, lasting to 2025, on North Sea oil and gas companies, which rely on one good year in 5 or 6 to make super profits to see them over the lean years in between. Taxing them at 65% in the good year knackers their business model and long-term investment will suffer. Will be removing all investments from the UK as opportunity arises. 2 concerts tomorrow – cannot be bad!

May 25th: maximum 14C, minimum 9C, fresh SW breeze, few light showers, some sunshine, very blustery. Not good weather for raptors so no fieldwork today; caught up on earlier records, just Honey-buzzard male piccies at Bywell on 19/5 to process. Have Black Kite at 5 sites with 1) a pure pair displaying at last year’s site at Prudhoe, where mixed pairing with Red Kite last year; 2) last year’s site at Bywell with one bird seen to date; 3) a new site near Bywell where single seen twice; 4) a new site in Hexham area where single bird seen; and 5) the site in East Allendale where a mixed pairing again of Black Kite (male) x Red Kite (female) with food pass seen. So that’s a minimum of 6 Black Kite at 5 sites! Good social day with T4m4l with M/B and G4g4t with B and co! Change of pace tomorrow – 2 nites at J at GW in OR – may go to TC in evening to see Benediction; on Friday have 2 concerts – MS and trio at L&P at 13:00 and RNS in evening – should be gr8.

May 24th: maximum 14C, minimum 8C, fresh W breeze, bright start, then mainly cloudy with one heavy shower. Made Swallowship from 14:00-15:50 for another check for Black Kite and of course returning Honey-buzzard. No kite seen but did have 3 Honey-buzzard up for 10 secs at 14:46 over the ridge to W, very close together, in some contention, in the fresh breeze. Looked like 2 female and a male so maybe one female is a migrant, stalled on migration by the fresh winds, and is engaging with the resident pair. Honey-buzzard are not yet very visible this spring; they are spending most of their time feeding below the canopy rather than displaying. No other raptors seen but did have 1 singing male Pied Flycatcher, 6 Siskin, 2 Yellowhammer, 2 Chiffchaff, 2 Blackcap, 2 Blackbird juveniles, fledged Wren, in total of 19 bird-types. Butterflies comprised 12 Green-veined White, 2 Speckled Wood, 2 Orange-tip. At Hexham at 17:30 had a newly-fledged Blackbird. At Ordley at 11:30 had 2 Swift displaying and a large family party of Wren c12 sprawled around. Went shopping at W4bigshop £44; hoarding breakfast cereals as wheat prices soaring! That was after N4c4t where pleased to have H/A on! Funds are +1k wtd, losing most of Monday’s gain after windfall tax idea gathering momentum. Such a tax has populist (emotional) appeal but economically it’s illiterate as it will discourage investment in future indigenous sources of energy: it’s a short-term palliative at the expense of longer-term energy security. As usual though the devil will be in the detail! Ears already settling down, popping has stopped, no tinnitus, hearing is constant in both ears; can hear distant birdsong very clearly and music is brighter! xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Here’s latest climate update for April 2022:

Climate anomaly on month rose slightly to +0.26C https://www.drroyspencer.com/latest-global-temperatures. Global climate change remains at +0.13C per decade. The detailed UAH report GTR https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/ states that:

The global temperature departure from average in April warmed to +0.26 °C (+0.47°F). The main warming shift occurred in the Southern Hemisphere as the area warmed by +0.16 °C (+0.29 °F) from March. A change of 0.1 °C in monthly global temperature values is fairly common. As noted in February, this may be the beginning of the return to warmer temperatures as the La Niña typically declines in influence during the NH spring. However, latest values of various El Niño/La Niña indices indicate the La Niña may survive for several more months. Indeed, the sea surface temperatures of the key region “Niño 3.4” have remained below average through mid-May. In particular, the tropical Pacific waters south of the equator are below average and quite extensive. The latest on the evolution of La Niña and its anticipated diminishment is provided by NOAA here: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolutionstatus-fcsts-web.pdf.

The planet’s warmest region, in terms of the monthly departure from average, was in the Zhanaarka District of central Kazakhstan where one grid cell hit +3.7 °C (+6.7°F) above normal. Above average temperatures extended north through western Russia, southwest to Africa and southeast to northern India. In addition, Greenland, the SW US with NW Mexico, eastern north Pacific and the South Atlantic and South Pacific harboured higher than average temperatures too.

The coolest departure from average occurred over the Quaee Indian Reserve No.7, British Columbia, Canada with an anomaly of -3.2 °C (-5.8 °F). Other cooler than average regions were found in the tropical Pacific, especially south of the Equator, So. Africa, eastern Russia and the northern European countries. With the very cool temperatures in the Pacific NW extending across the northern US, the conterminous US averaged slightly below average; -0.26 °C (-0.47 °F). Alaska also felt part of the cool temperatures so that the 49-state average came in a little cooler at -0.31 °C (-0.56 °F).

The very warm temperatures in India have been fastened on by the climate emergency lobby. Not surprisingly (because it doesn’t suit their narrative) much less attention has been paid to the unusually cold weather in North America. For latter see *Winter 2021/2022 Rundown* Unusual cold weather dynamics and strong warm anomalies, forged between by the Ocean and the Atmosphere https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2021-2022-rundown-analysis-forecast-verification-united-states-europe-fa/ Andrej Flis 26/03/2022:

Winter 2021/2022 is officially over. We will make a rundown of this very dynamic cold season, looking at the many cold and warm anomalies across the United States, Europe, and the rest of the globe. Also, we will look what was the main driver behind the weather this winter and how good the winter forecasts actually were. To try and understand the Winter season and its forecast, we must realize that there is no “magic bullet” when it comes to weather. Global weather is a very complex system, with many large-scale and small-scale weather drivers. But there was one major oceanic driver in this Winter season, that is actually still ongoing into Spring. We will look at its development, and how it will translate into Spring 2022 and also look at hints for its influence on the next Winter season 2022/2023.

COLD LA NINA IN THE OCEAN

A major driver of the winter season was the ENSO. That is short for “El Niño Southern Oscillation”. It is a region of the tropical Pacific ocean, changing between warm and cold phases in the equatorial ocean. Typically there is a phase change in around 1-3 years. ...

Weather Forecast: After an unusual cold anomaly over the United States, the weather by the end of the month [May 2022] will turn into Summer modes.

Ice cover at the North Pole remains unexceptional but there are more signs of loss of ice at the South Pole, maybe now paused http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/:

Average Arctic sea ice extent [at the North Polar region] for April 2022 was 14.06 million square kilometres (5.43 million square miles) (Figure 1). This was 630,000 square kilometres (243,000 square miles) below the 1981 to 2010 average and ranked eleventh lowest in the 44-year satellite record. Extent declined slowly through the beginning of the month, with only 87,000 square kilometres (33,600 square miles) of ice loss between April 1 and April 10. The decline then proceeded at an average pace for this time of year through the reminder of the month. Reductions in sea ice extent during April occurred primarily in the Bering Sea and the Sea of Okhotsk. Other regions had small losses at most. The southern Barents Sea lost some ice, but the channel of open water north of Novaya Zemlya that persisted for much of the winter closed during April. Overall, the daily sea ice extent tracked just below the interdecile range (below 90 percent of past daily values) for the month.

After the record low minimum Antarctic sea ice extent at the end of February and the strong heat wave that followed in mid-March, conditions in the Southern Ocean have calmed down. Ice extent remains low for this time of year below the interdecile range, but is above 2017, 2018, and 2019, as well as 1980. Extent remained below average in the Weddell, eastern Ross, and western Amundsen-Bellingshausen regions, but near average around the rest of the continent (Figure 6). Through April, ice extent increases in all regions around the continent, but with relatively slower growth in the Amundsen-Bellingshausen Seas.

See Sky News’ Climate Show has been relegated from a 30-min peak evening slot to a 10-min afternoon slot. I quite often watch it but it is blatant propaganda with no balance to discussions and a very strict agenda: there shall be no dissent! So not surprised at change to schedules: suspect this is a gentle way out through the door!

SKY NEWS AXING THE DAILY CLIMATE SHOW FROM EVENING PRIMETIME. Guido’s co-conspirator at Sky News reckons the dire Daily Climate Show has been axed from the evening schedule with immediate affect. The tedious show consistently cratered the viewing figures and virtually guaranteed viewers would switch channels. With Sky News now consistently being beaten by GB News into third place in the primetime ratings battle, this is evidence that they are feeling the competition. It would seem that Sky News boss John Ryley has woken up to the competition…https://order-order.com/2022/05/22/exclusive-sky-news-axing-the-daily-climate-show-from-evening-primetime/

May 23rd: maximum 14C, minimum 8C, moderate SW breeze, mostly cloudy and humid, dry. Made CB Audio for 2nd and final session of earwax removal – only took 20 min – right ear had already recovered but left ear was still popping and bit muffled. All sorted now – left ear is cleared, haven’t had hearing as clear as this for quite a while. Brain and ears are still re-synchronising but great to hear conversation, music, bird song, insects buzzing, so clearly. Happy to pay £80. Need to take ear drops every 2 weeks and maybe go back in a year for a check and short session (£55 quoted) as wax will not be so embedded. Made R at B4m4l 4 good chat and talk by neighbour RS from Peth Foot – guardian of the Honey-buzzard! Bought some shorts from Milletts £31. Added to BirdTrack records from Hexham (22/5) and Wylam (20/5), now working on Sinderhope, adding piccies for Black Kite and Honey-buzzard below (17/5). Did some gardening, completing mowing of main back area. On opening shed door was attacked by a queen wasp who had made a cone nest (in a few days) in the entrance on top of the door opening; she struck my head but no sting as got out the way quickly; I knocked the cone to the ground, which didn’t seem to please her too much, followed by light spraying of anti-wasp liquid on the door frame; she disappeared and I got on with some grass cutting; sitting out on patio an hour later was buzzed by a very angry queen wasp; retreated inside and she hit the window several times; hope she calms down and nests somewhere else: don’t like destroying Honey-buzzard food! Made G4g4s with just R as P/A away; we had good chat on finance (he’s an accountant!). Funds have started week well on China re-opening Shanghai soon after zero-Covid nuttiness!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

From 18/5-23/5 some further records of Black Kite [BirdGuides], in addition to overshoots – 8 records in Shetland, 2 in Orkney, presumably 2 birds:

15:57 22/05 Black Kite Derbyshire Clowne 15:48 probable drifted high south-west over Shuttlewood

15:23 21/05 Black Kite London Hackney Marsh 15:05 possible flew east

16:47 18/05 Black Kite Guernsey St Martin's 11:00 probable flew south-east towards Jerbourg

15:31 18/05 Black Kite Wicklow Kilmacanogue 15:20 adult flew high north towards The Great Sugar Loaf

11:11 18/05 Black Kite Somerset & Bristol Steart WWT one flew over breach


Honey-buzzard records from 18/5-23/5 comprise at breeding sites [BirdGuides]: Wykeham Forest 2, Welbeck watchpoint 2, plus 8 migrants:

12:34 22/05 European Honey Buzzard Cornwall Treverbyn one flew over Stenalees early afternoon

09:53 22/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent South Foreland 09:52 one flew west over valley

21:39 21/05 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Elmsett 17:58 male flew south-west

17:43 20/05 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Weir Wood Reservoir one flew west

10:44 20/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Holt 10:42 one flew south-east over north end

09:02 20/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent Wickhambreaux 07:45 one flew south towards Ickham

17:07 19/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent Walmer 17:02 one flew north

16:10 18/05 European Honey Buzzard Carmarthen Llyn Llech Owain CP 11:50 one flew north-east over car park


May 22nd: maximum 15C, minimum 10C, moderate SW breeze, bright intervals, mostly cloudy and humid, dry. Made good progress on Crete report, adding 1s Long-legged Buzzard piccies, over 20, from 16/4 and updating account; also added piccies for Griffon Vulture and Woodchat Shrike, and added the resident raptors to the account; next step is to go through all the piccies, looking for useful ones to add to the account. Today went shopping in HEX at Yorkshire store, buying 2 short-sleeved shirts for £20 and a flexible belt for £6; made N4c4ll where H on for cheerful chat. Then to Sele and Elvaston from 14:20-16:40, getting 2 Oystercatcher in Elvaston, 14 Swift mostly displaying and a Common Buzzard up to N briefly at 16:26. Was really looking for kite and had a Black Kite over a wood to NE of Hexham at 16:12, gliding at moderate height before coming down in the trees; did suspect the birds found late last season might have been breeding locally; the Tyne seems to be a magnet for the birds, who like riverine systems on the continent. Total for bird-types was 21. Updated the Festival to change title and include links to previous festivals: latter will take a week to fully register with the search engines. Out to G4g4s with D/B/R for gr8 chat; very busy with many out from afternoon’s football finale. Congrats to Newcastle for such a strong revival in the Premier League, to Sunderland for promotion to the Championship and to Gateshead and York for promotion to National League, where they will meet the mighty Torquay next year! 2moro it’s final short? session on ears at CB at 10:00, R 4 lunch and G4g4s with maybe a walk out somewhere. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 21st: maximum 13C, minimum 11C, moderate SW breeze, bright morning and sunny ttime, cloudy midday. Saw the pair of local Honey-buzzard at 15:00, with female low-down above the trees and male doing butterfly display at very high altitude, going out of sight. Also had 2 Pied Wagtail and 2 Tree Sparrow on bare field. Lots of work done on desktop today, sorting Festival 2023 and writing Crete 2022 reports on raptors; not finished latter, need to compile Long-legged buzzard piccies and account for 16/4. Did masses of mowing, most of large back area has now had 1 mow this season, working around the flowers like cowslip and cuckoo flower. Had good chat with son; we’re going to Sage for Prom on 23/7, booked seats on side of level 1 today at 39.50 each. Might make a London prom and fit in a visit to family. Had gr8 visit to DoW with D/D for g and chat! DH reported a Red Kite over his house last Thursday 19/5 at Ovington. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 20th: maximum 14C, minimum 9C, moderate SW breeze, bright morning, cloudy later with a little rain. Lit fire in evening, first time in a while; house was a little cool and damp after excellent cleaning by S. Made Wylam Horsley for Honey-buzzard habitat survey in Tyne Valley E no.5, overall no.23 from 15:00-17:30. Not very good weather for raptors and none seen. Had 8 Swift, a brood of 11 tiny Mallard ducklings on Tyne, a Cormorant adult, 15 Herring Gull (10 ad, 1 2s, 4 1s). 2 LBBG (ad, 1s), 2 Chiffchaff, 2 Sand Martin, 17 bird-types in all. Called in W of Bywell on way home from 17:45-18:25, catching a Black Kite gliding down into trees by the Tyne; have a good idea now where the nest is in the new site; big question is old site occupied as well? Much earlier had a male Honey-buzzard up displaying at the home site at 11:40, mobbed by 2 angry Crow and later had a Grey Wagtail displaying at West Dipton at 18:40. Funds finished a turbulent week for markets at +20k, +318k ytd gross (+18.0%), +280k ytd net with, all ytd, ftse 100 +0.1%, ftse 250 -15.5%, dow -14.0%, nasdaq tech -27.4%, bitcoin -36.9%. Natural resource stocks are proving resilient; quite a few are on yields over 11%, even major well-established companies. Have donated £500 to RNS as partner, £50 to Opera North Wagner fund and £50 to Royal Opera House Wagner fund, Wagner must cost a bit! Talked to N on Skype, mainly on music and politics, from 10:00-11:30 and will talk to son on FB video tomorrow afternoon. Not out tonite. Most stimulating day in other respects: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 19th: maximum 16C, minimum 9C, light SW breeze, sunny, very clear evening. Still in shorts, making vitamin D! Met M at T4m4l and A/P/R at G4g4s for good chats!! Looking forward, booked 2 nites on OR for Thursday-Saturday next week at BW NKH!! Made Stocksfield Mount from 14:30-16:45 in glorious weather. Had 4 Common Buzzard (3 at Cottagebank at 15:36,, 15:59 and 16:02-16:15), 1 over the Mount (twice at 14:51 1 and 15:55)), 2 Kestrel (male at Cottagebank at 15:10, unsexed at Stocksfield E at 15:20), 2 Honey-buzzard (at Cottagebank (12008), female up briefly at 14:56 1 and male up regularly 2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11, indeed quite conspicuous from 15:36-15:37 and 15:52-15:59), 1 Red Kite (up over Stocksfield E, mobbed by Crow at 15:26), 2 Black Kite (singles at Cottagebank (moving W low-down at 16:08 over last year's site 1) and Styford E (in territory at 16:09 1)). So no new Honey-buzzard but either Black Kite site appears to have moved W to Styford E or we have an extra site. 2moro afternoon it’s trip to Wylam for habitat and check on occupation at Horsley Wood. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Will dream of you: lok2tgrf: xxx XXXXXX!!!!!!

May 18th: maximum 17C, minimum 9C, light SW breeze, sunny in daytime, some rain later. Into shorts today for first time since Crete! Completed analysing habitat for Honey-buzzard at Hyons Wood, that’s no.4 in Tyne Valley E and no.22 overall. Added Hyons Wood data to BirdTrack. Next up is Wylam Horsley in Tyne Valley E; might combine that with a quick look at Bywell to see how the kites are doing! Had a recce over the local site at lunchtime from 13:00-13:30 and picked up the male Honey-buzzard hunting c2km to E of site, floating over mixed woodland, maybe on the look-out for food (frogs, bird eggs and small young), bit early for wasp nests to be any size. Had leisurely afternoon with late lunch at QHC (tuna), ttime at Nero (pain de raisins) and then G4g4t (Guinness!) with Bill and mates up to 18:00. Latest fascination in music is Prokofiev’s film score for Alexander Nevsky https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ycw7jGqU2_4 (you needn’t listen to it all but there’s some spirited singing!). Prokofiev is a famous Ukrainian, born in Donetsk: the airport there is named after him: Donetsk Sergei Prokofiev International Airport, destroyed by the Russians in 2014 in their 1st invasion. Very pleased to hear from someone: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Amused at Elon Musk’s Tesla being removed from the SP500 ESG index https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/05/18/elon-musk-lashes-tesla-gets-boot-ethical-index/; it’s very hard being woke, even if you make pollution-reducing electric vehicles. Imagine his move to take over Twitter has annoyed the lefties. ESG has got to go: it’s creating inflation and reducing security by interfering with the flow of capital to areas that need investment, such as oil, gas and defence.

May 17th: maximum 19C, minimum 8C, light SW breeze becoming SE, sunny until ttime, then showery rain in evening. Mowed grass by neighbour’s house; no-mow May is popular but this area has no flowers and strategically cannot let it all become a jungle by early June; this is 3rd area to mow; cowslips of course just flower on; they’ve looked great this year along with the bluebells, primroses and snowdrops; none of these areas have been cut at all yet. Added records to BirdTrack from Prudhoe, including the kites! Added piccies for Honey-buzzard and Dingy Skipper below for 14/5. Will add all records, including butterflies, for Hyons Wood to BirdTrack tomorrow, when will work at home in morning with late lunch at QHC, N4c4t, G4g4t, for relaxing afternoon. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! 2 Black Kite records on BirdGuides, presumably referring to the same bird, in SW Ireland:

11:59 17/05 Black Kite Kerry Skellig Islands flew north-east towards mainland

10:51 17/05 Black Kite Kerry Skellig Islands one on Skellig Michael


plus 5 Honey-buzzard, including a pair in 4 records from the North Yorkshire site.

21:01 17/05 European Honey Buzzard Alderney Alderney 13:20 one over Mannez Quarry

20:43 17/05 European Honey Buzzard Nottinghamshire Welbeck watchpoint 10:40 male again before drifting east

17:45 17/05 European Honey Buzzard West Midlands Dudley 17:32 dark morph flew west over Lower Gornal early evening

16:46 17/05 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Wykeham Forest 16:30 male still from raptor viewpoint

15:41 17/05 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Wykeham Forest 15:30 male still from raptor viewpoint

11:06 17/05 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Wykeham Forest 10:58 female from raptor viewpoint

10:42 17/05 European Honey Buzzard North Yorkshire Wykeham Forest 10:00 pale morph male from raptor viewpoint


Did some very rewarding fieldwork today. Out to Sinderhope in East Allen to complete survey of Black Kite sites, from 12:40-14:55 in the sunny weather. Last year there was a Black Kite male x Red Kite female here and it appears to be the same this year with the male over the hill to NE twice, very energetically floating around at 13:07 and 13:34 1  2  3, before being seen in a food swap with the female Red Kite close to nest site at 13:50, a blur of black and red, before being seen, sneaking away from nest to NW on another feeding expedition at 13:55. So presumably the same pair as last year and that means we have 4 Black Kite seen to date (single at Bywell, 2 at Prudhoe, 1 at Sinderhope), same as last year but expect Bywell to be fully occupied now and maybe some additional sites will be occupied as well. Note: Subsequently only Black Kite were seen in the site and the feeling at the end of the season was that a pure Black Kite pair had bred. Black Kite can appear reddish--brown close-up. Also had a pair of Common Buzzard in low-level display to NE at 12:55, a female Kestrel hunting over fields to S at 13:00 and a female Honey-buzzard, rearing up quickly at 13:30 from nest site to N 1 (12007), before coming down again almost as quickly (looking for mate!). Waders comprised 5 Curlew, 5 Lapwing, 4 Oystercatcher, with 2 Raven flying low-down N to NE at 13:33, 2 Stock Dove, 1 Meadow Pipit, 1 Skylark, also seen, in total of 25 bird-types. Butterflies included 8 Green-veined White, 2 Orange-tip, 2 Small Tortoiseshell, 1 Small White, with some mole and 3 rabbit.

Funds have rapidly bounced back +16k wtd on first signs of revival in China; last 2 week’s falls gave an opportunity to load up on net-zero mining and oil exploration stocks. Further attack on ESG: Ethical investors have weakened the West’s defences: Matthew Lynn 2 March 2022, Spectator https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/ethical-investors-have-weakened-the-west-s-defences

It won't be the first, or indeed the most serious, casualty of the war in Ukraine. It probably won't be the second, third or even fourth. Even so when the final reckoning of the Russian onslaught is tallied up, there can be no question that the ESG – environmental, social and governance – will be on the list. Why? Because its self-righteous concentration on progressive causes like race and gender, and crucially its wishy-washy pacifism, have undermined the West's ability to defend itself.

Rewind just a few weeks and much of the City was obsessing over ESG issues. Fund managers were harassing the oil companies to stop developing domestic supplies of gas, even though our failure to do so has increased our dependence on Russia. And critically, they were demonising defence companies on the basis that making weapons was immoral or wrong. Many companies had slowly started winding down their defence units. It was not worth the hassle of trying to justify them to woke fund managers, nor was it worth the damage done to the share price.

I used to be a green but have very much abandoned them for reasons such as the above. Indeed I think the greens are Putin’s useful idiots! Also on any rational basis, how can the greens campaign so hard for the industrialisation of our remaining wild spaces (with wind and solar installations), holding the last refuges of our wildlife? The green movement has been taken over by Marxists, who have no interest in biodiversity.

May 16th: maximum 14C, minimum 9C, light E breeze, steady rain all day, clearing ttime, heavy rain at pubtime. 4 Black Kite today on BirdGuides, 3 in Kent, 1 in Argyll, Scotland:

17:49 16/05 Black Kite Argyll Dervaig, Mull l17:15 one over estuary then flew high north

and one Honey-buzzard:

20:39 16/05 European Honey Buzzard Lincolnshire Fulbeck 20:25 one flew north

Here's Black Kite piccies from Prudhoe 10/5 in display: second adult 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  and first adult 9  10  11  12  13  14  15 (pair)  16  17  18  19  20  plus pair with male Honey-buzzard (12004) 21 . Here’s habitat Jesmond (12005) 1. Here’s pair of Honey-buzzard just above the canopy on 5/5 at Bywell 1  (12003). Massive catch-up on bird records today, still to add 10/5 and 14/5 to BirdTrack and to add piccies to submissions. Made R at B4m4s where young employee of the year, a competition revived, last time it was held in 2017 under my direction; good to see young people rewarded with prize money up to £500 for 1st prize. First three were all lasses! Later made G4g4s with P 4 good chat with K on!! xxxxxx XXX!!!!!! Good news from BlackRock:

BlackRock ditches green activism over Russia energy fears: Fund titan says investing in traditional energy sources is now required to boost security.

BlackRock has warned it will vote against most shareholder green activism this year for being too extreme, in a significant u-turn by the world’s biggest money manager. The company said it was concerned about proposals to stop financing fossil fuel companies, including forcing them to decommission assets and setting absolute targets for reducing emissions in their supply chains. It comes as BlackRock said Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has impacted the transition to net-zero, adding that short-term investment [unrealistic, companies will want medium-term!] in traditional energy sources is now required to boost security. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/05/11/blackrock-ditches-green-activism-russia-energy-fears/

May 15th: maximum 15C, minimum 9C, light SE breeze, mainly cloudy, still milder. Made S in afternoon to see Lars Vogt in solo performance on piano with highlight Beethoven’s Hammerklavier sonata, a massive and complex work with devilish slow passages. Was brilliantly played and he got a thoroughly deserved standing ovation. He looked a bit fitter than on Friday so maybe he’s relishing the occasion. Train home at 17:55 was cancelled but just caught 17:58 10B bus outside station, which was running a few minutes late. In full daylight the bus is not so bad, passing slowly through much raptor country, finally picking up a female Honey-buzzard over Farnley ridge at 19:00, mobbed by 2 Crow; she kept gliding over her territory. That’s 7 birds (4 male, 3 female) at 5 sites now. Later made G4g4s where met A and D, latter a former computing science student at UNN, doing his course c2012 just after I’d retired. He’s got a good job with SAP, massive German software solution provider.

May 14th: maximum 16C, minimum 7C, light W breeze, sunny all day, beautiful spring day. Left OH at 10:00 in fine fettle after another good breakfast; like the area, nice atmosphere! Straight back on 10:55 train and out again in afternoon to Hyons Wood, near Prudhoe, for Honey-buzzard habitat survey and general wildlife census in perfect conditions from 14:05-16:30. The wood has been partitioned with the S area now declared private, which, whatever its legal basis, will be good for wildlife. First thing to note was the complete absence of Willow Warbler, when 40 years ago, they were so common here as to be almost uncountable. Did have some warblers: 2 Whitethroat (plus 1 at Shilford on way there), 2 Garden Warbler, 1 Chiffchaff. Raptors comprised a male Goshawk out hunting over S area of wood at 14:34, moving powerfully W, and a male Honey-buzzard, up very high soaring over ridge to S of Hyons Wood, at 14:20 and 14:40 for 20 minutes in total 1 (12006), mobbed by 2 Jackdaw; angry Crow in wood itself at NW end at 15:40 may indicate return to this area. Bird-type total was 22. On way back at 16:40 had a male Sparrowhawk, soaring over Stocksfield Guessburn, a favoured area. Butterflies were brilliant with 8 types: Orange-tip 13 (10 male, 3 female), Green-veined White 6, Small White 6, Small Tortoiseshell 4, Speckled Wood 6, Large White 2, Peacock 1, Dingy Skipper 14 (piccies 1  2  3 , old flat spoil heap at entrance to Wood from NW). Habitat survey was very easy with one large wood, full of birch and oak, an arable block and the rest pasture. Made DoW4g4s with D/D 4 gr8 chat! Had 2 Tawny Owl calling at Ordley on return at 23:00. Funds had a bad week as investors lost confidence in natural resource stocks as fears of recession grow. Own funds -26k on week, +297k ytd gross (+16.9%), +262k ytd net, compared with, all ytd, ftse 100 +0.5%, ftse 250 -15.2%, dow -11.4%, nasdaq tech -24.5%, bitcoin -36.2%. Expecting a tense 2 months, giving an opportunity to buy good stock cheaply with a better second half as war is given up by Russia and investors get used to commodity inflation; should point out that if oil prices stay the same, although regarded as high, they will not push inflation higher after 12 months have elapsed; plenty of potential in the energy sector IMHO with such recent underinvestment and misguided net zero dogma. Should catch up further 2moro: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

4 more Black Kite on BirdGuides from 12/5-14/5, at Cornwall, Kent, Norfolk, Suffolk. 14 Honey-buzzard on BirdGuides from 12/5-14/5 with strong arrival in Norfolk on 13/5 (don't tell me this is just one bird!).

11:09 14/05 European Honey Buzzard Nottinghamshire Welbeck watchpoint 11:07 one again

11:00 14/05 European Honey Buzzard Dorset St Aldhelm's Head 10:52 one flew in-off the sea

09:00 14/05 European Honey Buzzard Nottinghamshire Bilsthorpe 08:45 one flew north-west

12:31 13/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Stiffkey 12:28 one flew west over saltmarsh

11:55 13/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Blakeney 11:46 one flew west then turned south-west over Langham

11:26 13/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Walsey Hills NOA 11:24 one drifting west

11:23 13/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Kelling 11:14 one flew over

11:16 13/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Sheringham 10:48 one flew west

11:15 13/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Weybourne 11:05 one flew west over coastguard cottages

10:54 13/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk West Runton one flew over ridge towards coast

10:26 13/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Stockton 17:10 12/05 one flew low over the A146 between Loddon and Beccles late afternoon yesterday

10:11 13/05 European Honey Buzzard Borders undisclosed site one flew north in Southern Borders this morning

18:47 12/05 European Honey Buzzard Lincolnshire Thurlby Fen 18:37 male flew low NNW over Long Drove then lost to view behind trees

18:25 12/05 European Honey Buzzard Lincolnshire Baston & Langtoft Pits 18:25 one flew low north towards Bourne birds


May 13th: maximum 14C, minimum 5C, moderate SW breeze, sunny spells, fresh. Very good day. After hearty freshly-cooked breakfast at OH, walked down Jesmond Dene alongside the Ouse from 11:30-13:40 to Quayside. Had 20 bird types, including a pair of Mute Swan with 7 cygnets, a female Mallard with 7 tiny ducklings (plus 13 more adults), 3 Grey Wagtail (pair and single), 2 Moorhen, 3 Bullfinch, 4 Chiffchaff, 28 Blackbird (very common), 5 Chaffinch, 3 Song Thrush, 5 Wren (young emerging from hole in wall). Here’s piccies of Mute Swan brood  Mallard brood. It’s a really good city walk – undisturbed and plenty of woodland and understorey. In Germany and Belgium would certainly expect Hobby here and even Honey-buzzard. Here’s habitat Jesmond (12005) 1. At Baltic had 170 Kittiwake to add to 885 seen in area earlier in month, giving 1055 total. So arrived in plenty of time for rehearsal where had meeting with partners and introduction to 2022-2023 season, which has 21 classical concerts as its foundation with the Lindisfarne Gospels the background so some early-themed and some English music. It’s all top secret but did let CA have a quick look, so it may have spread a little!! She’s playing in Ibert’s flute concerto in October. I trust the orchestra isn’t run on the mushroom model!! Had t with some other partners, then into concert which went off brilliantly. LV had a gr8 reception to quite a full audience, conducting the whole concert and soloist in Mozart PC 21; he looked a bit tired and indeed V pushed into q to get him some urgent sugary drink (coke) plus ketchup so he could have a rest before the actual performance. The programme was executed brilliantly with the PC very popular and followed by an encore, a Brahms sonata, with M and LV. M’s staring in Beethoven VC next season. The symphony was Dvořák 6, not so well known but with a really vibrant mv 3 and a lively mv 4, requiring some tricky rhythm changes, mastered superbly on the nite! So had a couple at the S and then caught M, back to comfy hotel!! Music and birdsong sounded gr8 with new ears! Catching up … xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 12th: maximum 13C, minimum 6C, moderate SW breeze, sunny spells, fresh. Had 2 Common Tern at Blaydon on way in, with a drake Goosander at Ovingham, plus 3 Swift and 4 Oystercatcher at Hexham. Continued indulgent streak with T4m4l with M/B for good chat, OH for 2 nites (£90 total including breakfast) with nice meal at adjacent A: chicken piccante with rw (£32 with tip); popped in later to L4rw4s where pleased to say back to normal, lively bar after its disastrous bureaucracy in the Covid-era. All appears still in delicate recovery mode. Have short chat with D/N 2moro morning and walk through the Dene along the Ouse to the Cluny where lunch b4 rehearsal and performance of RNS with LV. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 11th: maximum 13C, minimum 6C, moderate W breeze, sunny spells, fresh. In the morning, completed compilation of habitat data for Honey-buzzard site Wylam E, no.3 for Tyne Valley E and no.21 in total. Next up is Hyons Wood in Tyne Valley E. Am working on Black Kite and Honey-buzzard piccies. In the afternoon took it easy with QHC4s4l, N4c4t and G4g4t with B for gr8 chat.

2 Black Kite today nationally on BirdGuides, including one in the Scottish Borders. Since I’ve had migrants in study area, suspect there’s some colonisation in Scotland as well.

11:21 11/05 Black Kite Borders Saughtree 10/05 one reported near Saughtree Farm yesterday afternoon

3 Honey-buzzard today nationally:

17:40 11/05 European Honey Buzzard Suffolk Snape one flew over Snape Warren this afternoon

11:25 11/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent Cliftonville 10:59 one flew west

11:25 11/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent North Foreland one flew over


In the evening, reflected on a message from D on my new Lenovo laptop, saying there was a security scare and might not be able to migrate to Windows 11. That explains why I had an emergency update from Lenovo, while on the train to London, on Saturday morning. It's anti-social installing an update on the train but it wouldn't let me postpone it so went ahead and it tied up the computer and network for 20 min. I had fortunately registered with Lenovo Vantage, which keeps an eye on your machine. I updated to Windows 11 this evening, taking about an hour including download as well as installation. I think the Windows 10 I had was Windows 11 ready (or that was how it was advertised). Microsoft Office now works as well as LibreOffice. I don’t see anything to dislike here: a £100 discount for installing Windows 11 yourself is a gift! Another wee break coming up!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 10th: maximum 13C, minimum 9C, moderate W breeze, sunny spells, fresh. Further thoughts on talk: new Lenovo laptop performed beautifully, connecting straight through to data projector with windows-key+P (gives duplicate display on laptop and projector), JD was amazed, normally takes some fiddling. Here are the slides as pdf. Today on BirdGuides, a Black Kite in Cornwall and a Honey-buzzard in Norfolk:

14:39 10/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk Kelling Heath 14:35 one then flew west

Ears are still improving, adapting to new noisy world, turned down tv a couple more notches. Picking up lots of bird song again but taking me a little longer to recognise the type as out of practice; think range is OK, hearing some high-pitched calls so should be able to hear high strings and the overtones from the woodwind! It’s disgraceful this treatment is no longer on NHS: poor hearing can lead to isolation and dementia. Had great day out in Prudhoe from 11:40-14:00, even though pretty fresh weather-wise. This was the site which had a mixed pairing Red Kite x Black Kite in previous 2 years. Today had lengthy display of 2 Black Kite from 12:46-13:20 with no Red Kite in sight so this is the 2nd breeding attempt in the study area of a pure pair of Black Kite. In the fresh breeze the Black Kite performed well: they are more buoyant and stronger fliers than Red Kite. Got some piccies, one of which shows a male Honey-buzzard, menacing one of the pair of Black Kite as they get close to a mid-air mating! Also had a Common Buzzard up twice, obviously annoyed at the intrusion of the kites. So that’s a brilliant development, solidifying the Black Kite colonisation. Other birds included 3 singing Blackcap, 2 singing Garden Warbler, a Green Woodpecker in flight, 3 Skylark (2 singing), 1 Meadow Pipit, 1 Mistle Thrush (carrying food), 1 Swift W (good to hear the warblers and lark again!). Total was 23 bird-types, probably benefiting from hearing improvement. Butterflies were good in sheltered areas with 5 types: 9 Speckled Wood, 5 Green-veined White, 3 Peacock, 2 Small White, 1 Small Tortoiseshell. In Hexham had a Swift, looking in territory, at 15:30 while visiting N4c4ll. Alcohol free day but back in G4g4t 2moro with B after QHC4s4l. Spent most of evening inputting bird records from 1/5 to today with just the Prudhoe records and Durham Honey-buzzard left to add now plus compile habitat for Wylam E. Funds had a torrid day on Monday, losing 20k in market melt-down, stable today. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Here's Black Kite piccies from Prudhoe 10/5 in display: second adult 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  and first adult 9  10  11  12  13  14  15 (pair)  16  17  18  19  20  plus pair with male Honey-buzzard (12004) 21 .

May 9th: maximum 16C, minimum 10C, moderate SW breeze, mostly cloudy, much fresher. On BirdGuides three more records of Black Kite in Kent, Cornwall and Derbyshire (last moving NW) bringing total for year to 81. Three more Honey-buzzard records on BirdGuides below. Weather is very poor in Spain evidently.

15:40 09/05 European Honey Buzzard Pembrokeshire Marloes 11:30 one flew north [another for Ireland?]

16:40 08/05 European Honey Buzzard Kent Teynham 16:38 one circling over village

16:08 07/05 European Honey Buzzard Norfolk South Wootton 15:00 one flew north


Had air-pressure suction removal of ear wax at CB Audio from 10:00-11:10; doesn’t hurt but quite long lying on a couch with the noise in your ears. Both ears done in turn, rh1 is 90% completed, lh1 80%; knew lh ear was the worst affected; need to self-administer olive oil drops every other day in both ears up to final appointment in 2 weeks. Change is fantastic, even during the process could find hearing improving; so have turned down all tv and radios and hearing is back to level of perhaps 10 years ago; world is a bit clicky – takes 2 weeks for the brain and ears to come to a new balance; conversation is much improved and can hear bird calls and song much better; not paid the £80 yet but great value! Not planning on hearing aid now. Gave 30-min talk to Hexham R on Logic and Love from 13:30-14:00 – all went well – a little over the head of some but others were very appreciative at being given an insight into the world of logic. I think the audience were grateful that emotions are proving much more difficult to handle on the machine! Will put up slides tomorrow. Chatted to son on FB Video from 17:00-18:00; he’s doing well, at concert on Sunday at Barbican of Sibelius 2. Made W4bigshop £46. BA have finally refunded my cancelled flight from Gibraltar to NCL last September, £97. May reconsider booking with them again. Finally made G4g4s with A/P 4 good chat! Rest 2moro!! More action in 3. Looking forward to sleep!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 8th: maximum 16C, minimum 8C, light S breeze, sunny periods, warmer. Good breakfast at 1er with scrambled egg, beans, bacon, Weetabix, coffee; able to spin it out for an hour admiring all the young Americans staying here. There were many Americans at ROH yesterday: indeed on my left I was sitting next to two who exclaimed how Wagner would have been so good at film music. Here’s the rousing prelude to Act 3 with Daniel Barenboim and the West–Eastern Divan Orchestra at the BBC Proms https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tRQCnnxfeO0 with the Bridal Chorus following straight on as Act 3 Scene 1 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8J7Jhx93s9w. Train back was 21 min late into NCL at 15:51 dumping me from coach A at far end of platform 3 with long walk to Platform 7 for NCL-HEX which made with 20 sec to spare; next train 60 min. So back to HEX where made garage for record £66 fill-up and Co-op for late night shopping £11. Later made G4g4s where good chat with D/B/P. 2moro it’s ear-wax treatment at 10 and I’m talking to Rotary after lunch on Logic and Love!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!!

May 7th: maximum 17C, minimum 9C, light W breeze, sunny, warmer down here. Had a Honey-buzzard flying W purposefully, S of Durham City, at 10:20; also had 10 Canada Goose (5 pairs), 4 Mute Swan adult (1 sitting), a Coot at Merryshields at 09:15; a Common Tern was flying E low-down at Blaydon a little later. Did make the big city, popping into 1er Inn, KGX, to leave my bag whilst went to the show! The big show in town was Wagner’s Lohengrin, first performed 1850 in Weimar while Wagner was in exile, at the ROH, Covent Garden, billed as a matinee and indeed starting at 15:00, but going well into the evening, exiting their doors at 19:53. This was the 5th of 7 performances scheduled this spring so Lohengrin is a major feature of the current arts scene in London. Lohengrin is son of Parsifal, of Holy Grail ilk, so this is really a precursor to Parsifal, which seeing twice in June in Leeds and Gateshead, so what could be more natural than starting with this. Both Lohengrin and Parsifal are kind of religious but are often viewed as pagan rather than Christian. Because of the number of extras required as chorus and army, Lohengrin has been popular with amateur opera companies and this may not have shown it in its true glory. This was a fantastic performance with top talent, including conductor Jakub Hrůša, Lohengrin - Brandon Jovanovich, Elsa - Jennifer Davis, Ortud - Anna Smirnova, Friedrich von Telramund - Craig Colclough. The story is set in Brabant, Belgium, in mediaeval times with Lohengrin sent down by the Grail to help defend Germany from the invading hordes from the east (Hungary!). Lohengrin intervenes to save Elsa who’s accused by Friedrich and Ortud of murdering her brother Gottlieb. Act 3 is all set up for a triumphant marriage of Lohengrin and Elsa with a large double bed centre-stage, a rousing overture and a bridal chorus, the well-known Here Comes the Bride. But Elsa insists on knowing Lohengrin’s name and lineage, against his earlier conditions for the marriage, and Lohengrin says he must now leave (in his ship in the shape of a wild swan). Elsa is of course not unreasonably using intuitionistic logic to test the situation and cannot make all the connections! However, all is not lost as the swan turns out to be Elsa’s missing brother even though Lohengrin does return to the Grail, bit like Dr Who! The opera house was completely packed with very enthusiastic opera fans; did try out their prices, glass of red wine £7, glass of red wine + beef sandwiches £19.50! Pretty shattered at end, back to KGX to check-in and out for mixed grill at Block Restaurant in York Way, with a few pints of lager to rehydrate. So some consolation for original plans. Hope still recovering: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!!

May 6th: maximum 13C, minimum 7C, light W breeze, some brief sunny spells, light rain most of main daytime. Seven records of Black Kite nationally in May to date: 3 in Kent, 2 in Suffolk, 1 in Hampshire, 1 in Glamorgan. Just one Honey-buzzard in May nationally so far on BirdGuides:

15:45 04/05 European Honey Buzzard Surrey Tice's Meadow 15:39 one flew east

Did quick visit to Letah Wood from 10:50-12:10, seeing a Red Kite briefly over area E of Racecourse at 11:00 but no other raptors, including Honey-buzzard; rain was spreading in so not ideal conditions. Swallow are becoming commoner and Starling are busy carrying food to their broods. Total was 15 bird-types. Made T4m4l with M and DoW with D/D: both very enjoyable! On way back from DoW at 22:45 had at Ordley a Barn Ow and a Hare, plus a Badger at Letah Wood. Funds suffered along with general market malaise, losing early gain to finish unchanged on week but still +323k ytd while many indices and bitcoin are now down 12-22% ytd. But Falklands oilies were still well up on the week with some profits taken! Expecting volatility to continue! Gr8 glow: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! 2moro it’s 08:57 HEX-KGX and 15:00 Lohengrin @ ROH with stay at 1er Inn KGX!! XX

May 5th: maximum 14C, minimum 10C, light W breeze, some brief sunny spells and feeling humid, mild. First Swift through today with 5 at Bywell this afternoon, which visited from 13:50-16:05. Lovely to see them back again as such a clear sign of high summer. Many insects around at Stocksfield Mount, particularly St Mark’s Flies. Raptors were good, although conditions were far from perfect with heavy atmosphere. At Bywell Cottagebank a pair of Honey-buzzard were up in brief display at 14:02 with both birds again seen at 15:03, just above the canopy 1 (12003). At 14:13 a female Honey-buzzard was spotted over the Stocksfield E ridge, moving SW, but probably aiming to eventually move W. 3 Common Buzzard displayed over Bywell Cottagebank at 15:32 and singles displayed over Bywell Castle at 13:59 and 15:40. Single Red Kite were up briefly over Bywell Cottagebank at 15:30 and Short Wood also at 15:30. Bird of the day was a Black Kite in Styford E area, quite low-down over the Tyne moving E towards Bywell Castle at 14:30. So that’s 11 raptors of 4 types: 5 Common Buzzard, 3 Honey-buzzard, 2 Red Kite, 1 Black Kite. Made T4m4l and G4g4s, latter with A/P and new lass S on; gave lift to P as he’d lent his car to his son. 2moro it’s cleaner S early at 11, T4m4l with M, DoW4g4s with D/D. Chatting to son next Monday on video; he’s just remortgaged – good timing! Markets are very troubled but sticking with natural resources in time of inflation, even though likely to be volatile; still comfortably up on week but who knows how the week will end; intensely dislike idea of windfall tax on oil/gas in UK – populist but economically illiterate if we’re to increase our energy security. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Bye beautiful: lok2tgrf xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 4th: maximum 13C, minimum 7C, light NW breeze, some sunny spells but further showers in afternoon, milder. Cut grass at front and a long patch along soak-away in back; mower did well; had put it away fully oiled and oiled it again last week to avoid start-up trouble after lay-off, good exercise! Made QHC4s4l (tuna) but missed out on ttime at G as preoccupied with the gardening. Completed talk for R next Monday (33 slides); so pleased that am having ears done before the talk as hopefully can hear comments and questions better; talk is a mixture of serious logic points and piccies of the conference and local historical sites plus a clip of some Cretan music and 2 birds: a Woodchat Shrike and a Griffon Vulture. Hope someone is feeling better: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 3rd: maximum 10C, minimum 8C, light SE breeze, gloomy, drizzle all afternoon, cool. Here’s some scenery from Crete: conference venue (Orthodox Academy), alongside Gonia Odigitria Monastery, on edge of town Kolymvari at base of Rodopos Peninsula (map), with stunning views over Lefka Ori mountains, covered in snow, highest point Pachnes 2453m asl. Made N4c4t where pleased to see S/A on. Otherwise not out, spent lots of time on talk to R, which involves sorting out some of my material. Very sad news from London for everyone concerned but understand completely: have taken recovery action as had set my heart on visit: booked outward train 2 hours earlier and will see Wagner’s Lohengrin at the Royal Opera House (£91 in the amphitheatre, not many seats left) as poor consolation. Funds +24k today on looming Falklands oil/gas boom. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 2nd: maximum 12C, minimum 6C, light NW breeze, cloudy all day, cool. Made Vienna Chamber Music Trail (in Newcastle), involving 3 concerts by RNS at 12, 2 and 4 at 3 churches: St Andrews, St John the Baptist, All Saints Presbyterian. Was really impressed by the last venue, the tall church overlooking the Quayside with a tiered auditorium and good acoustics. Had a look around the graveyard, a marvellous green enclave in the built-up environment – must be a lot of history here. The church was built 1788-1796 on a grand design with beautiful cut stone and a prominent tower. Some of the headstones have fallen over and are illegible as engravings were on soft sandstone. But they can be read now with X-ray techniques and I bet some of the great merchants of Newcastle and their families worshipped and were buried here as, like my family, many traders were non-conformist. Gather, chatting to MG, that the RNS are looking into a few more concerts here. Enjoyed the whole day, walked 12km so pretty energetic and made VicCmt4g4tg for a quickie for recovery. Music was marvellous – Beethoven, Mozart, Boulogne, Schubert, Dohnanyi, Doderer, Brahms, Strauss (arr. Schoenberg), all for small groups up to 6 and Alasdair Beatson, starring on the piano. Particularly liked Dohnanyi’s Sextet in C major, Beethoven’s Quintet for piano and winds and Schubert’s Quartettsatz in C minor. Good to have V overseeing everything after her singing yesterday! Much later made G4g4s 4 gr8 chat with P/D/B. Am sorting out piccies from Crete for talk to R and will publish some here in the next few days, showing the conference venue, our gatherings and some scenery. Laptop start-up is done, decided not to bother with pdf suite as already have free pdf reader in Edge. But have installed ftprush as need to transfer files to servers while away. Battery life appears reasonable so will take to London on trip coming up shortly; it’s significantly lighter than my Acer laptop; think it’s more like a £300 laptop than a £200 one, so grateful for discount! Old laptop is 5 years old and is a little dated in weight (2kg against 1.41kg for new one), low disk space (53GB against 128GB on new one), and software (both Windows 10 but growing inconsistencies in the Acer with the environment as a whole). Did note birds in City and did a short walk along Quayside for old time’s sake (!!), getting 8 bird-types in all: 885 Kittiwake adult (didn’t count Baltic or upstream from HLB), 296 Feral Pigeon, 20 Herring Gull (18 ad, 1 2s, 1 1s), 10 LBBG ad, 2 Woodpigeon, 2 Collared Dove, 1 Crow, 1 Greenfinch. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

May 1st: maximum 13C, minimum 8C, light W breeze, heavy cloud most of day but some brighter spells, mild. Had Honey-buzzard no.3 for the season, a female in flap-flap-glide display over the area N of Bywell at 12:00 at moderate height. Made Wylam from 12:15-14:10 for Honey-buzzard habitat survey (no.3 for Tyne Valley E, no.21 for study area) which completed. No more raptors were seen but did have 2 Swallow, a Blackcap, a Whitethroat, 2 Chiffchaff, a pair of Goosander, a Cormorant adult , 12 Blackbird, 3 Tree Sparrow, with 22 bird-types in all plus 4 Orange-tip male butterflies. Caught train 14:07 from WYM-NCL and metro NCL-GHD, making S with 10 min to spare. What a fantastic concert – love singing so to have the massed choruses of Hertfordshire and Newcastle was fantastic, along with the Orchestra North East, who have a mission to tackle large-scale works. Codebreaker by James McCarthy (born 1979, Essex) was brilliant, a close-up look at the life of computing pioneer Alan Turing highlighting 3 spells in his life: his love affair with Morcom, a fellow scholar who died of TB at school; his pioneering work on the Bombe breaking the German Enigma codes used between their boats, particularly submarines, and shortening the war through the allies winning the battle of the Atlantic; his death apparently by suicide in 1952, two years after he’d been chemically castrated for admitting a homosexual liaison. The music was throbbing in places, reminding me of John Adams, though of course the end was subdued. The composer was present and had deserved enthusiastic applause. The whole performance was very warmly received. Alan Turing deserves every accolade, not just for the Bombe, but for his development of the first programmable computer machines. The creation of the universal Turing machine is one of the key landmarks of the last century. In part 2 we had A Sea Symphony by Vaughan Williams with 2 soloists and the large chorus. This was also inspiring, just for the sheer power and contrasts. Intrigued that BC was leader, particularly as thought he was not so keen on large-scale works for RNS. He’s soloist in Beethoven’s violin concerto in Durham with Orchestra North East on 9/10 http://www.orchestranortheast.org.uk/. So busy day, not out to G later as no mates out, saving energy for church tour 2moro. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 30th: maximum 15C, minimum 8C, light SW breeze, sunny morning, then increasing cloud and rain by ttime, mild. Started birdwatching just as sun was becoming veiled; had 3 Greenfinch and 2 Chaffinch, both recovering a little in numbers, and a Yellow Wagtail N off nearby field, 3 LBBG adult and a Song Thrush and Jay, last 2 breeding in area. Butterflies comprised a single Speckled Wood, first for year for me in UK, and a male Orange-tip. Four Black Kite records of 2 birds today, 1 in East Yorkshire, other in Dorset. There was 1 Honey-buzzard record today:

17:07 30/04 European Honey Buzzard East Sussex Robertsbridge one reported over Brightling Road mid-afternoon [no.4 for year]

Picked up new laptop, a Lenovo LENOVO IdeaPad 3i 14" Laptop - Intel® Celeron®, 128 GB SSD, Black, from Milletts in Fore Street, Hexham where DPD had ;left it for pickup, had break in N4c4c, then opened laptop and started it off by going through all the Microsoft initialisations. Microsoft has a real hang-up over OneDrive and my progress was delayed because I’m not a devotee of this approach. By evening time with difficulty in creating any new documents, decided to install LibreOffice, breaking their S architecture, and also rejected McAfee as a superfluous virus checker to Windows Defender. Have decided to stick with MS Edge for the moment as web browser as does now allow you to save any type of file. Installing next PDF Suite from Adobe and a ftp system for file transfer to web servers. Then will be ready to go! Laptop was reduced £100 by Currys – good value at £199 for cash. Met D/D at DoW4g4s for gr8 chat; seeing them on Friday next week as away on Saturday in London!! For the following week, have now booked 2 nites at the OH in J to make rehearsal, RNS performance and Fenham at Basil’s; Thursday cost £39, Friday £49, each including breakfast! 2Moro it’s the Sea at the S in the afternoon, preceded by Honey-buzzard habitat survey in Wylam E (site no.21 for study); did complete habitat survey for Throckley N today so 20 sites done now. Tyne Valley E is the present drive. Looking forward to next weekend: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 29th: maximum 13C, minimum 4C, light W breeze, sunny all day, cool evening. Did make concert by RNS which was very good. Also completed Honey-buzzard habitat survey at Throckley N before parking at CAL. Cable arrived but laptop didn’t though latter has made a store in Hexham for pickup 2moro. Just 1 Black Kite report today, at Isle of Wight. Did have a Honey-buzzard though on BirdGuides, bringing seasonal total to 3::

14:59 29/04 European Honey Buzzard Devon Livermead 14:55 one flew east [near Torquay]

Funds had a gr8 week as dip on China’s Covid woes on Monday gave a buying opportunity. Gain on week was +42k with gain ytd +324k. Hope festival is going well: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 28th: maximum 10C, minimum 2C, light W breeze, cool and cloudy morning, afternoon brighter. Pumped up the car tyres with the new wonder electric pump, powered from the cigarette lighter. Sat outside at N4c4ll after doing big shop at W: £46. Increased monthly subscription to NWT (Northumberland Wildlife Trust) to £50 and donated £50 directly to their West Chevington appeal; donated £40 to the BTO urban bird appeal; all with gift aid. Six Black Kite sightings today (bringing seasonal total to 68):3 in Dorset, 1 in Isle of Wight, 1 in East Sussex and 1 flying NE in Lothian, Scotland, but no more Honey-buzzard. New laptop arrives tomorrow morning: existing one Acer is still going but is 5 years old and getting a little dated; may still take the Acer on trips as it’s got a good battery life; new one should work well with HDMI presentations. In regular Ag sales have been successful today on a very elegant French sweetmeat fork c1700 (0.343k) and 2 silver-handled forks c1675 (0.162k) but dipped on a James II trefid spoon 1688 (despite bidding 0.53k): forks are not cheap!! Made G4g4s where chatted to S/A about Costa Rica, a superb place for nature. Have booked up for ANPA conference in Liverpool from 8/8-12/8, where will give a paper on CT, and the RNS prom in London on 14/8. Looking forward to Ukrainian fund-raising concert on 7/5 in Finchley – all set!! Have 3 concerts this weekend: RNS dance Friday evening, RNS Sea Symphony Sunday afternoon, RNS Vienna ramble Monday afternoon. lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Here’s the monthly look at climate trends. The climate anomaly for March was +0.15C https://www.drroyspencer.com/latest-global-temperatures/, a slight rise over recent months but broadly maintaining the pause in temperature rise over the last decade or so. Here’s the text from the GTR at the UAH page https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/.

The global temperature departure from average in March warmed to +0.15 °C (+0.27°F) with global climate trend since Dec. 1 1978 stable at +0.13 C per decade. The main warming shift occurred in the Northern Hemisphere as the area warmed by +0.26 °C (+0.47 °F) from February. This may be the beginning of the return to warmer temperatures as the La Niña typically declines in influence during the NH spring. However, latest values of various El Niño/La Niña indices indicate the La Niña may survive for several more months. Indeed, the sea surface temperatures of the key region “Niño 3.4” have remained below average through April. The latest on the evolution of La Niña and its anticipated diminishment is provided by NOAA here: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf.

The planet’s warmest region, in terms of the monthly departure from average, was over the rural area of Kulesabza in Afghanistan where one grid cell hit +4.1 °C (+7.4 °F) above normal. This region anchored a broad warmer-than-average area from Saudi Arabia to Japan. Other warm areas were experienced in Scandinavia, Alaska/eastern Russia, central No. Atlantic, and eastern Antarctica. Reports of tremendous surface temperature values (> 38°C above average) during a brief mid-March heat wave in East Antarctica did not have much influence on the deep layer of the atmosphere as monthly anomalies in this area are typically even greater than the warmest patch of +2.5 °C reported this month. As so often happens, when one region is hot due to a stagnant weather pattern, an adjacent region is cold as a result of the same pattern. In this case the coolest departure from average occurred in Northern Turkey near the village of Kuzhaka at -3.6 °C (-6.5 °F). This was in the centre of a broad region of cool temperature from Europe to central Russia. It was cooler than average too over the tropical Pacific (La Niña), over the far North Atlantic and the far South Pacific. [Note this cold spell directly affected the luckless Ukraine]

La Niña is actually proving more persistent than expected: La Niña is present. La Niña Advisory Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across most of the Pacific Ocean. The tropical Pacific atmosphere is consistent with La Niña. La Niña is favoured to continue through the Northern Hemisphere summer (59% chance during June/August 2022), with a 50-55% chance through the fall. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf. This is likely to prolong the pause in global temperatures. The two poles both had spells of exceptional warmth but ice levels showed no extreme declines:

Spring in fits and starts. After reaching its seasonal maximum extent of 14.88 million square kilometres (5.75 million square miles) on February 25, the seasonal decline in Arctic sea ice extent through March proceeded in fits and starts. By the end of the month, extent saw little change, ending up at 14.50 million square kilometres (5.60 million square miles). The middle of March saw excitement, with several extreme warm events over the Arctic Ocean associated with large transports of water vapour into the region. The Antarctic region also experienced unusual warmth and break up of a small ice shelf.

Average Arctic sea ice extent for March 2022 was 14.59 million square kilometres (5.63 million square miles), ranking ninth lowest in the satellite record (Figure 1a). The 2022 March extent was 840,000 square kilometres (324,000 square miles) below the 1981 to 2010 average. While extent tracked below the interdecile range of the satellite record throughout the entire month, the total decline, after a series of small ups and downs, was only 250,000 square kilometres (96,500 square miles). Following the pattern seen in February, sea ice extent was below average in the Sea of Okhotsk. Extent in the Bering, Barents, and East Greenland Seas was near average for March. The Arctic Ocean was associated with large transports of water vapour into the region. The Antarctic region also experienced unusual warmth and break up of a small ice shelf.

Between March 16 and 18, a combination of an unusual high-pressure region south-east of New Zealand and a strong low pressure south of Perth, Australia, led to a pulse of warm and moist air from east Australia (the Tasman Sea) to the Antarctic coastline and up onto the East Antarctic Plateau. As the pulse of air, another example of what appears to be an atmospheric river, reached the coast, sustained periods of above-freezing temperatures and rain were observed at the coastal bases. http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/.

April 27th: maximum 8C, minimum 0C, light NE breeze, cool and cloudy. Frost on car on most recent mornings. No Black Kite reported today in UK but there was a Honey-buzzard:

08:20 27/04 European Honey Buzzard Pembrokeshire Aber Mawr 08:09 one reported flying in off sea [possibly an Irish bird]

Working hard on a report for Crete trip, producing one angled to bird migration and raptors plus butterflies; have done the migration, need to do the resident raptors and butterflies and publish soon. Sociable afternoon making N4c4t and G4g4t where had good chat with B. Was asked out for evening for another session in G by P/R but resisted! Funds had strong day as mining/oil shares boomed, reaching new record with wtd +28k, ytd +308k gross. Bought a new laptop from Currys, inexpensive LENOVO IdeaPad 3i 14" Laptop - Intel® Celeron®, 128 GB SSD, Blue, for £199 plus an HDMI cable £8 and fixed delivery slot Friday morning £10. 2moro M’s away but will go for c in HEX midday, do shopping in W and make G4g4s with A. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! lok2tgrf: XX

April 26th: maximum 9C, minimum 2C, light NNE breeze, cool and cloudy. Four Black Kite reported today in UK: 2 in Devon, 1 in Alderney, 1 in Kent. It was JLAF quarterly meeting day with field trip to Kielder and tea and meeting in Bellingham. Very enjoyable day: think we’re functioning well: here’s our leaflet explaining what we do top over. I’m in charge of the Volunteering Group involving 4 JLAF members (LB/SR/PW/me); it’s really a meta-volunteering group, looking at how we can maximise the returns for access from various volunteer activities such as walking paths and reporting on condition, maintaining paths, researching ancient rights of way from archives, liaising with parish councils. Today the whole JLAF (17 strong) met at Forestry England - North England District Office in Bellingham at 12:30 and then went on minibus to Kielder Forest at Rushy Knowe (harvesting, replanting, weevil problems, commercial strategy) and Mounces Viewpoint (former grazing fields, replanted with mixed woodland for biodiversity, still commercial, not rewilding). There were just 5 species at Mounces in an an hour: 30 Woodpigeon, 2 Siskin, 2 Meadow Pipit, 2 Crow, 2 Chaffinch. A Grey Heron was at Lanehead at 15:45. We then went to Tea on the Train, a cafe in Bellingham at the old station yard, for welcome refreshment at 16:30 and our formal meeting, which finished at 19:30. Nine bird-types were recorded at Bellingham, including 4 Chaffinch and a Greenfinch, both of which seem to be weathering their Trichomonas parasite storm. Our climate-change guru went missing in his 6-litre diesel: he chose to travel under own steam (not sharing) and apparently took a wrong turning! Did 2 bird counts – at Mounces and Bellingham. Only one raptor all day – a Kestrel at Falstone on way in to Kielder but weather (cool and still, no sun) was not conducive for them.

Here’s piccies of the male Honey-buzzard at Crete on 17/4 at 12:44: 1  2  3  4 (12001); and the pair of Honey-buzzard at Ordley on 23/4 from 13:19-13:22 with male display 1  2, female display 3 , female out to feed 4  5  6 (12002).

Got some more black ink so can print-out maps for writing-on with habitat information; hope to finish Throckley N soon. Paid Eon £259 for electricity up to end of March, correcting under-reading by their official reader which gave me a large credit, not to my advantage when have to make it up later against much more expensive units; surely he didn’t do it on purpose! Will take readings for end-April soon at the new rates. Funds are +3k wtd, with large rise in junk bonds of Indian film maker Eros (on closing deal to sell a subsidiary STX) just about overcoming significant losses in commodity stocks on China’s insane zero Covid policy affecting its own and the world economy. Massive fall in tech stocks in US today (almost 4%) led by Tesla (-10%) on Musk’s FB moves. Hearing is not too bad after all the olive oil but now stopped that treatment and awaiting physical de-wax! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 25th: maximum 9C, minimum 3C, light NE breeze, surprise steady rain at 08:00 for 2 hours, then cool and cloudy. No Black Kite seen today in UK but BirdGuides reports for week

Review of the Week: 19-25 April 2022: Black Kites were again prominent on the BirdGuides news page, with the raptor reported at up to 20 sites. Several birds were noted between Spurn, East Yorkshire, and Cornwall, with individuals multi-observed in Dorset and Kent. Notable outliers were birds photographed at Sandbach Flashes, Cheshire, and Lissagriffin, Co Cork, on 21st.

Have processed recent piccies for Honey-buzzard in Crete and Ordley and hope to publish 2moro, though have busy day with JLAF in Kielder. Made R at B4m4s 4 good meal followed by pop-in to T 4 black ink cartridge, 2 loads of kindling and a bottle of milk. Then to G4g4s with A/R and K on 4 gr8 chat! Have booked ear de-waxing session with CB in HEX on 9/5 at 10:00; it’s supposed to increase your hearing instantly by equivalent of 10 decibels; told to stop oil treatment as makes it messier for machine. Pity it’s not sooner. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 24th: maximum 11C, minimum 3C, moderate NE breeze, sunny periods, cool in the breeze, continuing very dry. Today was a great day with the return of the Honey-buzzard to my home site:

At 13:19 the returning pair of Honey-buzzard were in low-level display over the Devil's Water in Northumberland near my house, on a bright, cool day with moderate easterly breeze. This is an early return for the pair. Only one Honey-buzzard has been recorded on BirdGuides by this date for 2022. I suspect that some of the long-established birds are powerful migrants with a clear strategy for the route, making minimal stops and avoiding coastal situations where they are more likely to be seen.

So reorganised Honey-buzzard home page to set-up 2022 summary data and repackage the 2020-2021 National Survey data. Processing habitat for Throckley N today, still some way to go. Next up for habitat is Wylam Close House, another one in Tyne Valley East. Two more Black Kite reported today, in Kent and Devon. No more Honey-buzzard reported nationally since the one and only to date on 18/4 on Isle of Wight.

Did have ears examined by audiologist at SS at 09:15; she said that ears were full of wax, which needed removal and gave me name of a business in Hexham (Clare Bates, £80 for both ears) which does this by micro-suction with air pressure; relieved really as this is a common condition and underlying ears might well be OK once this is done; already take ear drops so shouldn’t be too long before done; applying best Waitrose olive oil every few hours today! Made N4c4c after appointment for recuperation where pleased 2 c S again! Much later made G4g4s with R/D/B 4 good chat and good aftercare!! 2moro it’s back to B4m4s 4 R (evening). xxxxx XXX!!!!!!!

April 23rd: maximum 12C, minimum 4C, moderate NE breeze, sunny periods, cool in the breeze. Total of 3 Black Kite seen today, 2 in Cornwall and 1 in Dorset; total of 53 sightings in British Isles in 2022 so far, including some duplicates and 2 admitted errors in id. As below sorted out banking problems: son with experience in this area said I would have been flagged because of going to Crete and making an unusually large payment from my ‘phone; after a trip to Albania he had several such issues with his bank; so split larger payments for a while and pay from desktop! Did make concert by Gould Trio and clarinettist Robert Plane at the Corbridge Parish Church St Andrews. Very spirited – loved the Bartók Contrasts; we also had pieces by Haydn, Wiener and Brahms (piano trio in C). At Corbridge had 55 Sand Martin and 2 Swallow around the Tyne Bridge at 18:30 with a pair of Goosander on the Tyne. 4 queen wasp were on pyracantha flowers at Ordley with a Small White in flight and 2 Blue Tit actively nest-building. Then went onto DoW4g4s to meet D/D for good catch-up. Earlier had chat with son on FB video: he’s looking good, just bought a bike with electrical assistance for getting to/from work (8 km). Had to be fairly early to bed as hearing test tomorrow at 09:15 at SS. Booked up PI at KGX and train fares for important concert. Looking forward to 2 weeks ahead: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 22nd: maximum 12C, minimum 6C, moderate NE breeze, sunny all day, cool in the breeze. Total of 2 Black Kite seen today in Dorset and Norfolk; total of 50 sightings in British Isles in 2022 so far, including some duplicates. Had good chats with N/D over Skype and at T4m4l with M/B. Cleaner S arrived at 15:00 so out to Throckley N for look at habitat and check for raptors. This habitat survey for Honey-buzzard is no.20 in all, no.2 for Tyne Valley E. Had just 9 bird species in all, including a Common Buzzard, a singing Chiffchaff, a Coal Tit and 2 Swallow, first seen in UK this spring. Butterflies comprised 4 Small Tortoiseshell, a Peacock and a Small White. A dead badger was on the road on way home at Throckley N at 23:15. Also a little earlier had a Common Buzzard over Rudchester. Made VctCmt4m4t (S don’t do proper meals yet); then onto S4con. Immensely popular concert – starring Four Seasons by Vivaldi with added spoken texts – and supporting cast of Corelli Concerto Grosso, Telemann Concerto for 3 Oboes, 3 Violins and Continuo, Telemann Overture from Tafelmusik II in the first half. The Vivaldi was played in great style with Rachel Podger as soloist/director, ably assisted by MW and the RNS players; it’s a very challenging piece with few breaks and lots of fast playing. The Telemann concerto with the 3 oboes was very inspiring: M O’D playing one part and the two others (JB/HC) the second part; TC was playing the lute; in the bar later he said it was insured for a bit under 10k. Had gr8 chat in bar later with CM and Braggs couple (pp). Latter gave me lift back to CAL as they live near there. Booked for Vienna Music Trail on 2/5, all 3 concerts. Had bizarre incident with Lloyds Bank on my account; payment to Co-op Visa (credit card) for £2002 (including Crete costs) on Tuesday was parked by their fraud squad; tried phoning them but 1 hour wasted in long queues, then login suspended; had already paid off the £2002 in 4 smaller sums to clear the balance and avoid interest charges of c£70. Finally 23/4 got through at 09:30 to fraud team and problem resolved amicably over ‘phone. Some new supplies of coal arrived while out mid-afternoon – 5 bags of ovoids, 3 of small doubles -- all for £144; think it may be more expensive by autumn. Funds this week finished +9k with rise in 2/3 Falkland oilers partially offset by shaky markets elsewhere. 2Moro going to a concert in Corbridge after chat with son. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 21st: maximum 14C, minimum 5C, light NE breeze, sunny all day, no clouds, another gorgeous spring day, (ground) frost on car in recent mornings! Made N4c4lm: nice to sit outside! Much later made G4g4s where met R/A for good chat. 2moro it’s Skype with N/D, T4m4l with M, RNS at S in evening, maybe meal at VicCmt b4, could well be in from CAL to make nite a little longer. Anyway good to be back on concert trail! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!! Total of 6 Black Kite seen today in Cork, Cornwall, Dorset, London, Suffolk and Cheshire.

Here’s the raptor list for Crete from 4/4-18/4 plus total for each species. Overall total is 72 birds of 13 types with Common Buzzard and Common Kestrel the commonest species and Griffon Vulture, Bonelli's Eagle and Peregrine being widespread, Some piccies are to follow.

Honey-buzzard 2, Griffon Vulture 8, Steppe Eagle 1, Bonelli's Eagle 3, Sparrowhawk 2, Black Kite 3, Long-legged Buzzard 2, Common Buzzard 30,

Barn Owl 1,

Lesser Kestrel 2, Common Kestrel 13, Red-footed Falcon 1, Peregrine 4.

I am of the firm opinion that BJ should resign as PM: if they replayed some of his press conferences from spring 2020 lecturing us on our behaviour, he comes over as a blatant hypocrite, probably still sniggering at us in private. Some people suffered so much mental illness through lack of social contact. Partygate means to me that he has to go now. As a subsidiary matter I think the current energy fiasco is partly his fault through too much of a religious zeal, as an arts student, for net zero. His time is up! We need more engineers in government and senior civil service to provide better thought-through policies in energy in physical terms.

April 20th: maximum 11C, minimum 4C, light N breeze, sunny all day, no clouds, gorgeous spring day, all of HEX in a good mood! Busy evening on the music scene: booked up 2 concerts at Sage on 1/5 Sea Symphony and 15/5 Lars Vogt recital; a festival pass for Northern Chords at St B/J from 14/5-15/5; couldn’t book online Beethoven’s Ghost Trio L&P 27/5, will try by ‘phone (later, did just that, 3 seats left, took 1); settled renewal for a domain for a Festival; staying overnight at OH in J on 13/5 as have RNS (Mozart) on the Friday nite b4 the St B/J next lunchtime; thinking seriously about a trip S to another concert. Today had jab no.4 – no ceremony – 2 minutes in a yard outside Hexham Hospital in the sunshine – very healthy! Went to N4c4l 4 recuperation, where sat outside – very sociable; then to W where spent £81 to save £7 on a voucher and then gave £5 to Big Issue seller Maria outside! Went home but came back to G4g4t where had good chat with B/A and others. Four more Black Kite in today, 2 in Dorset and singles in West Sussex and Kent. Funds are +3k wtd, markets pretty nervous and reaction to Falklands oil industry getting off its marks was pretty muted; suspect many funds will not invest in oil/gas on ESG grounds so we’re in an impasse – investment-wise, with the world doomed to sky-high energy prices until investment in new supplies is encouraged. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 19th: maximum 11C, minimum 4C, light E breeze, sunny morning, cloudy afternoon, dry, cool. Had a Tawny Owl last night at Ordley and a Common Buzzard at Loughbrow this afternoon with a Treecreeper in the Sele. Finished compiling records for Greece as below. Provisional total is:

67 species from 259 records, 14 complete lists, 12 places (all species assumed countable) Strictly provisional, will review 2moro. Raptor types total 13 with addition of migrant Red-footed Falcon.

Collected new specs from SS; they made minor adjustments to the fitting; very pleased with them – the reading pair make close-up material so clear, will encourage me to read more print; the varifocals also make the world very clear; good investment at little over £300. Have arranged a hearing test with SS for Sunday morning as suspect I’m losing the high-end of the register above 6KHz, important for bird song and maybe some music overtones; will go private here to speed things up, if necessary. Can hear people – assistant was a little surprised I wanted a test – but music and birds are important; an RIC might be appropriate. Also having jab no.4 at Hexham Fire Station tomorrow at 12:50, when out on major shopping expedition to take advantage of £7 off from W if spend £70. should be back by 14:30, maybe some gardening catch-up b4 G4g4t with B! xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Big influx of Black Kite recently in British Isles with BirdGuides noting:

Review of the Week: 11-18 April 2022: A warm southerly airflow produced sublime weather conditions across much of Britain and Ireland through the week and into the Easter weekend, giving plenty of reasons for birders across the isles to get outdoors and make the most of the sun and warmth after a preceding fortnight of cool and often windy weather. One of the week's most noticeable features was the bumper arrival of Black Kites. The bank holiday weekend produced one of the bigger influxes of recent years, with more than 31 reports gracing BirdGuides news pages. No fewer than nine English counties had birds, with one in Ireland – at Knockadoon Head, Co Cork. Among these were just the fourth record for Cheshire and Wirral, and the first for Northumberland since 2014.

There have been a further 4 records today: (plus 2 before 11/4, giving total for year of 37 reports)

19:32 19/04 Black Kite Kent Broadstairs

13:21 19/04 Black Kite East Sussex Lewes, one drifted high north

13:20 19/04 Black Kite East Sussex Iford, one flew north over Iford Hill

07:07 19/04 Black Kite East Yorkshire Spurn YWT, one flew south past The Warren then south-east out to sea

And Honey-buzzard passage started yesterday in UK:

18/04 10:36 Isle of Wight : European Honey Buzzard, Ventnor, one reported flying low north towards Wroxall Down (10:29) [R]

April 18th: maximum 12C, minimum 3C, light W breeze, sunny, dry, cool. On final trip by taxi to Chania Airport, had a Peregrine female, 2 Common Buzzard and 2 Raven. At the Airport or close to it had a Black Kite (a Black Kite gliding low-down over countryside), a Common Buzzard, a Greater Short-toed Lark and a Crested Lark, plus star of the day: an Alpine Swift flying N at 13:35 just as we got ready to board; Ryanair have a nice trait of putting everyone out on the tarmac before your plane is ready or has even arrived but had priority boarding which made things more comfortable; plane was full; Ryanair got me home! Everything went well on return trip, car arrived to take me to Chania Airport, Ryanair flight on time, NCL Airport working efficiently and car started first time. Did some emergency shopping at W and made G4nb4s (no g) where met 3 mates D/P/F with K on 4 good chat. Time is against me with EEST = BST +2 so that’s it for now. Much more 2moro. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Total from Crete including all records up to 17/4:

66 species from 247 records, 13 complete lists, 9 places (all species assumed countable). Raptor types total 13 with addition of migrant Red-footed Falcon.

April 17th: maximum 22C, minimum 12C, moderate NW breeze, sunny and muggy, no rain yet but a fall of Sahara dust and by evening stormy and a little rain with the sea looking more like Atlantic breakers; Crete is about 300km from the NE coast of Libya in Africa and 300km from the Greek mainland to N so could conceivably be used for island-hopping the Mediterranean by raptors though Israel/Gibraltar safer. Better weather for seeing migrants, including start of Honey-buzzard season with a female and male coming off the sea from E at 12:33 and 12:43 respectively and flying towards southern base of the Rodopou Peninsula, presumably to feed in the more fertile land there, before continuing to N. The female was dark with long tail and wings, very sturdy flyer, male was much paler and a little slimmer. Great to see them again. Spotted them while having late breakfast in seaside cafe Mylos Taverna (omelette, 2 coffee, €14) followed much later by supper at Diktina (€22) with my hosts and 2 US ladies from Colorado – good chat. Migrant summary is: 2 Honey-buzzard W, 7 Common Swift N, 21 Swallow N, 28 House Martin N, 2 White Wagtail N, a Whiskered Tern N, 10 Bee-eater N calling, 1 female Red-footed Falcon N at 15:30. Had some interesting passerines later at Koumouli: a female Pied Flycatcher, a Whinchat 1, a displaying Eastern Black-eared Wheatear, a singing Chiffchaff, a Sardinian Warbler, a Robin, 6 Chaffinch, plus raptors: 4 displaying Common Buzzard and an adult Red-footed Falcon female moving N 1  2 . The female Honey-buzzard (or another) was indeed rediscovered later at 15:32 in the same area floating over the wooded hillside 1 (12001b) but no sign of the male. Butterflies today comprised 10 Small White, 6 Speckled Wood, 3 Large White, 4 Holly Blue. Had loads of frog tadpoles 1 in a culvert at Koumouli. A Long-legged Buzzard was also seen: large, heavy size, rufous tinge almost eagle-like, unbarred tail, in moult, adult 1  2  3  4  5. Will try and wrap it all up over the next few days (what a hope!). Feeling like a long rest!! In the UK quite a few Black Kite were recorded. Looking forward to return: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

There are signs that the Falklands oil industry is getting off the ground with an announcement (RNS Tel Aviv) by Israeli company Navitas today; have a fair bit invested there in 3 companies, over 1% of UK industry there! Laugh at xenophobic UK investors: announcement is in Hebrew and can we trust it but NVPT.TA rose over 5% in Tel Aviv on the news today, on Easter Sunday. A lot of other companies have been put off by Argie threats; NVPT seem unfazed by these. I’m with the 35% minority holding by the original oil discoverer RKH of which hold a few plus some of BOR and ARG, the other 2 main Falkland oil exploration companies. Now up to end of 15/4 with bird records:

60 species from 194 records, 11 complete lists, 9 places (all species assumed countable) with 11 raptor-types, now up to 12 with today’s Honey-buzzard

April 16th: maximum 20C, minimum 14C, light E breeze, sunny warm and dry morning, becoming cloudy and rain supposed to be on way overnight, which may bring down a few migrants. This morning had walk to the Cemetery b4 returning up hill to apartment where decided as sun disappeared to have a siesta to recuperate a bit, beautiful dreams, hoping for active last day. In the town had close-up views of a Woodchat Shrike 1 and Whinchat and added to the list a flighty Yellow Wagtail going N. A pair of displaying Sardinian Warbler showed well on the hillside 1  2. Raptors comprised a Griffon Vulture S, 3 Common Buzzard and a Kestrel, diving again at the Monastery, plus very good views of a 1s Long-legged Buzzard, see below for account. Butterflies comprised 8 Small White, 4 Speckled Wood, 1 Cretan Festoon 1, 1 Clouded Yellow. Running total up to 15/4 lunchtime is:

56 species from 175 records, 10 complete lists, 8 places (all species assumed countable); raptors remain at 11 types.

Long-legged Buzzard Buteo rufinus – Kolimvarion, 16/4 12:29-12:39: very good views of a first-summer Long-legged Buzzard. This one was over the crags just W of the street holding the restaurants Argentina and Diktina and of course the quayside; this bird showed very obvious translucent bases to the inner primaries as well as mostly unmarked long ruddy tail with a few faint bars near the terminus, dark carpal and trousers, dark covets, indistinct trailing edge and imposing appearance, bigger than a nearby Common Buzzard from which it kept apart. 1  2  3  4  5  6  7  8  9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  19  20  21  22

Have now done the sums in full on funds for the past week and fall on week was 9k giving running totals ytd +271k gross (+15.4%), +237k net with ftse 100 +3.1% ytd (+1.0% on week), ftse 250 -10.1%, dow -5.2%, nasdaq (tech) -14.7%, bitcoin -12.4% (all ytd). Have withdrawn 1k for holiday; the last 2 weeks have seen the expected profit taking after the big rise the week before; am top-slicing to raise some cash to take advantage of any opportunities. Had good chat with son and daughter on FB messenger for an hour; son-in-law still working for the Gazprom trading arm, now bought out by the Germans with hedge fund interested in purchasing the whole lot; daughter is concentrating on her 2 daughters rather than going back to work; son is buying an electric bike to increase fitness. Had breakfast in Freshness (7) and supper at Freshness (omelette, 20€). Donated €25 to Full Circle for concert tomorrow – sorry won’t be there! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 15th: maximum 18C, minimum 11C, moderate E breeze, sunny, becoming cloudy and definitely quite chilly in afternoon without the solar glare. Had another good walking day of 11+k steps (9+ km), going out W on Kissamos road to Koumouli, along a stream which actually had a little water in it. Plenty of good insectivores in area, including a Tree Pipit, 7 Whinchat 1  2  3  4  5  6  7, a Red-breasted Flycatcher, 2 Spotted Flycatcher, 2 Collared Flycatcher (male, female), a Woodchat Shrike 1  2  3, plus 4 Common Buzzard and a Common Kestrel. Last night at 23:00 had a Barn Owl, hunting over the town near the apartment, the 11th raptor species for the trip. Early today was also a purple patch with 5 Bee-eater calling overhead as flew N on opening door of apartment and a Purple Heron flying N up the headland shortly after; also 3 Swallow N. Butterflies in the morning included a Clouded Yellow, 4 Small White, 1 Cretan Festoon 1 and in afternoon had 6 Holly blue at Koumouli. Found good Cretan butterfly web site at https://butterfliesofcrete.com/families-species/ with bird site at Birdwatching in NATURA 2000 network areas on Crete. Had breakfast at Freshness (7€), late liquid lunch at Paradise (9€) and very tasty Cretan food (lamb shepherd’s pie) for supper at Diktina (€23). Had a few Raki with apartment owner tonite in recognition of long stay! Added to BirdTrack the Barn Owl and the Kolimvarion and Orthodox Academy visits yesterday. So still need to add the barren area yesterday and today’s walk. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

49 species from 148 records, 8 complete lists, 7 places (all species assumed countable). Raptor types now number 11 with addition of Barn Owl.

April 14th: maximum 18C, minimum 11C, moderate E breeze, sunny, felt a bit cooler in the stronger breeze. Went for long walk past the monastery up the peninsula towards a diving centre (didn’t get that far!), getting past Kolymvariou Afraton, doing 14,601 steps, 10.3km today. Had a few more Griffon Vulture on walk and a Common Kestrel in the barren landscape, target of the walk. Spotted 2 Scopoli’s Shearwater scavenging behind a trawler and had a good range of birds of barren areas: Eastern Black-eared Wheatear (4, 2 pairs), Stonechat (female), Greater Short-toed Lark (11, loose flock), Crested Lark (4, 2 pairs). Some water birds at last: 2 Turnstone and a Little Egret 1. Migrants included 3 Swallow N and a Rufous-tailed Scrub Robin was skulking in dense vegetation near the Monastery. Butterflies, all in the Orthodox area, included a Painted Lady (new for trip) 1, a Swallowtail, 7 Small White. Had breakfast at Freshness (7€), late liquid lunch at Paradise (barman gets the beer and snack out when I appear in the distance! 10€) and evening meal at Argentina (lamb chops again, 23€); all with good service and very enjoyable, amounts include tips of 15-20%; Greek Americano is superb but I think it’s simply dilute espresso, which comes naturally to them. A few more tourists around, mainly Scandinavian and German with a few English. Have Skype session with N/D 2moro at 10:00 BST, 12:00 EEST, after breakfast in town; plus FB video session with son on 16/4; Wi-Fi is good enough I feel. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Have entered records for 13/4 from Skoutelonas, making running total 4/4-13/4:

48 species from 124 records, 6 complete lists, 7 places (all species assumed countable). Raptor types now number 10 with addition of Griffon Vulture and Long-legged Buzzard.

Black Kite continue to arrive in Essex:

17:13 14/04 Black Kite Essex Colchester 16:53 one flew south over St John's Estate

09:52 14/04 Black Kite Essex Stanway Green 08:45 again flew west over landfill site

Funds are down about 3k on short wtd. Will give more accurate position next Monday/Tuesday from desktop. Have started realising profits on commodity-shares (top-slicing) as feel 2 things: war may not go on beyond early May as costs enormous for both sides; western economies are suffering from inflation which could bring on a recession: the cure for high prices is high prices!

April 13th: maximum 18C, minimum 10C, light E breeze, sunny. Walked S today to Skoutelonas, an area dominated by farmland and olive groves; not sure what the access position is in Greece but had an unhindered stroll from 11:20-15:30 in ideal walking conditions. Sorting out camera disk space and laptop’s disk space today as both stretched and want to see the piccies (2.59 GB so far) on the larger screen before adding more records. Today’s star bird was Griffon Vulture with one floating N up the peninsula at 12:00 and 2 more low-down over Skoutelonas at ttime. The Bonelli’s Eagle was again displaying over Skoutelonas, also at ttime. Had 3 Common Buzzard on the walk. Other great birds for the area were 3 Hoopoe, a Woodchat Shrike, 8 Serin (flock of 7 plus single in olive grove). Had 2 Barn Swallow N. Butterflies comprised 10 Small White, 6 Speckled Wood, 2 Common Blue, 2 Holly Blue, 1 Large White, 1 Swallowtail. Latest BirdTrack summary for all records from 4/4-11/4 is:

39 species from 88 records, 4 complete lists, 7 places (all species assumed countable) with 8 types of raptor: Steppe Eagle, Bonelli's Eagle, Sparrowhawk, Black Kite, Common Buzzard, Lesser Kestrel, Common Kestrel, Peregrine

Black Kite have started arriving in East Anglia, assumed migration route to Northumberland and all points north:

19:22 13/04 Black Kite Essex Stanway Green 19:00 one over landfill site between 18:20 and 19:00 then lost to view

10:58 13/04 Black Kite Norfolk Titchwell RSPB 12/04 probable reportedly flew west over Fen Hide yesterday afternoon

09:28 13/04 Black Kite Norfolk Winterton Dunes NNR09:25 one moving south over dunes

Had breakfast and supper (spaghetti bolognese with red wine) at Freshness and lunch at a cafe to S. Locals are very friendly – will be more around the port area gain tomorrow. Going to bed at 01:36 (14/4) feeling well! Not sure when we’ll meet again: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 12th: maximum 16C, minimum 9C, light NE breeze, sunny. Another grand day and a few more tourists around in the beach area but the hills are still blissfully quiet. Did leisurely walk from Freshness cafe for breakfast, beach, Orthodox cemetery on a hillside, Paradise cafe for late liquid lunch and Freshness cafe for spaghetti and tuna for supper. Trying to be more sensible, wearing a cap and having plenty of liquids. Had 5 Common Buzzard and 4 Common Kestrel in Kolimvarion site plus 2 Common Buzzard (a pair) and 2 Common Kestrel (also a pair), a female Sparrowhawk, a Black Kite moving N and a pair of Raven on the high ground above the Monastery. Passage N was very light: single Swallow and House Martin. Also had a Meadow Pipit (possible migrant, in back-yard), 10 Spanish Sparrow and a Mute Swan adult, last on the sea. Butterflies included:16 Small White, 2 Swallowtail, 3 Holly Blue, 1 Common Blue, 1 Small Copper, 2 Speckled Wood, 1 Large White, 4 Clouded Yellow, plus a small brown lizard,

Running total from BirdTrack is: 33 species from 60 records, 3 complete lists, 3 places (all species assumed countable) but that does not include the trip to Chania on Saturday or today’s records. Should be able to give up to date report tomorrow.

Two more records from BirdGuides of Black Kite this spring:

12:53 12/04 Black Kite Cork Knockadoon Head one flew west over Holy Ground

20:57 06/04 Black Kite Cornwall Camel Estuary one between Wadebridge and Tregunna

So what was the illness? Think it was omicron with classical symptoms of non-stop runny nose, fatigue, sore lower back/hip and frequent urination; during 11 hours in bed last night from 22:00-09:00, was up on the hour every hour for a pee, not the ideal when your bed is up 12 steep stairs from the bathroom below and you have a sore hip! But all over now: readings this morning (temp, pulse, bp, oxygen) were 36.4C 78 108/70 98% and feeling a lot better and by this evening pulse was down at a more normal level of 63, body aches have gone, nose has stopped running, eating well and feeling energetic again. Did have some natural immunity from actually catching the Brazilian variant mildly and 3 vaccinations so after a common 24-hour delay the body's T-cells in the immune system trained to watch out for Covid, came into action and knocked out the omicron. Worth commenting on how I think I caught it; the conference enforced mask wearing and people seem to think this gives them immunity. I attended one session a few days ago in a small room, 8 in to start with but more arriving as other sessions finished. The room was poorly ventilated and crowded so I walked out, probably reducing my viral load though annoying the chair! Poor ventilation (indoors) and crowding are the main ways the virus spreads. Mask wearing gives people a false sense of security. I was wearing a mask in the room (against my better judgement). Feeling up for it now: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Funds down another 3k wtd on further profit taking; fundamentals remain sound for a commodity-focused portfolio. Interesting developments now in Canadian Manganese – becoming sought after with electric vehicles batteries in mind and North America’s drive to become self-sufficient in vital metals. Have 574500 at around 35 Canadian cents and this week they became quoted in Germany as well as a rather obscure Canadian exchange NEO. So may be able to bring them into play soon. Suspect they’ll be bought out by someone like Tesla.

April 11th: maximum 16C, minimum 10C, light E breeze, sunny. Conference finished today. Was there for last talk on axiomatic proofs and of course lunch. Said goodbye to Al! Feeling off, runny nose, sore hips and very tired but no fever and blood oxygen fine, Could be reaction to busy conference or Covid, whatever will take it easy this evening and tomorrow. Have been walking 10km a day, probably too much. This afternoon went for walk in hot sunshine up to heights above the Monastery along very well laid stone track with monuments from time to time. Did have some hirundine passage N: 12 Barn Swallow, 5 Common Swift, 16 House Martin, 8 Red-rumped Swallow, plus a skulking Rufous-tailed Scrub Robin, 3 Willow Warbler, flock 10 Linnet, 3 Great Tit (1 carrying food), pair of Raven but no raptors. Butterflies comprised 16 Small White, 1 Speckled Wood, 3 Common Blue, 2 Swallowtail. So it’s early to bed: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!!

April 10th: maximum 22C, minimum 12C, moderate SW breeze, sunny, so clear. At 15:30 at Monastery had a Common Kestrel male displaying over the sea to E and 3 Scopoli’s Shearwater moving slowly SE and a Zitting Cisticola was on rough ground on the cliff-edge. Full day at meeting, which was very interesting with talks on logical structures, getting closer to CT but with some interesting avenues to explore like the lambda-cube. That’s always the great reward from coming to a conference like this: plenty of new ideas and lateral thinking from leading world experts in logic. We had been treated to a piano solo on Friday night by Lúcia Donatella Jenei who played some classical material, sounded a bit like Mussorgsky’s Great Gate of Kiev, which would be topical! Tonight in a local taverna Paradise we had some Cretan music with a little dancing; so inspiring, sounded quite eastern, a mixture of Greece, Turkey, Egypt, Cyprus, very urgent sound from the fiddle and harmonics definitely east; a string trio (basically eastern violin, 2 guitars plus vocal from the trio). The concert went on from 21:00-00:30 and participants had a gr8 time! Sat with a Polish group including An but did have long chat with Al at end: logicians are a lot more fun than generally realised and many young women are now prominent in the area!! Logic is closer to language than to say engineering so more gender-neutral. Meeting finishes at lunch-time 2moro, after which will do walk around Academy for a bird list. Have eastern sounds ringing in my head: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 9th: maximum 23C, minimum 11C, moderate W breeze, sunny, so clear, incredible visibility again with snow on mountains; evidently Crete has had a long cold winter with snow at low levels just 2 weeks ago. So my stay is coinciding with a rapid warming spell. Perfect conditions for raptors today and results were amazing: single Bonelli’s Eagle displaying S of apartment at 10:00 (with pair of Common Kestrel) and S of Agia Triada on tour at 15:10; a Lesser Kestrel near Agia Triada; a male Common Kestrel displaying near Agia Triada; a Black Kite at Agia Triada at 15:58; a male Honey-buzzard N at 15:56 at Agia Triada; a male Peregrine up high over viewpoint overlooking Chania at Kalathas; 7 displaying Common Buzzard from Orthodox Academy to Agia Triada monastery and four more at Agia Triada itself. So provisional total of 20 raptors of 7 types. At Kalathas also had 3 migrant male Collared Flycatcher and a Jay. Amazing sight of 80 Pallid Swift displaying around Chania harbour with 50 Yellow-legged Gull michahellis also present. Trip was very interesting, visiting the old monastery Agia Triada, the viewpoint above Chania and Chania harbour (dating from Venetian period) where we had some drinks and a meal, getting back at 23:00 so long trip, starting at 14:00. Earlier had power cut from 06:00-10:00 with emergency lighting cutting in. Had lunch again with Al and we also had good chat at the viewpoint!! Busy 1.5 days to go at meeting; Monday afternoon will be on a local walk. Main company today on trip was some political philosophers, who met last night in restaurant, from USA and Italy, 6 of us. Hope RNS concert went well on Friday – had ticket but couldn’t make it: realise it would have been good chance to catch up!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 8th: maximum 20C, minimum 12C, moderate W breeze, sunny, so clear, incredible visibility with snow on mountains so obvious. Gave talk to workshop on Logic and Love: all went well, will post slides soon: we all went out for meal and plenty of refreshment later in Argentina restaurant including Raki liqueurs: gr8 day and evening! Earlier met lass Alexandra Petrova over lunch, from St Petersburg, now moving to Vienna: she looked a little isolated, having entered the logic competition in Russia’s name yesterday and maybe not realising all the tensions, though feel attendees would not take anything out on a fellow conference member. Feel Russia’s intelligent young people are forming a diaspora, just like those of the Jews and the Iranians. She was very happy for a chat! Incredible views today of the Cretan mountains. Had 2 Blue Tit while having breakfast at the apartment, a Great Tit at the Academy and a Holly Blue butterfly on walk in. 2moro it’s half-day out to Chania on trip, including dinner, by bus. Funds came back to earth this week with lots of selling at start of new tax year on 6/4 as punters bagged profits. Not properly worked out yet, but looks like -16k on week, +278k ytd; loss was as much as 30k before some recovery today; not inclined to sell anything, except bonds, as inflationary pressures mount. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!!

April 7th: maximum 24C, minimum 13C, light W breeze, bright morning, cloudier later with moderate breeze, warm. Having coffee on balcony at Academy at 10:45 spotted a Steppe Eagle moving slowly E at sea off headland on which the Academy stands. Then appeared to be turning SE. Quite a sight! Had a few birds in day: 1 Common Buzzard (almost certainly, not new), 5 Goldfinch and a singing Chaffinch. Had a good day at conference from 10:30-18:00, with plenty of interesting talks on logic; diagrammatic techniques are popular; CT was used in one application but no diagrams given – a pity! Main attendees are French, with whom having very interesting chats over meals (always end up with the French, they’re very stimulating and intelligent company), German, Eastern Europeans and Americans, with maybe a few more from UK than is usual. Next Universal Logic in 3 years time is in Peru (Machu Picchu). It’s a totally paperless conference this time: no programme, no badges, no handouts. We have to look at the running order each morning to see who’s actually talking but my session in the workshop Logic and Love is scheduled hopefully for tomorrow: wish me luck!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Running bird total: 25 species from 40 records, 2 complete lists, 3 places (all species assumed countable)

April 6th: maximum 20C, minimum 13C, light N breeze, hazy sunshine, warm, going up a for 1 day to 25 tomorrow as winds go SE. Just one bird to add – a singing Robin. Joined meeting for lunch at 12:30, buying 6 lunch tickets for €111. Attended workshop on Lewis Carroll’s logic. His real name was Charles Lutwidge Dodgson and of course he was famous for the wonderful Alice books and the Hunting of the Snark. But he was an accomplished logician developing truth trees and could have been a great one if he had managed to publish the last parts of a treatise before his death. The nonsense in his tales relates to his love of absurd logical situations such as the mad tea party! Had reception early evening where met a lively Polish trumpeter, Anna Pienkowski, who loves improvised music; we had a great conversation; she’s promised to come to my talks. The trumpet does involve main expression with the right-hand and tonal adjustments and the mute with the left-hand – all very stimulating. A full day tomorrow! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 5th: maximum 20C, minimum 12C, light NE breeze, hazy sunshine, misty morning, warm. My host’s father was Jewish and his mother was Dutch so he’s not Jewish! He was brought up in Israel. Weather is from nearby Souda Bay or Chania Airport; Souda Bay has a well-known war cemetery from WW2 of allied forces (UK/ANZAC/Greek) with the NZ and Greek units putting up determined opposition in the face of overwhelming odds in the capture of Crete by the Germans and Italians in March 1941. The Cretans were a stubborn people to rule and the Germans massacred civilians in a number of villages to try and keep order; a remainder of the allied defeated forces retreated to the mountains and maintained an awkward presence through to the recapture of the island in 1944/1945. Today had lovely walk on the nearby hills, covered in beautiful spring flowers. Had 8 Common Buzzard, 4 Common Kestrel, 1 Lesser Kestrel male N at 16:00, 2 Black Kite N at 12:35-12:41, a Peregrine, 2 Raven and a Sparrowhawk, plus plenty of butterflies and other insects; had Barn Swallow moving with 28 N seen in small groups and 6 birds also settling into breed locally; smaller birds included Chiffchaff, Eastern Subalpine Warbler, Sardinian Warbler, Blue Rock Thrush, Stonechat. Total was 21 bird-types. Butterflies included 9 Small White, 4 Speckled Wood, 4 Common Blue, 4 Clouded Yellow; also a small brown lizard. Walk went through a beautifully-maintained cemetery of the Greek Orthodox church half-way up the hill. Had breakfast and pizza supper at a local cafe and a couple of beer at a restaurant by the harbour. Conference starts tomorrow afternoon and I’m speaking on Friday afternoon in the workshop Love and Logic; still putting final touches to talk. Tomorrow is start of new tax year, with an extra 20k able to be transferred to tax-free wrapper isa account; have mine all ready for transfer; isa/sipp is already my biggest fund; funds +6k wtd. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 4th: maximum 20C, minimum 13C, light E breeze, sunny, veiled at times by very high cloud, warm. Now in Crete at Kamares Sanctuaries, Kolymvari, having flown NCL-CHQ on FR410 Ryanair from 06:45-12:50 (about 4 hours as 2 hours time difference). Got pre-booked airport transfer from Chania to Kamares, which is a small complex of apartments near the Orthodox Greek Academy where the logic conference is being held. Also stayed in Hilton at airport at NCL to make departure at such an early time acceptable. So getting soft! Had good meal last night at hotel. Today a little dazed but walked around Kolymvari in afternoon from 15:30-17:30 before having excellent authentic Greek meal (lamb chops) at Argentina (name of restaurant). Raptors to date include 2 Black Kite singles and 4 displaying Common Buzzard on drive from airport, recorded as at Platanias, to apartment and locally 5 Common Buzzard and a male Common Kestrel in territory. Weather has only just warmed up on the coast and there’s masses of snow on the mountains still with skiing at a few spots. Had a few Barn Swallow and a few Pallid Swift in the distance but no great signs of migration today in limited observations. Had a few Mediterranean Yellow-legged Gull (6, 5 ad, 1 1s) in the local harbour, which will study as not so familiar with the eastern Med form. Seeing Black Kite was topical today: my page for this species in Northumberland has kicked off today in the sense of being noticed with 194 visits today by 20:45 BST. Conference starts on Wednesday lunchtime. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!!

April 3rd: maximum 8C, minimum 4C, light W breeze, some light rain showers, still feeling cool. Completed processing habitat for Honey-buzzard in Hexham Tyne Green area, making 19 done now (6 Shire, 10 Allen, 2 Tyne W, 1 Tyne E); rest will be fitted in with visits for raptors. Had a displaying Common Buzzard at 18:00 at Nafferton Farm. But it’s a kind of break now: outward bound! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 2nd: maximum 5C, minimum 0C, light NW breeze, some light rain showers. Daffodils are looking great in the cool weather. Had a Barn Owl hunting at dusk at Letah Wood at 20:10. Getting ready for trip with check-in, hotel booking at NCL on way out and still working on talk. Had good catch-up with D/D at DoW4g4s and long chat with son, who’s doing well, on FB video. Planning trips ahead: Leeds on 7/6 for Parsifal, staying overnight at Plaza near LDS; Parsifal at S on 18/6, yes going twice!, will retire to hotel overnight before flight next morning; Rienzi at Budapest later in June, booked flights via Amsterdam with KLM both ways with short break on 19/6 and longer break on 24/6 plus apartment booked by son in centre of Budapest; family trip to Marciac, near Toulouse, for 12 days in July with 2 sisters, discussing stay at nephew’s ranch; family trip with elder sister and her son’s family in French Alps, arranged already with trains, chalet, hotel in Paris booked. So looking like a lively summer; quite a lot being spent already to secure bookings. Daughter is going to come and stay in Northumberland in August for a week; their main holiday is in Seychelles! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

April 1st: maximum 5C, minimum -1C, light N breeze, snow lying in morning, thawed by lunchtime. Gr8 day out, enjoyed meeting flautist AY and 2 other flautists (Hallé, flute 2 on the night; RNS flute 2) after concert, which was very good; AY had some testing passages: the bubbling stream at the start of Vltava and one section in the Tchaikovsky. Concert was unusual in design with bias towards the tone poem type of music. The Hallé were conducted by Lionel Bringuier with soloist Timothy Ridout on viola starring in Berlioz’s Harold in Italy, which had very expansive and lively orchestration in typical Berlioz style. After the interval we heard Smetana’s Vltava from Má Vlast, a very evocative tale of a river, and Tchaikovsky’s Francesca da Rimini, which was fairly frantic in places. Late bus back didn’t get in until 00:45 (2/4), leaving Newcastle Central at 11:35, the board displayed arrival in HEX at 01:00 with 76 stops to go! Funds finished week at +69k, at a record by a few hundred! Gain ytd is +294k gross(+261k net) on need for inflation hedges, of which have plenty in commodities and the like. Not sure why people thought we could afford the 18 month closure of the economy with Covid; they weren’t in the real world and the borrowings cannot be afforded, hence the inflation; China amazingly still persists with its nutty zero Covid policy. News on major switch to small-scale nuclear (and nuclear in general) as energy source for UK is best heard for a while: a reliable low-carbon source of energy that is cheap over the whole life cycle. Don’t actually hold anything in nuclear as never thought we’d do the right thing: it’s a long term decision, which we tend to avoid. Main money is in metals (needed for energy transition) and in oil/gas (will be around for much longer than people think). Cannot easily update web site on current ‘phone; sorry it ideally needs the desktop but can use the laptop when set up when away. lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 31st: maximum 4C, minimum -1C, light N breeze, snow lying in morning, thawed by lunchtime at 150m asl but lying all day at 250m, very beautiful in bright light, had to clear snow off car at CAL but clear at HEX. Made T4m4l with M for gr8 chat and FS in SUN 4 good concert by RNS – was this home or away? Concert was well-judged mixture of serious first half, with Mendelssohn String Symphony 10 and Richard Strauss’ Metamorphosen for 23 solo strings, and a lighter, vibrant second half with dances by Bartók (Roumanian, stirring!), Brahms (Liebesliederwalzer), Webern (Langsamer Satz) and Skallkottas (3 Greek dances). Someone impressed!! Enjoyed it all and met a few partners from the S for good chat. Did a lot of work on Metro coming in on presentation, taking a handout print and moving stuff around quite drastically to make it easier to present (and understand!); 1/3 of talk in final form now. 2moro it’s another concert at S, going in by train and back on last service 10 bus at 23:25. Earlier have Skype chat with N/D and cleaner’s coming in afternoon so into NCL early for meal. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 30th: maximum 3C, minimum -1C, light NE breeze, heavy sleet at times, settling on hills around but kept clear at my level (150m asl), cold. But quite heavy snow settling at 01:00 (31/3). Had 50 Fieldfare E at Ordley where 20 flying around later on; they’ve been very scarce this past autumn and winter so good to see them coming back to Norway through us. Made G4g4t 4 good chat with B/S; last time in for a bit! Worked hard on my logic and love presentation, adding a number of slides on types of relationships in CT without doing anything elaborate. Also got a slide with lots of types of love from a dictionary – just need to marry them up, so to speak!! Do wonder where lust fits in: is it extreme love or just animal satisfaction: might have trouble keeping a straight face! Funds held onto gains with a very small further +. Got an email from NCL Airport on Ryanair – 4 new routes from NCL this year to Riga, Zadar, Milan and Chania plus Ryanair opening a £150m base at the Airport: good stuff!! 2moro it’s T4m4l with M, RNS @ FS in Sunderland; looking forward to it all; will take a draft of talk to work on during the 2x50 min Metro trips from CAL; have a Metro pass on my bus pass (£25 a year if you live outside Tyne/Wear). On Friday going to Hallé, hoping 2 c favourite flautist!! Hope someone’s keeping gorgeous: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 29th: maximum 11C, minimum 4C, light NE breeze, sunny morning, becoming cloudy with sleet by midnight. Had a Great Spotted Woodpecker on nuts, first for ages, plus a Tree Sparrow in the front. Displaying Common Buzzard, in the better weather around lunchtime, comprised one at Ordley and 3 at Hexham S. Added 4 sites to Honey-buzzard records for 2002, about ½ way though the study area records with interesting sightings elsewhere in the world, still to come. Have done slides 1-7 of talk for Crete with the next 4-5 as natural sequel (hopefully, follow quickly, he says optimistically!). Made QHC4s4l but otherwise a quiet day; no big shop this week as had more left on Sunday than usual after 2 nites in hotel last week and it’s not too long b4 exit; spent £13.50 at store I in 4St. Booked up hotel (Hilton) and parking for trip – only £115 for both. Bit lucky with funds this week at +68k wtd, crossing a major landmark (2m). Amused at the contortions the green lobby is getting into, when the only obvious answer over the next 10 years is to increase home-grown fossil fuel development; new nuclear plants could then make a difference; renewables have too low an energy density for an overcrowded island like Britain; we don’t have the space necessary to house them. Was amused at a comment in the DT: someone was criticised for making a similar comment to mine above on energy sources on the grounds that it went against the laws of economics. The reply: the laws of physics are more fundamental than the laws of economics. Indeed there was a long-standing joke in the economics department at NCL Uni that the exam questions stayed the same each year: it's the answers that changed! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 28th: maximum 15C, minimum 7C, light E breeze, dull with drizzle from time to time. Started processing Hexham Tyne Green Honey-buzzard habitat with Google Earth – a lot of parkland, urban and some arable. Made B4m4l where collecting money, numbers well down on Covid, just 19 members there. Much later made G4g4s with A/P/R and K on 4 good chat; will not be seeing them for a while. Booked seat at MUPA for Rienzi in dress circle, next to son’s! Haven’t booked flights yet! Going to draft slides for Logic and Love talk tomorrow and book Airport parking and hotel for departure. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 27th: maximum 15C, minimum 7C, light E breeze, sunny. Had eye test at SS in HEX; very pleased with result – very little change from tests 4 and 7 years ago with left-eye unchanged and right-eye one notch weaker (longer-sighted), slight cataract on it but watching brief only. Eye health near perfect with no signs of diabetes or glaucoma and only faintest sign of macular degeneration. Optician said she gets 2-3 cases a day where patients are referred to their doctor, often for diabetes. One of the staff there also helps at the G (a sight for sore eyes!!). So ordered new varifocals in metal frame for general work and new reading glasses in heavy frame (like current general pair), all for bargain price of £323! As son of ophthalmic optician, don’t think this is an area on which to economise. Am retaining for active use another pair from 2018, with focal length suitable for desktop working (c0.7m), which I find very useful. For a birdwatcher, this was really good news!! Did change my diet drastically last October, when feeling as if on a bit of a slide, with elimination of all junk food, chocolate and desserts, plus more exercise with fitness watch as encouragement; some say it’s too late to change (the di(c)e is cast) but think that’s just lazy talk! Did do habitat survey for Hexham Tyne Green while in Hexham: more urban than most and with much parkland with 2 golf courses and the Green; had 3 Common Buzzard (to N, NE, E) and 1 Red Kite (to N). Total was 17 bird-types, including 2 Grey Heron and 6 LBBG (4 ad, 1 2w, 1 1w), plus a mole and 3 Small Tortoiseshell butterflies. A Pied Wagtail was on roof at Ordley at 17:00. It is Budapest in late June: going to see Wagner’s Rienzi with son at MUPA, just days after Wagner’s Parsifal at the Sage, which also seeing in Leeds. Never seen a live performance of Rienzi so very keen! Can fly from NCL via AMS on KLM. Opera IMHO is simply the upper classes behaving badly but from a category point of view, it is the pinnacle of the art form with combination of music, voice/text and actions, giving 3 levels to exploit for dramatic effects. There are cases where all 3 go in different directions such as the polonaise in Tchaikovsky’s Eugene Onegin, where the music is joyful https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwZF0JIRFqA&list=RDiwZF0JIRFqA&start_radio=1, the vocal is querulous and the actions are despondent as the title role is rejected on his return. Had hour-long chat with son (back to work in office full-time from tomorrow) and 10-min with daughter (Gazprom not ideal employer at the present time) on FB at 17:00 and it was G4g4s with P/R for good chat. So it doesn’t make you go blind: seeing is believing: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 26th: maximum 15C, minimum 4C, light E breeze, sunny, felt a little cooler but not grumbling for time of year. Completed processing of Prudhoe S habitat for Honey-buzzard; next up is Hexham Tyne Green, hope to survey tomorrow on the ground. Fairly lazy day after busy few days! Out for lunch on patio at 14:30: had 6 Common Buzzard displaying overhead – very nice sighting, with 2 Long-tailed Tit and a Chiffchaff also in garden. Booked up for RNS in Sunderland at the Fire Station next Thursday: can get the Metro right though in c50 min from CAL (it’s 25 min to GHD): looks a good programme! Chatting to son on Sunday this week as he’s in London, supporting Ukraine demo. We may well be going to Budapest in June for a bit of Wagner. Daughter’s family have all got Covid again. Loved the emails: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 25th: maximum 17C, minimum 6C, light W breeze, sunny, warm. Completed stay in NCL with hour’s chat with D/N on Skype and another cooked breakfast; eaten well in this visit with meal each nite at VicCmt. So back on 11:23, not much time to settle back in as off to S4con with RNS: only booked this recently as thought might need a rest after 2 operas in 2 nights. Glad I went: Liu was absolutely fantastic in Beethoven 3 PC , particularly movement 2 where the slow pace inspired; overall thought the performance understated the piece but that’s often a good thing. Schumann’s 2 was a surprise: full of lively sections in m1 and m2 and wistful sections in m3; lots of applause after rousing m4 to bring a gr8 evening to a close. Gather ON have lost a few more performers from Rigoletto (vocal and instrumental) to Covid and are a little stretched for Saturday, to put it mildly. Very good chat in bar later with musicians. Diversion later: fantastic: she’s absolutely gorgeous: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!! Funds on week +34k, +225k ytd, on soaring commodities. xx

March 24th: maximum 13C, minimum 6C, light SE breeze, sunny intervals, air a little polluted, quite warm. Most active day in the last 30 days as measured on my wrist watch: 13,948 steps compared with average 6,248 steps a day. Well what have I been doing: trip to Alnmouth by train 12:40-13:07, rtn 15:00-15:25; cost £10; explored salt marsh getting 35 types of bird, bracing walk, very enjoyable trip; LNER are pushing the Alnmouth stop on fast trains to/from Scotland and doing well from it; had 12 bird-types (mainly garden birds plus 60 Common Gull, flock up in air) and a mole at Lesbury; at the salt marsh at Alnmouth had 29 bird-types, including waders: Oystercatcher 1, Lapwing 1, Curlew 9, Redshank 21; herons: 1 Grey Heron, 1 Little Egret; ducks: 1 Mallard, 8 Teal, 33 Wigeon, 2 Shelduck. You do get a lot of exercise just by using public transport. Handel’s Alcina was very well performed, maybe not quite as inspiring as Rigoletto but shouldn’t really compare them; I like baroque; it was very well done, another credit to ON; they are a little concerned still about Covid affecting their staff and not a complete return by their audiences yet but tonight was fairly full and it was almost full last night. A sensuous day with a marvellous small window of success opening up: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!! 2moro it’s most of morning in NCL, then back in Hexham by train for T4m4l with M. Making RNS with Sage4t; think might leave car at CAL as can stay out later; last-train service to HEX has been poor lately. xx

March 23rd: maximum 15C, minimum 6C, light SW breeze, sunny, quite warm. 8 Goosander (4 drake, 4 redhead) on the Tyne at Wylam E. Highlight of day was Verdi’s Rigoletto with Opera North; there were some substitutions due to a Covid outbreak, including the title role, but the show went on with understudies and have to say they performed very well. Show was pretty full. Act 3 is the best with the well known aria La Donna è Mobile, here with Luciano Pavarotti as the Duke of Mantua https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8A3zetSuYRg, featuring in many adverts. This act also includes a sexy seduction scene, an assassination which gets the wrong person, Gilda, who’s Rigoletto’s daughter and the lesson that money cannot buy you everything: in this case it bought you an assassin who messed up! Had good chat with Opera North’s Head of Music David Cowan in official reception in interval and his assistant Annette Saunders; they were very impressed with the way that Hans Krása’s opera had been received in Leeds and Newcastle and with the collaboration in general. Went for wander later, finding a quick and cheap Uber return to hotel. Funds reached a new high with PoO up at over $121 this evening. Some comments today by well-known financiers that ESG needs reforming: it’s distorting allocation of capital, for instance to oil and gas, which still provides 84% of the world’s energy; something I’ve been saying for a while. 2moro it’s train up the coast to Alnmouth for a walk and Alcina by Handel with ON in evening and another nite in Toon. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 22nd: maximum 15C, minimum 5C, light to moderate SE breeze, sunny, quite warm, ground frost in morning. Had the presumed same Small Tortoiseshell out at Ordley and 16 House Sparrow at the Sele in Hexham. Later as sat outside at home at 18:30 for a break, had 2 Canada Goose calling in the distance and 1,050 Common Gull, vast majority adult, flying S to roost at Derwent Reservoir. Busy day on desktop: started compiling 2002 Honey-buzzard records into BirdTrack, adding 27 records from 3 breeding sites and including those for which had a significant description; not easy as need to add times of sightings and some supplementary information from my diary; still it’s underway! For habitat have Prudhoe S map to register with Google Earth, maybe tomorrow morning. Consolidated all the information I’ve gleaned on emotion and handedness to document files; spear and shield model is favoured by some; your dominant hand carries the spear and your other hand the shield, reflected in opposite hemisphere in brain. So left-handed people may have different brains to right-handed, with everything swapped around: very interesting! In right-handed people the left hemisphere of the brain handles language, articulation and positive emotions (such as love) and the right hemisphere handles more defensive aspects, such as negative emotions (fear, grief), but also apparently creativity and intuition. Sometimes I think it’s all a bit fanciful but can well believe that the lhs controls the rhs and vice versa as that is adjointness in category theory: confusion might indicate a breakdown in standard adjointness. Think will do it all in category theory and see how that then relates to other people’s ideas. With this theory the lhs of brain (handling rhs of body) would create (free functor) and the rhs (handling lhs of body) would verify (underlying functor, apply the rules), in right-handed people. The free functor is the spear and the underlying functor the shield. Just out for lunch at QHC today, staff very chatty, dry day! Son has had detailed check-up and ultrasound scan at Stevenage Hospital: slight scarring on liver but it has recovered well and no endoscopy needed or any further tests; balanced low-salt diet required for the future; so relieved! Filled up with petrol, now 169.9p a litre at Shell in Hexham, costing £63. Council tax this coming year is £225 a month for 10 months for band F for single person. Electricity seems to be around £250 a month in the coldest months; now burning more coal, particularly smokeless ovoids, to reduce electricity usage. How will I manage? Funds +5k wtd, after record at +9k on Monday. 2moro I’m on the Toon, meal at VicCmt; opera reception and performance of Rigoletto, stay in central hotel and who knows what else: think I deserve a break!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 21st: maximum 10C, minimum 2C, light NW breeze, sunny, cool feel, ground frost in morning. Equinox was yesterday (20/3) this year. Quiet day until evening, making N4c4l and catching up on bird records. Did quite a lot of research on emotions in the brain, again looking at left/right handedness. Have been invited to Opera North double-reception at TR on Wednesday: should be a good 2 days with 2 operas and trip to the coast in day on Thursday at Alnmouth by train. Nite at G4ncl4s was gr8 with R/A out, K on and L seeing us out!! Had a female Goshawk displaying for 10 min over area S of Sele (maybe bird AH saw by Tyne in the winter, Hackwood site again?) at 14:00 with a pair of Mallard, a displaying Greenfinch and a Song Thrush also noted. AH down at Tyne Green today had a pair of displaying Common Buzzard to N at Hermitage, a pair of Goosander on Tyne and a few Teal..xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 20th: maximum 8C, minimum 1C, light SE breeze, sunny, cool feel, ground frost in morning. Made W4bigshop – £44.30 before discount of £4 on voucher, no big items this week except tea bags £5.45 and 2xgiant Shreddies at bargain of £2 each; latter are wheat-based, will go up fast soon. PoO at $111 this evening in far east sunrise. Then went for decent walk around Prudhoe Dukeshagg from 13:40-15:55, doing the Honey-buzzard habitat survey; need to interpret results with Google Earth but can say that oak seems to be popular with Black Kite. Raptors were soaring high in the settled weather: 2 Common Buzzard to SE of square, another 2 to S, a lone bird soaring over Hyons Wood; a Red Kite briefly to E towards Bradley Hall and another one, an adult, soaring over the site, unmated, waiting for Bruno; a Kestrel 1w over S of square, so 8 raptors of 3 types. Had 2 Barn Owl at Ordley at 23:45. Made G4g4s with D/R 4 gr8 chat; then ran out of g (as so busy in pub last Thursday) so will be on ncl brown 2moro, when no R as we met on Saturday. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Another Black Kite in UK:

20/03 12:28 Isle of Wight : Black Kite, Brighstone one reported overhead then flew east (12:21)

March 19th: maximum 12C, minimum 2C, moderate SE breeze, sunny, feeling warm, ground frost in morning. From watchpoint by road outside house from 15:00-16:00 spotted 4 Common Buzzard displaying, 2 at Linnels, 2 at Peth Foot, plus a flock of 6 Siskin and first butterfly of year, a Small Tortoiseshell. Sociable, met T/K from Juniper who had just seen a Red Kite at Blackhall and a Grey Wagtail by the burn there, and DW who’s treasurer of local church, to whom I’ve given £40 a month, since Covid wrecked their already fragile funding situation. Completed processing of Honey-buzzard habitat info at the Bywell site and set up Prudhoe site on Google Earth for visit tomorrow. Great event of day was President’s Night for Rotary at Beaumont Hotel; black tie event – here’s NR just leaving his house in proper finery. Very enjoyable, so nice to get the sociable life back – first such night since 2019; the cancellation in March 2020 was one of the first casualties as panic set in. Donated a bottle of brandy (£25) to raffle: didn’t win anything myself! Chatted to son over FB video link for an hour: he’s on 4 days a week work now in person going to full-time in 2 weeks; lockdown affected his social life very badly: now made very good recovery – seeing his sister next Saturday b4 going to concert at KP; has check at Stevenage Hospital next week; he’s planning to do a formal leasehold extension on his flat which would cost 12-15k, underwritten by yours truly. For those who like winter sports here’s piccies of family 1   2  3 in the Alps 4   5 last month. Son-in-law is probably leaving Gazprom to work for another commodity trading company: very stressful times. xxxxx XXX!!!!!! Harbinger of things to come – 1st Black Kite of the season in UK:

19/03 16:26 Devon: Black Kite, Galmpton one reported flying over to north (14:30) [R]

March 18th: maximum 12C, minimum 1C, light S breeze, sunny, feeling warm, ground frost in morning. Well through habitat compilation at Bywell: hope to complete it tomorrow to line up another site for habitat survey – maybe Prudhoe S, another Black Kite site. Had good chat with N/D on Skype in morning but wish they’d come out again: another Covid spike, albeit an even weaker strain, is giving them an excuse for further inaction. N had some interesting sightings: 4 Common Buzzard up over Hindley last Sunday, to add to my 14 in the Stocksfield area, plus yesterday: single Dipper at Guessburn and Tyne at Bywell and Chiffchaff singing. Cleaner S came in afternoon so went for walk around Sele from 15:10-16:40 and enjoyable N4c4t. A pair of Common Buzzard were displaying over the Abbey at 15:20, returning to Hexham S (where P lives, Hackwood?); 2 Chiffchaff were singing in the burn on W side of Sele and in total of 19 bird-types also saw 1 Treecreeper, 1 GBBG 1w, 2 Greenfinch, 7 Starling. Made DoW4g4s with D/D for gr8 chat! Had a Barn Owl by Styford roundabout on A69 at 23:00. Funds ended surprisingly higher on week after dismal Tuesday, closing week at +11k at new record on strong PoO; that’s +191k ytd gross. 2moro it’s dressing-up time!! Think will write: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 17th: maximum 10C, minimum 2C, moderate SW breeze, sunny and breezy, frost by morning. Energetic day, over several hours cutting back beech hedge further with long hedge trimmer and lopper and having a go at leylandii on N side; both sorted for this spring! Made T4m4l 4 good chat with M and G4g4s with A/L/R (P’s got a cold!); so busy in pub with funeral crowd, racegoers (Hexham races), football match on with NCL losing 1-0 to Everton and regulars; things are getting back to normal; liked the service – very sensuou4s!! So no work on various projects today. 2moro sees N/D on Skype in morning, cleaner S in afternoon when will go to N and DoW with D/D in evening! PoO soared back up today to $107 and funds reached new record: trying to keep calm!! Temporary lull in prices has made politicians complacent: what a complete b.lls-up their energy policies are proving to be. Gave £100 to In Harmony via RNS: they had some very encouraging support for the vital Festival in their newsletter!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 16th: maximum 8C, minimum 1C, light SW breeze, dull, rain at times. No gardening! Finished compiling summary tables for 2001 Honey-buzzard records, closely matched the totals obtained earlier but added one site, adjacent to another to handle a group of 3 adults together in Tyne Valley W in June 2001. Now started 2002; volume of records is going up as the species colonises! But gap is just 5 years now with records complete on Bird Track from 2007. Received from Charles Tyrwhitt a brand new silk bow-tie and braces, for Rotary President’s Night on Saturday at B, cost £29, which is a posh black tie event; I have the suit and shirt; will take a piccie!! Booked hotel in Paris near Gare de Lyon for our family trip in August – 2 rooms --£233 total. Made G4g4t with B/S 4 gr8 chat: passing views of L!! 2moro it’s gardening (sun forecast), T4m4l with M and G4g4s with the gang. Cleaner S is coming on Friday. Funds recovered in sparkling fashion after Tuesday’s crash: so volatile at moment. Wonder if I’ll see someone soon: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 15th: maximum 12C, minimum 6C, light to moderate S breeze, sunny. Compiling summary tables for 2001 Honey-buzzard records. Finished cutting of roadside hedge late afternoon; unusually some heavy work on high branches was done for free by the council this year; this was done throughout the district, probably a response to complaints by van drivers. Want to do a final trim of leylandii and beech in front to make them more manageable in future; going to apply my extended hedge trimmer. Then that’s winter jobs done and welcome to spring! Feeling fit for another season’s gardening on my 2 acre (0.81 ha) site. Had some good birds this afternoon at Ordley at 15:00: a Common Buzzard up with another in the trees by the Devil’s Water and 2 Red Kite up (a pair) towards Blackhall, plus a Song Thrush with one of these also seen at Sele. Had lunch at QHC – usual tuna sandwich and black Americano. Now thinking hard about papers at Crete, one in general session can be tilted towards an existing music presentation; the Logic in Love one though requires some novel thoughts, maybe along lines of adjointness between chaos, cosmos and eros! The cosmos provides intensional (logical) order out of chaos and eros provides the extensional (physical) realisation! This is linked to hyperdoctrines with first order (intuitionistic) logic in category theory. Anyway feeling more comfortable that will be able to contribute something. Giving talk to Rotary on 9/5 on Logic and Love: gave programme organiser (SC) a chuckle! Didn’t make much of funds performance last week as markets so chaotic; after last week’s +50k, this wtd is -20k!! Who would have thought that SE Asia would be so badly affected now by Covid (omicron) to add to the war worries and drive commodity prices lower, including PoO back below $100. Suspect both sides in the war are looking now for an honourable way out; the Russians have been stunned by the heroic resistance of the Ukrainians. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 14th: maximum 8C, minimum 3C, moderate SW breeze, light rain throughout day and evening, feeling cooler. Almost completed compiling Honey-buzzard records for 2001 into BirdTrack – have 40 records added, 1 site to do plus final analysis for web page on Northumberland Honey-buzzard. Hope to compile tomorrow Bywell habitat information with Google Earth and site visit on Sunday. Thinking about Logic and Love – need some pasted pullbacks and pushouts I think; need to consider extremes of lust and platonic forms. Made R at B4m4l – good company – went for walk in Sele later, admiring the spring flowers (snowdrop, crocus, daffodil, little blue spring) and picking up 6 Redwing, a Nuthatch and a queen bumblebee. Much later made G4g4s with 5 of us out, most for a while: A/R/P/L/me and K on!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Impressed by Marina Ovsyannikova at https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2022/03/14/russian-tv-employee-marina-ovsyannikova-interrupts-news-broadcast/very courageous. See @HannaLiubakova on Twitter: Украина и мир спасибо, Марина Овсянникова!

March 13th: maximum 11C, minimum 4C, light to moderate SE breeze, light showers in morning, then brightening up, almost warm! Made W4bigshop, just £44, no big items this week. Sat outside at N4c4ll where good to meet staff again and at the Mount, Stocksfield: we’re into early spring. Made the Mount from 14:55-16:50 for Honey-buzzard habitat survey no.1 for Tyne Valley W and no.17 overall. It worked out well with a fantastic display by Common Buzzard and the clear return of the Red Kite. Common Buzzard counts were: 3 at Bywell Cottagebank, 3 at Short Wood, 2 at Mowden Hall, 3 at Eltringham, 2 at Bywell Castle, 1 at Stocksfield E; that’s 14 in all at 6 sites with an incredible 10 at once up at 15:40 on N side of Tyne Valley. Red Kite records comprised: 1 up at Eltringham at 15:25, 2 displaying over Short Wood at 16:15 and 2 up floating over Bywell Cottagebank at 16:45; that’s 5 in all at 3 sites; they were less exuberant than the Common Buzzard. No other raptors were seen so no Goshawk for instance. So fantastic trip, seeing so many lively raptors in their best spring display form. Had 17 bird-types in all, including a Grey Wagtail, 3 displaying Greenfinch, 3 displaying Great Tit, 2 Stock Dove, plus mole and 2 Rabbit and a bumblebee. Quiet week coming up concert-wise but next week (from 21/3) is busy with operas on Wed/Thurs and RNS on Fri. Staying overnight in town for 2 nights to make the operas more of an occasion. About to complete booking of holiday in Chamonix area 20-27 August with elder sister and her family; we’re going by train to Paris, staying overnight and then continuing by train to near our chalet; no car hire, going to use public transport. Have put abstract on web for Logic and Love. M has just confirmed he’s not going so it’s all mine!! Black Kite are pouring into Europe from Africa but none reached UK yet; very few Honey-buzzard in Europe yet, maybe none reliably. Feeling fruity with all this spring activity: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Michael Heather & Nick Rossiter, Logical Types of Love, UNILOG 2022, Workshop Logic and Love, organizers: Jean-Yves Beziau,& Caroline Pires Ting, Orthodox Academy of Crete, 6-11 April 2022. abstract https://sites.google.com/view/unilog-2022/workshops/logic-and-love

March 12th: maximum 9C, minimum 6C, light to moderate SW breeze, dull, dry. First daffodils out yesterday (back patio) and today (front verge). Set-up Bywell for Honey-buzzard habitat survey tomorrow; first for Tyne Valley W, a much more lowland, arable area. Working on 2001 Honey-buzzard records, adding 12 migrants in Tarifa/Barbate area in August, a Black Kite in June at Towsbank and just one breeding site completed. Cut back beech hedge by front gate a bit more and generally trimmed off loose twigs. More birds around today at home, maybe now moving out of the Tyne Valley or from further S: a Reed Bunting male, 4 Tree Sparrow, 1 Song Thrush, a Red Kite flying over my house low-down at 09:30. Funds last week were indeed +50k, ytd +180k gross. xxxXX

March 11th: maximum 9C, minimum 7C, moderate SW breeze, sunny intervals, few showers. Sounds of the Sea: Challenging concert but very successful; tensions between 2 performers; last train was tonite a free taxi!! It’s late – 02:37 as write. Some of Concert was adventurous with Kyra Humphreys director/violin leading the more conventional part in Mendelssohn The Hebrides, Overture Takemitsu Toward The Sea II, Grace Williams Movements from Sea Sketches, Handel Selections from Water Music Suites. Tristan Gurney was running the adventurous part: RNS Moves Joe Cutler Concerto Grosso. a Sage Gateshead commission (world premiere) and Vivaldi La tempesta di mare. RNS Moves has disabled musicians playing with regular members of RNS and others. Some of its members play with digital aids such as headspace. The Hebrides was played with spirit and the Takemitsu was impressionist, like Debussy, with the harpist CS not seeing eye to eye with the flautist CA, clearly noticeable in the rehearsal but problems ironed out by the evening! For RNS Moves Joe Cutler’s piece was well received and the Vivaldi had an amazing recorder/violin duo (TG/MH) in a very dynamic piece. For the normal orchestra we finished with a Grace Williams piece (very vigorous) and the Water Music suite, the latter sending us all home in a good mood! A good sociable day and great music! Not balanced funds yet but looks like around 50k gain this past week. xxxXX

March 10th: maximum 10C, minimum 6C, light to moderate SE breeze, sunny, dry, feeling a lot softer, turning down heaters. Meter reader arrived in person this morning: bit ominous maybe for back-charging over period when meter not working! Cashed my £560 cheques for storm Arwen interruptions to electricity from NP: did not submit a formal claim. Had enjoyable T4m4l with M/B followed by walk around Sele where had 4 Goldcrest and 13 Redwing, all presumably in transit to Norway. Have 2 nut feeders in garden now, having bought a spare while sterilising old one with bleach. A Grey Squirrel was attracted to the new feeder but numbers of birds at feeders now declining, maybe moving further up ‘Shire to higher altitude. Made G4g4s with P/A for good crack. P lent me the book Written by Candlelight, by Liesbeth Langford, a recent speaker to Rotary, on her family's desperate life in Holland, under the Nazis: the harshness of the occupation is described in detail through a series of letters; published by Ergo in 2009. Looking forward to RNS rehearsal and concert 2moro! xxxX

March 9th: maximum 11C, minimum 7C, moderate SW breeze, sunny morning, dry, feeling a little chilly in the breeze but it is beginning to warm up! Published table for Honey-buzzard habitat for Allen as below in Table 1.1; it’s amazing how the habitat selected varies so much through a river valley from softer lowland at Ridley up to bleak moorland at Byerhope; inter-site distances also vary enormously, depending on availability of woods and richness of habitat. The inter-site distances show a gap around Allendale Town: will check this out in the coming season to see if I’ve missed one.

Site

Inter-site distances km

Area Surveyed sq km

Altitude m of nest

Woodland %

Number of woodland features

Arable %

Pasture %

Moorland %

Coniferous woodland % of wood

Deciduous woodland % of wood

Staward N

1.5

2.4

4.7



4.01

144

45.1

18

0.0

54.9

0.0

45.1

54.9

Ridley

2.4





4.05

144

26.6

15

0.0

64.8

0.0

45.7

54.3

Oakpool

1.6

3.2

4.5

5.0


3.90

181

20.5

24

0.0

79.5

0.0

28.7

71.3

Staward S

1.5

1.6

4.4


1.5

3.89

188

25.5

15

0.0

74.5

0.0

30.8

69.2

Monk

2.1

2.9

3.2



4.18

265

17.3

13

0.0

67.8

3.6

47.0

53.0

Parmently

2.1

3.6




4.02

345

9.6

7

0.0

65.3

22.1

94.8

5.2

Studdon Park

1.7

5.0




3.93

260

11.5

13

0.0

88.5

0.0

62.7

37.3

Byerhope

6.5





4.06

435

9.2

7

0.0

61.0

29.8

86.9

13.1

Sinderhope N

1.7

6.5




3.88

298

11.8

11

0.0

88.2

0.0

47.2

52.8

Park Head

2.9

3.6

4.4

4.5

4.7

4.09

338

4.5

7

0.0

43.6

51.8

96.8

3.2












Average

3.39 (13 near)

4.00

260


18.2


13.0




0.0


68.8


10.7


58.6


41.4


Table 1.1: Habitat: Around 4 sq km of nests at Honey-buzzard Sites in Allen

Habitat will be on the back burner for a bit as prepare talks for Crete but will try and keep it going: Tyne Valley W is next. Aim to get back to adding 2001 Honey-buzzard records as well. Made N4c4t followed immediately by G4g4t: latter was very enjoyable with B/S out and the nubile L on!! 2moro it’s T4m4l with M and G4g4s with the gang! xxx

March 8th: maximum 7C, minimum 4C, moderate SE breeze, sunny until tt, dry, frost early-on. Another good day weather-wise, daffodils almost out at Ordley on my S-facing verge; crocuses are superb in Hexham Sele Park, some planted by Rotary (purple crocus is symbol for our international polio eradication campaign, with last obstacles in Afghanistan/Pakistan). Did some more gardening, cutting back ivy on roadside and trimming a little of the roadside hedge. Made QHC4s4l having tuna sandwich on brown bread and salad plus black 2-shot Americano. Completed habitat analysis for Honey-buzzard at Park Head – summary table for Allen tomorrow. Tuesday is a dry (quiet) day! Funds have started week well at +32k on wtd, a new record. Thinking the world was already short of natural resources through excessive ESG zeal and the drive to net zero, had built up holdings of loads of stocks in oil and mining before the war started. Particularly interesting today was the appointment of a UK taskforce to find new sources of oil and gas: well, try the Falklands; hold c0.4% of the shares in the Falkland oil penny stocks, which might not sound a lot but 1 share in 250 of all the potential oilfields there (currently valued by market at £60m) is not to be sniffed at; lead operator in advanced development there, Sea Lion, is an Israeli company Navitas with the Falkland proposal highlighted on its home page in press news at https://www.navitaspet.com/; the Israelis do not seem to be fazed by threats from Argentina. xxx

Started thinking hard about my papers in Crete conference, revising my knowledge of Cartesian Closed Categories and lambda-calculus. Am interested in the Greek word utopia, meaning literally ‘no place’ or ‘perfect place’ depending on the derivative Greek word: ou-topos or eu-topos respectively; topos is a very popular categorial concept after Aristotle and its role in modern typing; the popular translation of utopia into English is a perfect place but it may be that some Greek philosophers did not think one existed! There’s an interesting exercise in logic here! A popular dictionary has the definitions: “1. often capitalized : a place of ideal perfection especially in laws, government, and social conditions; 2: an impractical scheme for social improvement; 3: an imaginary and indefinitely remote place” https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/utopia, reflecting the dichotomy.

Climate news for February 2022 is now available. The temperature rise from satellite measurements has flattened out since 2002 with anomaly 0.0C this month over 1991-2020 average::

UAH Global Temperature Update for February, 2022: 0.00 deg. C. March 1st, 2022 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D. https://www.drroyspencer.com/2022/03/uah-global-temperature-update-for-february-2022-0-00-deg-c/.

More detail from UAH site at https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/ shows La Niña still prevails but the link to NOAA below forecasts that La Niña will give way to ENSO-neutral conditions from late spring:

Global climate trend since Dec. 1 1978: +0.13 C per decade; February Temperatures (preliminary): Global composite temp.: +0.00 C (+0.00°F) equal to seasonal average; Northern Hemisphere: +0.01 C (+0.02 °F) above seasonal average; Southern Hemisphere: -0.02 C (-0.04 °F) below seasonal average; Tropics: -0.24 C (-0.43 °F) below seasonal average.

Notes on data released March 2, 2022 (v6.0, with 1991-2020 reference base): The global temperature departure from average in February was zero, or +0.00 °C (0.00°F). Both hemispheres were also virtually zero in their departure from normal while the La Niña-cooled tropics remained at -0.24 C (-0.43 °F). Global cooling associated with the on-going presence of La Niña typically reaches its coolest point in the months of February to April, and this may be unfolding in 2022. The latest on the evolution of La Niña and its anticipated diminishment is provided by NOAA here:

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf. ”La Niña is likely to continue into the Northern Hemisphere spring (77% chance during March-May 2022) and then transition to ENSO-neutral (56% chance during May-July 2022).”

The planet’s warmest region, in terms of the monthly departure from average, was over northern Russia in the Bulunsky District where one grid cell hit +4.6 °C (+8.2 °F) above normal. The pattern of warm and cold anomalies is related to the influence of the La Niña-induced cooling in the tropics. Other warm areas were experienced in the western North Atlantic, eastern North Pacific, Europe and western Asia with alternating regions in the far southern oceans. Paamiut off the SW coast of Greenland experienced the coldest departure from average at -5.2 C (-9.3 °F) and was surrounded by other similarly cold regions [driving the very strong jet stream, which gave such extreme wind-chills in February, particularly in northern Britain]. China experienced largely colder than normal temperatures as did the broad eastern tropical Pacific (La Niña), central US and eastern Australia.

The large-scale pattern this month favoured cool temperature over the central conterminous US and warmth along both coasts. On average then, the 48-state temperature came out near zero at -0.05 °C (-0.09 °F). Alaska was a bit warmer than usual overall, influencing the 49-state average to be just above the zero line at +0.08 °C (+0.14 °F).

Ice cover for February is unremarkable in the Arctic but low in the Antarctic:

Arctic sea ice is approaching its seasonal peak, with below-average sea ice extent in the Barents Sea and the Sea of Okhotsk, but near-average ice extent elsewhere. Antarctic sea ice extent set a record low minimum for the satellite data era. However, two regions of high interest to researchers remained locked in ice: Thwaites Glacier and the central Weddell Sea.

Average Arctic sea ice extent for February 2022 was 14.61 million square kilometers (5.64 million square miles), ranking fourteenth lowest in the satellite record. The 2022 extent was 690,000 square kilometres (266,000 square miles) below the 1981 to 2010 average.

In the south, Antarctic sea ice recently reached its late-summer minimum, dropping below all previous minimum ice extents in the satellite record (Figure 4a). For the first time since the satellite record began in 1979, extent fell below 2 million square kilometres (772,000 square miles), reaching a minimum extent of 1.92 million square kilometres (741,000 square miles) on February 25. Ice extent declined at a near-average rate though most of the month at about 40,000 square kilometres per day (15,400 square miles), then the decline slowed to about 15,000 square kilometres (5,800 square miles) per day in late February. Following the unusually early and above average sea ice maximum extent on September 1, there was a rapid decline in ice extent through the austral spring and summer, with the most notable feature being the clearing out of ice from the Ross and Amundsen Sea sectors during January and February as well as the loss of ice from the northwestern Weddell Sea region during that period. http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

March 7th: maximum 6C, minimum -3C, light E breeze, sunny, dry, frost early-on. Visited Whitfield Moor to do habitat survey on Park Head from 15:05-16:20; now adding details to spreadsheet with help of Google Earth; this will complete Allen for now with 10 sites done here for habitat to add to the 6 in the ‘Shire. Hopefully will publish Allen summary table tomorrow. It was beautiful weather for a brisk walk, getting 9 bird-types: 1 Crow, 5 Pheasant, 12 Golden Plover (groups of 8 and 4), 22 Woodpigeon, 2 Mallard, 2 Red Grouse, 2 Jackdaw, pair of displaying Common Buzzard over Park Head at 15:31 and 15:59, 3 Starling. .Also had a 1w Kestrel near Langley at 16:45, 2 Dipper (pair) at Cupola Bridge at 16:30, a Stoat at Lowgate at 14:50. R was good – we raised 8k in 2 days for the Ukrainian Red Cross, now banked and on its way. Talk was by BB on rural broadband, showing how it’s done with fibre cables laid under pasture. Made G4g4s 4 good chat with P/A with dancer K on! Looking forward to next concert on Friday! 2moro’s a quieter day, maybe lunch at QHC. xx

March 6th: maximum 6C, minimum -2C, light E breeze, sunny, dry, frost early and late. Made good progress on Honey-buzzard habitat survey, completing Parmently as well, site no.9 in Allen and no.15 overall. Next up is Park Head, a remote wood on E edge of Whitfield Moor, which hope to visit tomorrow afternoon; then Allen almost done, just Beacon Hill, a new site right on the moors in 2021, to do. Gulls have featured in last few days in live records: c30 Kittiwake adult back at Newcastle Quayside on 4/3 and a LBBG adult calling as it flew N at Hexham today. Had a toad crossing the road at Letah Wood and a Rabbit out at Newton last night. Made W4bigshop £63.50; many occasional large items such as washing powder, dishwasher tablets, cod liver oil tablets, kitchen towel, put cost up but noted inflation already in breakfast cereals. Then up to N4c4l 4 break and much later to G4g4s where R/P/D/B out: good 2 c so many out. It’s going to be another maniac week in markets with PoO over $128 tonite in Asia, up from $110 on Friday afternoon and $90 b4 war started. Don’t think the politicians understand the devastating effects of the sanctions on the European economy through inflation as a consequence of our lack of energy security: Europe’s politicians are so incompetent and complacent, a combination which had encouraged Russia to start the war. We are showing more backbone now but it’s too late. The UK in particular is still hoping to muddle through, unlike Germany, which has completely changed its energy policies. Kwarteng, the UK’s business secretary, is totally out of his depth, needs replacing asap. Main hope realistically is Russia decides that gains in eastern Ukraine will suffice and leaves the country partitioned with Lviv becoming the capital of a more western-orientated (and prosperous) Ukraine West. Anyway showed some faith in the future by booking a suite in Kamares Sanctuaries, a boutique-style hotel in Kolymvari in NW Crete for 2 weeks in April as staying on after conference for another week, cost €1663, visitors welcome!! Also, after difficulty of getting rides in Gibraltar/Spain, booked airport taxis both ways for a little over £90 total. We raised over £3.2k in our collection for Ukrainian refugees yesterday; we also collected on Friday and expect there will be other additions so great result for a cause, supported well by the people of Hexham. 2moro it’s R at B4m4l, trip out to Whitfield Moor and G4g4s with P/A. Paid in one tranche through a mobile scan of the cheque, £280, of my compensation from Northern Powergrid through power outages during storm Arwen. xx

March 5th: maximum 5C, minimum 1C, light NE breeze, sunny, dry. Completed processing the Monk habitat for Honey-buzzard, no.8 for Allen, no.14 overall. Next up is Parmently, which think can do from Google Earth with information from visit to nearby Monk. Collecting outside Waitrose in Hexham for Ukrainian refugees. I was running the card/phone reader. Amazing response from the public: never known anything like it: everyone donating something and amounts of £20 to £50 going through regularly on the reader: it’s good the support that’s being shown: through Rotary the money will go quickly to the front line. Did some gardening for over an hour, cutting the rose hedge around the old vegetable patch. Had long chat (1 hour) with son on FB video: he’s back at work properly on Monday, doing a 4-day week (3 in office, 1 at home) and back on the concert trail (Southbank, Barbican, Kings Place); so good to see; may help him increase his lease term, which he’s researching. Later met D/D at DoW for good chat. Yesterday had short session with N/D as cleaner S coming at 11:15; when on earth are they coming out again: it’s over!! lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 4th: maximum 5C, minimum 2C, light NW breeze, dry. Gr8 day, lovely to meet again!! Lunch at Soju & Gogi Korean was excellent --- very interesting novel food and tea with mixed starter, beef bulgogi and rice, washed down well with barley tea (boricha); company was lively!!. Rehearsal was quite combative with TZ drilling the orchestra hard; T was looking after us. Had tea at S with some partners for company. Concert was well attended (good to see) and well received. We heard Ravel’s Le Tombeau de Couperin, remembering some of his friends lost in WW1, quite poignant and surprisingly upbeat. Thomas Zehetmair violin and Ruth Killius viola led in Mozart’s Sinfonia Concertante for Violin and Viola in E-flat major, which was exquisite in places, so well played. After half-time we had more Mozart: Entr’actes from Thamos, King of Egypt (18th century film music) and finally Saint-Saëns’ Symphony No.2 in A minor, a little known piece but which was very effervescent including a brilliant scherzo. Think my favourite was the Sinfonia Concertante followed by the Ravel. Had scintillating chat after concert at S b4 catching last train home (which was again a bus, ice on car at HEX). So very uplifting day: pity all days aren’t like this!! xxxxx XXX !!!!!!

The onset of war in Ukraine has shattered world stock markets and boosted commodity markets with commodity stock markets somewhere in between. Final plunge on Friday finally brought down commodity stocks as well as bonds so after being +9k up on Thursday at new record, finished -4k down for the week on Friday. Still pretty resilient with own funds in commodity-related stocks with ytd +130k gross (+7.5%), +97k net with ftse 100 -5.4% ytd (-6.7% on week), ftse 250 -17.4%, dow -7.5%, nasdaq -14.9%, bitcoin -15.7% (all ytd). Commodities could well rise further so good place to be but have sold some such stocks with 79k cash held currently as now concerned about global recovery in light of the strong inflationary pressures. . .

March 3rd: maximum 6C, minimum 4C, light E breeze, dull with raw feel and light rain in afternoon and evening with thick fog over Loughbrow in evening. Moths on front porch light included Early Moth and Pale Brindled Beauty. Processed most of Monk, just the tree aggregates to prepare. Don’t know what I’d do without Google Earth: it does all the land areas so easily. Sociable day: haircut with Jd at JG, cost £25 including generous tip: said it would buy her a pint this time but not next, the way things are going. It’s good chatting to her as she knows the bar lasses who work in the G! Then at T4m4l with M 4 good crack. Finally it was G4g4s with P/R and further good chat with K on again: she didn’t realise we came out another nite in the week! Did sell heavily into the opening bell some of my oil and mining stocks, realising gains and 68k in cash; a new record today, just, even with ftse 100 down 2.6% on day. Commodities continue to gain and Russians continue to wilt! 2moro’s a busy day: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 2nd: maximum 6C, minimum 3C, light SE breeze, frost early, then dull with raw feel and light rain in afternoon and evening. Compiled yesterday's results on BirdTrack. Not processed Monk yet for habitat; think can get a bonus from yesterday of Parmently habitat survey as well as was actually in that square but first have to add Parmently to the Google Earth projects. Ag items arrived today – cost £635.26 for 2 pieces of cutlery: must be crazy! Made G4g4t with B – great chat; he’s looking well! 2moro have hair cut with Jd at 10:30 and on Saturday afternoon am helping in a Rotary collection for the poor people of Ukraine in Waitrose, Hexham. Funds reached new record today but I’m finding markets increasingly scary: starting to withdraw funds into cash and short-dated bonds: the coming recession will in turn knock commodity prices: the cure for high prices is high prices, so to speak! lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

March 1st: maximum 7C, minimum 0C, light E breeze, sunny all day, dry. Celebrated day 1 of meteorological spring by going up on the moors. Drove to the top of Whitfield Moor and in the bright light had a really satisfying 40 min (from 13:20-14:00) stimulating the optic nerve, staring at the sun: it’s very good for well-being!! Had just 3 types of bird here: 2 Red Grouse (1 calling), 1 Woodpigeon and an inspiring flock of 65 Golden Plover put up by an unknown predator and drifting around high in the sky; these are presumably local breeding birds so a good showing. Then down to work at Monk from 14:05-15:20, doing habitat survey for the Honey-buzzard: site 8 for Allen and 14 overall. Here had more waders: 4 Curlew (bubbling), 2 Oystercatcher, 5 Lapwing, with other moorland breeders: 30 Black-headed Gull adult. Also had 3 Common Gull (2 adult, 1 1w), 5 Pheasant, 1 Stock Dove, 2 Woodpigeon, 4 Feral Pigeon, 33 Jackdaw, 2 Chaffinch, that’s 11 bird-types plus some moles. Last night had a Tawny Owl calling in the Sele at 00:15, plus a Badger and a Brown Hare on the road at 00:30. Filled up with petrol on return today in Hexham – £58.50 – with PoO rising rapidly to $107 and £ falling slightly suggest don’’t delay filling up. Other commodities soaring, as Russia has large proportion of world supplies, are wheat, corn (maize), nickel, palladium, but all are going up to some extent: inflation is going to be a headache. As said here many times over the last year, energy security has been neglected in Europe and to a slightly lesser extent in the US. We are now paying the price. Ideas that we can replace Russian supplies of oil and gas are fanciful: these products are already in short supply in the world so we will need to put in some hefty bids to secure additional supplies. It is sometimes said that Russia is only the 3rd biggest producer but for practical purposes it’s equal first with Saudi Arabia and the US. The west is heading for an inflationary recession as increased commodity prices absorb discretionary consumer spending. Indigenous oil and gas fields and nuclear power stations need to be developed and the UK also needs to find storage capacity for gas so that it is not totally dependent on spot prices. It’s worth stating that oil and gas currently provide 85% of total energy in the UK, including electricity generation, heating and transport. April 2022 inflation figures will be dramatic! Funds are +1k on wtd, surviving drops of c2% in most indices this week. Bitcoin has risen: expect it to be used in bypassing sanctions. Own funds had gains in non-Russian commodity stocks and falls in Russian commodity stocks, former just winning! PoO has risen to $108.72 Brent as write! Made N4c4t where good to meet S again. Not out tonite: a dry day, try to keep Tuesdays that way. 2moro hope to meet B again at G4g4t; Looking forward to rehearsal and concert on Friday!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 28th: maximum 9C, minimum 0C, light SW breeze, dull, rain in afternoon, wind-chill 3C this evening. Winter relaxes its grip! Busy evening making B4m4s with Rotary and G4g4s with A/R/P, latter with K on and L as boss: very nice!! Will visit Monk tomorrow when the sun returns. Hope to also start adding 2001 records to BirdTrack; moving into the more modern era now, with hopefully fewer adjustments to the current totals. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 27th: maximum 7C, minimum 4C, light to moderate SE breeze, sunny, dry, wind-chill 2C this evening. Think we’re in early spring! Made W4bigshop £52 minus £4 on coupon. Made the Sh4c4ll in Wentworth for a change – staff very pleasant there but feel everyone’s in a better mood with the weather being brighter. Completed processing of Byerhope habitat data for Honey-buzzard – no. 7 in Allen and 13 overall; next up is Monk on the West Allen near Whitfield Hall. Completed the Honey-buzzard compilation for 2000: 22 records, 20 in Northumberland with 19 involving breeding at 7 sites (8 juvenile raised) and 1 involving 2 male migrants E. The 2 outside my home county were 1 in Scotland in the Highlands on 31/5 and a migrant at Agadir, Morocco: “25/4: 1 Honey-buzzard flapping S at about noon over Agadir, looking for thermals, long narrow wings, long stringy tail, wings held down in glide, pale area outside of carpal”. Next up is 2001 but now have the full records in a computer file so it’s a copy and paste task. Did some work on family tree, adding a few Wiveliscombe entries (John (a miller), Ruth, Nicholas, George Rossiter (a miller) from 1652-1707) to set up switching the line in that direction. Made G4g4s with R/P/D/J, improving turnout, good 2 c. Delighted to hear from someone – good idea!! lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 26th: maximum 8C, minimum 1C, light to moderate S breeze, hazy sunshine, dry, wind-chill 3C this evening. Some moths emerging: Early Moth, Alucita hexadactyla, as it gets less severe. Made more progress on 2000 Honey-buzzard records with just one site left to do; this was the foot-and-mouth year but, as with Covid, didn’t let it affect much what I wanted to do!! Had good chat with son: he’s going to Southbank tomorrow for a 3-part concert: Tamara Stefanovich: 20 Sonatas (for piano). He’s not quite back to work – in discussion with Uni’s occupational health officer for final clearance. Address-wise the NHS does not operate a database approach – one fact in one place – they can hold any number of addresses for a person across their empire. Son is finding some comms are going astray to long out-of-date addresses – not good! Made DoW with D/D 4 good chat: thank goodness for those who’ve kept coming out during the ‘pandemic’. Think Londoners should be careful what they wish for in terms of banishing the Russians – might reduce house prices! They surely have contingency plans for being thrown out of SWIFT: it’s never a good idea to use a payments system for political pressure: it becomes discredited. lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 25th: maximum 6C, minimum 4C, W wind moderate becoming lighter, sunny, dry, wind-chill 1C this evening. Sunrise 07:09, sunset 17:35, day length 10 hours 26 min, increasing now at 4.5 min/day, as we move towards the equinox on 21/3 with its theoretical 12 hours day-length, in practice a little more as light is bent through the atmosphere. Had walk at Dipton Wood S from 15:25-17:20 seeing a good range of birds, including a male Kestrel and a Barn Owl, actively hunting over an overgrown field. Also had 6 Common Crossbill, 2 Lesser Redpoll, 5 Chaffinch, in total of 17 bird-types. Had another Barn Owl on way back at Dukesfield, sitting on a post, at 17:30. No Goshawk seen: that was the target species. Made N4c4ll where good to have S/H on and earlier had good chat with N/D on Skype; no sign of N returning to live concerts, such a pity, there’s going to be more food available on 4/3 and 11/3 when at S4reh. Survived the volatile week fund-wise with gain of +24k, making gain ytd of +135k gross (+7.6%), +102k net with ytd ftse 100 +1.4%, ftse 250 -11.0%, dow -6.3%, nasdaq -12.5%, bitcoin -16.0%. Commodities are still the preferred sector with prices soaring as come out of Covid and with supplies restricted by past years of underinvestment. The energy transition (net zero) is driving materials like copper, nickel and lithium higher. ESG criteria need to be adapted to extractive industries: shiny tech toys have a heavy environmental cost, which needs to be acknowledged by their users and planned for in their intended take-up. The cloud is an example of a concept, apparently free in the sky, but in reality masses of processors in vast data warehouses, made of many scarce metals and with significant power usage. Never neglect the physical side!! She’s gorgeous: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 24th: maximum 3C, minimum 1C, moderate cold W breeze, weak sunshine, heavy showers, wind-chill -5C this evening. Windy spell with severe wind-chill is coming to an end – gr8 news! Sociable day, meeting M/S at T4m4l and R/A at G4g4s; pub was really rowdy with 2 parties in progress, one involving M – good to see!! Tidied up some retained material from the ongoing clear-out. So we’re at war now!! Funds still a bit ahead this week overall on large energy holdings: expecting UK to finally approve exploitation of North Sea and Falklands oil and gas reserves as an interim move in the energy transition. Bought some Russian/Ukrainian stocks today at unbelievable prices: well that’s the theory anyway!! Won an Ag spoon in auction today (1699 William III) plus a fork (1735 George II). 2moro it’s Skype with N/D from 10-11:30, N4c4l and walk out while cleaner S is busy from 15:30; not out in evening – DoW with D/D is Saturday. XXX!!! Admiringly: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 23rd: maximum 8C, minimum 0C, moderate cold W breeze, sunny morning, heavy rain late afternoon and evening. Started adding Honey-buzzard records for 2000 to BirdTrack, about ½ done by end of day; not as easy as expected as computer file just had a summary of breeding records, so I’ve had to go back to the notebook to get the detail. Fortunately I do have detailed accounts for 2001-2006 in computer files. Didn’t make QHC as had gr8 news that B felt well enough again to come to G4g4t where we met for good catch-up; he’s had tumours on his spine and kidney, former removed privately to jump the queue as he was in such pain, the latter by NHS at RVI. So things are looking up this week with B back and son starting work again. Bar service was special!! Feeling more optimistic about weather with strong winds finishing on Friday as we move into late winter. 2moro it’s T4m4l with M and G4g4s with the gang; no fieldwork is planned. XXX!!!

February 22nd: maximum 9C, minimum 3C, moderate cold W breeze, heavy rain morning turning showery, some weak sunny spells. BirdTrack still down, must have been a serious crash; I thought they had the database at University of East Anglia under Oracle with full data security measures taken. So surprised it’s taking this long to restore! Update next day: Actually service restored yesterday: message was not updated. Made Allenheads Byerhope from 14:55-16:30; it’s 20 miles from Hexham so took an additional 30 min each way in the car. Bitter conditions up there at 435m asl in the strong wind, wind-chill close to 0C. Bird list was not bad: a Common Buzzard up with 2 Raven, 32 Jackdaw, 4 Woodpigeon, 2 Red Grouse, 1 Common Gull adult, 4 Chaffinch, 1 Blackbird, 7 Blue Tit, 2 Coal Tit, 1 Dunnock, 1 Wren – 12 types, with a Rabbit the only mammal. Had 25 Fieldfare at Studdon Park on way home, where 30 Redwing were present. No waders were seen; first will be back soon on the moors. This is the first 2x2 square analysed to contain moorland. Next step is to analyse results with Google Earth; then think will go up the West Allen to Monk. Had hour long chat with big sis in evening – good to keep in touch. We are still going to Switzerland in August, probably by train, with nephew’s family. 2moro it’s lunch at QHC but no field trips are planned. Funds are +1k on wtd; commodities are still outperforming other sectors, which continue to fall. The sanctions packages were very weak because western Europe lacks energy security: it is dependent for 40% of its gas supplies on Russia. Didn’t notice any realism emerging in our leaders: just the usual mindless quotes about more renewables (unreliable) and nuclear (years away but should have been part of a replacement programme since 2000). Develop our indigenous gas and oil supplies now or forever be weak! Hope the gorgeous one is fit: XXX!!!

February 21st: maximum 9C, minimum 4C, moderate W breeze becoming light, a few hail showers, sunny periods. Despite the storms think we are gradually emerging from winter as minimum temperatures rise. Had 2 Song Thrush and a Bullfinch in the Sele after lunch and 2 Yellowhammer and a Nuthatch on food at home plus a Rabbit at Ordley .Completed analysis of Studdon Park habitat and set up Byerhope as next place to visit, maybe tomorrow. Made R @ B4m4l where it was my turn to collect the lunch money through a point of sale machine: makes it all very easy as no one has to count the cash while having lunch; it was a low-key business meeting. Hanns M flew for the Luftwaffe in the north Africa campaign, was shot down, taken prisoner and moved to a PoW camp in Bristol. Like quite a lot of people at the end of the war there was no home for him to return to (Silesia was now in Poland) so he remained in SW England, working in Devon as an agricultural labourer where he met Marjorie Spencer my mother-in-law, who was a domestic science teacher. As restrictions were lessened on the types of work ex-PoW could do, he became a railway guard for GWR on the service to London Paddington from Devon. He wasn’t a Wagner fan: favourite music was the Red Army and other eastern themes! Made G4g4s for good chat with R/A and K on!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 20th: maximum 9C, minimum 0C, moderate W breeze, such heavy rain, all roads and drains awash ahead of storm Franklin, drain from dining room roof blocked by debris presumably from my sweeping of flat roof – removed the moss at the outfall, quite a woosh as whole column of water came out in a rush; temperatures falling steadily in evening as winds approached gale force W and at 23:00 0C actual, -7C wind-chill, with snow falling. Analysed Studdon Park woodland, almost ready for next site Byerhope to complete East Allen (but not West Allen). BirdTrack web site down so cannot add any more historical records at the moment. Did add some material to WikiTree on John Rossiter, elder brother to my line through Thomas Rossiter, died 1777 in Tiverton, Devon, with a PCC will, quite wealthy, containing much family detail. He married twice but had no children so the money went to his nephews and nieces after a 17 year delay while his second wife Hannah, a much younger women and married herself once before, enjoyed the assets in trust. Also added the marriage of late wife’s parents finding that her father Hanns Joachim Makosch descended from Johannes Wilhelm Makosch, a farmer, from near Breslau, Silesia, Prussia, Germany, now in Poland and today called Wroclaw. There’s a memorial stone to Hanns at Bad Säckingen, Baden-Württemberg, Germany https://www.findagrave.com/memorial/224612642/hanns-makosch set up by one of his few relations who remained in Germany. Made concert by Florilegium at QH with M in afternoon; well attended and liked the Haydn – symphonies 101, 94, 104 played by a string quartet and a flautist with arrangement by Salomon; we also had a flute quartet by Mozart. Very enjoyable and went with M to HoE for a rw and chat afterwards. Much later made G4g4s where met R. P comes back from Madeira tomorrow. XXX

February 19th: maximum 4C, minimum 2C, light W breeze, dry, sunny. Did make Studdon Park from 12:55-14:15, for Honey-buzzard habitat survey no.6 in Allen. There’s a big gap between this site and the next one to N at Oakpool; is there a missed site, maybe in the wood by the approach to Allendale from NE but never seen any birds of prey there driving past; must check this season. Had 10 bird-types in the walk: 7 Blackbird, 1 Robin, 1 Wren, 3 Blue Tit, 2 Crow, 1 Chaffinch, 8 Woodpigeon, 2 drake Mallard, 1 Coal Tit, 27 Jackdaw, with some mole hills for the mammals. On way there at 12:45 had a Black Grouse cock on wall at Stublick and a male Goshawk flying over the moor at Yellow Rigg/Elrington (site no.4 for the species this late winter). On the way back at 14:25 had 60 Redwing at Lowgate. Made N4c4ll with bit of shopping in Super Drug (plasters) and WH Smith (coloured Biro pens for map marking in the habitat survey, Super Glue). Super Glue assisted in repair of glasses where pin came out on rhs; quite a coincidence that glasses had this problem hours after I’d made an eye-test appointment with Spec Savers for 27/3. Sight is fine but haven't had a test for 6 years and think I’ll be a little more long-sighted. Increased payment each month to BTO (British Trust for Ornithology) to £40, in line with payments to other favoured charities. Had good chat over FB video with son for an hour at ttime: impressed with his resilience, he’s back at concerts (Barbican last Thursday) and returns to work (relaxed full-time) on Tuesday. The clinic provides each week a 30-min chat with a psychologist over Zoom and a social evening with former ‘inmates’ for a year; this is all part of the initial package. We’re discussing increasing the lease on his flat from 70 to 99 years to keep its value. Met D/D 4 good chat at DoW4g4s. 2moro it’s going to be wet: pleased to have concert at QH in afternoon with M and drink afterwards. XXX

February 18th: maximum 5C, minimum 1C, strong NW breeze, storm Eunice, sleet in morning, then dry. Early-on had good chat on Skype with D/N. Set up habitat survey for Studdon Park on Google Earth – hope to get out and visit the site tomorrow. Decided not to go out today, so missed Sage concert but did watch it on LiveStream. Weather very wild and lost confidence in public transport, which seems to cancel operations at the slightest hint of trouble, let alone when there is real trouble like today with fallen trees. Concert was very good: enjoyed Chopin PC 1 – lovely lilt in mv 3 and the Schubert 3, which was played in very spirited style. Bad week for markets – US stocks in free fall and even the previously robust ftse 100 lost 1.9% this week. Reason is ostensibly the prospects of war between Russia and the Ukraine. But feel it runs deeper than that with inflation and supply shortages spooking companies and individuals. Question is whether governments are going to risk a recession to get inflation under control. Anyway sticking to strategy, holding large numbers of bonds and commodity stocks, particularly those in the ‘new’ metals for electrification of energy and in traditional oil companies. Didn’t work out this week at -24k gross, -27k net, leaving gain ytd at +110k gross (+6.3%), +77k net, with ftse 100 ytd +1.75%, ftse 250 -9.0% and dow (major US) -6.2% and NASDAQ (tech stocks) -13.4%. Overvalued tech stocks are crashing, making many investors feel poor, and bitcoin has also slumped by 13.5% ytd. Really it’s the unwinding of the cash printed to get the world through the Covid pandemic. Day did have one very bright spot: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 17th: maximum 6C, minimum 2C, moderate NW breeze, tail-end of storm Dudley, mostly dry, becoming cooler. Completed processing of Ridley habitat information with Google Earth so now done 6 sites in ‘Shire and 5 sites in Allen for habitat, 11 in all; next up is Studdon Park, near Allendale, when it becomes more comfortable outdoors. uPVC window lock arrived – very prompt and fitted by lunchtime; one snag – existing rh screw was covered by a metal casing, which was removed using a titanium-drill bit, but otherwise straight-forward and window is now duly locked with a key for cost of £3.75! Waiting to see how storm Eunice plays out before going into NCL for RNS; last train is running on current timetable but will check again when booking. Don’t think wind will be the problem up here but it could well be snow. Made T4m4l on own as M not out this week; will see him at concert at QH on Sunday afternoon. Daughter’s family are in the Alps on a skiing holiday – looks great, have got some piccies. Made G4g4s 4 good chat with R/A. XXX! Thinking of someone gorgeous!! xx lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 16th: maximum 9C, minimum 5C, W gale with damaging gusts, storm Dudley, rain morning and early afternoon, mild. No obvious damage at 01:00 17/2 but not been outside yet; power has stayed on with not even a blip. Storm Eunice looks less windy in the N but is sucking in polar air and we’re forecast heavy snow on Friday midday and afternoon so it might be the stream for RNS. Had a good stab at 1999 records for Honey-buzzard today, completing the task from handwritten entries in notebook with 9 localities, 28 records, for Northumberland plus in Holland: 2 Honey-buzzard (1 pale/1 dark) at De Slufter on Texel 26/05/1999 in afternoon; also went to forest near Zwolle on 28/05/1999 15:00-16:00 but no Honey-buzzard seen there. Texel is a marvellous place for wildlife, bit like Holy Island; think it might be a little wild there tonight and tomorrow and the ferry crossing might be a little rough! The updated 1999 position is now on the population page for Honey-buzzard in Northumberland. Next up is processing the Ridley habitat with Google Earth before getting back to 2000-2005 Honey-buzzard records, adding them to BirdTrack, but this time copy and paste from Word documents. Today made QHC4m4l (tuna sandwich and salad) and bought some more bird food (nuts, seed) from SGN in the market place; birds are going through a bag of nuts a day – very hungry. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 15th: maximum 6C, minimum 3C, light SW breeze, mostly dry, mild. Song Thrush singing in Sele Park, Hexham, at 16:45 – first for year, what a tonic! Now added 16 Honey-buzzard records from 8 localities for 1999: just the 2 pioneering sites at Staward to do. Did do some preparation for storm Dudley: sweeping flat roof of leaves, moss and debris, fixing a loose slate and tightening the gutter supports. Was a problem though: to get on the flat roof requires squirming through a window, just above the height of the flat roof, and on way back in broke the key off, with the window then locking in closed position so would not be able to open it again. In hand though with order in for new uPVC handle with lock for £3.79; picked the lock with a thin screwdriver to open the window again – don’t think they give you much security! Sent personalised birthday card and mug on Moonpig to older granddaughter S, soon to be 7! Also sending 3k towards her school fees (to her mum!)! Made N4c4t with S on and chatted to cleaner S and her daughter D when they came this afternoon. Resumed clear-out, feeling in the mood; bought some glue (along with roofing mastic and WD40) in Yorkshire store to fix the shelf. Markets under a lot of pressure this week over Ukraine situation; own funds down 13k on wtd but feel commodities will lead the way higher again once current uncertainty is resolved; many shares are priced for much lower commodity prices so even if the commodities just stay the same, the shares should get a lift eventually. Storm Dudley is amber and Eunice, close behind, is yellow so hoping the power stays on. XXX

February 14th: maximum 8C, minimum 4C, light W breeze, light rain from time to time, mild. Bulbs are coming through strongly now, both at home and in the Sele. Had a Barn Owl hunting over my field at dusk at 17:20, no doubt after voles, lovely sight. Added records from 5-6 sites now for 1999, time-consuming going through the handwritten notebook but the remaining years are all in doc files, so mainly copy and paste with review. Today visited R at B4m4l where we had a talk on rewilding, looking at the Italian experience; she went on to talk about Kielder; I asked her in q&a about the Lynx but she clammed up quickly. Plans to reintroduce the Lynx into the UK are on hold showing our ultra-cautious approach. Many European countries have viable Lynx populations and their natural prey of small deer makes them ideal as an apex predator in wooded areas e.g. Kielder. They are planning to reintroduce the Golden Eagle into Kielder though which is a good idea. Much later made G4g4s with A/R 4 good chat with M on! Have completed this phase of clear-out, much stuff ending up for composting under the large conifers on the edge of the field. Need some glue to fix a shelf that had collapsed, then can reload sorted material. Want to do a bit of reinforcing outside b4 storm expected Wed/Thurs. Back on the concert trail on Fri/Sun. My trip away only loses me one concert, on 8/4. xxx

February 13th: maximum 8C, minimum 4C, light S breeze, light rain, mild. At Ordley had 4 Lesser Redpoll on alder mast yesterday on edge of field and a Jay on birdtable today. A Common Buzzard was displaying at Letah Wood in the rain today – getting fruity! This evening Early Moth and the Chestnut moth were on the wing. Added records for Honey-buzzard from one site in 1999 to BirdTrack, so under way with 7-8 more sites to do. Started to think about the Logic and Love workshop: it may be thought of as a joke but it’s actually really serious: love is not amenable to Boolean Logic (the classical AND, OR, NOT operators with a double negative meaning true): it’s much more subtle: some of us will be using intuitionistic logic which can express much more subtle outcomes, in between the classical true and false: intuition may well be the underlying theme: in category theory intuitionistic logic is represented by the Heyting algebra, developed by Dutch mathematician Arend Heyting at the University of Amsterdam. So the Workshop is inviting a discussion on more subtle and novel forms of logic!! All the same there might be the odd snigger: Unilog (Universal Logic 2022) is a relaxed meeting!! Back in the real world made W4bigshop, spending more at £59, and N4c4ll where pleased to have H on, welcome breaks from large clear-out in place. Made G4g4s with R/B/D for good chat and nitecap: favourite bar-lass was back on: very impressive!! So tomorrow it’s VD: will be thinking of someone: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

February 12th: maximum 7C, minimum 6C, early ground frost, moderate W breeze, mostly cloudy, wind-chill 2C max, wind finally dropped in evening. Snowdrops are out beautifully and daffodils are growing rapidly with closed buds emerging strongly. Doing significant clear-out of old material of all sorts to realise some buffer space, scanning some material before chucking it. Reason is usual one – have mislaid a few items and need to sort the clutter to relocate them. Key throw-outs are computer manuals (no demand for these – aesthetic value low) and dictionaries and the like (Google Translate does everything now). Have uncovered some interesting personal items, which will reveal later. Chatted to son over FB video link for an hour – he’s recovering well, been given leave to go back to work, might go down in March to see big sis and the 3 of us could go to Peter Grimes at ROH. Also made DoW4g4s with D/D 4 good chat!

Unilog 2022 is going ahead from 6/4-11/4; booked flights NCL-CHQ by Ryanair for 4/4-18/4 for total of £166. Have 2 papers scheduled. Most interest at moment is in Logic and Love workshop https://sites.google.com/view/unilog-2022/workshops/logic-and-love where we have an abstract for Logical Types of Love! Not sure whether there’s a practical session! After supporting so many worthy causes this year, am going to pamper myself now but any exciting company would be very welcome!! Have still to book hotels, waiting for ideas from the conference as it’s good to be in hotel with other delegates and can get a discount through the conference. XXX!!

February 11th: maximum 5C, minimum 1C, early ground frost, light SW breeze, sunny all day, wind at last dropped but not for long. Did make Ridley/Morralee at Allen Banks where walked to highest point and studied the habitat from 13:30-15:15; very few birds around but did have a Common Buzzard over nearby Lipwood at 11:25 in total of just 11 types. Have to register the habitat with Google Earth, maybe 2moro. Updated final 2 tables on 1998 records to the web. Decided to do 1999 records next; my archive system has failed me here, having saved all Honey-buzzard reports from 1993 to the present but have lost that one year and only a summary is on the web. So compiling the records from my handwritten year notebooks – my writing then was little better than it is now! Foreign trips that year included 2 weeks in August in Gambia (Senegambia Hotel) with incursion into Senegal with wife and a week in May in Amsterdam and Texel, Holland, with N, me driving off North Sea Ferry from North Shields; will search the notes for Honey-buzzard, certainly some in Holland but in Gambia would have had to be 1s birds as adults away breeding in Europe at that time. In 1999 I was County Bird Recorder for Northumberland and north Tyne & Wear and lecturer in databases and systems analysis in Computing Science at Newcastle University; my wife (AR) was teacher (soon to be Assistant Head) and head of history and drama at Hexham Middle School. Funds had a good week at +16k, taking ytd gain to +134k gross (+7.6%), +104k net, with ftse 100 ytd +3.2%, ftse 250 -6.1%; closed 4k below peak yesterday on weakness of US stocks. Commodities continue to rise, particularly PoO, now over $95 a barrel Brent. Have granddaughter S’s birthday next week, closing the main season for donations. Delighted to see BAF had good closure in Leeds and Gateshead – marvellous outcome for the Festival and for music in the north!! xx

February 10th: maximum 5C, minimum 2C, moderate to strong W breeze, sunny all day, wind again made it feel chilly with wind-chill temperature -2C max. Even the hardiest locals were calling it cold today! Met M at T4m4l 4 good chat with vegetarian quiche my choice and R/A at G4g4s for another good social. Added 1998 records for Honey-buzzard to BirdTrack for Northumberland (from a computer file, 17 records) and for Belgium (from handwritten notebook, a pair at Namur (River) Sambre on 26/8 during a logic conference there), also noting a nil report for Mull, Scotland, in May. Need to add analysis of 1998 records to the population file and will then go back through my handwritten notebooks for 1990-1997 to check for Honey-buzzard records outside Northumberland. Will continue habitat survey with visit to Ridley tomorrow after chat in morning on Skype to N/D. Very happy to meet someone again: it’s funny how when you think someone’s gone for good that they suddenly reappear: XXX!!!

February 9th: maximum 6C, minimum 1C, moderate W breeze, sunny all day, wind again made it feel chilly with wind-chill temperature 2C max. This strong, cool wind just goes on and on. Dentist visit was leisurely, some 30 min, not sure that I really want to spend a lot of time in the chair but HL is charming and a very good practitioner. Had inside of crowned tooth cleaned up without any numbing by a coarse grinder – pretty brave by my standards! Crown was refitted and teeth cleaned with ultrasonics, producing quite a lot of blood from the edges of the gums; given instructions on how to use an electric toothbrush more effectively; cost band 2 £65.20; next inspection in 3 months time! Bought new electric toothbrush in Superdrug for £13! Did have lunch at QHC – tuna sandwich with salad, nice and mushy for the reinstated crown, which she gave a 50% chance of lasting a year or two as there’s not much of the tooth left on which to fix the crown; if comes out again, the tooth will have to be extracted (would be my 2nd gap!); cauliflower cheese tonite! Walked 5.1km today, around Corbridge and Sele. Donated £40 + GA to Friends of Hexhamshire Parish Burial Ground (for late wife). Bought tickets for the 6 RNS concerts in the spring for £240 (without discount 10%, couldn’t get that to work but good cause) and also bought a ticket for £18 for Haydn concert (symphonies 94, 101, 104, plus Mozart Flute Quartet 1) by Floriegium on period instruments at QH, Hexham, on 20/2 at 15:00. Also booked with NH for 2 rehearsals for RNS on 4/3 and 11/3. Funds reached a new record today on renewed optimism for pandemic being largely over with net gain ytd now climbing over 100k; PoO back up over $91 a barrel of Brent quality. Weather very blustery 2moro so lengthy lunch with M at T, compilation of 1998 Honey-buzzard records on Bird Track, G4g4s, leaving Ridley habitat survey (no.11 in total, no.5 for Allen) for the better weather on Friday. Have completed compilation of Sinderhope habitat. 2moro is close of BAF: it’s been a gr8 1: XXX!!

February 8th: maximum 7C, minimum 3C, moderate W breeze, dull morning, brighter later, wind made it feel chilly with wind-chill temperature 3C max. Did make Sinderhope area on East Allen for Honey-buzzard habitat survey no.10 (no.4 for Allen); easier than some as mostly pasture with woodland restricted to the valley. Sorted out the maps on Google Earth this evening so ready for next one in main Allen at Ridley, the lowest one in the valley altitude-wise. Was up at Sinderhope from 12:00-13:50, getting 10 types of bird including a pair of displaying Common Buzzard at the S wood and a single over the N wood, plus a Raven over pasture to E, 26 Common Gull, 3 Stock Dove, a drake Mallard, 3 Crow, 4 Rook, 22 Jackdaw, 3 Coal Tit, 1 Woodpigeon; plus loads of moles, including 90 strung out on wires (always hate this practice). Had a Kestrel hunting at Snape at 11:45. Most cheering sight was as came out of front door at 11:30: 2 Lapwing flying W, onto higher ground to breed in the spring. Came back to N4c4ll for restoration where treated well. Walked 5.9km today, most at Sinderhope. Loved the review of the Brundibár opera performance at the Sage https://www.thereviewshub.com/brundibar-sage-gateshead/, particularly the 2nd paragraph! 2moro it’s dentists in Corbridge at 10:10 for re-fixing of crown, including a bit of drilling to remove a little decay, cleaning and x-ray: not my favourite pastime! Will be happier by lunchtime, when may well go out to QHC. Funds are +5k on wtd as mining stocks rise but things in general are a little choppy still. xx

February 7th: maximum 9C, minimum 6C, moderate W breeze, sunny morning, cloudy later, much milder by afternoon. Added all 1997 records for Honey-buzzard, including notes, to BirdTrack, 16 from Northumberland (6 sites, 5 breeding, 1 present). So just 1998-2005 to do! It’s very blustery at the moment in the ‘Shire but think it may quieten down enough for habitat survey at Sinderhope tomorrow. Had some interesting birds today: 3 Mistle Thrush, 30 Linnet at Ordley with the most encouraging sight of a pair of Goshawk displaying over Slaley Forest Dukesfield at 14:40; that’s 3 sites for Goshawk already! Also in walk around Sele at 14:15 had a Song Thrush (1st for year) and 8 Blackbird, plus a Common Buzzard over Letah Wood at 12:10. Made Rotary at B4m4l – good chat – and speaker on park runs, to which we gave some money, was entertaining! More social life at G4g4s with R/A and dancer K on: she was impressed that I’d been to the ballet: hope for me yet!! After yesterday’s concert gave £44 + GA to Newcastle Phoenix Choir, based at StJStB in Fenham: feel they need support and like their support for people with mental problems. Hope opera performances went well: xx!!

Pause persists in latest climate data. Temperature anomaly on satellite data for January 2022 was just +0.03C over 1991-2020 average https://www.drroyspencer.com/latest-global-temperatures/ with in more detail https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/ global climate trend since Dec. 1 1978 reducing to +0.13 C per decade:

The global temperature departure from average in January fell from December to what is essentially zero, at +0.03 °C (+0.05 °F). Equatorial cooling associated with the on-going presence of La Niña continued and the tropics are now substantially below the 30-year average at -0.24 °C (-0.43 °F). As is often noted on these reports, the maximum cooling effect of La Niñas usually occurs sometime from February to May.

The planet’s warmest region, in terms of the monthly departure from average, was over eastern Russia where one grid cell hit +4.6 °C (+8.2 °F) above normal in the Bilibinsky District. The pattern of warm and cold anomalies is related to the influence of the La Niña-induced cooling in the tropics. Other warm areas were experienced in the No. Atlantic and alternating regions in the far southern oceans. Tukarak Island in the Hudson Bay, Canada, came in with the coldest grid cell and was -3.5°C (-6.3 °F) below average. The cool regions in the tropical Pacific (due to La Niña) led to a pattern that produced cold areas in NE Canada and along the Antarctic coastline of the Western Hemisphere. It was also quite cool over the No. Africa, parts of SE Asia and the subtropical western Pacific.

The Arctic sea ice persists more than predicted, not the narrative the scribe wants:

Arctic sea ice this January: so last decade. February 3, 2022. While January began with sea ice extent below average, by the end of the month, extent increased. January 2022 finished as the sixteenth lowest extent in the satellite record above all years since 2009, with the exception of 2013 and 2014. This illustrates the large natural variability in sea ice conditions. However, winter ice extent is a poor indicator of what the ice extent will look like this coming September. http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/.

The same source indicates Antarctic ice is at low levels, but this seems counter-intuitive with the recent record-cold Antarctic winter:

This January, Antarctic sea ice was the second lowest ice extent in the 44-year record (Figure 5a). Regionally, ice extent is tracking below levels observed for 2017 in the Indian and Pacific sectors, but above levels for that year in other sectors (Figure 5b). In 2017, only the Ross Sea region had record low extent, so it was the driver of the overall record low hemispheric extent. Similarly, this year none of the individual regions have record low extents, but all are well below average leading to the second lowest Antarctic sea ice in the satellite record, above 2017.

The latest on this La Niña event can be found here. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf:

ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Advisory

La Niña is present

Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across the east central and eastern Pacific Ocean.

The tropical Pacific atmosphere is consistent with La Niña.

La Niña is likely to continue into the Northern Hemisphere spring (67% chance during March May 2022) and then transition to ENSO neutral (51% chance during April June 2022).

February 6th: maximum 3C, minimum 0C, moderate W breeze, sleet showers in morning, wind chill -6C, bitterly cold in the ‘Shire. Coal stove is doing wonders: house is lovely and warm. Many people in the ‘Shire burn coal or wood to keep themselves warm. Added all 1996 records for Honey-buzzard, including notes, to BirdTrack, one from Devon (1 breeding site) and 19 from Northumberland (6 sites, 1 migrant, 5 breeding). That leaves about a 10-year gap in records on BirdTrack which am filling as want to match up habitat with order of colonisation to see what was particularly favourable. A bit of a birdie day: masses around bird table and nuts in morning with 14 Blue Tit, 3 Goldcrest, 1 Tree Sparrow (1st for year), 1 Greenfinch, 5 Chaffinch, 3 Great Tit. 1 Coal Tit, with 12 Redwing on turnip field. Putting loads of food out at the moment and it’s attracting many deserving cases. Had a female/1w Brambling on the grain yesterday. Made Wylam from 14:10 – 17:15, parking at station near Tyne, getting 10 bird-types in all, including 5 Goosander on Tyne (4 drake, 1 redhead) plus an impressive female Goshawk beating the bounds over the Station at 14:20 and the woodland to S; Goshawk breed here regularly so this is another (2nd) breeding record for them in 2022. 40 Redwing were at Horsley at 14:05 so some signs of Scandinavian breeders moving towards return. A Woodcock was flying over Ordley at 17:45 as returned home. Main purpose of visit to Wylam was for most agreeable bird topic: the Lark Ascending by Vaughan Williams played exquisitely by AR on violin with choral backing as part of a packed concert by the St James Consort. Really enjoyed the whole concert!! Unilog are starting to arrange the conference on Universal Logic at Crete. Mike and I have a paper in the Logic and Love Workshop titled Logical Types of Love leaning on the classics: quite a challenge and guess who’s presenting it! We have one more paper accepted; will put up further details soon but Crete is my big spend this spring!! M is still suffering from long Covid. Made G4g4s with R for good chat; P’s off to Madeira for 2 weeks. So was a gr8 day!! xx

February 5th: maximum 7C, minimum 2C, moderate W breeze, rain all day, raw feel. Made W4bigshop £52 and chatted with son via FB video for 45 min at 17:00: he’s making good progress, both physically and mentally. Ended day at DoW4g4s with D/D 4 good chat: staff are very friendly there! 2moro afternoon Winter Tales presents in St Oswin’s Church, Wylam: shall be there, looks a good programme!! Need a good sleep!! xx

February 4th: maximum 4C, minimum 2C, moderate W breeze, sunny but feeling cold in wind. A good social day with the lunch at Cassia in Corbridge (Italian) with the IT gang of 5. Had 10 min chat on Skype with N/D before scurrying off to get train. Gave train a miss in evening as saw on website last one was cancelled and don’t like last buses, which they’d put on instead. So it was drive to CAL and then Metro through to GHD. Concert was decidedly Spanish – very lively and rhythmic, particularly the pieces by De Falla: Three Cornered Hat Suite No.1 and El Amor Brujo Suite. The Granados piece – Intermezzo from Goyescas – was very lyrical. Craig Ogden was the well-known soloist on guitar in Rodrigo’s Fantasia para un gentilhombre. We had an encore from the soloist and by the RNS at the end: overall a cheering experience. Had a nitecap there after the concert with plenty of good chat, including pp Christine and the woodwind gang! Metro back at 23:00 was slower than expected as got stuck at SGos waiting for Airport connection. But drive back was quick, just 30 min, so still beat bus and lit the coal fire, which had pre-laid, to warm up the place overnight. 2moro it’s chat with son at 17:00 over FB video link and DoW4g4s with D/D. Funds were off 1k, first weekly fall since late November but still up ytd 118k gross (+6.7%) and 88k net with ftse 100 ytd +1.8% and ftse 250 -7.5%. xx

February 3rd: maximum 8C, minimum 3C, moderate W breeze, dull, dry, mild. Still in the big city, making CT4s4l (Coffee Trader, old haunt when at unn!) and walk along Quayside from 14:30-16:00 where had 10 bird-types: Herring Gull 101, Feral Pigeon 53, Black-headed Gull 15 (13 ad, 2 1w), Woodpigeon 6, Crow 4, Cormorant 2 (ad, 1w), Magpie 2, GBBG 1 1w, Collared Dove 1, Sparrowhawk 1 female hunting over north bank. But no LBBG or Kittiwake, as will happen soon in late winter. Yesterday had great sighting of a Red Kite over my house at Ordley at 14:15. First seen this year and have been out a lot more this winter in Honey-buzzard habitat surveys so think this is a returning record, not one that has lied low. Walked 6.9km yesterday and 10.8km today: city life is very healthy! Highlight of day was the Nutcracker ballet live at TR in the evening by Scottish Ballet to a pretty-full hardly-a-mask-to-be-seen audience, in the Upper Circle anyway. In the large orchestra (60 strong) were the partners NB (cello) and EG (lead-flute). There were many more women than men there and, in MCP circles, men who like ballet are sadly thought to be odd! Performance was very moving – it’s obviously a simple story with the girl dreaming that her toys come alive – but the music by Tchaikovsky is sublime, particularly the grand pas de deux between the Nutcracker (representing the nut-cracking toy in the form of a prince) and the Sugar Plum Fairy. You can see a concert performance of this by Gergiev on youtube. Pleased to hear from someone: xxxxx XXX!!!!!! 2moro it’s check-out but back in again in evening after lunch in Corbridge with the IT gang for the RNS; last train cancelled so in via CAL.

Cost of living crisis – what a disaster as a result of net zero policies and a lack of capitalist principles in energy going back 20 years. Having a house in band F will not give me any rebate on council tax but at least I’ve benefited from owning many oil and gas shares. The only escape route is to open up our indigenous gas and oil supplies, even including fracking, while we wait 10-20 years for unreliable renewables to prove their worth or otherwise. The time-scale for the energy transition is far too short. The EU is classifying gas (and nuclear) as an essential part of the transition. Why can’t we show such pragmatism? We’re run by idealogical bigots! PoO Brent up to $91 a barrel this evening; petrol prices will go up again. ESG is a major distorting force, diverting capital from energy producers, so reducing supply. On another topic – crash in Facebook (Meta) shares down 25% in a day was forecast by Saxo in a recent webinar.

February 2nd: maximum 9C, minimum 4C, moderate W breeze, some sunshine, feeling milder. Closing BAF concert was both sublime and poignant. Dora Pejačević: Piano Quintet was the sublime part, Natalie Klouda: Piano Quintet (Special Commission) was ultra-poignant with harsh ending mirroring Alma Rose’s tragic death at the hands of the Nazis. Enjoyed whole evening: BAF is a fantastic achievement and really happy to be involved. Someone is very desirable: lok2tgrf: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!! Staying over for 2 nites and finding there’s 2 concerts at Kings Hall tomorrow might visit those with trip along Quayside in between (lunchtime one is certainly on). It’s Nutcracker 2moro at TR; might have short trip on Metro later!! xx

February 1st: maximum 9C, minimum 6C, moderate to fresh W breeze, some sunshine but feeling cool in strong winds. Days are lengthening rapidly: sunrise 08:00. sunset 16:45. so day length up to 8 hours 45 min; in next 7 weeks has to reach 12 hours for equinox so that’s plus 4 min a day on average (faster as cross equinox). Don’t like this weather – too much like Wuthering Heights up here! Glad I’ve got the concerts to keep me warm. Made QH4s4l but otherwise a quiet day before 4 nites out in a row!! Completed survey of Honey-buzzard habitat at Oakpool (3rd site in Allen and 9th site overall); pleased at progress but not going out again until it quietens down weather-wise; next site to do is Sinderhope N. Funds +2k on wtd after +5k yesterday at new record, a little choppy; have even bought a few tech-related shares after their big falls. So looking forward to 2moro loads: xx.

January 31st: maximum 5C, minimum 3C, moderate W breeze after gale force winds from W overnight, some sunshine but feeling cool in strong winds. Made N4c4t, Rotary at Masonic Hall 4m4s and G4g4s, last with P/A/R 4 good chat with K on. Talk at Rotary was by school pyramid chief executive GA – very good, amazing how the school buildings have been improved in the rebuilding of Hexham High School and Hexham Middle School, now on same site. We had a power cut at the Masons, due to a fuse going but it was repaired very quickly so we could see the slides of the schools. Still a glow from yesterday, maintained this afternoon: xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 30th: maximum 5C, minimum 1C, W gale after calm start to day, sunny becoming cloudy with rain, feeling cool in strong winds. Had a Kestrel perched by Brocks Bushes in hedgerow at 16:50. Festival was brill, really enjoyed combination of ON and RNS with ON Youth Chorus excelling. It’s such a landmark for the Festival to achieve such a prestigious event with full support from its supporters. Liked the trios played before, really tricky to play, both by Hans Krása: Tanec and Passacaglia & Fuge, for violin, viola and cello with AR/JS/DH. The opera Brundibár, also by Hans Krása, rather reminded me of a Kurt Weill piece, not surprising really, as they were both creative in the 1930s and 1940s and liked exploring relationships between relatively ordinary people. Thought the two young kids Pepíček and Aninka were well played by Hazel Read and Scarlett Banks and Samuel Mills did well as the baddy in the title role! Suspect that the production will mature and the 2nd performance in Leeds will be the pinnacle! Gr8 social event: pleased to meet JL again and hopefully this time we will meet at the ROH (in Peter Grimes, not Tristan); the AD is doing brilliantly, not just in the music, but in overcoming the bureaucracy to get the bar re-opened!! The Festival has certainly captured the imagination of the music-going public this year without sacrificing any of its ideals, a great achievement! Drove to CAL and then used the Metro – surprised to find my annual Metro pass (free off-peak for residents of Northumberland) had expired but easily renewed at the machine at CAL for £24. I last renewed it when I came back from Kenya last January. Made G4g4s 4 nite-cap with D/P/R with K on. An exhilarating day!! xx Absolutely gorgeous!! lok2tgrf!! xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

January 29th: maximum 8C, minimum 1C, SW gale, sunny but warmth blown away in the wind. Out to Oakpool from its W flank to study Honey-buzzard habitat from 15:00-16:05; pretty punishing conditions in the gale with small branches all over the place on the roads; didn’t feel mild at all in the gale. Wildlife was lying low but did have 50 feeding Fieldfare in a field at Stublick, where a Roe Deer was in a plantation. At Cupola Bridge had a pale Common Buzzard, as seen a few days ago, up hunting at 15:20. At Oakpool had another Common Buzzard low through the trees,1 Pheasant, 2 Jackdaw, 3 Woodpigeon, 1 Blackbird, so that’s just 5 bird-types in the survey area, plus some mole. Walked 3.5km today and 6.5km yesterday, with 2 bridge crossings. Chatted with son and daughter from their homes at 17:00 for 40 min on FB video chat – he’s recovering well, walking much better and keen to get back to work in person; has joined 3 support groups, had flat deep-cleaned, electric appliance problems being sorted and £150 order for home delivery from Waitrose. Made DoW at 20:30 for 2 hours with D/D for good chat, following Skype chat with N/D as usual yesterday. 2moro it’s the big concert at S, greeted with much anticipation, going in from CAL-GHD as evening train service not good on Sunday. xx

January 28th: maximum 8C, minimum 7C, moderate SW breeze, cloudy, very mild for time of year. Completed Staward S habitat survey for Honey-buzzard and started on Oakpool. Concert was magnificent: RLP with new conductor Domingo Hindoyan were superb: loved the Ravel PC with Jean-Efflam Bavouzet as soloist; he was amazingly suited to the role, playing the fast movements 1 and 3 with verve and the beautiful (slow) movement 2 with great sensitivity, backed up in m2 with evocative woodwind oboe, flute and clarinet. Also liked the Bolero by Ravel, a popular item but none the worse for that, played with great panache by the whole orchestra. Ravel’s sad Pavane pour une Infante Défunte brought the best out of the woodwind. We also heard Debussy’s Jeux, Poème dansé and Roussel’s Suite No. 2 from Bacchus et Ariane. So all French with Ravel’s music starring. Chatted in bar afterwards with TO’D, who’d helped their woodwind out after one of their players got isolated with Covid and CM, who’s playing in an important rehearsal tomorrow morning (Sunday performance almost sold-out now). Funds had a very erratic week, falling 20k on black Monday, but after a clean-out, ending the week +6k at a new record, with recovery in mining stocks and some timely purchases of depressed oil stock and junk bonds. Change ytd is +117k gross (+6.6%), +89k net. There’s a move from the logical to the physical with ftse 100 (ytd +1.1%) holding up better than US dow (ytd -4.4%) and ftse 250 (-7.8%) and particularly the US nasdaq (tech) at -12.0% ytd (from 1/1) even after yesterday’s rally of 3% and bitcoin -20%. Some fashionable tech and green stocks, with sparse earnings profiles, are down 25-50% in a month. Never neglect the physical!! Cash is 131k. No withdrawals this week but have scheduled 2k for Festival on 1 Feb and 3k for elder grand-daughter’s birthday in mid-Feb. Next week am staying in NCL mid-week from Wed-Fri at place near station to avoid too much travelling with all the concerts coming up, including the ballet on Thurs. xx

January 27th: maximum 8C, minimum 3C, moderate and gusty W breeze, sunny, frost-free; will take this for end-January. Have completed analysis of Staward S on Google Earth using field work from yesterday; need to calculate percentages for each tree-type, using spreadsheet, and compile summary figures for the site; next up is Oakpool, then going to do some moorland areas, all in Allen. Sociable day, meeting M/B at T4m4l – had vegetarian cottage pie with baked beans – and G4g4s where met R/A/P – all gr8 chat. Bought 2 bags of kindling for £4.98 at Yorkshire store; makes lighting of fire very easy. Son heads for home tomorrow after high standards of care, both mentally and physically; chatting to him with daughter on Saturday early evening on video link.

All happening at once: CDMN is listing next Monday in Toronto; will not increase funds value but will hopefully increase liquidity by a bit over £100k:

Toronto, Ontario--(Newsfile Corp. - January 27, 2022) - Canadian Manganese Company Inc. ("Canadian Manganese" or the "Company") is pleased to announce that the Company has received final approval to list its common shares on the Neo Exchange Inc. Trading is expected to commence at market open on January 31, 2022 under the symbol "CDMN". "Approval for listing is a meaningful milestone for the Company, and we are excited to be a part of the growing list of critical mineral companies choosing to list on NEO, a stock exchange that is quickly becoming the recognized leader in facilitating access to capital for Canada's innovation economy," stated Matthew Allas, President and CEO of Canadian Manganese. "Our choice to list with NEO provides us with access to an exchange focused on providing an equitable marketplace to all investors, which we believe will increase investor confidence, facilitate greater liquidity, and maximize the Company's profile," added Matthew Allas.

ABOUT CANADIAN MANGANESE: Canadian Manganese is a battery metals company whose principal focus is advancing the development and commercialization of its wholly-owned Woodstock Project, a manganese carbonate ore deposit strategically located in New Brunswick, Canada. The Company's mission is to become the global ESG leader and primary North American based supplier of high purity manganese products to the lithium-ion battery industry, in particular the electric vehicle market.

Funds reached a new record today with PoO around $89-90 a barrel for Brent grade, highest for 8 years.

January 26th: maximum 7C, minimum 3C, moderate and gusty W breeze, mainly cloudy, few sunny intervals, continuing dry, largely frost-free but did see frost on car at dawn. While cleaner S hard at it, out to Staward Gorge from 14:30-16:30 for habitat survey for Honey-buzzard in Staward S. Staward Gorge is spectacular with the Allen cutting though a deeply wooded area 1 2 (mainly pine and larch with some birch and oak); the scenery is quite reminiscent of Schwarzwald in Germany (the Black Forest) so ideal for raptors; it’s also home to the Dormouse, its most northerly outpost in Britain https://www.nationaltrust.org.uk/allen-banks-and-staward-gorge/features/wildlife-at-allen-banks-and-staward-gorge and the Dipper, one seen today 1. The sign mentions the National Trust (run E bank) and the Whitfield Estate (run W bank and S area by Cupola Bridge, where parked). The two Honey-buzzard sites in the Gorge are both in conifers, just 1.5km apart suggesting rich habitat, and are both on the W side, so they favour the shooting estate! A network of footpaths ruins through the NT land. Had good walk (6 km for day) looking at the habitat and finding a good range of birds, including the Dipper, and a male Goshawk, hunting Woodpigeon and Jackdaw: first of year and included in this year’s breeding sites as this species breeds very early, claiming territory in late January and February. Also had 3 Common Buzzard, 1 pair display and 1 bird patrolling, a Treecreeper, 2 Long-tailed Tit, 2 Stock Dove, 1 Greenfinch, 2 Wren, 6 Coal Tit, with commoner species: 240 Jackdaw, 9 Rook, 31 Woodpigeon, 8 Pheasant, So total of 13 bird-types, plus some moles. Earlier made W4shop £52.44 including £12 for 2 smart new pillow cases and N4c4l where made to feel very welcome. Tomorrow is freedom day no.2 in England, away with masks; doubtless some venues will try and make us persevere but it will be hard work for them; there’s no evidence masks work and the 100,000’s of cases of omicron in France and UK during mask-wearing phase shows they don’t work; I did wear a mask in Waitrose today but won’t next week; some people will be wearing them for months!! They don’t work because the virus size is such that it can easily pass through the fabric in the cloth-type of mask, users finger dirty masks infecting themselves and the masks are not washed often enough. Medical-grade masks may be better but for most people the social disadvantages outweigh any medical benefits in my view. 2moro is T4m4l with M/B and G4g4s with the gang; then another round of concerts starts on Friday with a break on Saturday for DoW with D/D. Watched Act 2 of Wagner’s Tristan on DVD: so sensuous with Isolde but we’re still waiting for the climax; comes in the Liebestod (love in death) at the end of Act 3 after 4 hours without a diatonic closure: longing is the hallmark of the opera!! xx

Hope for one of my busted bonds (Eros of Bollywood fame, bit outside my normal sphere, absolutely hammered by Covid in India and selling US asset STX to raise money to pay off debt!):

Lions Gate in talks to acquire STX, boost library – Variety. Jan. 26, 2022 1:59 PM ETLions Gate Entertainment Corp. (LGF.A), LGF.B, ESGCBy: Jason Aycock, SA News Editor 3 Comments: CinemaCon 2018 - CinemaCon 2018 STXfilms Invites You To A Sneak Preview of their Future Films: Ethan Miller/Getty Images Entertainment. https://seekingalpha.com/news/3791992-lions-gate-in-talks-to-acquire-stx-boost-library-variety

Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF.A -0.8%, LGF.B -0.9%) is in talks to acquire some or all of STX Entertainment, Variety reports - a development that could boost the profile of two of Hollywood's nascent "mini-major" studios. It would also be a divergence from STX's planned sale to private equity's Najafi Cos. Bollywood entertainment player Eros International became Eros STX Global (ESGC +9.5%) through its acquisition of STX in July 2020. But that marriage turned rough with a poor integration that tanked Eros' stock price. Last month brought a deal for Eros to sell STX to Najafi.

That deal included a 45-day "go-shop" period to allow for seeking better bids. Now, along with Lions Gate, several other bidders are said to be pursuing topping Najafi's offer for STX. Najafi's deal is valued at $173 million (most of which is assuming STX debt) and it's "hesitant" to get out of the way, according to the report. Now Read: Lions Gate jumps following Wells Fargo upgrade, sees nearly 50% upside

January 25th: maximum 4C, minimum 3C, light W breeze, gloomy day, frost-free; we’re getting through the coldest part of the year quite well at the moment. Sunset 16:31, sunrise 8:12, day length 8 hours 19 mins, up over an hour since the solstice now. Snowdrops coming through in higher numbers. Have started habitat survey for Staward S, nest only 1.5km from that for Staward N; hope to do field trip to S of the 4km square tomorrow afternoon. Virtually WFH today – Saxo Markets webinar on electric vehicles at 11-12 – bit of a blatant push for Polestar and Chinese EVs – resisted! Then JLAF meeting from 13:30-17:30 on Teams (just 5 minute break) – interesting presentations on A1 dualling provisions for access and wildlife and net zero for the Park (is it suitable with its rambling open spaces and sparse population for EVs?). Didn’t really enjoy the format – much prefer face to face, though can see it saves a lot of travelling (net zero!). Indeed thoroughly unhealthy day, can see why people suffer mentally and physically from being a couch potato. Tomorrow going out for several activities! Funds down 14k wtd after massive sell-off on markets but do have 227k in cash to cover incidentals! Think oil is best bet for cautious reinvestment once Ukraine is cooling down but interest rate rises and high inflation (partly due to net zero) are putting a damper on markets generally; have retained some mining stocks but was a little too overweight, even exposed! Thought it was a good write-up in the Chronicle!! xx

January 24th: maximum 6C, minimum 2C, light W breeze, some brightness, ground frost in evening on car. Made Rotary at B4m4l, fishcakes and winter greens, very healthy. Talk was by Northumberland Police Commissioner (elected); she was very personable but didn’t dispel the idea that she’s just another layer in the bureaucracy with too few front-line troops. Attendance was very high c45, nearly all our members are coming out now. Much later made G4g4s with A/R/P for good chat with K on! Markets in very depressed mass sell-off today, finally catching up with resource shares. Lost most of last week’s gain but have joined in the selling with 115k in cash by tonight; don’t like overwhelmingly negative sentiment and it’s time for a bear market. Am mainly in high liquidity shares, which will aid further sales. 2moro it’s JLAF meeting at 13:30 on Teams, which have downloaded this evening. I bought a new DVD player (Panasonic) which got working this evening: test was Wagner’s Tristan und Isolde from Bayreuth Act 1 – superb!! Had 40 min chat with son on ‘phone: improvement maintained, gaining balance and strength in legs, liver not affected as badly as first thought, flat being deep-cleaned tomorrow, out on Thursday to flat, electrician round on Saturday to check immersion heater and a storage heater, plenty of support networks put forward. He’s been very impressed with the clinic! He does plan to come up here, once flat established as secure base; that sounds very sensible. He’s on long-term sick leave from work. xx

January 23rd: maximum 6C, minimum 3C, light W breeze, some brightness but mainly cloudy, quite a run without real frosts. Added to WikiTree Thomas William May, naval gunner from Plymouth, who married Sarah Jane Dasher (my gt-gt-grandmother) in Plymouth in 1861. Made no.2 of Festival concerts with Cobweb Orchestra, leader AR, who was soloist in a Dvořák: Romance. Very enjoyable concert with a central European feel, also playing another piece from Rosy Wertheim, an overture, and a Symphony by the Czech composer Jan Václav Voříšek. So we’ve had 3 Wertheim pieces, all very pleasingly harmonic, and the Voříšek was a good find, shades of Dvořák maybe. We had another Dvořák piece as an encore and I see they’re playing Dvořák 8 next month so obviously the orchestra has a liking for Czech music! Pleased for social afterwards and gr8 to meet someone. Continued exploring neighbouring watering-holes, visiting Branches before and Kenilworth afterwards, with travel by car and Metro. Branches would be a gr8 place for a meal – very classy!! Made G on return to meet R/P 4g4s – good chat! Home visit was so exciting again!! xx

January 22nd: maximum 7C, minimum 5C, light W breeze, some brightness but mainly cloudy. Pale Brindled Beauty moth at window at front – 1st for year. Have improved Table 1 further, in data representation and in caption, plus adding number of woodland features, an important measure of woodland diversity. Added George Holbrook to WikiTree, have all 8 great-grand parents documented now. Opening concert of Festival was great: really enjoyed the Wertheim and Bosmans, so well played and setting is suited for concerts I feel, best of the churches. Surprise was the Schönthal, A bird flew over Jerusalem, for flute and piano, which was quite disturbing but point taken. Overall the concert did meet its aim of raising awareness of the Holocaust and reviving the music of female composers associated with the injustices. Congratulations to the players AR, YK, DG, LU, UA, CM, PB, JS: standing ovation at end was justified! My legal friend ex-neighbour surfaced again – well, well!! Had to dash off!! But arrived early, making Bar Blanc for a drink! Walked 6km today. Hoping for video chat with son in next 2 days. xx

January 21st: maximum 6C, minimum 2C, light NW breeze, sunny and clear, very slight ground frost at times. Did sort out precision in Table 1.0 for habitat. Made concert in evening: very good, impressed with variety and talent! SM starred in CPE Bach’s Cello Concerto, CA on flute joined Rachel Redmond soprano in arias from Rameau’s Suite of Arias and MW was virtuoso throughout but particularly in Brandenburg Concerto 3. Concert finished with Haydn 8 and started with a short piece by Duarte. DS was dynamic conductor throughout. CA’s a worthy flautist successor to JB, EG and AY. Joined them for a drink in bar at S afterwards b4 catching last train back. Return of audience has stalled with poor attendance today and future bookings not good. Can vouch that all my contacts who have opted out of society continue to resolutely do so like N/D who chatted to over Skype this morning. Amazing week for markets with big crash in tech, down 7% on week and 15% this year, and continued slump in bitcoin. Energy and commodities were doing well but they suffered quite a reverse today. Own funds finished week +26k making gain ytd +111k gross (+6.3%), +83k net, with ftse 100 ytd +1.4%, ftse 250 -5.0% (note: poor performance of last index, that’s mainly UK domestic stocks with ftse 100 international stocks, often big oil and mining). Withdrew 1.5k this week to pay off Xmas-bloated credit cards of 2k. Falklands oil continues to be a little more favoured: have around 0.33% in each of major 3 oil/gas companies there, so own about 1 part in 300 of the whole industry there – risky if development is stalled but could be very lucrative. Israeli company Navitas are potential leaders in finance. Another concert tomorrow – will use train again but on Sunday trains are replaced by buses so may be out to CAL. Walked 6km today, including both ways NCL-GHD. Looking forward to the opening concert!! xx

January 20th: maximum 2C, minimum 0C, light NW breeze, sunny and clear, frost on car later at home. Had a Rabbit at Hexham S and a Tawny Owl calling in Sele late in evening. Made T4m4l with M/B – good chat and nice to support them. Much later it was G4g4s with A/P/R for further good social life. Excellent news from son in that his balance has returned and he’s walking freely again – that’s 21 days into treatment (28 days including hospital) – says a lot for the clinic’s expertise, the dedication of their staff and mental will-power of son, still 7 days to go with vitamins the final focus; flat is to be deep-cleaned before his return by Uber; hoping for video chat in next few days. Falklands oil looks to be approaching take-off: another 2-digit gain in funds today. Busy cultural weekend coming up – 3 concerts in 3 days – looking forward to it!! Here’s summary data for Honey-buzzard habitat in the ‘Shire:

Site

Inter-site distances km

Area Surveyed sq km

Altitude m of nest

Woodland %

Number of woodland features

Arable %

Pasture %

Parkland %

Coniferous woodland % of wood

Deciduous woodland % of wood

West Dipton

2.3

3.0


4.07

141

21.9

18

10.8

67.3

0.0

35.5

64.5

Ordley

2.4

2.7

4.0

4.09

127

24.2

9

13.9

61.9

0.0

60.7

39.3

Dotland

2.3

2.4

3.3

3.97

215

16.5

11

11.3

72.2

0.0

35.2

64.8

Viewley

3.3


3.3

3.91

239

57.1

7

0.0

42.9

0.0

77.9

22.2

Swallowship

2.7

3.0


4.13

86

58.9

14

14.5

22.9

3.6

82.5

17.5

Dipton Wood S

2.7

4.0


4.04

166

74.1

13

11.4

11.1

3.5

92.6

7.4












Average

2.91 (7 nearest)


4.04

162

42.1

12.0


10.3

46.4

1.2

64.1

35.9

Table 1.0: Habitat: Around 4 sq km of nests at Honey-buzzard Sites in Hexhamshire

This is just a prototype, needs adjusting in precision and in how inter-site distances are presented. But it’s a start! Have completed habitat survey for Staward N in Allen: next up is Staward S. xx

January 19th: maximum 7C, minimum -1C, moderate NW breeze, sunny with dazzling low sun when driving W. Up early to attend webinar at 09:30 GMT (17:30 Hong Kong time!) from Saxo Markets on prospects for Asian recovery. Not into Asian stocks but thought it might broaden my horizons! Indonesia was tipped as best prospect for advance with China and associated markets thought promising in view of depressed current levels. Resilience from falling US stock markets was thought to be there. Some read across to my commodity stocks, which had another 2-digit rise today. Made QHC4m4l to keep me going with tuna lunch after W4shop where spent £47, then tidied up for cleaner S who came at 15:00. I went for a walk on edge of Hexhamshire Common at Kings Law from 15:20-16:55 in bracing, clear weather. Had just 7 bird-types: 6 Red Grouse, 7 Rook, 1 Common Gull adult, 1 Black Grouse cock feeding, a Kestrel 1w out hunting at 15:55, a Common Buzzard perched in a deciduous tree at 16:10, 5 Bullfinch (flying off moor into conifers), but 3 were new for the ytd: the 2 grouse and the Kestrel, so up to 50 bird-types ytd. Also had some signs of moles. Was good exercise, have done 6km in each of last 2 days. Have dropped OpenOffice as main document writer and spreadsheet, now using LibreOffice free collaborative software from Germany; did donate $40 for my 2 machines, desk- and lap-top. Reason for change was OpenOffice's poor performance, not responding for lengthy spells, even with small files, let alone a large spreadsheet; think it's lost the plot with integration with MS Windows. LibreOffice is much faster, particularly on the laptop, with no pauses. xx

Intriguing find in family history research. Obtained birth and death certificates from GRO for my great-grandfather George Holbrook of Penzance, married to my great-grandmother Annie Elizabeth (May) Holbrook, who committed suicide in Penzance Harbour in 1904. He was born as George Holbrook, 2nd September 1857, at Market Jew Street, Penzance, son of Alfred Holbrook, Harbour Master (Merchant Service), and Jane Holbrook, formerly Phillips; informant was Jane Holbrook, mother, of Market Jew Street, Penzance on 26th September 1857. He died on 1st September 1902 at 19 North Parade, Penzance, aged 45 years, solicitor's accountant, from general paralysis, exhaustion, certified by H Russell Phillips; informant RT Holbrook, brother, in attendance, of 25 Chapel Street. Penzance, on 3rd September 1902. General paralysis was a bit of a mystery at the time but is now thought to result from untreated syphilis psychologist. We can speculate that Annie also had untreated syphilis, which has a severe effect on mental stability in its tertiary stage (neurosyphilis). Whatever her choice of suicide location in Penzance Harbour has operatic overtones, in view of her father-in-law being Harbour Master there. Family lore is that George died in a riding accident: was told never to go there! Syphilis is now treated with antibiotics.

Congratulations to Boris on ditching most of our restrictions for tackling Covid. He's been right in his approach to Covid over the last 8 months, defying SAGE and restoring some social stability again. Now he needs to look at his net zero approach and accept that the energy transition is going to take decades. Also delighted that the RSPB have woken up and are opposing the latest massive wind ideas off Scotland without much stronger conservation measures. A leading charity has expressed concerns about the potentially devastating impact of ScotWind on Scotland’s seabirds:


The Royal Society for the Protection of Birds (RSPB) Scotland says the scale of new offshore wind farms could “accelerate some seabird species towards extinction” unless there’s major action. According to the organisation, the projects already approved in Scotland are forecast to “kill hundreds of seabirds”, ranging from Kittiwakes to Puffins. And the new raft of developments, which will be greater in size, would “greatly increase” the impact on wildlife. “Offshore wind has an important role to play in helping halt climate change. However, the offshore wind projects already consented in Scotland are predicted to kill hundreds of seabirds like kittiwakes, gannets and puffins every year. The potential projects announced today would be many times bigger than those existing projects and would greatly increase those impacts." https://www.energyvoice.com/renewables-energy-transition/wind/uk-wind/scotwind/380394/scotwind-could-accelerate-some-seabirds-towards-extinction-warns-rspb

January 18th: maximum 6C, minimum 4C, moderate SW breeze, sunny, enjoyable weather for time of year, unusually bright and sunset out to 16:17 now, 37 min later than at darkest. Got out for good walk in afternoon, making Staward N in Allen Valley from 14:10-16:40 for Honey-buzzard habitat survey no.7, first outside the 'Shire. It was so refreshing to see a pair of Raven displaying over the northern end of the gorge where a Common Buzzard was also up in flamboyant display. Had 10 bird-types at Staward S, including 3 Siskin, 1 House Sparrow, 4 Blackbird, 5 Great Tit, 1 Mistle Thrush. Then 8 bird-types at Staward N, including 2 Raven, 1 Common Buzzard, 340 Jackdaw, 97 Rook, 1 Starling. Moles were common in both squares. Quiet day otherwise. Caught up with recent web pages on climate and lockdowns as below. Staward N habitat is very diverse, lots of small patches of wood of different types. Funds are +7k on wtd; commodity stocks are rallying with oil price over $88 a barrel now. xx

Here's the monthly look at recent climate data for December 2021. Temperature anomaly from satellite readings was +0.21C for the month. The annual average anomaly for 2021 was +0.134 deg. C above the 30-year mean (1991-2020), which places it as the 8th warmest year in the 43 year satellite record, behind 2016, 2020, 1998, 2019, 2017, 2010, and 2015 http://www.drroyspencer.com/2022/01/uah-global-temperature-update-for-december-2021-0-21-deg-c/. A more detailed look at the UAH data https://www.nsstc.uah.edu/climate/ shows that global climate trend since Dec. 1 1978 remains at +0.14 C per decade. An extremely warm feature in the North Pacific lifted NH values to +0.27 °C. This warmth was large enough to mitigate the tropical cooling associated with the continued presence of La Niña where a decline from 0.14 °C to +0.03 °C was measured. Further:

As noted, the warmest region, in terms of the monthly departure from average, was +6.5 °C in the North Pacific Ocean near the Dateline. Usually, the warmest and coolest anomalies are found in the atmosphere over land, but this feature broke that pattern. Downstream impacts, known as teleconnections are seen in the cold region in Western Canada and warm areas in the central US and over Greenland. Indeed, it seems this N. Pacific hot spot was in turn induced by the cold anomaly (i.e., La Niña) near Hawaii. Warm departures also occurred in Central Asia and areas in the southern oceans around 50 to 60° S latitude.


The coldest grid cell appeared, as is often the case, just downstream of the hottest spot (in the N. Pacific) in northern Alberta, Canada, and was -5.2 °C. The region around the Hawaiian Islands was especially cool even with its near-tropical location (due to La Niña). Other cool areas were found in the subtropical southern hemisphere, NE Europe, N. India, S. Africa and NE Russia.

ENSO: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions, Update prepared by: Climate Prediction Center / NCEP 17 January 2022 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf.

La Niña is present.

Equatorial sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are below average across the east-central and eastern Pacific Ocean.

The tropical Pacific atmosphere is consistent with La Niña.

La Niña is likely to continue into the Northern Hemisphere spring (67% chance during March-May 2022) and then transition to ENSO-neutral (51% chance during April-June 2022).

South Pole froze over in coldest winter on record by Yasemin Saplakoglu published October 05, 2021

Antarctica's frigid winter temperatures are in contrast to trends in the rest of the world, which overall recorded its fourth hottest summer. The South Pole just had its coldest winter on record. Between April and September, a research station sitting on a high plateau in Antarctica, registered an average temperature of minus 78 degrees Fahrenheit (minus 61 degrees Celsius). That's the coldest temperature recorded since record keeping began in 1957, and about 4.5 F (2.5 C) lower than the most recent 30-year average, according to The Washington Post. https://www.livescience.com/south-pole-coldest-winter-record

Arctic Ice News and Analysis: A good winter, relatively speaking January 5, 2022 http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/

By early January 2022, Arctic sea ice extent, while well below average, was within the lowest decile of recorded extents of the 1981 to 2010 reference period. Sea ice now completely covers Hudson Bay; the only area with substantially below average extent is in southern Baffin Bay and north of Labrador. Average Arctic sea ice extent for December 2021 was 12.19 million square kilometers (4.71 million square miles), which ranked thirteenth lowest in the satellite record. The 2021 extent was 650,000 square kilometers (251,000 square miles) below the 1981 to 2010 average. As of early January 2022, sea ice completely covers Hudson Bay. The only area with extent remarkably below normal is southern Baffin Bay and off the coast of Labrador, where the December sea ice extent ranked fourth lowest.

Antarctic sea ice extent for December 2021 was 9.2 million square kilometers (3.55 million square miles). Antarctic sea ice extent for December 2021 was low overall, tracking at similar extents seen in 2017. Regionally, extent was particularly low in the Weddell Sea and southern Ross Sea regions. Several large polynyas formed in the eastern Weddell Sea; the Maud Rise Polynya opened in late November and then spread east to northeast. This is unusual; normally, the polynya extends south and west of its initiation point. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) was in a strong positive phase through the first half of the month, indicating strong westerly winds and a strong low-pressure area in the Amundsen Sea. Sea ice conditions are not yet favourable for two planned cruises near Thwaites Glacier, one by the US Antarctic research program (RV Nathaniel B. Palmer) and the other by the South Korean (RV Araon). Ships are due to arrive in late January.

So gradual warming compared to 30 years ago is well-established but we do seem to be almost on a plateau now. Hence the switch to individual weather disasters in the media by the doom mongers. But the data, kept by EM-DAT in Belgium, which is widely viewed as an authoritative source for data on global disasters, show that from 2000 to 2021, the number of global weather and climate disasters declined by about 10%, which is very good news and completely contrary to conventional wisdom. The period since 2000 is viewed as the most reliable for data reliability, but it is safe to say that even since 2000, coverage has improved. So the 10% decline is possibly an underestimate. The trends reported here are consistent with independent, peer-reviewed research. Reality check: Global weather and climate disasters 2000 to 2021. Roger Pielke Jr., 5 January 2022.

January 17th: maximum 7C, minimum 0C, light W breeze, sunny, enjoyable weather for time of year, unusually bright and sunset out to 16:16 now, 36 min later than at darkest. Sociable day with R @ B4m4l and G4g4s with the lads (R/P/A) and K, the dancer, on. Indeed so sociable that delayed the blog! Did take piccie of leylandii as sheared last week: it's not designed to be a piccie of the wheelie bins but at 1.065m high they do give a calibration showing the hedge is 3m high. Don't tell me it needs trimming a bit more on lhs; it's in hand (vaguely!).

Enjoyed an interview on Sky News with Prof. Tim Spector, Scientific Co-Founder, ZOE, Professor of Epidemiology, Kings College London. He thought that the modelling had been wrong (far too pessimistic) which he attributed partly to voluntary changes in our behaviour (less mixing) as the virus takes off. He also thought that 5 days was right for self-isolation after infection as an average working figure and that Covid would now abate until next autumn when a further milder version might emerge. The DT was a little more forthright about the modeller's failures:

Looking back at lockdown: how we got it wrong. We used scientific modelling to map the pandemic, but it seems that it painted a grimmer picture than what actually materialised. “Should models be used to lock people down? No, they shouldn’t,” says Professor Graham Medley, chair of the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling (SPI-M). “Our job is to lay out a range of possibilities for the future, but it can’t predict the future. “Government has to make difficult decisions to get the country through the epidemic with the least possible harm, but the harms accrue from the controls as well as the virus.”

The speed of the pandemic hasn’t helped matters. Complex models that, ordinarily, would have been developed over months or even years have been required within days. Often, the underlying assumptions have already changed by the time they are released for public scrutiny. A week is a long time in politics, but it’s an age in a pandemic,” says Medley. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/01/15/looking-back-lockdown-got-wrong/

I particularly liked this comment on the DT article:

Julie Bower – 3 DAYS AGO – I have a PhD in modelling and statistics and have taught it at undergraduate and Masters level and supervised PhD students. If my students had produced the models used in this pandemic they would never have got their degrees. Just about every rule of modelling good practice was broken.

The abuse and misuse of modelling in this pandemic has been shocking and requires its own inquiry. There are two main reasons the modelling has led to catastrophic decision making. First, the input data and underlying model relationships (i.e. equations) were not properly tested and validated. Second, the modelling was used as a 'crystal ball' to justify political decisions that had already been made rather than being used test and inform policy making decisions.

I am actually quite angry at the way the media plays modelling in general; scientists are cynical about their motives. It's extraordinary how such uni-dimensional modelling was ever tolerated, ignoring the effects of isolation on the economy and on people's well-being. With a daughter losing a 'secure' job with an airline and a son suffering mentally do have first-hand experience of the current devastating consequences of lockdowns on people, who are fundamentally social animals.

2moro it's habitat survey at Honey-buzzard site of Staward N (Allen) and attempt to tabulate the habitat results from the 'Shire. xx

January 16th: maximum 6C, minimum 1C, light SW breeze becoming moderate W later, sunny. Had c10 black flies around the flowering ivy at Ordley, which has just about finished flowering now; snowdrops are pushing through in the back and daffodils are bursting through at ground level; on turnip field had 87 Redwing, 60 Linnet, 2 Mistle Thrush, plus a Greenfinch on the bird seed. Completed habitat study for 6 sites in Devils' Water for Honey-buzzard; will publish some results soon and move on to 2 more sites in the Allen (Staward N, Staward S). Compiled some more data for the Dashper family in Plymouth. They were so poor: by far the poorest part of my ancestry discovered so far, living in a boarding house for a while and thereafter in packed lodgings with high infant mortality and occupations of labourer and in laundry, undoubtedly in the slums of mid-19th century Plymouth, Devon, which was a major naval port at the time with an itinerant population, ideal for settling refugees. Can see why nobody wanted me to pursue the maternal mtDNA line: it is fairly desperate but they did manage quite quickly to make some better marriages and climb the social ladder; they must have been bright or alluring, probably the former, some evidence for numeracy in occupations/spouses. xxxxx XXX!!!!!!

Recent relevant references: (more reading here)

Shaw, KD, McInerny, CJ, Little, A, Little, K, Nadin, JS, & Goater, R, An exceptional season at a central Scotland Honey-buzzard study area, Scottish Birds 37(1) 3-13 (2017).

Forsman, Dick, Separating Common Buzzard and European Honey-buzzard, at p.302, in: Flight Identification of Raptors of Europe, North Africa and the Middle East, Christopher Helm (2016).

Panuccio, M, Chiatante, G, & Tarini, D, Two different migration strategies in response to an ecological barrier: Western Marsh Harriers and juvenile European Honey Buzzards crossing the central-eastern Mediterranean in autumn, Journal of Biological Research - Thessaloniki 19 10-18 (2013). pdf

Panuccio, M, Agostini, N, Lucia, G, Mellone, U, Ashton-Boot, J, Wilson, S, Chiatante, G & Todisco, S, Local weather conditions affect migration strategies of adult Western Honey Buzzards (Pernis apivorus) through an isthmus area, Zoological Studies 49(5) 651-656 (2010). pdf